Brad Diamond
Arizona -150
Dodgers coming in 33-31 after a 2-1 loss to San Francisco last night. Arizona 27-37 shows after defeating Miami 6-0 at home. The Dodgers use RHP Bolsinger (1-3, 5.75) with an 0-2 mark and a 4.82 ERA on the road. Last time out he was touched up by Colorado in 5-1/3 for 7 hits and 6 runs. Bolsinger last pitched against LA in 2015 losing to the Dodgers 9-5 after surrendering 3 runs in 3-2/3 innings of work. Greinke (8-3, 3.84) goes for the Snakes. He threw a solid 9 innings most recently holding Tampa Bay to just 3 hits, no earned runs. He has a super 3-0 record and a 1.64 ERA last three mound showings. In his career he carries a 2-0 mark with a 2.52 ERA vs. LA. With the hurler throwing Arizona has won 5 straight games and 6-1 off a quality start. The Dodgers are 1-6 with Bolsinger in his last 7 starts. With the Dodgers hitting a lackluster .189 during June we'll back Arizona tonight.
Harry Bondi
MIAMI +105 over San Diego
Easy to go against the Padres here, as they send Colin Rea and his 5.71 ERA in his last three starts to the hill to go along with a bullpen that's posted a collective 4.98 ERA at home. San Diego is also just 1-9 in its last 10 games against winning teams and we expect its struggling offense to continue to sputter in their first look at Marlins starter Wei-Yin Chen, who has pitched much better than his record/stats show. Lay the short price with Miami.
Bruce Marshall
Cubs +116
This is a pretty darned good price on the Cubs, now 43-18 after scoring 13 runs on Sunday in Atlanta. The last time Joe Maddon's team faced Max Scherzer, it ripped him on May 6 at Wrigley Field, scoring seven runs on as many hits (including four homers) in just 5 innings of an eventual 7-4 win. Nothing wrong with recent efforts from the Cubs' Kyle Hendricks, whose ERA is now a solid 2.90.
Bob Balfe
Cavs +5.5
Draymond Green is a huge loss for the Warriors tonight. The Cavs usually are going to have the rebounding edge in this matchup, but with Green out I would not be shocked if Cleveland is plus 20 on the boards tonight. More rebounds means more shots which means more points. The Cavs needs to make their foul shots. I think this is a great spot for a money line play with Cleveland.
Tigers -110
The White Sox have been bad and James Shield has been horrific. Chicago has not faced much left handed pitching this year and on top of that have not hit it well when they have. Detroit is playing well and I just don’t like the make up of this White Sox team this year. I feel a coaching change coming around the all star break.
Vegas Butcher
Cincinnati Reds -108
I don’t know what we’ll see out of Wright today, a young pitcher who is making his 4th appearance for the Reds. He has a 7.2 ERA so far in about 10 innings of work, but those outings came @ LAD, @ COL, and vs WAS, some of the hotter offenses in the league. Today he’ll face one of the worst in ATL. What I do know is that he’ll be opposed by the worst starting pitcher in my database, as Blair ranks 160th overall. Cincy’s offense has been above average the last 30-days and I expect Reds’ advantages offensively to carry over in this game.
Detroit Tigers -107
Boyd is facing this White Sox offense for the very first time in his career. Chicago ranks dead-last in the last 30-days and 27th overall on the season. Tigers are 4th in the last 30 and 9th overall. Facing Shields, this could be another huge day for Detroit offense. Just a large offensive mismatch in this one.
Minnesota Twins +113
Nolasco has quietly been a top-50 pitcher this season. He’s coming off a rough outing but I’d expect a bounce back here, given the fact that his 3.8 SIERA is significantly lower than his 5.2 ERA. Opposite him is Weaver, whose 5.6 ERA actually is in line with his 5.2 SIERA. This is my 152nd ranked starter in the league. Minnesota’s bullpen has improved (8th the last 30-days) as well as their offense (14th the last 30-days), and they have a stronger starter on the mound. Lots of value here.