Sunday 3/10/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Sunday’s NCAAB, NHL & NBA games.
Stephen Oh My Gosh ( No known relationship to Sadaharu HR Oh or Yoko Oh-No )
DALLAS +8
HOUSTON @ DALLAS | 3/10 | 7:00 PM EDT
5:30 PM
These two teams are headed in opposite directions -- Houston has won seven in a row, Dallas has lost nine of 10. But my simulations say this is too many points for a Mavericks team that's been competitive at home. Dallas is 21-11 at home this season and among the better home covers in the league. Houston is not a good road spread team, at 13-19 overall. When favored by between 6.5 and 9.5 points, the Rockets are just 2-9 ATS. My projections see a single-score outcome. Take the points.
69-48 IN LAST 117 NBA PICKS | +1681
23-14 IN LAST 37 HOU ATS PICKS | +785
16-11 IN LAST 27 DAL ATS PICKS | +417
MEMPHIS +1
ORLANDO @ MEMPHIS | 3/10 | 6:00 PM EDT
5:26 PM
Memphis has won three of four and covered in four straight, the last three against the Jazz, Blazers and Thunder. The Magic, meanwhile, are on a 0-3 ATS slide. My projections see a Memphis straight-up win -- take the point as insurance.
69-48 IN LAST 117 NBA PICKS | +1681
3-0 IN LAST 3 MEM ATS PICKS | +300
MINNESOTA -11.5
NEW YORK @ MINNESOTA | 3/10 | 8:00 PM EDT
5:24 PM
The Timberwolves beat the Knicks by nine just a couple weeks ago in New York. Both teams have taken a dive since then, but Minnesota is a tough out at home, and New York isn't a team that pulls road upsets. Minnesota is covering in nearly 60 percent of my simulations.
69-48 IN LAST 117 NBA PICKS | +1681
10-8 IN LAST 18 MIN ATS PICKS | +131
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Spartan
3*
Wisconsin -2.5
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Stephen Nover
3*
Nebraska -pk
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Sleepyj
3*
Coll. Of Charleston / Drexel over 149
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Arthur Ralph
SUNDAY Trophy Bradley -1
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Ben Burns
3*
Golden State -16.5
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King creole
2*
Houston / Dallas under 223
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Goodfella
3*
Bradley -120
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JR ODONNELL
3*
S.dakota -pk
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Ken Thomson
2*
Cincinnati -131
1*
Iona -130
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AJ Hoffman
2*
South Florida -2
1*
Wisconsin -3
1*
Bradley - pk
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Greg shaker
3*
Golden State / Phoenix under 234
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ASA.
4 *. Penn State
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Seabass :
400 Calgary , penn st game under , hou/ cin game under , Ohio state game under , Iowa
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Goldsheet LTS
TOP CHOICE 1 1/2 units SOUTH FLORIDA -2 -home over Smu 1:00 PM PDT (Game #842)
PENN STATE -7 1/2 -home over Illinois 9:00 AM PDT (Game #832)
"OVER" 132 1/2 points RUTGERS at INDIANA 9:00 AM PDT (Game #833-34)
NEBRASKA pick 'em -home over Iowa 11:00 AM PDT (Game #838)
"UNDER" 141 points UCONN at EAST CAROLINA 11:00 AM PDT (Game #839-40)
"OVER" 147 1/2 points JAMES MADISON vs. HOFSTRA 9:00 AM PDT CAA Tourney at North Charleston (Game #845-46)
"UNDER" 148 points DREXEL vs. CHARLESTON 5:30 PM PDT CAA Tourney at North Charleston (Game #851-52)
LIPSCOMB -6 1/2 -home over Liberty 12 noon PDT A-Sun Tourney (Game #307408)
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CleInsidersports
MLB Spring Training (leans only, for players that want MLB action)
Nationals +1.5 (-160)
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Cleinsidersports
NBA
Bulls +4
Pelicans/Hawks U238
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Millerlocks
2:00 pm est ncaab
connecticut vs. East carolina
pick: East carolina +5.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
2:00 pm est ncaab
iowa vs. Nebraska
pick: Iowa +1 (-112)
risk: 11 units
3:35 pm est nba
toronto raptors vs. Miami heat
pick: Miami heat +1 (-105)
risk: 11 units
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Jack Jones
Cincinnati
76ers
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AJ Hoffman
2*
South Florida -2
1*
Wisconsin -3
1*
Bradley - pk
Added
1* wofford -6
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SEABASS
NHL
400 Calgary
NCAABB
All 400
Penn St Under
Houston Under
Ohio St Under
Iowa
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The Spot Player
2* Rockets -9
2* James Madison +12
2* UConn -5.5
2* E. Tenn State +7
2* Wisconsin -3 BUY 1/2 PT
2* UNC-Wilmington +11
2* UNC-Greensboro +3
2* Drexel +10
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allan desrosiers
10 wisconsin
8 drexel over
7 bradley ML
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Marco D'Angelo
INSIDER GAME OF THE WEEK
4% Bradley -1
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Master Sports
NCAA BK
4* #843/844 Wisconsin/Ohio State OVER 123.5
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CAL SPORTS
BASKETBALL PLAYS
Game: (847) Delaware at (848) William & Mary
Date/Time: Mar 10 2019 2:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: William & Mary -4.5 (-108)
View Analysis
#848 4* William & Mary -4.5 Delaware 1:30 PM
Play is based on current form. William & Mary sat at 7-14 with a backcourt made up of two freshman. They split their next 4 games then finished the season winning 5 straight. The Tribe hit 48% while allowing 41.8% the last 5 while Delaware made 42.7% and allowed 47.5%.
Game: (843) Wisconsin at (844) Ohio State
Date/Time: Mar 10 2019 4:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Wisconsin -2.0 (-108)
View Analysis
#843 5% Wisconsin -2 Ohio St 3:30 PM
5% play up to -4, 4% up to -5.5, 3% play at -6+
We have already faded Ohio St without Kaleb Wesson who will miss again with a suspension. He is not only their leading scorer but their leading rebounder as well and in the first two games of is suspension the Buckeyes have lost 86-61 at Purdue and 68-50 at Northwestern (a team that was on a 10 game losing streak). Ohio St has shot 38.0% their last 5 games while Wisconsin’s D is rounding into March for allowing 37.0% their last 5 games. Team are plying for only the second time in two season and Wisconsin remembers LY;s meeting an 83-58 game at home.
Game: (863) Monmouth at (864) Canisius
Date/Time: Mar 10 2019 8:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Monmouth 0.0 (-110)
View Analysis
#863 3* Monmouth pk Canisius 7:30 PM EspnU
Monmouth has the top D in the MAAC and down the stretch they allowed 36.9% their last 5 games!! Despite having to play a third game in this tourney compared to only the second for Canisius the Hawks did play their opener Thursday with Friday off. Canisius had to fight back yesterday from a DD deficit and won in OT on Friday and then has an off day. Despite the schedule disparity I don’t; mind taking the far superior D that uses 8 men their rotation with no player playing more than 31 minutes in yesterday’s win.
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Tom Fornelli
UNDER 64.5 1ST HALF MONMOUTH VS CANISIUS | 3/10 | 8:30 PM EDT
11:11 AM
I don't know what it is about the Times Union Center, but 1st Half Unders have always done well for me in this building during MAAC tournament games. With these teams playing on consecutive days, I'm hoping tired legs help me too.
UNDER 66.5 1ST HALF SIENA VS IONA | 3/10 | 6:00 PM EDT
11:10 AM
I don't know what it is about the Times Union Center, but 1st Half Unders have always done well for me in this building during MAAC tournament games. With these teams playing on consecutive days, I'm hoping tired legs help me too.
SMU +2
SMU @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 3/10 | 4:00 PM EDT
11:08 AM
SMU enters this game on a four-game losing streak but I believe there's value on the Mustangs in this matchup. The Bulls are much better defensively, but on offense, South Florida can be atrocious at times. It turns the ball over too much, and while it does a good job getting to the free throw line, it only makes 63.5% of them. SMU's offense will be enough to get the cover and possibly win outright.
UNDER 138 LIBERTY @ LIPSCOMB | 3/10 | 3:00 PM EDT
11:05 AM
This goes in line with a few of my other picks. I just like taking Unders in conference championship games. The combination of nerves playing for both a conference title and NCAA bid along with tired legs from playing games on consecutive days usually leads to sloppy offense, and that leads to Unders at a profitable rate.
UNDER 55.5 1ST HALF
NORTHERN IOWA VS BRADLEY | 3/10 | 2:05 PM EDT
11:04 AM
Over my years of degeneracy I've noticed a trend in certain buildings during conference tournaments. Teams playing at these neutral sites tend to struggle shooting early, and it leads to first-half Unders more often than not. The Enterprise Center is one such building. Plus, both of these teams are playing their third game in three days, which should only help.
UNDER 120 NORTHERN IOWA VS BRADLEY | 3/10 | 2:05 PM EDT
11:01 AM
I've always liked taking Unders in conference finals. It's a combination of nerves and tired legs after playing so many days in a row that tends to lead to lower scores in games like this. And in a one-bid league like this one, the stakes are even higher, so nerves will be higher.
ILLINOIS +7.5
ILLINOIS @ PENN ST. | 3/10 | 12:00 PM EDT
10:59 AM
Penn State beat Illinois by seven in Champaign earlier this season, so logic would dictate that they'd beat Illinois by more at home. Well, I've never been known for being logical. The difference in that game was at the free throw line. A Penn State team that's shot only 69.4% from the free throw line this season made 26 of 32 that night. I don't expect Penn State to shoot as well from the line in this game, nor do I expect it'll get so many attempts. That alone might keep it from covering.
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XS Sports Picks (Jason King)
NHL: Saturday (1-1-1) -$100 . Season (102-75) 58% +$44,650
Last 5 Days (8-5-1) 62% +$4,090
1k Winnipeg +120 (7pm)
1k Pittsburgh Under 6.5 (7:35pm)
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Worlds Worst Picker
Norther Iowa
Fade is
Bradley
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Action Network
Bradley -1
Philli Under 220
SMU +2.5
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Mike Lundin
Phoenix vs. Golden State Under
San Antonio
Memphis Grizzlies
Wisconsin
Nebraska Under
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Tweetydimes
PLAY1) MIAMI HEAT -110
PLAY 2) OHIO ST + 4
PLAY 3) MEMPHIS/MAGIC UNDER 207.5 ..2u
PLAY 4) EAST CAROLINA / UNDER 141 ..2u
PLAY 5) NEBRASKA -115
PLAY 6) SOUTH FLORIDA UNDER 134.5 ..2u
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