Saturday 2/9/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Saturday’s NCAAB, NHL & NBA games.
Steve Janus
Feb 09 '19, 1:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Samford vs VMI
Play on: VMI +8
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Stephen Nover
Feb 09 '19, 1:05 PM in 3h
NHL | Kings vs Bruins
Play on: Bruins -1½ +129 at pinnacle
The Kings have won three in a row beating the Rangers, Devils and Flyers all on the road with two of the victories coming by one goal in overtime and in a shootout. This marks LA's fourth road game in six days and comes against a frustrated Bruins squad that lost 4-3 to the Rangers on the road in a shootout Wednesday. The oddsmaker is anticipating a Bruins victory with this huge lay price. I am, too. I believe it's a kill spot for Boston so I'm going to lay 1 1/2 goals and get a plus price rather than put out such heavy juice.
The Kings have lost 10 of the past 13 times when in action for the fourth time in six days. They are just 2-7-1 versus Atlantic Divison opponents while the Bruins are 6-2-2 versus Pacific Division foes. Boston goalie Tuukka Rask has a strong history against the Kings with a 2.18 GAA and .932 save percentage.
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Red Dog Sports
Feb 09 '19, 2:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Angers vs Strasbourg
Play on: Strasbourg +106
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Alex Smart
Feb 09 '19, 2:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Auburn vs LSU
Play on: Auburn +3 -110 at pinnacle
Auburn is on a three-game SEC winning streak all of which came at home and despite of not having played all that well on the road this season, matchup well vs LSU. Hey I know LSU has looked lights out at times, and are looking like one of the best teams in the nation, However, Pearls crew must not be underestimated behind the 8th ranked offensive efficiency in the country, and a group of shooters that can knock down treys in bunches. With that said, Ill take the points with the Auburn.
Auburn has won the L/3 meetings in this series.
Pearl is 16-7 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games as the coach of AUBURN and is 33-15 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick in all games he has coached.
CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (AUBURN) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 100-49 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
625 Auburn to cover
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Larry Ness
Feb 09 '19, 4:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Texas Tech vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma +1 -105 at Bovada
My 1* Free Play is on Oklahoma (4:00 EST).
The 18-5 Texas Tech Red Raiders are in Oklahoma to take on the 15-8 Sooners and I believe that the home side will find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.
TT smashed WVU 81-50 at home on Monday. Oklahoma comes in hungry after its slim 75-74 home loss to No. 17 Iowa State.
The Sooners play with the added incentive of “revenge” as well after falling 66-59 on the road in the first matchup back on January 8th.
Texas Tech averages 70.8 PPG and it concedes 57.4. The Red Raiders’ weakness this year has been at the free throw line where they’re converting just 69.9 percent of their chances. Jarrett Culver leads the team with 17.8 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest.
Oklahoma has in fact lost three straight. Kristian Doolittle led the way with 19 points and nine rebounds in a losing cause last time out.
The Sooners average 72.7 PPG and they concede 68. Christian James leads Oklahoma with 15.8 points per game this season.
I’ll point out as well that Texas Tech is just 1-4 ATS on the road this year and only 3-6 ATS vs. the conference, while Oklahoma is 8-3 ATS at home this season and 5-1 ATS as an underdog.
Consider the hungry home side in this one.
Good luck…Larry
Hunter Price
Feb 09 '19, 4:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | San Diego vs Pepperdine
Play on: San Diego -2
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Bryan Leonard
Feb 09 '19, 8:30 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Nebraska vs Purdue
Play on: Nebraska +10½ -105 at BMaker
749 Nebraska at Purdue
We have one team riding a six game losing streak, against another with a seven game winning streak. If you have followed us for any time you know we are looking to fade the fat and happy team here. Purdue is a team that takes a lot of three pointers, 46% of its shots. But Nebraska defends the arc well, only permitting opponents to take 31.2% of its shots from that area. And the Huskers only permit 31% shooting from downtown when the opposition is successful in getting that shot off. This line is inflated because of how these two teams are trending.
PLAY NEBRASKA
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Marc Lawrence
Feb 09 '19, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Thunder vs Rockets
Play on: Thunder +2 -109 at GTBets
Play - Oklahoma City (Game 531).
Edges - Thunder: 4-1 ATS away in this series with same season loss revenge of 3 or 4 points … Rockets: 3-8 ATS last eleven games overall … With Houston off a 26-point win and the Thunder looking to avenge a 4-point loss here on Christmas Day, we recommend a 1* play on Oklahoma City. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Ray Monohan
Feb 09 '19, 9:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | Pacific vs BYU
Play on: BYU -12 -110 at betonline
BYU
The Cougars worth a flyer here. BYU comes in off an absolutely dominant performance as this team is starting to come together here.
They come in a solid 11-2 at home this season, averaging over 80 points per game. They have dominated on the defensive end too, as they have even found a way to turn defense into offense. Allowing just 68 points against, the Cougars are a team that will pressure you the entire length of the court and not allow anything easy.
Some trends to note. Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Back BYU -12.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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Brad Diamond
Feb 09 '19, 10:00 PM in 12h
NCAA-B | Hawaii vs Cal-Irvine
Play on: Cal-Irvine -7½
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Iowa St -9½ over TCU
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, February 9, 2019
2/09 05:00 PM PT / 8:00 PM ET
CB (737) DEPAUL VS (738) XAVIER
Take: (738) XAVIER
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY: ST JOHNS -7 over Providence
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Totals4U
Early Saturday's Free Selection: Florida/Tennessee under 138 1/2
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Atlantic Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Northern Illinois Huskies - 2 1/2
#1 Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection: Cleveland State Vikings pick 'em
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: the Utah Utes +4 over UCLA
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Is
VCU -2
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday: Take UAB -10 over Charlotte
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Clemson -2
Hawkeye Sports
Early Saturday's Free Pick: New York Islanders - 145
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: S Carolina -1'
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Arthur Ralph
FREE play SAT: Michigan -5
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Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 2/9 CBB ARKANSAS +1 1/2
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: COLORADO +4½ over USC
High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Saturday: Hofstra Pride - 12 1/2
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Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR SATURDAY - CHARLOTTE/ATLANTA UNDER 230
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John Anthony Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection: Miami-Ohio Redhawks - 6 1/2
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Ray Chadwick
No issue laying whatever number needs to be laid tonight in the NBA with Indiana at home against this Cleveland team that just was on court - in another loss - at Washington against the Wizards.
The Cavaliers latest losing streak is now at 3 games in a row, and 21 of 24 overall.
Indiana looks like they have figured out life without Victor Oladipo, as they have shaken off the 4 straight losses immediately following his season-ending knee injury by winning 4 in a row, while covering in 3 of those 4 wins.
The Pacers last pair of wins have come by 42 points over the Lakers, and by 24 points over the Clippers in their most recent game on Thursday night.
Indiana owes Cleveland a little payback too, as the Cavaliers stunned the Pacers, 92-91 back on December 18th on Indy's home floor. Yes, the Pacers did win the last meeting played between the teams in Cleveland in early January, 123-115 as the -9 1/2 point road chalk, but I am sure the now-rolling Pacers would like to put the pedal to the metal tonight and blast the road-weary Cavs.
Overall, the Pacers have won 2 of the 3 season series meetings since being eliminated by a very different looking Cavaliers team last year in the postseason.
This will be Indiana's 3rd in a row of a 6 game homestand, and right now Nate McMillan's team is in a zone.
They may not win by 24 points or 42 points tonight, but this will be a double-digit blasting nonetheless.
Take the home favorite Pacers here on Saturday night.
5* INDIANA
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Chris Jordan
My complimentary winner is on the Kansas Jayhawks, laying the chalk to the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
It's been a rough go for the Jayhawks of late, as they've lost three of four, with all the losses coming on the road. The lone win was a 16-point win over a very talented Texas Tech team at Allen Fieldhouse, where Kansas is 12-0 this season.
The Jayhawks should have no trouble getting up for the Cowboys, who are just 9-13 overall and experiencing a tough conference season, at just 2-7.
Kansas, which has toughed through injuries, was challenged by coach Bill Self after a loss to Kansas State.
The Jayhawks, who are in must-win mode in conference play, haven't forgotten about getting swept by the Cowboys last year - the only Big 12 teamm to accomplish the feat while Self has been in charge - so revenge is in play here, too. Kansas beat the Pokes in the Big 12 tournament, but the regular-season series still carries pride for the 'Hawks.
Oklahoma State has its own problems, as this is a team that was forced to conduct midseason tryouts after several players were dismissed. The Cowboys have struggled offensively of late, scoring just 63.8 points per game in their last five games, five points less than their season average and six less than their average on the road.
The Cowboys have lost five of six overall and 12 of 16 at the window, while the home team has covered eight of 11 in this series.
Lay the chalk, as Kansas is in the right spot for several reasons, and will catch the vulnerable Cowboys during a rough time.
2* KANSAS
Jack Brayman
Virginia Tech is ranked 11th in the natino, and arrives at Littlejohn Coliseum with an 18-4 mark overall, and 7-3 record in ACC play. It has also won four straight games against Clemson, including three in a row on the road in this series.
Yet, it's the Tigers (14-8, 4-5) who are laying three points in this game.
I'm taking the home team here, as I won't doubt the oddsmakers this time around, knowing there has to be a reason the ranked team that looks better on paper is catching points.
Maybe it's because the Hokies have played the last two games without senior guard Justin Robinson, who has been sidelined indefinitely since injuring his left foot at Miami on Jan. 30, or because sophomore P.J. Horne hasn't returned to action since suffering a knee injury on Jan. 19, or that senior forward Chris Clarke has been dismissed from the team for undisclosed reasons, or that freshman forward Landers Nolley will miss the season after failing to gain clearance due to his ACT score.
Who knows? I do know Virginia Tech has problems right now, and Clemson will be ready to pounce.
See, the Tigers are clawing for their postseason life and catch the vulnerable Hokies, who just suffered their first loss in 12 home games this season, when Louisville earned a 72-64 victory at Cassell Coliseum on Monday
Clemson, on the other hand, looks much better than the team that sludged through a 1-5 start in conference play, and is 10-2 at home. The Tigers have won three straight games - with victories against Pitt, Wake Forest and Georgia Tech - and it's because of their stellar defense. We just saw the Tigers hold Wake Forest to 37 points on Sunday, then limit Georgia Tech to 42 points in a 65-42 win on Wednesday night.
Those 79 points were the fewest allowed in back-to-back ACC games in program history. The 23-point win over G-Tech was the fifth-largest in an ACC game in Clemson history.
Trust me, there are plenty of reasons Clemson is laying points, despite the Hokies being the team with the 11th-ranked tag. Lay the points with the Tigers.
3* CLEMSON
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Scott Delaney
A whole gang of Tigers are getting together in Baton Rouge, and I'm on the side of No. 21 LSU with my freebie for Saturday, as I think it'll outlast Auburn in SEC play.
LSU has a deep roster you can count on from game to game, as you never know which player will step up, while the others play supporting roles. There aren't a lot of egos on this team, and that's what makes it so great.
I like what I saw from LSU on Wednesday night, when it rebounded from its first home loss in more than a year. The Tigers rallied from 10 down in the second half to eventually defeat Mississippi State in Starkville, 92-88. It was LSU’s third overtime win - all on the road - while the Tigers won their fifth straight road SEC game.
Naz Reid had 29 points in the win, while Tremont Waters had another big road effort with 26 points. Kavell Bigby-Williams doubled up with 14 points and 13 rebounds.
Now in a tie for second at 8-1 with Kentucky in the SEC, two games ahead of fourth place South Carolina and one game behind undefeated Tennessee, the Tigers need to defeat Auburn at home to sustain momentum and its status near the top of the conference.
Especially since LSU will be on the road all next week, at Kentucky on Tuesday and Georgia next Saturday.
Play LSU laying a cheap number here.
4* LSU
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Gus Augustine
For Saturday, lay the double-digits with Purdue as they play host to a Nebraska team that looks about as lost as lost can be.
Huskers head coach Tim Miles should have been relieved of his duties at the end of last season, but there is no doubt in my mind he will be let go at the end of this season.
Nebraska did endure a key injury to one of their lead weapons when Isaac Copeland went down, but the fact remains, the Cornhuskers were in a tailspin when Copeland was playing, as they head to West Lafayette having lost 6 in a row now and 8 of their last 10 games overall. Against the spread it isn't pretty either, as Nebraska has failed in each of their last 6, and in 8 of their last 9 overall.
Purdue is riding a 7 game winning streak and their only non-cover in that stretch came on Super Bowl Sunday when they allowed a comp lay up in the closing seconds of a 10-point home win over Minnesota as the -11 1/2 point home favorite.
The Boilermakers are 11-0 straight up at home, and have covered in 7 of those 11 home games.
Series numbers show Purdue at 4-1 straight up the last 5 meetings, including all 3 in that stretch at home as straight up "W's", and covers in 2 of those 3 at Mackey Arena/Gene Keady Court.
The Boilers had 4 starters net double-digits in last weekend's win over Minnesota, led of course by Carsen Edwards and his 17 points.
This one should not be close for long.
Play the Boilers minus the points.
2* PURDUE
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Tommy Brunson
Saturday comp play is the Bruins of Belmont in their road game at Morehead State.
Belmont enters Saturday play in a virtual three-way tie with Murray State and Austin Peay for the Ohio Valley Conference lead, as all 3 teams sport 9-2 marks in OVC play.
That being the case, I do not expect Rick Byrd's team to lose their focus against 9-15 Morehead State...even on the road!
The Eagles enter this home game on a 1-3 straight up slide, and are just 1-4 against the spread their last 5 games. For the season, Morehead State has covered only twice in their 8 lined home games, and they will have their hands full with the 18-4 Bruins who have covered 7 of their 10 lined road games for the year.
Among those 18 season wins, Belmont owns a 77-60 home romp over Morehead State on January 10th, covering the impost as the -14 point favorite. That win upped the Bruins series winning streak to 5 in a row, and 7 of 8 overall. More importantly, the Bruins have grabbed the cash in the last pair and in 5 of the last 6 in this series.
Belmont averages 85.7 points per game and they allow 76.8 against. Morehead State comes in with a 71.8 points scored average and they allow 78.7 to be scored against them. Obviously, those numbers do not favor the host. Throw in a +6 rebounds per game more average for the Bruins, and this one should be more money in the bank for the Bruins.
Lay it with Belmont this afternoon in Kentucky.
5* BELMONT
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