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Free Picks: Free Service Plays for Saturday, April 30

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Bruce Marshall

TB Rays -120

If Chris Archer has rediscovered his form as his last start suggested vs. the Orioles, the Rays are good value tonight at The Trop. Archer pitched by far his best game of 2016, blanking the Birds thru 6 2/3 IP, and importantly not issuing a walk after control problems in previous starts. He'll have to pitch well to outduel Toronto's JA Happ, who has a 2.42 ERA in April.

 
Posted : April 30, 2016 1:54 pm
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Greg Shaker

Tigers / Twins Under 8.5

Lot's of reasons to play the UNDER here and not limited to a good weather pattern for the pitchers. The Tigers Pen actually performing well right now is a Bonus as well. I would actually play 2% at 8 but the extra 1/2 run makes this a super easy choice for us.

Nationals / Cardinals Under 7.5

The fact that the Nats have the ability to hit southpaws is a concern as well as the weather which could see some rain and perhaps screw-up the starting pitching but not enough to play this 7.5 number. Good starting pitching, good bullpens, Garcia has good numbers verses the Nats. He has been an UNDER machine at this park at 12-3-1 and the Nats hitting skills have not been as good when they travel. Lean to the Cards to win this one but the total IMO the best play here.

A's

The only thing scary about this game is the betting line itself because it's just simply low for this match-up but Bettors keep betting the Astros anyway. Perhaps it's the starting pitching which has a reliever Devenski verses Hahn the former MLB Thrower back up from AAA Ball. We see the advantage for Hahn easily here and even if Devenski throws well he won't go deep into the game and Houston's Pen is Shot and not performing. Let's lay it.

 
Posted : April 30, 2016 1:55 pm
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Dwayne Bryant

Thunder at Spurs
Play: Under 201

The Spurs are the #1 team in the NBA in terms of Defensive Efficiency. They are also tied for fourth slowest pace of play in the league. Home teams tend to dictate the tempo, so I expect a slow-paced game in San Antonio tonight. The Spurs will get stops, and the Thunder will have no choice but to get some of their own if they want to have any chance of winning this matchup. Combining a slow pace with solid defense should result in a game that goes UNDER the posted total.

 
Posted : April 30, 2016 2:03 pm
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OC Dooley

Rays -125

The “intangible” surrounds the size of the crowd as small-market Tampa in general plays in front of empty seats EXCEPT on Saturday evening’s where the club is aggressive in marketing such as holding postgame concerts. Tonight is the right time for fans to show up as Tampa ace Chris Archer finally snapped a personal 0-4 slump by WINNING a 2-0 decision at home back on Monday where his ratio (10 strikeouts versus “zero” walks) was perfect while his change-up for the first time this campaign successfully complimented an already blazing fastball. A host of Toronto sluggers including reigning league most valuable player Josh Donaldson (3-for-20) along with Jose Bautista (5-for-34) and Edwin Encarnacion (6-for-39) have struggled when facing Archer which is good news for the offensively-challenged Rays who have crossed the plate just twice in the last couple of games combined. On the mound for Toronto is JA Happ who gave up a season HIGH “run count” last time om the mound which is also a positive for the Tampa offense. On the entire season to date after consecutive games where the defense did not commit a single error Toronto (0-7) has actually been a disaster for investors and I am looking for that continue early this evening

 
Posted : April 30, 2016 3:36 pm
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