Buster Sports
Baltimore at New York
Play: Baltimore +125
We are going to side with the Orioles tonight in what we see is a game that we are getting some nice value and with some plus money on the underdog Orioles. The starting pitchers for tonight's matchup are for the Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (6-4, 2.93 ERA) and he will face the Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (3-4, 3.67 ERA) Bundy has been Baltimore's best starter and he has had the chance to face the Yankees once this year and he held them to 2 runs over 7 innings. Montgomery has pitched well of late for the Yankees but he has had trouble in his starts at Yankee Stadium. He is sporting a 4.13 ERA in 5 starts this year. Really like the value we are getting here as the Orioles are trying to gain on the division leading Yankees. Backing our selection is the fact that the Orioles are 5-1 in Bundy's last 6 starts vs. the American League East and the fact that the Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomery's last 5 starts.
Chip Chirimbes
Royals vs. Padres
Play: Padres -111
Right now, both these clubs are a long way from playoff contention as Kansas City invades San Diego to play the Padres who have lost five straight and have surrendered 45 runs in those five losses. The Royals who are just 9-17 on the road will start Eric Skoglund (1-1, 4.42 ERA) is making just his third big-league start and was tagged for four runs and four hits in two innings in his last start against Detroit.San Diego will start Jhoulys Chacin (4-5, 5.65) who is 2-1 with a 1.36 ERA at home holding hitter to a .157 average at Petco Park.
SCOTT RICKENBACH
White Sox vs. Indians
Play: White Sox +226
Big dog value here! The Indians Corey Kluber was strong in his first start after returning from the disabled list. However, that outing was over a week ago on June 1st. A bad weather game that forced Trevor Bauer out of a start early on June 4th resulted in Bauer again getting the starting nod on June 7th. The result is that Kluber's start got pushed back and this can absolutely throw off the rhythm of a starting pitcher. He hasn't pitched since Thursday of last week. Look for Kluber to struggle here and don't be surprised if the White Sox Miguel Gonzalez comes up with a strong start here. The right-hander is off of a bad outing at Detroit but at least he is on regular rest here and Gonzalez had had allowed 33 hits in the 30 innings spanning his 5 prior starts. The point is that even though Gonzalez had given up some big runs in those starts he truly was victimized by some big hits in those outings. It's not like he was giving up a ton of hits and there is simply way too much line value to pass up on here. Consider also that the big fave Indians have actually lost 5 of their last 7 games and they've actually averaged scoring just 2 runs per game in those 5 defeats! The White Sox have 75 hits in their last 8 games while the Tribe have just 51 hits in their last 7 games. Not only is Cleveland just 2-7 on Fridays this season, they also are a surprising 1-5 this season as a home favorite of -175 to -250 so far this year. Those 4 net losses have cost their backers $9,200 because of the big prices. Look for the Indians to drop to 3-7 this season when they are playing after a day off. Though only a game over .500 in divisional games this season, line value has Chicago at +$5,300 in games versus AL Central opponents this season.
MIKE LUNDIN
Orioles vs. Yankees
Play: Yankees -135
The Baltimore Orioles opened an eight-game road trip with a 6-1 loss at Washington on Thursday to drop to 1-10 in their last 11 away from home. They'll travel to the Bronx to take on the New York Yankees here the next day and my money is on the Bronx Bombers.
Baltimore hands the ball to Dylan Bundy (6-4, 2.93 ERA) who has pitched well this season. He was not particularly sharp his last time out though when he needed 100 pitches to get through just five innings of a 5-2 loss to Boston. The Orioles have lost four of his last five starts.
The Yankees turn to Jordan Montgomery (3-4, 3.67 ERA). The left-hander is coming off six innings of three-hit ball at Toronto to improve to 1-1 with a 1.06 ERA in his last three starts. That includes a 3-2 loss at Baltimore on May 29 (pitching opposite Bundy), and I think Montgomery and the Yankees will get revenge at home this time around.
BRANDON LEE
Orioles vs. Yankees
Play: Yankees -135
I cashed in on the Yankees with my free pick Thursday and I will gladly back New York at home at this price on Friday. I know Baltimore has their best starter on the mound in Dylan Bundy, but he's not nearly as good on the road as he is at home. Bundy has a 2.38 ERA in 7 home starts and a 3.73 ERA in 5 road starts. I also don't like the spot for Baltimore, who are in a rare spot where they have had to travel in back-to-back days, as they played a make-up game at Washington yesterday. We also have a Yankees team that is riding some momentum after taking the final 2 at home against rival Boston and they send out the red-hot Jordan Montgomery, who has a 1.06 ERA in his last 3 starts.
Rocketman
Angels vs. Astros
Play: Astros -1½
The LA Angels travel to Houston to take on the Astros on Friday night. LA Angels are 31-32 SU overall this year while Houston comes in with a 43-18 SU overall record on the season. Brad Peacock is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA overall this year and has a 0.00 ERA at home this season in his one start. Peacock is 3-1 with a 3.62 ERA in his 5 career starts vs the Angels. LA Angels are scoring 3.6 runs per game on the road this year and 3.9 runs per game against right handed starters this season. Houston is 34-11 against right handed starters this season where they are scoring 5.6 runs per game. Houston is scoring 6.4 runs per game their past 7 games overall. Houston is allowing only 3.3 runs per game at home this year, 3.4 runs per game at night this season and 3.3 runs per game against division opponents. Houston is 33-6 last 3 years and 10-1 this year as a home favorite of -175 to -250. Houston is 20-6 against division opponents this year and 31-12 this year against division opponents. We'll recommend a small play on Houston on the Run line tonight!
RAY MONOHAN
Warriors / Cavaliers Over 228.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Golden State Warriors will look to close out the NBA Finals when they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday night, and the over has a ton of value in this one. The last two games of the finals have took on a very quick pace. In game two the two teams combined for 245 points and in game three it was 231. The Cavaliers have the most success when they slow down the pace but they won't be able to do this in game four.
The Warriors just continue to run and the points go higher and higher. Some trends to note. Over is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 overall. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland. I also think this game will be closer, which will drive up the score.
JOHN MARTIN
Athletics vs. Rays
Play: Rays -127
Alex Cobb has been at his best at home this season. He has posted a 3.67 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in four home starts in 2017. Cobb has owned the Oakland A's, going 3-2 with a 2.44 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in seven starts against them. Andrew Triggs has been lit up of late as he's 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in his last three starts. The A's are just 8-20 on the road this season. Oakland is 23-54 in their last 77 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
LARRY WALLACE
Orioles vs. Yankees
Play: Orioles +126
I like Baltimore in this match-up against the Yankees. Bundy has been solid this year 6-4 record with a 2.93 ERA. Montgomery is 3-4 this year with a 3.67 ERA. Baltimore is 5-1 in their last 6 starts with Bundy on the mound against the AL East. The Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.
JIMMY BOYD
Detroit vs. Boston
Play Boston -127
I like the value here with Boston in what I feel is a big spot for the Red Sox, as they look to bounce back after losing the final 2 games in their most recent series against the rival Yankees. Boston should also get a boost here in their first home game after a lengthy 10-game road trip. Red Sox have won 5 of 6 at home and are 12-4 in their last 16 home games against a team with a losing record. It's also worth noting that Boston lost 11-4 to New York yesterday, which puts them in a great spot, as they are an impressive 25-7 in their last 32 home games after a loss by 4 runs or more.
I also think the pitching matchup favors the Red Sox in this one. They will send out Brian Johnson, who has really thrown the ball well in two previous spot starts, posting a 2.57 ERA and 1.071 WHIP over 14 innings of work. The last one of those was at home against Seattle, where he threw a 5-hit complete game shutout. Detroit is countering with Jordan Zimmermann, who has a 5.98 ERA and 1.573 WHIP in 11 starts and 0-3 with a 7.07 ERA in 5 road outings. Zimmermann pitched well in his last outing, but Detroit is a mere 1-5 in his last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his previous outing.
DOC'S SPORTS
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
Play: Mariners +113
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Safeco Field on Friday, June 9, 2017 to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Joe Biagini for the Blue Jays and Sam Gaviglio for the Mariners.
The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +104 and Seattle at -114. The Blue Jays have a 28-28-4 over/under record and a 27-33-0 run line mark. The Mariners are 29-31-0 against the run line and have a 30-28-2 over/under record.
Valuable Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 28-28-4 against the over/under
The Toronto Blue Jays are 27-33-0 against the run line
Important Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 30-28-2 against the over/under
The Seattle Mariners are 29-31-0 against the run line
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Blue Jays have a 29-31 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Joe Biagini has a 1-4 record with an earned run average of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.02. He has 43 strikeouts over his 49 innings pitched and he's given up 40 hits. He allows 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 183 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen and they've struck out 244 hitters and walked 78 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 513 base hits and 252 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 199 batters and struck out 541. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.09.
Hitting Statistics
As a team Toronto is hitting .243, good for 22nd in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Kevin Pillar is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .328. He has 63 hits this season in 234 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .440 and an OPS+ of 104. Jose Bautista is hitting .228 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 50 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 219 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .406. The Blue Jays have 493 hits, including 92 doubles and 83 home runs. Toronto has walked 186 times so far this season and they have struck out 468 times as a unit. They have left 381 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 260 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Seattle has a 30-30 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.13, Sam Gaviglio has a 2-1 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 14 strikeouts over the 23 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 21 hits. He allows 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.45. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 191 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 190 batters and walked 74 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 521 base knocks and 268 earned runs this season. They have given up 84 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 186 hitters and struck out 434 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.62.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 8th in the league. The Mariners hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .282 with an OBP of .346. He has 55 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 195 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .503 with an OPS+ of 128. Nelson Cruz is hitting .299 this season and he has an OBP of .383. He has collected 59 hits in 197 at bats while driving in 46 runs. He has an OPS+ of 154 and a slugging percentage of .563. The Mariners as a unit have 533 base hits, including 101 doubles and 65 homers. Seattle has walked 210 times this year and they have struck out on 464 occasions. They have had 414 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They have scored 4.78 runs per game and totaled 287 runs this season.
JACK JONES
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
Play: Mariners +113
The Seattle Mariners are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now as they are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall. They continue to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers here today as home underdogs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Sam Gaviglio has been solid this season, going 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in four starts, including 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.800 WHIP in two home starts. He'll be opposed by Joe Biagini, who is 0-1 with a 5.84 ERA in three road starts for the Blue Jays.
Seattle is 15-5 (+12.0 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last two seasons. The Mariners are 19-11 at home this season. Seattle is 7-3 in its last 10 home meetings with Toronto.
TONY STOFFO
Minnesota at San Francisco
Play: San Francisco -117
Minnesota allowed a total of 18 runs in back-to-back losses to Seattle before holding on for a 2-1 victory on Thursday. The Twins turn to RH Ervin Santana who is off his worst start of the season last Saturday against the Angels, allowing seven runs on seven hits over four innings. The Twins are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague road games and 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in San Francisco.
San Francisco returns home after completing a 3-4 road trip and counter with LH Matt Moore who is 2-2 with a 2.57 ERA in five starts at AT&T Park. The Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
DAVE PRICE
Detroit vs. Boston
Play Boston -131
Boston was embarrassed by the Yankees the past two days in getting outscored a combined 17-1. Look for the Red Sox to return home form their 10-game road trip hungry for a victory tonight. The Red Sox are 17-10 at home this season, while the Tigers are just 13-18 on the road. And now the Red Sox should tee off on Jordan Zimmerman, who is 5-4 with a 5.98 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 11 start this year, including 0-3 with a 7.07 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 5 road starts. Brian Johnson is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in his 2 starts for the Red Sox this season. Zimmerman gave up 8 runs in 2 1/3 innings of a 4-9 loss to the Red Sox in his last start at Fenway Park. The Tigers are 0-6 in Zimmerman's last 6 road starts.
TONY KARPINSKI
Cincinnati vs. Los Angeles
Play: Los Angeles -185
After a relatively slow start, the 35 -year-old Adrian Gonzalez has picked things up at the plate, batting .280 with 7 hits and 3 RBI over his last 7 days. The Dodgers have been batting pretty decently with a .253 avg as a team. With another recent lousy poor performance, Cincinnati continues to owns a lackluster 4.93 ERA, which is verification to just how lame they have been this season. Cincinnati has only 1 pitcher on the year that is worth the time - and this isn't the pitcher worth the time. This is a pitcher friendly ballpark and I say the Dodgers get an easy win on Friday night.