Tuesday 2/4/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAB, NBA & NHL games.
Stephen Oh
TAMPA BAY -173
VEGAS @ TAMPA BAY | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
12:12 AM
The Lightning are 8-0-0 against Pacific Division foes, and I have them winning nearly 70 percent of simulations Tuesday night. This is their first home game in three weeks, and a chance to knock off Vegas at home for the first time. Lay it.
12-5 IN LAST 17 NHL PICKS | +529
13-6 IN LAST 19 LV ML PICKS | +635
3-2 IN LAST 5 TB ML PICKS | +50
UNDER 229
SAN ANTONIO @ L.A. LAKERS | 2/04 | 10:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:08 PM
I'm projecting 222 points for Spurs-Lakers, giving us solid value on the Under. The Under is cashing in about two-thirds of my simulations. With the Spurs on the second night of a back-to-back, look for them to slow it down and help keep this game Under.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA O/U PICKS | +90
12-4 IN LAST 16 SA O/U PICKS | +761
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GregNbaPlays
Denver Nuggets -4.5
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Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
9:29 AM
MILWAUKEE -6.5
MILWAUKEE @ NEW ORLEANS | 2/04 | 7:30 PM EST
This line is several points too low. Yes, Zion Williamson is a phenomenon, but he's a predictable one. Through six games, 73 percent of his shot attempts have come within three feet of the rim. No team defends the rim better than Milwaukee. Only 21.9 percent of their opponent's shots come from that area. No other team is below 24.4 percent. The Bucks lead the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed at the rim by a full percentage point. Their entire scheme is predicated on the notion that rim shots are more valuable than 3-pointers. Brook Lopez and Giannis Antetokounmpo protect the basket at all costs, and Williamson is going to feel that in this one.
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Bill Marzano
MILWAUKEE -6
MILWAUKEE @ NEW ORLEANS | 2/04 | 7:30 PM EST
9:54 AM
This is a great matchup between the Giannis Antetokounmpo and Zion Williamson, but let's not forget who the best overall player in the NBA is and what team he plays for. The Bucks have won 10 of their last 11 overall contests and are 19-4 on the road. The Pelicans don't play enough defense in order to win this game and don’t have the same depth off the bench. Points should be plentiful in this one, but 245 is a high number. New Orleans is just 10-15 at home while Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 Tuesday games.
44-35-2 IN LAST 81 NBA ATS PICKS | +552
8-4 IN LAST 12 MIL ATS PICKS | +360
3-1 IN LAST 4 NO ATS PICKS | +191
WASHINGTON -1.5
LOS ANGELES @ WASHINGTON | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
9:50 AM
The Capitals have dropped two straight at home and I think this is a great spot for them to put an end to this brief skid. The Kings have dropped six of their last seven contests and 17 of 25. Los Angeles has produced a total of just 15 goals over its last seven games. Washington is 9-0-3 against the Pacific Division this season. Capitals G Ilya Samsonov saw his 11-game winning streak come to an end in his last start, but this a good place for him to start another one. Take Washington -1.5 goals at +105.
9-4 IN LAST 13 NHL PICKS | +453
EDMONTON +105
EDMONTON @ ARIZONA | 2/04 | 9:00 PM EST
9:46 AM
The Oilers have posted a 7-1-1 record over their last nine games overall and have won 10 of the last 14 in this series. Arizona is struggling right now, having dropped five in a row. Edmonton pounded the Coyotes 7-3 a few weeks ago and have won five of its last six in Arizona. The Coyotes are just not the same team without their starting goaltender.
34-22 IN LAST 56 NHL ML PICKS | +565
CHICAGO +112
CHICAGO @ MINNESOTA | 2/04 | 8:00 PM EST
9:42 AM
These teams appear to be heading in opposite directions. The Blackhawks have won six of their last seven games and are just a few points out of a wild-card spot in the Western Conference. The Wild have dropped eight of their last 12 and are not showing any signs of improvement. Chicago has won eight of its last nine on the road and has taken four straight in this series.
34-22 IN LAST 56 NHL ML PICKS | +565
3-2 IN LAST 5 CHI ML PICKS | +39
UNDER 137
OKLAHOMA @ TEXAS TECH | 2/04 | 9:00 PM EST
9:38 AM
These conference games are big down the stretch, and this is a great battle with a lot at stake. I think it has all the makings of a low-scoring, defensive affair. The Red Raiders are allowing 64 points per game while the Sooners are yielding 67, but these teams are very familiar with one another and their styles of play. Neither squad is shooting well from beyond the arc and both are struggling on the offensive glass.
33-21 IN LAST 54 CBB O/U PICKS | +987
UNDER 136
OHIO ST. @ MICHIGAN | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
9:36 AM
This game has all the makings of a low-scoring defensive battle. The Buckeyes are dealing with a few issues offensively and will need a big effort on the other side of the court in order to have a shot in this one. Their defense ranks 20th in the nation, allowing just 61 points per contest. The Under is 7-2 in the Buckeyes' last nine overall contests and has cashed in five of the Wolverines' last six home games.
33-21 IN LAST 54 CBB O/U PICKS | +987
3-1 IN LAST 4 OHIOST O/U PICKS | +190
UNDER 130
VA. TECH @ GEORGIA TECH | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
9:33 AM
The Hokies have pretty much dominated this matchup, winning six straight and 10 of the last 12 meetings. To make matters worse for the Yellow Jackets, they are without their leading scorer. However, Virginia Tech has lost three straight contests. Look for both teams to really focus on defense here, meaning points will be at a premium. They both have had trouble shooting and probably will in this one too. The winner will be the first team to notch 60 points.
33-21 IN LAST 54 CBB O/U PICKS | +987
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Hot Shot Sports
NBA
4* #567/568 Portland/Denver OVER 226
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Elite Sports Picks
Oklahoma +7.5 over Texas Tech (NCAAB)
Insider Sports Report
4* Colorado St. -2.5 over Fresno St. (NCAAB)
3* Monmouth PK over Fairfield (NCAAB)
3* Texas A&M PK over Missouri (NCAAB)
National Sports Service
4* Northern Illinois +6 over Toledo (NCAAB)
3* Michigan -2.5 over Ohio St. (NCAAB)
Primetime Sports Picks
4 Unit --> Michigan St. -8.5 over Penn St. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Northern Illinois +6 over Toledo (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Denver -4.5 over Portland (NBA)
Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For
4★ Texas A&M PK over Missouri (NCAAB)
3★ New Orleans +6 over Milwaukee (NBA)
3★ Xavier +1.5 over DePaul (NCAAB)
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THE PREZHOCKEY PLAYS
MAIN EVENT 5% NHL GAME of the MONTH
Game: (1) Montreal Canadiens at (2) New Jersey Devils
Date/Time: Feb 4 2020 7:08 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Montreal Canadiens -125
View Analysis
Play on Montreal Canadians -125 (play good to-145)
5% game rating
(1) Montreal Canadiens at (2) New Jersey Devils
Game writeup posted shortly - Bonus offers will be loaded by noon EST 2/4
MONTREAL HABS -125
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VIP SPORTS LOCK CLUB
Mich. -2.5
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Mike Barner
Portland Trailblazers +4.5
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Wunderdog
Game: Florida Panthers (3) @ Columbus Blue Jackets (4)
Time: Tuesday 02/04 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Florida +123 (moneyline) at WagerWeb
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Dave Essler
3* GOM
Fresno St +2.5
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Larry Hartstein
MILWAUKEE -6.5
MILWAUKEE @ NEW ORLEANS | 2/04 | 7:30 PM EST
2:57 PM
The Bucks rank first in defensive efficiency and should take advantage of a talented Pelicans team that's prone to turnovers. Milwaukee beat New Orleans by 12 in December despite not having Giannis Antetokounmpo. Lay it.
70-53-2 IN LAST 125 NBA ATS PICKS | +1179
44-29 IN LAST 73 NO ATS PICKS | +1242
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIL ATS PICKS | +90
PORTLAND +4.5
PORTLAND @ DENVER | 2/04 | 9:00 PM EST
2:37 PM
Damian Lillard is averaging a ridiculous 48.8 points over his last six games, with Portland going 5-1 in that span. Denver could be tired after its long road trip and had one fewer day of rest than the Trail Blazers. Grab the points.
70-53-2 IN LAST 125 NBA ATS PICKS | +1179
37-25-3 IN LAST 65 DEN ATS PICKS | +956
19-12 IN LAST 31 POR ATS PICKS | +581
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John Bollman
CHICAGO +111
CHICAGO @ MINNESOTA | 2/04 | 8:00 PM EST
12:50 PM
It looks like Robin Lehner will be taking on Alex Stalock for this game. Lehner is 15-8-4 this season with a 2.86 GAA and .922 save percentage while Stalock is slightly worse at 11-8-3 with a 2.93 GAA and .903 save percentage. The Hawks have won seven of their last 10 and they are better on the road this season at 13-9-3 while the Wild are much better at home with a 14-7-4 record. The Wild are just 4-5-1 in their last 10 games and the Hawks already beat the Wild once this season at home. Take the value in the Hawks.
25-11-1 IN LAST 37 NHL PICKS | +1188
5-3 IN LAST 8 MIN ML PICKS | +110
TAMPA BAY -171
VEGAS @ TAMPA BAY | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
12:49 PM
TB is coming off a long road trip but has scored 4+ in 3 of their last 5 including 7 vs a decent WPG team in WPG. Vegas only allows 2.8 on the road but they’ve allowed 4 in two games of their road trip. Marc-Andre Fleury has given up 3+ goals in 7 of his last 9 games and Tampa Bay is #1 power play efficiency at home with 35.7% effectiveness. The Lightning are leading the league in scoring at home with 4.08 goals per game and the Golden Knights are 24th in the league in road power play with 15.4% effectiveness.
25-11-1 IN LAST 37 NHL PICKS | +1188
6-2 IN LAST 8 TB ML PICKS | +329
4-2 IN LAST 6 LV ML PICKS | +196
OVER 6.5
VEGAS @ TAMPA BAY | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
12:48 PM
The Lightning average the most goals per game in the league at home with 4.08, and they have the best home power play in the league with 35.7% effectiveness. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up three goals in three of his last five games, and Marc Andre Fleury has given up at least four goals in six of his last nine games. The Over is 17-6 at home for the Lightning, expect this one to be high scoring.
25-11-1 IN LAST 37 NHL PICKS | +1188
3-0 IN LAST 3 TB O/U PICKS | +300
UNDER 6
ANAHEIM @ OTTAWA | 2/04 | 7:30 PM EST
12:46 PM
The Senators are ranked 18th in home goals per game with 3.12 while the Ducks are the fourth worst team at scoring goals on the road with 2.30 goals per game. The Senators only give up 2.96 goals against per game at home while the Ducks only give up 3.33 goals per game against on the road. The Ducks have the fourth worst road power play in the league with 13.6% effectiveness and the Senators have the fifth worst home power play in the league with 15.5% effectiveness.
25-11-1 IN LAST 37 NHL PICKS | +1188
3-1 IN LAST 4 OTT O/U PICKS | +181
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Micah Roberts
MICHIGAN ST. -8.5
PENN ST. @ MICHIGAN ST. | 2/04 | 8:00 PM EST
11:02 AM
It doesn’t seem like a good idea to be betting against Penn State, which has won and covered its last four. But the only reason I am is that Michigan State comes off a loss at Wisconsin, and the Spartans win by double digits almost every home game. Michigan State's average home score is 84-59. The Spartans have covered eight of their last 11 games. Michigan State is the play.
12-2 IN LAST 14 CBB PICKS | +979
5-1 IN LAST 6 PSU ATS PICKS | +395
5-4 IN LAST 9 MICHST ATS PICKS | +47
MICHIGAN -2.5
OHIO ST. @ MICHIGAN | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
10:50 AM
Both of these teams look to be on the rebound after suffering through crippling cold streaks that put them on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Ohio State and Michigan have both won and covered their last two games. The home team has gone 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, and that’s the way I’m leaning here, especially in the Big Ten where home has been a bigger edge than usual this season. Michigan is the play.
12-2 IN LAST 14 CBB PICKS | +979
3-0 IN LAST 3 MICH ATS PICKS | +300
6-3 IN LAST 9 OHIOST ATS PICKS | +274
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Mike Tierney
AIR FORCE +10
AIR FORCE @ NEVADA | 2/04 | 11:00 PM EST
3:37 PM
Nevada will be juggling just eight scholarship players if premier scorer Jazz Johnson (shoulder) misses his second straight game. Johnson is uncanny on 3-pointers at 42.3 percent and contributes 16.3 ppg. Though Air Force has dropped four outright in a row, it can match the Wolf Pack on 3s, with both ranked in the top 20 for marksmanship.
4-2 IN LAST 6 CBB PICKS | +176
2-1 IN LAST 3 NEVADA ATS PICKS | +92
MISS. STATE +6.5
MISS. STATE @ KENTUCKY | 2/04 | 9:00 PM EST
3:34 PM
The Bulldogs could pull into a second-place SEC tie with an outright victory. They would be riding a seven-game, straight-up streak if not for a pair of one-point road losses, and they covered in all seven. Kentucky continues to win, but has failed to cover in eight of the last 10 at home and seven of the past nine overall. Standout forward F Reggie Perry can hold his own versus the Wildcats’ parade of big men.
4-2 IN LAST 6 CBB PICKS | +176
4-0 IN LAST 4 MISSST ATS PICKS | +400
4-1 IN LAST 5 UK ATS PICKS | +287
AUBURN +1
AUBURN @ ARKANSAS | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
3:33 PM
The Tigers purged from their memories a recent disastrous road trip with last week’s win at Mississippi State, and they should find Arkansas’ up-tempo approach to their liking. Auburn has gone big with its lineup this season and can rule the boards against the relatively tiny Razorbacks. Their primary scorer, G Isaiah Joe (16 ppg), has been limping lately (knee). He will either be restricted or held out.
4-2 IN LAST 6 CBB PICKS | +176
4-0 IN LAST 4 ARK ATS PICKS | +400
6-3 IN LAST 9 AUBURN ATS PICKS | +274
VA. TECH +1.5
VA. TECH @ GEORGIA TECH | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
3:31 PM
The absence of their best player, guard Michael Devoe, finally caught up to the Yellow Jackets on Saturday in a sound defeat at Notre Dame. Devoe (knee) is doubtful Tuesday, and Georgia Tech would miss his scoring (16.2 ppg). The visiting Hokies can capitalize on the hosts’ slippage on defense if they shoot threes as accurately as usual. The Jackets’ 1-3-1 zone could be picked apart.
4-2 IN LAST 6 CBB PICKS | +176
2-1 IN LAST 3 GATECH
Zack Cimini
CHARLOTTE +13.5
CHARLOTTE @ HOUSTON | 2/04 | 8:00 PM EST
2:26 PM
A value spot exists Tuesday on the Hornets as they travel to Houston. In their last six defeats, the Hornets have lost by 12 points or more. Hence, this spread has tacked on a bit more due to the Hornets being in a back-to-back scenario. Grab the underdog on a valuable number.
29-19-1 IN LAST 49 NBA ATS PICKS | +810
9-5 IN LAST 14 CHA ATS PICKS | +346
MARYLAND -7.5
RUTGERS @ MARYLAND | 2/04 | 7:00 PM EST
2:24 PM
The Terrapins have covered all single-digit favored spreads at home this season, including three games similar to Tuesday's number. Look for that trend to continue as Rutgers' ATS pattern continues to revert.
41-25-4 IN LAST 70 CBB ATS PICKS | +1313
OKLAHOMA +9
OKLAHOMA @ TEXAS TECH | 2/04 | 9:00 PM EST
2:20 PM
Texas Tech has shown an alarming issue with playing in close games. Three losses have occurred in overtime, and the Red Raiders lost to both Kansas and Baylor by less than five points. Look for the Sooners to capitalize Tuesday on the Red Raiders' inability to pull away in games.
41-25-4 IN LAST 70 CBB ATS PICKS | +1313
3-1 IN LAST 4 OKLA ATS PICKS | +186
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Northcoast featured handicappers:
Three Rivers Sports
4.5*UNDER 130 Virginia Tech v Georgia Tech
4*Colorado st +1.5
3*Penns st +9.5
3*OU +9
Jim Feist
4.5*SEC GOY Mississsippi st +6.5
3* Northern Illinois +6
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