Chris Jordan
I hit the Cincinnati Reds the last two nights with my free play, as I told you after losing a marathon on national television on Sunday night in Chicago against the Cubs, that the St. Louis Cardinals didn't get to go home. Instead they traveled to Cincinnati for the first time this season, and had to start another rivalry series.
That was trouble.
My free pick for Wednesday is on the underdog Reds, as they're going to take advantage of the reeling Redbirds, who are mired in a five-game slide.
Heading into this series, over the previous 11 meetings, starting last September with a 9-1 Reds win, the teams had alternated victories. And with St. Louis hosting the Reds for two series earlier this season, I think Cincinnati caught the Cardinals at a good time.
I know the Reds have lost five of their past eight games, but that just means they're even more hungry, and can satisfy their hunger with another win over a division rival.
I'm going to play Cincy in this one.
2* REDS
Jeff Benton
Wednesday's comp play is the Phillies to continue to feast on the Braves.
Philadelphia has enjoyed facing their division-rival this season, as the Phils have won ALL 5 series meetings against the Braves this season, and tonight I look for them to make it a perfect 6-for-6 in the season series with the win tonight at Sun Trust Park.
Philly has won their last 4 games, while Atlanta is on a 4-9 slide their last 13 games played.
Jerad Eickhoff will once again gun for his first win of the season, as he brings in an 0-6 mark with the Phillies just 2-9 in the games he has started this season. The way Philadelphia has been rolling against Atlanta, let's look for tonight to be the night that Eickhoff gets his first win of the campaign.
Mike Foltyniewicz will counter and has been pitching well, but the Braves haven't exactly been backing their pitchers with the runs needed to consistently win ballgames.
I say back the Phils.
2* PHILADELPHIA
Eric Schroeder
My free play is on the Chicago Cubs on the Run Line, against the Miami Marlins.
In the series-opener of a battle between suddenly hot teams, the Chicago Cubs got the best of the Miami Marlins thanks to the bat of Kris Bryant. Last night I told you there would be much more than Bryant's bat to the win, which is why I took the streaking Cubbies on the Run Line in their continued battle with the Fish at Wrigley Field. Sure enough, the Cubbies blasted Miami, 10-2.
Tonight my free play is on the Cubbies again, as momentum is in Chicago's favor, after the way it pulled out its third straight victory during this streak, against the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday.
I think the defending World Series champs are poised for a huge run before the All-Star Break. The Cubs have responded from a horrendous road trip, and are playing exceptional baseball at home.
First a three-game sweep over the Cardinals, and now the Marlins could face the same result, as the Cubs are seeking their sicth straight win and ninth straight home win.
The Cubs are 19-11 at Wrigley, they're catching the Marlins (no pun intended) with a 10-17 road mark, and that coould be trouble as the Cubs' pitching staff is improving. While Chicago pitchers have a 3.97 ERA - 7th best in the league - they also sport the No. 5 bullpen with a 3.06 ERA.
That said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by betting the game over again in the event that takes place.
1* CUBS -1.5
Jack Brayman
My free play for Wednesday night is on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Chicago White Sox. There is no line as of 1 a.m. eastern, but I don't expect the line to be too big, while we could very well catch a small dog price.
Both teams enjoyed a day off on Monday, after tough stretches, and the Rays responded with a loss in the series-opener at home last night. The White Sox, on the other hand, are still on a treacherous road trip and are mired in a 1-5 slide, despite last night's win over Rays-ace Chris Archer.
The White Sox are just half game away from last place in the AL Central, and I believe will continue to struggle. Tonight the Rays hand the ball to Jacob Faria, who makes his MLB debut. He's ranked ninth in the organization, and the 23-year-old right-hander is 6-1 with a 3.07 ERA in 11 starts for Triple-A Durham.
I think he'll bring his best stuff and baffle the troubled South Siders.
Take Tampa Bay tonight, and list Faria only.
4* TAMPA BAY
BRANDON LEE
Blue Jays/A's Under 9
When you look at the overall numbers of both of these starters, the first thing you are going to to think is a high-scoroing game. Francisco Liriano for the Blue Jays has a 5.94 ERA in 8 starts with a 9.65 ERA in 3 road starts. Jharel Cotton for the A's has a 5.11 ERA in 9 starts and 8.28 ERA at home. The thing is, both of these guys just recently returned to the rotation. Liriano is back from the DL and Cotton was sent down to the minors. Both have been sharp since returning and I think with the game being played in pitcher-friendly Oakland Coliseum, we are gettting great value here with this high total.
JOHN MARTIN
Angels vs. Tigers
Play: Tigers -130
The Detroit Tigers should be bigger favorites today at home against the Mike Trout-less Los Angeles Angels. Buck Farmer was brilliant in his first and only start this season, pitching 6 1/3 shutout innings while striking out 11. Farmer will be great again without having to face Trout tonight. Alex Meyer has been awful on the road for the Angels, going 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in three starts. The Angels are hitting .220 and scoring 3.5 runs/game on the road this season, while the Tigers are hitting .278 and scoring 5.7 runs/game at home. The Angels are 22-45 in their last 67 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
JACK JONES
Marlins vs. Cubs
Play: Cubs -1.5
The Chicago Cubs have turned it around of late with five straight victories. They hung a 10-spot on the Marlins yesterday and should stay red hot at the plate here Wednesday to win by multiple runs over Miami.
Now they get to feast on Jose Urena, who is 3-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in six starts this season. Urena has really struggled of late with an 8.16 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in his last three starts. He has allowed 13 earned runs and five homers in 14 innings of work during this stretch.
John Lackey has been far from his dominant self this season, but he should be able to handle a weak Marlins lineup that has gone just 10-17 in road games this year. And Lackey is coming off one of his best starts of the year in which he allowed just two runs and six base runners in 7 innings of a 3-2 win over St. Louis.
The Marlins are 1-9 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Miami is 1-5 in Urena's last six starts vs. NL Central opponents. The Cubs are 52-22 in their last 74 home games. Chicago is 6-1 in Lackey's last seven starts vs. a team with a losing record.
DAVE PRICE
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
Play: Diamondbacks -1½
The Arizona Diamondbacks won 10-2 at home over the Padres yesterday and a similar beat down can be expected here Wednesday night due to the pitching advantage for the home squad. Ace Zack Greinke gets the ball and is 7-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 12 starts, including 5-0 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 7 home starts. He'll be opposed by Luis Perdomo, who is 0-2 with a 5.01 ERA in 9 starts, and 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 outings. One of those was against Arizona on May 20th in which Perdomo allowed 8 runs and 12 base runners in 3 innings of a 1-9 loss. Greinke has been lights out against the Padres, going 9-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 18 lifetime starts against them.
MIKE ANTHONY
Twins vs. Mariners
Play: Twins +109
Minnesota just hasn't made any really costly mistakes. Miguel Sano has been rock solid at 3B and a stout .408 OBP - which has resulted in the Twins letting him swing at everything he sees so far, during this 2017 campaign. Mejia also remains a solid pitching option on the mound with a 3.95 ERA. Jarrod Dyson is having a mediocre season thus far, for Seattle. Knocking around balls at just .229 avg. Seattle is beginning to fall apart at the seams, falling further and further back in their division. While the Minnesota - Seattle rivalry has been falling into a less climactic sideshow, Seattle will fall short, yet again. Take the TWINS on Wednesday night$
SPORTS WAGERS
MILWAUKEE -1½ +160 over San Francisco
The Brewers scored five early runs yesterday on Matt Cain but probably should have scored another three or four more. We’re on record as saying the Crew was sold short last night and they’re being sold short again here. It’s either a case of the market not believing in what the Brewers are doing and/or giving the Giants far too much credit. Either way, we’ll look to take advantage of the market’s perception of this matchup.
We’ve been fading Ty Blach all season and we’re not about to ease up here. Blach's biggest shortcoming is pretty clear. He simply does not strike out enough batters and that really limits his upside. His early MLB K-rate and swing and miss results are highly discouraging and his minor league numbers don't offer much hope either. This is a stiff with 23 K’s in 58 innings, which is the second worst strikeout rate in the game among qualified starters. Blach is averaging 3.5 K’s/9, which is wretched considering he’ll usually face three pitchers a game. He’s always at the mercy of BABIP and strand percentage fluctuations. Much like Matt Cain, Blach has been aided by AT&T Park. On the road, also like Cain, it’s an entirely different story where in 22.1 innings, Blach has allowed 28 hits and 16 runs for an ERA of 5.64. He has 8 K’s in those 22.1 road innings. Blach is currently filling in for the injured Madison Bumgarner but given how poor his underlying skills have been, there's no guarantee he'll be able to stick in the rotation for the duration of Bumgarner's stay on the DL. He’s the type of pitcher that you might think could use more time in the minors, but at 26, he's already logged 328 IP at Triple-A. What you see is what you get and it’s not pretty.
It might surprise you to learn that Jimmy Nelson found himself among the top-10 most skilled starters during the month of May: 10.1 K’s/9, 2.3 BB’s/9 and 48% grounders. Those marks were backed by this trifecta of supporting skills too: 11.3% swing and miss rate, 66% first-pitch strike rate and 32% ball%. Nelson has a strong 16/65 BB/K split in 64 innings. In his last start, Nelson was throwing 95 MPH and his swing and miss rate was 18%. Over his last five starts, he’s whiffed 40 batters in 33 innings. This dude is dialed in with an outstanding 3.32 xERA and we’re thrilled to get the Crew again at a reduced price to beat these pitiful Giants.
Washington +153 over LOS ANGELES
We’re not going to go into a lot of detail regarding Clayton Kershaw because everyone knows how good he is and what he brings to the table. Clayton Kershaw is without question one of the greatest pitchers in the game and perhaps one of the greatest of all time. He’s also very likeable. Kershaw is so likeable that it’s hard not to root for him but we’re not in the popularity business. We’re in the value business and in that regard, Washington must be played because a price like this comes along very rarely on a pitcher of Stephen Strasburg’s caliber. Furthermore, the total here is just 6½, which strongly suggests that two or three runs might be all it takes to emerge victorious and the Nationals own the superior offense here.
Kershaw and Strasburg virtually have identical records and numbers. They have both been virtually unhittable for much of year and now they’ll go head-to-head. What we know for sure is that Strasburg is pitching better right now than ever before. At the end of the day, it comes down to the same thing. Getting Stephen Strasburg and the Nats at this price is too good to pass up on, period.
COLORADO -1½ +215 over Cleveland
We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing the remainder of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long.
Year to date:
12-14 + 21.10 units
SPORTS WAGERS
FedEx St. Jude Classic
As tests of pure ball-striking go, TPC Southwind is right up there with the best of them. This Bermudagrass set-up features the unholy duo of tight fairways and smaller-than-average greens, and to make matters worse, these are super-fast as well. The difference between an uphill and a downhill putt is stark. Thus, accurate striking and course management is key, as is the ability to make the most of Par 4s: Southwind is a Par 70 measuring 7,244 yards with just two Par 5s to take advantage of.
Built on the site of an old dairy farm in Memphis, former US Open champions Fuzzy Zoeller and Hubert Green joined forces with Ron Pritchard on design duties, although a 2004 redesign changed the nature of the track. Trees were removed and the Bentgrass was replaced by Bermuda for a test more in keeping with the hot conditions. Even so, hazards remain – Southwind navigates its way past naturally-formed streams, lakes and ponds, and the rough is kept deliberately long in an attempt to simulate US Open style toughness.
Minimizing mistakes is obviously crucial to winning golf tournaments – that’s a given, but at certain courses where birdie chances are at a premium (there’s only two Par 5s at Southwind) avoiding bogeys or worse is essential. A year ago, Daniel Berger (last year’s winner) bogeyed just six of the 72 holes he played – or, in other words, just 8%. He only recorded birdie or better at 28%, so that speaks volumes of the kind of player we’re looking for this week. Generally speaking, one can keep the ball on a string or whack it miles and scramble well, but the key point is finding lots of greens in regulation and making putting easier with clever approach play that leaves uphill putts that are a lot slower against the grain……that’s s the shortcut to success in Memphis.
A week shy of the second major of the year, it’s not a big surprise to see a relatively sparse field make the trip to Memphis, Tennessee this week. The early suggestion is that Erin Hills will provide a beastly test for those in the field and perhaps the elite of world golf can be forgiven for working on their game behind closed doors ahead of the year’s second major. Due to the absence of so many great players, this is one of our favorite betting events of the year. Hopefully one or more of the following will be in the mix on Sunday.
Unless otherwise stated, the following bets to win outright will be placed at Bet365 because of their cash-out option during the event. Unless otherwise stated, the head-to-head match-ups will be bet at
Chad Campbell 125-1
The perennial ‘sleeper’ when conditions suit, Chad Campbell can deliver a fine performance for anyone in search of a great value play. He’s seven-for-seven at Southwind, with a T8 in 2015 and a T3 in 2012 the obvious standouts and once again he has had a fine season at shorter tracks where careful course management is key. T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T11 at Valspar, T13 at Byron Nelson, and T13 at the RSM Classic have all come in this term and lest we forget those are all played at courses of below 7,400 yards (this course is 7,244 yards). So the upshot is get Campbell on a shorter track and he invariably comes up with the goods. Whether you focus on his performance this season or his record at TPC Southwind, both hit the center of the fairway when it comes to the kind of workmanlike expectation he's established throughout his career and this is as good a spot as any for him. The price is sweet too (Risking 0.2 units to win 25 units).
Head-to-head matchup:
There are no head-to-head match-ups for Campbell so we’re going to insert an unrelated one here. The bet is Luke List to finish ahead of Nick Watley:
List has missed five cuts from his last six starts but when he’s on song, there’s few birdie merchants as reliable as he. List ranks 13th on Tour for Birdie Average and so if he can just make the weekend, we’re very confident this bet will cash. He is a monster off the tee – not the most accurate as a result, but he still finds 68% of greens which suggests his powers of redemption are excellent.
L. List +101 over N. Watley (risking 1 unit to win 1.01 units).
D.A. Points 175-1
Make no mistake, the Puerto Rico Open is a second grade PGA TOUR event but it still takes some winning regardless. D.A. Points’ return of -20 was an outstanding effort. He very rarely features on leaderboards of top-tier Tour events because he is so short off the tee with an average drive of 272 yards. However, this is a three-time PGA TOUR winner who is super accurate off the tee, and he finished T18 on his last trip to TPC Southwind 12 months ago. That combination of factors makes him an outside bet for success this week and when the field is this wide open, we could do a lot worse Points ranks 4th ON TOUR in Approaches from 50-125 yards, 25th ON TOUR in Greens in Regulation and 33rd ON TOUR in Driving Accuracy (risking 0.2 units to win 35 units)
Head-to-head matchup:
There are no head-to-head match-ups for D.A. Points so we’re going to insert another unrelated one here. The bet is Sy Noh to finish ahead of William McGirt
In his title defense at Muirfield Village last week, McGirt finished T67. He closed with an 83 but started the final round outside the top 25, anyway. Now poised for his sixth appearance at TPC Southwind where he owns a pedestrian record (2-for-5 with one top 30), it is advised to wait him out for a site where his horse-for-a-course value exists. This isn’t it, thus this is more a fade on McGirt. #7029 S. Noh +129 over W. McGirt (Risking 1 unit to win 1.29 units)
Brandon Hagy 160-1
One day soon, Brandon Hagy is going to open up some eyes. The 26-year-old Web.com Tour Finals grad is a first-time member of the PGA TOUR but he's not technically a rookie because he made eight starts in 2014-15. He's also not necessarily struggling like one. Currently 130th in the FedExCup standings, the Californian is 11-for-16 with a trio of top 25s this season. His most recent came in his last start, a T18 at the Wells Fargo Championship where he either matched or improved on his previous score in every round. Stupid long off the tee despite an average frame, a slight tweak to improve his accuracy would make him a threat almost every week. Hagy ranks 4th ON TOUR in driving distance (309.5), 2nd ON TOUR in Club Head Speed and 22nd on TOUR in Sand Save percentage. Hagy just missed qualifying for the U.S. Open, thus he figures to be super focused here on the task at hand while many others will be looking ahead Hagy is looking at a busy summer. He said he will be traveling and playing for several months without a break (risking 0.2 units to win 32 units).
Head-to-head matchup:
There are no head-to-head match-ups for Brandon Hagy so we’re going to insert another unrelated one here.
The bet is K. Stanley to finish ahead of Ryan Palmer
This one is interesting to say the least but it’s our KEY MATCHUP of the event and thus, we’re playing it to win 2 units.
What sticks out to us is that Pinnacle Sports has no head-to-head match-ups available for Ryan Palmer. That’s telling considering that Palmer is only 40-1 and the 12th shortest price on the board. That’s curious so it prompted us to delve a little deeper. As it turns out, Palmer still has a chance to play in the U.S. Open next week as the first alternate from the U.S. Open sectional qualifier Monday and Tuesday at Lakewood Country Club in Dallas. Palmer tied for fourth place — the top three automatically qualify — shooting 7-under and won a playoff for the first alternate spot over Edward Loar and Alvaro Ortiz. Thus, Palmer is waiting (anticipating) a spot in the US open. He’s 40 years old and is coming off a +10 over at the Dean & DeLuca. He’s not in good form at all and also had to play Monday and Tuesday for a chance to qualify for next week’s major event. Perhaps most telling in relation to this bet is that Pinnacle Sports (the sharpest book in the land) has Kyle Stanley -151 to beat Bill Horschel. At Bet 365, we get Stanley as a -138 favorite to beat Palmer and we couldn’t be more confident about a bet.
A classic ball striker’s test requires a classic ball striker to make hay while the sun shines and in the past few months Kyle Stanley has been absolutely dialed in with his irons. Ranking second on Tour for Greens in Regulation (GIR), third for Proximity, seventh for Strokes Gained: Approach, and ninth for Par 4 Performance, Stanley is ideally suited to Southwind. With three top-10’s in his last five starts, the form is certainly there to vastly improve upon his past record in the St. Jude Classic, and an examination of his best work this term – T4 at TPC Sawgrass, T6 at Muirfield Village, and T8 in Houston – suggests he is best suited to shorter tests of clean hitting.
Stanley is not only a great bet here, he’s our “horse for the course” in DFS but this bet to beat Palmer looks very strong.
John Peterson 160-1
We could easily make an argument that Southwind is the perfect course for John Peterson and his T19 finish in his last outing here in 2014 suggests that there is plenty of evidence to support our claim. Not the longest by any means, Peterson can certainly keep the golf ball on a string when required, ranking 35th for Driving Accuracy, 41st for GIR, and 12th for Approaches from 175-200 yards. He even ranks 13th for Scrambling to highlight his redemptive powers. Peterson is not a regular on the PGA TOUR and so his form is patchy as a result, but T12 at the Phoenix Open and T14 at the OHL Classic this season identifies what he is capable of on his day. Born in Texas and schooled in Louisiana, the hot weather won’t faze Peterson this week. He ranks 30th ON TOUR in Approaches from 100-125 yards and 41st ON TOUR for Greens in Regulation. This week, we took four golfers at big odds because we strongly trust that this is the week that a bomb or two will be on the first page of the leaderboard. There are many to choose from and Peterson joins our list of bombs above that have a legit shot of things fall right (risking 0.2 units to win 2).
Head-to-head matchup:
There are no head-to-head match-ups for J. Peterson so we’re going to insert another unrelated one here. The bet is S. Brown to finish ahead of J. Furyk.
This is really a fade against Furyk although we would not be a bit surprised of Scott Brown had a very good tournament. Brown has had two second place finishes already this year at the Genesis Open and the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, not to mention a T12 at the Dean & DeLuca juast two weeks ago.
Meanwhile, Furyk is not that far removed from terrific form post-wrist surgery in 2016. Alas, he arrives in Memphis having missed five consecutive cuts (since the Masters) and without a top-35 finish in stroke-play competition this year. Also hasn't seen TPC Southwind since his debut in 1994. #7047 S. Brown +102 over J. Furyk (Risking 1 unit to win 1.02).
Will Rogers
Toronto vs. Oakland
Pick: Toronto
The set-up: The Oakland A's have a chance to complete their first series sweep of the season when they host the Toronto Blue Jays for the finale of this three-game series Wednesday afternoon. Oakland won 5-3 on Monday and 4-1 last night. The Blue Jays had climbed within a game of .500 (28-29) and had won three in a row on the road before dropping these first two meetings with the Athletics and are now 28-31 as they look to avoid a sweep. Oakland is just 26-32 and 15 1/2 games back of the ML-best Houston Astros.
The pitching matchup: Francisco Liriano (3-2 & 5.94 ERA) gets the ball for Toronto and Jharel Cotton (3-6 & 5.11 ERA) for Oakland. Liriano returned from a stint on the disabled list to toss five solid innings Friday, allowing two runs and four hits in a 7-5 victory over the New York Yankees. He owns a 1.80 WHIP to go along with his 5.94 ERA but the Jays are 5-3 in his eight starts, including winning his last four. Liriano owns a 5-4 record and 4.23 ERA in 16 career appearances (14 starts / teams are 7-7) against Oakland. Cotton lost his third consecutive start Thursday, allowing five runs (just one earned) on four hits and four walks in 5 2/3 innings at Cleveland. The rookie has particularly struggled at home, going 1-3 with an 8.27 ERA while surrendering five or more runs in three of his four outings. Cotton will be facing Toronto for the first time in his career.
The pick: Cotton's home woes are real (1.90 WHIP along with that 8.27 ERA) and as noted, Toronto has won Liriano's last four starts. Liriano has had two brutal starts in 2017 (his season debut plus at home against Cleveland on May 10, right before he went on the DL) but in his other six, has allowed more than two ERs just once (three) in those six starts.
Wunderdog
Pittsburgh @ Baltimore
Pick: Baltimore -143
The Baltimore Orioles wish they could play every game at Camden Yards. They have had elite success this season at 20-10, while they have faltered on the road at a woeful 10-16, and just 2-11 in their last 13 on the road. They worked some magic last night with a momentum building 6-5 extra inning win. The Pirates have been one of the worst all-time teams on the road in interleague play where they own a dismal 37-70 mark in their last 107, and certainly haven't changed the script this year. Last night's loss dropped the Pirates to 0-4 against the AL this year on the road.
Swish Insider
San Francisco vs. Milwaukee
Pick: Under 9
There's no shortage of signs pushing this game Under today. For starters, both Blach and Nelson have been pretty solid starters overall, with Blach posting a 3.06 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in an average of 6.2 innings pitched per game, while Nelson's pitched his way to a 3.36 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in 11 starts. But both have been particularly great over their last five starts -- Blach 1.91 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and Nelson 1.93 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) -- and neither the Giants (.242/.322/.340) or the Brewers (.227/.307/.375) have been hitting particularly well over their last 2 weeks worth of games. Furthermore, when factoring in handedness and home/road splits, the Brewers have slashed just .230/.320/.408 vs lefties at home to the Giants' .230/.301/.365 combined slash on the road vs righties. Probability-wise though, the Under has a 52.3% win probability in this game, with the most likely projected total of 7 runs clocking in with a 11.58% probability; throw in the +104 odds as well, and you've got a pick with solid probability and a 16.45% projected ROI.
PRO COMPUTER GAMBLER
Pirates vs. Orioles
Play: Orioles -147
Today we have 3 major sports betting systems active on this play sports at least a 10% roi in a sample of 200 or more games per system. In addition, we have the PCG 2017 MLB Raw Numbers (now at 385-320 +88.23 units) in agreement on this one.
*KEY TREND: In recent database history, favorites or road dogs lined more expensive in their last 3 games including current are 117-688 63.1% SU +238.62 units against a team the books have made cheaper in price in their last 3 games including this one.
*The Orioles are 224-124 ON +12.0% roi since Jun 27, 2010 as a home favorite