Friday 2/22/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Friday's NCAAB, NHL & NBA games.
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Davidson -2
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Razor Sharp
HARVARD -2
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Totals4U
Dallas Mavericks under 219
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Atlantic Sports
Penn Quakers - 9
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#1 Sports
Minnesota Timberwolves - 6
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Platinum Plays
Indiana Pacers -5½
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Nevada Sharpshooter
SAN ANTONIO +7½
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Golden Dragon
LA Clippers -1.5
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Hawkeye Sports
Vegas Golden Knights - 145
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Huddle Up Sports
Atlanta +3.5
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Vegas Steam Line
PRINCETON -6
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High Stakes Syndicate
Marist - 7.5
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Kenny Towers (Fade)
Atlanta Under 223
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John Anthony Sports
Manhattan + 3.5
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Marc Lawrence College Hoops Free Play! - FridayPlay - Charlotte Hornets (Game 514)
Edges - Hornets: host in this series is 6-1 ATS; and 15-5-1 ATS in Fridays … Wizards: 12-26-1 ATS on Fridays … With the Hornets off a 38-point loss and playing with same season loss revenge, we recommend a 1* play on Charlotte.
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Mark Wilson
Feb 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Niagara vs Rider
Play on: Rider -9 -105 at Bovada
Free Play on Rider -9 -105
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Mike Williams
Feb 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Niagara vs Rider
Play on: Niagara +9 -109 at GTBets
1* on Niagara +9 -109
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Steve Janus
Feb 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | St. Peter's vs Marist
Play on: Marist -5½ -113 at Pinnacle
1* Free Sharp Play on Marist -5½ -113
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Brandon Lee
Feb 22 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Bulls vs Magic
Play on: Bulls +8 -100 at Pinnacle
10* FREE NBA PICK (Bulls +8)
I'll take my chances here with Chicago getting 8-points on the road against the Magic. I could be completely wrong here, but I'm just not buying the Magic being as good as they looked in their 5-game winning streak going into the All-Star break. A stretch in which they outscored their opponents by 22.8 ppg. They only legit win during that run was a road victory at Milwaukee and the Bucks were without Antetokounmpo (rest).
It's now been a full 7 days since Orlando last played and a long break like that is the last thing you want when you are on a roll. Well-rested has certainly not been a good thing for the Magic at home, as they are a mere 3-12 ATS at home over the last 2 seasons when playing 4 or less games in 10 days.
No denying the Bulls are a bottom tier team, but I think this team has some really nice pieces with Markkanen, LaVine and now Otto Porter Jr. It's really not asking a lot for them to keep this competitive and it's not out of the question they win the game. Orlando is just 14-15 at home this season and the Bulls have won 3 of their last 4 trips to the Amway Center. Chicago is also 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road and 11-5 ATS last 16 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Give me the Bulls +8!
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Marc Lawrence
Feb 22 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Wizards vs Hornets
Play on: Hornets -5 -110 at sportsbook
Play - Charlotte Hornets (Game 514).
Edges - Hornets: host in this series is 6-1 ATS; and 15-5-1 ATS in Fridays … Wizards: 12-26-1 ATS on Fridays … With the Hornets off a 38-point loss and playing with same season loss revenge, we recommend a 1* play on Charlotte. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Alex Smart
Feb 22 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Wizards vs Hornets
Play on: Hornets -5 -105 at Pinnacle
Both these teams need wins for a chance at the play offs so Im expecting a spirited game. But it must be noted that the Hornets are 19-9 at home, while the visiting Wizards are 7-23 on the road. With Charlotte expecting to get back previously injured veteran point guard Tony Parker for this tilt they have an edge and my backing in this spot.
WASHINGTON is 0-11 ATS in road games after scoring 120 points or more this season with the average point diff clicking in at -12.8 ppg.( Before the break the Wizards lost 129-120 at Toronto)
WASHINGTON is 7-22 ATS in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The Hornets are 14-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with he every victory coming by 5 points or more.
NBA team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 24-4 L/28 and 7-0 L/7 opportunities with the average margin point differential clicking in at 5.6 ppg.
NBA Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing with 3 or more days are 9-41 SU L/5 seasons for ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average points differential of -8.3 ppg registered.
Play on Charlotte to cover
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Kenny Walker
Feb 22 '19, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | Columbia vs Pennsylvania
Play on: Columbia +9 -109 at GTBets
Free Pick on Columbia
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Hunter Price
Feb 22 '19, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | Columbia vs Pennsylvania
Play on: Pennsylvania -9 -108 at Pinnacle
1* Free Pick on Pennsylvania -9 -108
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Stephen Nover
Feb 22 '19, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Nuggets vs Mavs
Play on: UNDER 219½ -110
After being idle for a week due to the All-Star break, the NBA resumed its season last night. There were six NBA games played Thursday. Of those games, five of the six went Under the total. None of the five Unders were close to going Over the total. So it's reasonable to conclude there is a rust factor. Now Denver and Dallas get back in action. Each team has gone nine days without playing. But there is more than a rust factor that also point to an Under in this matchup. The Nuggets get back guard Gary Harris, who had missed the previous seven games due to a groin injury. Harris is a very good defensive player. So is big man Paul Millsap, who also is back from injury for the Nuggets. Denver gives up 4.2 fewer points per 100 possessions when Harris is on the court, according to research compiled by Basketball-Reference.com. The Mavericks have shaken up their roster making a rebuilding commitment by trading off four of their starters while getting little in return for this season. Dallas is averaging fewer than 103 points per game in its last five games since dealing those players. Dallas been a below-the-radar Under team for a while now with the Under going 15-5-1 in its last 21 games.
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Bobby Conn
Feb 22 '19, 9:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Davidson vs Rhode Island
Play on: Rhode Island +2½ -115 at Bovada
1* Free Play on Rhode Island +2½ -115
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Cappers Club
Feb 22 '19, 9:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Indiana vs Iowa
Play on: Iowa -6½ -108 at Pinnacle
Iowa -6.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Iowa Hawkeyes and the Indiana Hoosiers face off on Friday night andi n this game the value lies with the Hawkeyes.
Don't let the Hoosiers last game where they almost beat the Hawkeyes fool you, this is a team that doesn't even try on the road.
Two games ago against Minneosta they lost by 21 points and I think thatt's about the effort you will get in this game.
Back the Hawkeyes
5* FREE Cappers Club Play on Iowa
Good Luck, Cappers Club
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Jesse Schule
Feb 22 '19, 9:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Davidson vs Rhode Island
Play on: Davidson -1½ -110 at YouWager
This is a Free NCAAB play on Davidson.
The Davidson Wildcats come into Rhode Island as winners of eight of their last 10 overall, and during that span they won three of five road games. They are sitting in second place in the Atlantic 10 with a 10-3 record within the conference. Rhode Island has lost four straight, and has scored an average of just 54.2 points on 33.8 percent shooting over their last five games. During that span they have hit just 15 percent of their three point shot attempts. Fatts Russell scored one point on 0-of-7 shooting in the loss to VCU Tuesday, and he scored just six points on 3-of-13 shooting in a loss to Davidson earlier this season. The Rams scoring leader Jeff Dowtin was 1-of-9 from the field in his last home game.
Take DAV.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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Larry Ness
Feb 22 '19, 9:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Indiana vs Iowa
Play on: Indiana +7 -104 at Pinnacle
My 1* Free Play is on Indiana (9:00 EST).
Indiana comes in desperate for a victory. The Hoosiers are in the 12th spot in the 14-team Big Ten conference right now. Indiana though looked competitive in its 48-46 home loss to No. 15 Purdue last time out. Romeo Langford was a bright spot in a losing cause with 14 points and nine boards.
Note though that while the Hoosiers are only 2-5 vs. ranked opponents this year, their last such victory was a 79-75 OT upset victory at No. 9 MSU back on February 2nd.
I think it’s also relevant to point out that Indiana has won eight of the last ten in this series and three of its last four at Iowa City.
Iowa is three games back of Michigan and Purdue, so a first round bye in the conference tournament is essentially out of the question now anyways for the home side.
The Hawkeyes won two games in a row with last second shots, but the tables were turned in last Tuesday’s 66-65 setback to No. 24 Maryland. Jordan Bohannon had 14 points in a losing cause.
I’ll point out that Indiana is 2-0 ATS in its last two after scoring 65 points or less in three straight games, while Iowa is a poor 6-10 ATS at home this season and just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 off a home loss vs. a conference rival (including 0-2 ATS this year.)
While I wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing the points in a contest which I envision being decided by whichever of these two hungry teams has its hands on the ball last.
Good luck…Larry
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NSA
CBB - Yale under 149
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Vegas Line Crushers
CBB - Yale -9.5
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VegasSI
CBB - Ohio +4.5
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SportsAction365
CBB - Davidson -1
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Gameday Network
NBA - Hornets -5
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PointSpreadReport
CBB - Kent St under 159.5
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InsiderSportsAction
NBA - Pistons -4.5
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Lou Panelli
NBA - Thunder -4.5
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Gerry "Big Cat" Andino
NBA - Pistons -4.5
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VegasSI Platinum Info
Club CBB - Iowa -7
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William E. Stockton
CBB - Davidson -1
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Vincent Pioli
CBB - Wisc Milwaukee +9.5
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Steve "Scoop" Kendall
NBA - Wizards +5
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SCORE
NBA - Pacers -6.5
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East Coast Movers
CBB - Iowa -7
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Tony Campone
CBB - Rider -8.5
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Chicago Sports Group
NBA - Spurs +7.5
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Hollywood Sportsline
CBB - Davidson -1
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VIP Action
NBA - Clippers over 216
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South Beach Sports
NBA - Wizards +5
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Las Vegas Sports Commission
CBB - Marist -6
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NY Players Club
NBA - Nuggets -4.5
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National Consensus Report
CBB - Brown +2
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Michigan Sports
CBB - Ohio +4.5
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Las Vegas Private CEO
Club NBA - Spurs +7.5
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Fred Callahan
CBB - Cornell +7
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Ray Chadwick
They are just 27-32, but in the Eastern Conference that record has the sneaky-good Orlando Magic in the playoff hunt, as they come into the stretch drive just a half-game behind both Detroit and Miami and just 3 games total behind Brooklyn for the 6th seed in the East Standings!
I like the Magic to come out tonight and blow past the Bulls in this Friday night home game.
Chicago did best Memphis right before the All-Star Break, but the Bulls are just 3-7 straight up their last 10 games, and 4-6 against the spread in those 10.
Orlando probably wishes there was not a break, as they went to the break as one of the hottest teams in the league with wins and covers in 5 straight and 7 of their last 8! The lone loss in that span came at Oklahoma City back on February 5th.
The Magic did pick up the road win and cover the last time these teams met back on January 2nd, 112-84 at Chicago, as Orlando has won and covered now in 2 of the first 3 meetings between the teams this season. That includes a 97-91 December win in the lone meeting thus far in Orlando.
This is the biggest impost of the season Orlando will be asked to cover, but based on their recent surge, and also based on the fact they have allowed just 96 points per game to be scored on them during their current 5 game winning streak, while averaging 118.8 points per game during this uptick, I think the choice here tonight is obvious.
Go with Magic continue their hot tear on the other end of the All-Star Break.
Orlando by double-digits.
3* ORLANDO
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Gus Augustine
The Pistons went to the break with a spurt of Over the total games, while the Hawks went to the break with their last few tilts trending on the lower side.
Detroit starts this portion of the season with each of their last 3, and 4 of their last 5 overall landing Over the total, while Atlanta opens the "second half" (not really a half, since there are under 30 games remaining in the season) with Unders in their last pair of games, but this Atlanta team is a team that doesn't play all that much defense, and likes to push the pace and score the points.
The Hawks allow 118.2 points per game for the year, while they score 110.6 points per game on offense. For the year they have landed Over the total 32 times in their 58 games contested thus far, with 7 of their last 11 overall playing Over the total.
The Pistons are a little more offensively-challenged than their opponents, as Detroit only scores 106.6 points per game for the year, while allowing 108.1 points per game to be scored against them. That average though has been trending upwards with Detroit starting out after the break having 110 or more in each of their last 3 games, and 105 points or more in each of their last 5 this season.
This will be the third meeting of the year between these teams from the East, the last one played in Detroit held well Under the total in December, but their meeting in Atlanta in November saw a 124-109 final - and Over - in favor of the Pistons. That moved the Over in series meetings in the ATL to 6-1 Over the last 7.
Atlanta has played Over the total in each of their last 5 Friday night games, and the Over in this series is still at 10-4 Over the last 14 times the teams have met.
I will stick with the Over trends here and look for the Pistons and Hawks to put the round ball in the basket enough times to land this one in the Over column.
2* DETROIT-ATLANTA OVER
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Jack Brayman
This might end up being the best game of the night, I wouldn't want to have much at stake on, as the Utah Jazz and Oklahoma City Thunder figure to be two of the more dangerous teams in the Western Conference playoffs in two months.
But I do have an opinion, so let's play the Thunder minus the points at home.
Yes, the Jazz have won 13 of their last 16 games, but they've also failed to cover nine of 13 against Northwest Division teams. And with the Thunder facing one of the hardest schedules over the final two months, I think Russell Westbrook and company will be ready to open this stretch by making a statement. OKC plays 17 of its last 25 games against teams above .500 - including the first five out of the break.
So to say this team will be focused tonight, in a game the Thunder can clinch the season series - it's a clear understatement. There is lingering animosity, too, as Utah eliminated Oklahoma City in the first round of the playoffs last season.
Westbrook should pick up where he left off, before the break, as he comes into this one with a streak of 10 straight triple-doubles. Over the 10-game span, he is averaging 21.9 points, 13.3 rebounds and 13.5 assists. He'll get plenty of support from his teammates, as the Thunder figure to be healthier than they were heading into the break, with several names expected back.
Oklahoma City has covered four straight meetings and four of the last five meetings at home. And, overall, the home team is on a 23-11 ATS run in this series.
Lay the points here.
4* THUNDER
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Tommy Brunson
My comp play for Friday will be the same as it was on Wednesday, and that is to continue to play the Chicago Blackhawks to play Over the total until this offensive surge comes to an end.
Chicago got off to a 4-1 lead on Wednesday in Detroit, then allowed 3 unanswered before ringing the bell in overtime of a 5-4 win as the Over streak reached 10 in a row for the Blackhawks.
Overall, Chicago is now 17-1 Over the posted price, so you can see why I am putting my coin on another Over in the Windy City this Friday night when the Colorado Avalanche pay them a visit.
The Avs just lit the lamp 7 times in their Wednesday 7-1 home win over the Winnipeg Jets, as they landed Over the total for the 5th time in their last 9 games played.
This will be the third series meeting this year between the teams, the previous pair in December both landing Under the total.
Is there a chance this game could make it 3-for-3 Under the total in the series? I don't believe that is likely since the Blackhawks have scored 4 goals or more in 8 of their last 10 games played.
Until they land Under, you keep your money on the Over line every time Chicago laces them up.
5* COLORADO-CHICAGO OVER
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The Oracle
NBA ORLANDO MAGIC ‑8
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Team Underground
NBA CHARLOTTE HORNETS ‑5
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DONNY ACTION
NHL ANAHEIM DUCKS +230
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Vegas Consultants
NHL CALGARY FLAMES ‑1.5 +115
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Tommy King Wins
NEW YORK KNICKS +6
Golden Lock Sports
UTAH JAZZ +160
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FURBOOKIE
MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS ‑125
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