Saturday 2/16/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Saturday’s NCAAB, NHL & NBA games.
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Iowa -4 over Rutgers
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: SAN DIEGO +15½ over Gonzaga
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Totals4U
Early Saturday's Free Selection: Florida/Alabama under 134 1/2
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Atlantic Sports
Earkly Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Rhode Island - 11
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#1 Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection: Drake Bulldogs - 4 1/2
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: the Drake Bulldogs -5 over Valparaiso
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday: Take MISSISSIPPI ST -1½ over Arkansas
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Valparaiso +5
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Hawkeye Sports
Early Saturday's Free Pick: Marshall - 7 1/2
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Southern Illinois +1
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Arthur Ralph
FREE play SAT: So FLA -1
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: SAN DIEGO +15½ over Gonzaga
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Saturday: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + 2
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Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR SATURDAY - TORONTO/ARIZONA OVER 6
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John Anthony Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection: North Texas Mean Green - 2 1/2
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STEPHEN NOVER
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
LSU vs. Georgia
Georgia+8½ -109
I really like LSU coach Will Wade. I'm not nearly such a fan of Georgia coach Tom Crean. Having said that, though, I'm going to be backing the Bulldogs catching the Tigers in a monster letdown spot. The Tigers had their biggest comeback of the season this past Tuesday - and it came on the road against fifth-ranked Kentucky. The Tigers pulled out the victory on a tip-in at the buzzer. Now, though, LSU has to go back on the road against desperate Georgia and cover nearly a double-digit spread. I don't see it. The Tigers are good, but they've also been fortunate. They've won three overtime SEC games and five of their past six games have been determined by six points or less. The Bulldogs have lost five in a row. The last time, though, the Bulldogs were this big of a 'dog was six games ago. That was at LSU. Georgia was plus 10 1/2 and covered losing, 82-72. The Bulldogs scored 44 points in the paint. Their front line, featuring star big man, Nicolas Claxton, more than held their own. Now Georgia is getting nearly this many points at home while catching LSU in a tough situational spot. The Bulldogs are 6-1-1 ATS the past eight times against the Tigers.
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SCOTT RICKENBACH
NHL | Feb 16, 2019
Red Wings vs. Flyers
Flyers-175
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #2 Saturday Free Pick Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) vs Detroit Red Wings @ 1:05 ET - As long-time followers know, when it comes to my premium picks you are more likely to find me on dogs than favorites and I hardly ever lay big juice. Of course there are a exceptions, but they are few and far between, and the exception to the rule will generally be used as a free pick. That is the case here with the Flyers as they have dropped to a -175 on the money line after being as high as a -205 in some books. This has opened up enough value for a small buy-in here with a red hot Philadelphia team. Not only have the Flyers won 10 of their last 12 games overall as they enter this match-up, series history in their games against the Red Wings also points to the home side here. Philly has won 14 of the last 18 meetings on home ice and, in this series, the home team has won 29 of the last 38 games! The Flyers are riding red hot goalie Carter Hart whom is off his first loss (versus Pittsburgh) in his last 9 starts! In other words, a bounce back is quite likely here! The Red Wings have been playing a little better of late but they've still lost 11 of their past 16 road games. Also, another key angle here is the fact that Detroit has been held to 3 or less goals in 9 straight games! The Red Wings have averaged only 2.4 goals per game during this stretch. Conversely, the Flyers have averaged 3.7 goals per game during their 10-2 run. A combination of too much offense and too much Carter Hart will prove to be the difference for the home side in this one. This is a RARE case where I am willing to LAY the price. Free Pick PHILADELPHIA
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MIKE LUNDIN
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Valparaiso vs. Drake
Drake-4½
The Drake Bulldogs look like a solid home favorite against Valparaiso Crusaders Saturday afternoon.
Drake is 10-2 SU (8-2 ATS) home at Knapp Center on the season and enter this game on a two-game winning streak after picking up a 72-69 win at Southern Illinois as a 5.5-point underdog last time out. They're 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win and 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
Valparaiso on the other hand has lost six of its last seven and fell in OT as a home favorite against Indiana State on Wednesday. The Crusaders are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Drake is averaging 75.9 ppg at home while Valparaiso is scoring just 65.5 ppg on the road. Count on the home team to run away with this one.
Free pick on Drake Bulldogs.
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ROB VINCILETTI
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Nevada vs. Wyoming
Nevada-20½
The NCAAB comp Play is on Nevada. Game 759 at 10:00 eastern. The Wolf pack have won and covered 5 straight and are 8-1 ats in games they win as a road favorite. They are quietly ranked 15th in the RPI Scale and are 6-0 ats after scoring 90 or more, 400 ats vs losing teams and 5-0 ats off any win. Wyoming is a dismal team ranked 322nd the in the RPI and is 0-2 vs teams in the top 50 with both losses by 16+ points. The Cowboys have failed to cover 6 of 7 vs .600 or better teams, 5 of 7 off a spread win and 1-6 ats in games they lose as a home dog. Nevada has revenge from last season and has covered 4 of the last 5 vs Wyoming. With the road team on a 7-1 spread run in the series we will back the Pack. Play on Nevada.
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RAY MONOHAN
NHL | Feb 16, 2019
Predators vs. Golden Knights
Golden Knights-119
Vegas has value as a free play on Saturday.
Vegas took a tough loss to the Maple Leafs on Thursday, but they do matchup well here against Nashville.
Nashville has been inconsistent on the road this season and have struggled on Saturdays this year.
Some trends to note. Golden Knights are 23-6 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Golden Knights are 17-5 in their last 22 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Lay the juice. Back Vegas.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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MARC LAWRENCE
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Auburn vs. Vanderbilt
Play - Vanderbilt (Game 618).
Edges - Commodores: 9-1 SUATS last ten games in this series; and 13-7 ATS as a home dog under Drew ... Tigers: 3-10 SUATS after facing Ole Miss; and 2-5 SUATS before facing Arkansas … We recommend a 1* play on Vanderbilt. Thank you and good luck as always.
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JIMMY BOYD
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
UCLA vs. Stanford
1* Free NCAAB Pick on UCLA Bruins +2.5
UCLA snapped a 3-game losing streak with a win and cover on the road against Cal on Wednesday and I like the value here with the Bruins as a small dog at Utah Saturday. These two teams already played once in LA with UCLA winning 92-70.
The Bruins dominated every bit as much as the final score would lead on, as they shot 52% from the field, while holding the Utes to 37%. Utah has not had much luck revenging defeats where they couldn't stop the opponent from scoring. Utes are 40-65 ATS in their last 105 when revenging a loss where they gave up 75+ and that includes a mere 9-17 ATS mark over the last 3 seasons in this spot.
On top of that, UCLA has really owned this series in terms of covering the number. Bruins are 13-4 ATS over the last 17 meetings. Utah does come in off a nice win and cover against UCS, but are a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 off a win and 0-6 ATS last 6 off a cover. Take UCLA!
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DUSTIN HAWKINS
NHL | Feb 16, 2019
Blues vs. Avalanche
Free Play on Blues +100
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BRODY VAUGHN
NHL | Feb 16, 2019
Maple Leafs vs. Coyotes
Maple Leafs-150
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CHIP CHIRIMBES
Oklahoma State at Texas 1:00 ET
Longhorns (-) over Cowboys
After winning two in-a-row and four straight ATS Texas was put in the favorites roll against Kansas State and realized early that they were in over their heads. This matchup is a little different as Oklahoma State is at the bottom of the Big-12 barrel. Not, only have they lost their last four and seven of their last eight buy they are also just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The head problem here for Texas is that the Longhorns don't seem to be ready for Oklahoma State as they are just 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Still, the 'Boys like their football team pays no defense whereas Shaka Smart makes defense a focus point. Take Chip's plethora of Fab-5 or Triple-Play of NCAA winners for Saturday and don't forget to 'play' on...TEXAS!
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LARRY NESS
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Florida vs. Alabama
Alabama-3 -113
My 1* Free Play is on Alabama (2:00 EST).
Florida comes in off a 66-57 win over Vandy. Previous to that though the Gators had lost three straight. The Tide come in focused though as they had their two game win streak snapped in an 81-62 road loss at Mississippi State on Tuesday.
Despite winning last time out, Florida has scored over 70 points just twice in its last ten games. The Gators have to make up for it on the defensive end, but I think they’ll struggle to keep pace with a hungry 6-5 Alabama team that just couldn’t get anything going in its latest setback.
The silver-lining behind the poor effort though was that the Tide did hit 49.2 percent of their shots, including going 7 of 15 from range.
The Gators may have won straight-up in their last game, but note that they’re 0-6 ATS in their last six following an ATS loss.
Alabama on the other hand is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight at home.
I’m laying the points and expecting a decisive victory.
Good luck…Larry
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HUNTER PRICE
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Utah State vs. Air Force
1* Free Pick on Air Force +9½ -106
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MATT JOSEPHS
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Ohio vs. Central Michigan
Central Michigan-6
Ohio has been a brutal team this season having lost four straight and eight of their last 11. The Bobcats are an awful road squad losing by 20 at Miami-Ohio, 11 at NIU, 23 at Toledo, 19 at Bowling Green, 21 at Xavier and 28 at Purdue. They do have a win at Ball State, but the offense has been terrible and the defense is going to have massive issues. They have scored 60 or less in four straight and six of their last eight. CMU has lost five of their last seven, but four of those were on the road. The Chips beat people up at home when they get the chance. Their offense is too good for the Bobcats. The problem will be their defense, but Ohio's O is so bad. I think the home team is worth a look here.
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GUS AUGUSTINE
After splitting with ACC heavies Duke (a loss at home last Saturday night), and North Carolina (a win on the road on Monday night), I think the Cavaliers will love stepping down the higher rungs of the conference ladder for this home game against the 13-11 Irish of Notre Dame.
Mike Brey's team is playing this game off a home win over Georgia Tech, but Our Lady is just 2-6 straight up their last 8 games in conference play, including a lopsided 82-55 home loss to the Cavaliers back on January 26th as the +12 point home underdog.
That 55 point output is likely where the Irish will land once again today against the best scoring defense in the land, as UVa allows only 54.4 points per game for the season.
The Cavaliers have only lost that one above mentioned home game all year long, as they bring an 11-1 straight up mark in Charlottesville into this afternoon game, and they have covered in 8 of their 12 home dates on the year.
These teams have now met each other 8 times in conference action, and Virginia has won 7 of those 8 meetings, covering in 6 of the 8. In the 3 previous meetings on Virginia hardwood, the Cavs have won all 3, with 2 of those 3 coming by double-digits.
If Notre Dame lost by 27 points at home to Virginia, I am just not convinced they will be able to be much closer today on the road.
That being the case, lay the lumber this afternoon with the Wahoos.
3* VIRGINIA
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TOMMY BRUNSON
Saturday's comp play will be to watch as Kansas not only beats West Virginia, but beats them to a pulp!
Yes, the Jayhawks are playing through injuries, but this is still a Kansas team that is still 19-6 and ranked in the Top-20, and did I happen to mention that Rock Chalk will be looking to avenge a road loss in Morgantown to West Virginia back on January 19th???
Kansas was stunned, 65-64 on the above mentioned night, as KU was listed as the short -4 point favorite in that one and somehow saw their 4 game series winning streak, and 3 game series cover streak come to a rude halt by the Mountaineers.
This has been one of the worst season's in years for Bob Huggins and this dysfunctional West Virginia edition that recently dismissed Esa Ahmad and Wesley Harris for team rules violations. Ahmad was averaging close to 13 points per game, whole Harris was netting close to 8 points per game.
West Virginia has been clocked their last 2 times out, losing by 22 points at home to Texas earlier this week, and by 31 points in their last road game at Texas Tech.
Kansas came up with a huge road overtime win at TCU on Monday night, as they stand now on the verge of yet another 20-win season under Bill Self. The Jayhawks are a perfect 13-0 straight up at home, and they have covered their last pair in conference play at the Allen Fieldhouse.
With a dose of revenge on this afternoon's menu in Lawrence, look for Kansas to come out strong today, and for the traditional "waving of the wheat" to get cranking early in this Big 12 tilt.
Free play on Kansas.
5* KANSAS
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RAY CHADWICK
Your free play for Saturday will the the home underdog Colonels of Eastern Kentucky as they play host to the Ja Morant-led Murray State Racers who just held on for a basket road win at Austin Peay on Thursday night.
That was the Racers 20th win of the season, and it put them a game ahead of the Governors in the Ohio Valley Conference standings. That's good for Murray State, but they are still tied with Belmont for the conference lead, and tonight I feel that they are in a most definite letdown spot on the road against a decent Eastern Kentucky team that has won 8 of their 11 home games this year.
Eastern Kentucky did make good in the first series meeting between the teams, as they lost a 97-85 decision as the +15 point underdog. That cover marked the third straight cover in the dog role for the Colonels in the series. Overall, Eastern Kentucky is 5-1 the past 6, and 7-3 overall the last 10 times the teams have jumped ball.
This is the first meeting in Richmond since January of 2016, and the last time the Racers did play on Eastern's home court they only won by 4 points.
With Murray State off that "drain the well" effort on Thursday in their 73-71 win at Austin Peay, I will look for the Racers to have just enough to get by today, but for the jacked-up-for-a-home-upset Colonels to put a good scare into the Big Dance-seeking Racers.
Take the points on Saturday night with this live dog.
2* EASTERN KENTUCKY
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CAPPERS ACCESS
(CBB)
Michigan
Kansas
Tennessee
Arizona St
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BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Saturday, February 16 is:
NC State +17 over Duke.
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Sports Book Edge
Kevin 'Bubba' Smith
'Railside' Harry MLB Expert
3/4 Cal.Flames/Pit.Penguins Over
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Priority Sports Info
Roy Maddux
#605 North Carolina
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Golden Locks Sports
#651 Florida
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Billy Irish Picks
Billy Irish
Original Pot of Gold Top Play
#2 Philadelphia Flyers
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Winning Colors Pks
TJ Elliot
Football & Basketball specialist
#619/0 Detroit/Wisc.Gr.Bay Over
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Todays Round Robin
Harry Walker
#612 Duke
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Ramon Scott
#631/2 No.Dame/Michigan Under
#667/8 Iowa St/Kansas St Under
#652 Alabama
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Nick Pellegrino
#16 Carolina Hurricanes
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FURBOOKIE
NCAA Basketball STANFORD CARDINAL ‑1
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Team Underground
NCAA Basketball LOUISVILLE CARDINALS ‑4.5
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Roz Wins
Roz's Saturday, February 16, 2019, Free Pick
(701) IOWA VS (702) RUTGERS
Take : Iowa
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Is
Louisville -4½
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, February 16, 2019
CB (751) UCLA VS (752) STANFORD
Take: (752) STANFORD
Reason: Your free play for Saturday, February 16, 2019 is in the college basketball game between UCLA and Stanford. Your free play is on Stanford.
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Saturday, February 16, 2019
(667) IOWA STATE VS (668) KANSAS STATE
Take : Kansas State
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Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 2/16 CBB IOWA UNDER 149
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CHRIS JORDAN
Let's see what this Alliance of American Football is all about, shall we? I'm going to play the Memphis Express catching points from the Arizona Hotshots tonight, as I think this is too big a number to give to Mike Singletary's boys in the home opener.
I know Arizona's offense moved the ball really well against Salt Lake's defense last week, and quarterback John Woldford can be mobile when he's not making accurate throws downfield, but that was last week when there was no gamefilm to study.
Giving Singletary a week to prepare his defense, for a home opener, I don't know if the connection from Wolford to Rashad Ross will be quite that easy.
I know the Birmingham Iron passing game tallied 241 yards against Memphis' secondary, but the Express were missing cornerback Justin Martin, who is slated to play today.
Memphis was shut out last week, 26-0, so it will be eager to put some points on the board, and should correct several mistakes it made in the season-opener.
This one will be closer than the oddsmakers prescribe. Take the home underdog.
1* EXPRESS
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JACK BRAYMAN
A couple of middle-of-the-pack teams out of the Big Sky, and I'm going to go ahead and lay the points with Portland State here, as I think it can score the win and cover at home against the Southern Utah Thunderbirds.
The T-Birds are dangerous at home, but I don't trust them on the road, where they're 4-9 this season, and have failed to cover seven of their last 10.
Southern Utah arrives after an 84-73 loss at Sacramento State, and now must face a hungry Vikings team that has won its last three home games, and is out for revenge.
Portland State went to Cedar City on Jan. 17 and lost 83-69.
Now, with the Vikings looking to move up in the standings and build some momentum down the stretch, before the Big Sky Tournament, this is one of those winnable games they should be able to take.
A win could move Portland State up at least one spot in the standings before visits from Idaho State and Sacramento State next week, as it continues to enjoy a four-game homestand. The Vikings have the potential for significant movement in the standings, which could go a long way with the conference tourney around the corner.
Portland State has played the fewest conference home games (5) of anyone in the Big Sky, so taking advantage of these games is essential. Portland State is 7-4 at home this season, including Thursday's victory over Northern Arizona.
Lay the chalk tonight.
4* PORTLAND STATE
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Bob Harvey Sports
#631/2 Notre Dame/Virgina Under
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Richard Saber
#618 Vanderbilt
#642 Rhode Island
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Nick Pellegrino
#16 Carolina Hurricanes
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Tony Mejia
#630 Texas Tech
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INFO PLAYS
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
UNLV vs. San Jose State
1* Free Play on UNLV -12 -109
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BRANDON LEE
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Washington vs. Washington State
10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Washington St +7.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Cougars as a 7.5-point home dog against their hated in-state rivals. On paper this looks like a complete mismatch, as Washington is 10-1 in the Pac-12 and 19-5 overall, while Washington State is 3-8 in the Pac-12 and 10-14 overall. However, it's the Cougars who come into this one riding a wave of momentum, as they just went on the road and swept a 2-game series at Arizona (69-55) and Arizona State (91-70).
Senior forward Robert Franks is playing out of his mind right now. He's scored 21 or more in 4 straight, including a 34 point performance against Arizona State and 31 at Arizona. While the Washington State is surging, the Huskies tasted defeat for the first time in Pac-12 play last time out, as they fell 75-63 at Arizona State. It's always tough responding after that first loss following a long winning streak and I think it might be tough for the Huskies to give the Cougars their full attention.
Washington State is 10-2 ATS last 12 home games off a road win by 10 or more and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 off an upset win as a road underdog. Give me the Cougars +7.5!
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ALEX SMART
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Xavier vs. Providence
Xavier+5½
Xavier suffered a 64-62 setback against Providence (14-11, 4-8) on Jan. 23 at Cintas Center and will have revenge on board here today in the rematch. Yes Xavier, is a below .500 team with a12-13 overall and 4-8 in the BIG EAST Conference record, and have been in a slump. However ,they did bounce back and snapped a six-game losing streak with a 64-61 overtime win over Creighton at Cintas Center on Wednesday and have some confidence and momentum on their sides entering this game vs a side they matchup well against .
Friars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 1-4 ATS L/5 at home . The underdog is 4-0 L/4 overall meetings.
639 Xavier to cover
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JACK JONES
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Iowa State vs. Kansas State
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Iowa State +3
There are several factors favoring Iowa State over Kansas State in this game. If the Cyclones want to win the Big 12, this is a must-win game for them because the Wildcats are in first place in the conference.
Iowa State is coming off an upset home loss to TCU. That has them in a foul mood, plus they want revenge from blowing a late lead against Kansas State in their first meeting at home and losing on a last-second layup, 58-57. So they certainly won’t be lacking any motivation today.
This is a great scheduling spot for the Cyclones as well. They come in on six days’ rest having last played on Saturday. It will also be just their 2nd game in 12 days. Meanwhile, Kansas State only has three days to prepare, and the Wildcats will be playing their 5th game in 15 days.
Iowa State has actually played its best basketball on the road tis season. The Cyclones are 4-2 SU In their last six true road games with wins at Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Ole Miss and Oklahoma. Their two losses came by just 3 points at Baylor and by 4 at Kansas. Bet Iowa State Saturday.
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JOHN MARTIN
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Notre Dame vs. Virginia
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Notre Dame +17
This certainly has the makings of a flat spot for Virginia. They are coming off back-to-back games against Duke and UNC, their two biggest contenders to win the ACC. And now they play a Notre Dame team that they already beat by 27 a few weeks back. I don’t foresee them being motivated enough to put Notre Dame away by more than 17 points today. The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in home games after winning 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last two seasons. Give me Notre Dame.
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JOSEPH D'AMICO
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2019
Indiana vs. Minnesota
Minnesota-3½ -109
Saturday's FREE NCAAB WINNER: Minnesota.
Game 636.
11:00 am pst.
Minnesota needs a big win here, not just to bounce back from a 4-game slide, but to be considered for a Big Dance shot. What better team to remedy this than Indiana, which has lost 9 of the L10 SU and is riding a 2-9 ATS run. The inside strength of big men, Murphy and Oturu (25.7 PPG, 19.2 RPG combined) will dominate this contest, not giving IU too many 2nd chance options. The Hoosiers are 1-7 ATS the L8 vs. the Big Ten, 3-7 ATS the L10 on the road, and 1-6 ATS the L7 following a SU loss. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you.
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Donny action
nhl arizona coyotes +160
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Lasvegasmoneymachine
NHL SAN JOSE SHARKS ‑1.5 +110
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Monster Sports Picks
NHL SAN JOSE SHARKS ‑1.5 +110
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Tys Terrific Tips
NCAA Basketball KANSAS STATE WILDCATS ‑2.5
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Silver Key Pick for Saturday NCAA Basketball
Over 140 Total Points, Northeastern/COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON (4 et)
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RICH GREEN
Free Top Consensus Pick For Saturday NCAA Basketball
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI -9 over Utep (3 et)
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Marc Lawrence
Saturday Hoops Steam
> Texas Tech: 1-8 $ off BB wins vs. Bears ... Virginia: 8-2 $ vs. Irish ... Providence: 5-0 $ vs. Musketeers ... West Virginia: visitor 3-10 $ Jayhawks series ... Ohio U: 0-5 SUATS vs Chippewas ... UAB: 0-5 $ away vs. Hilltoppers ... Boise St: 5-1 $ at Aztecs ... California: 1-8 $ home with revenge vs. Trojans
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Elite Sports Picks
CBB Stanford PK
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