Power Play Wins
Atlanta Hawks -3.5
Chicago Bulls -3.5
San Antonio Spurs -3
Denver Nuggets -10
Phoenix Suns -9.5
Cornell -11
St Peters -9
Wunderdog
Game: Cornell + Niagara
Pick: 4 unit Moneyline Parlay
Game: Weber State at E. Washington
Pick: 2 units E. Washington +6
Game: Idaho St. at Portland St.
Pick: 3 units Idaho St. +9.5
Brandon Lang
10 DIME - SAN ANTONIO SPURS
I went against the Rockets two nights ago when they got hammered at home by the Magic 110-92; going to do the same tonight.
Houston has lost six of its last seven SU and ATS. At home it's lost 7 of 9, including 4 in a row in which they've allowed an average of 110.3 ppg.
The Rockets are 5-18 ATS in their last 23 games overall; 1-12 ATS their last 13 at home.
The Spurs are coming off a big 95-87 home win against red-hot Oklahoma on Wednesday, limiting the Thunder to 39.8% shooting from the field. Now they get a Rockets' team that's failed to crack the century mark in scoring in six of its last eight games.
San Antonio won at Houston 92-84 back on November 27, making it two straight road wins for the Spurs in the series. And the road team is 2-0 in the series this season.
Minus size and still missing the injured Lowry and Ariza - while trying to fit recently-acquired Martin into the line-up - this is another good go-against spot for Houston.
5 DIME - NIAGARA PURPLE EAGLES
Niagara, coming off an 85-79 road win over Wisconsin-Milwaukee in last Saturday's Bracket-Buster, has won three in a row and five of six straight-up (4-2 ATS) as it wraps the season with road games against Manhattan and Fairfield, two teams it beat at home already this year.$ These are key contests because despite the recent winning streak, the Purple Eagles are still tied for fifth in the MAAC with an 8-8 record and have yet to wrap-up a first-round bye in next week's conference tournament.
The current three-game run began with an upset of Siena, a win that snapped the Saints' then-15 game winning streak. I was impressed with the way they didn't get trapped in a letdown two nights later when they hammered Marist by 19 points. That's why I don't think they will suffer a letdown tonight coming off last weekend's big Bracket Buster win.
Manhattan has lost 14 of its last 19 SU, including five of its last six conference outings at home both SU and ATS. The Jaspers were hammered in the season's first game at Niagara, losing 88-64. In that contest the Eagles hit 10-of-28 three-pointers while the Jaspers missed 11 of 12 from beyond the arc.
All Purple Eagles tonight.
FREE PICK - ATLANTA HAWKS
Tony Taylor
4* Knicks/Wizards Over 204.5 (NBA TOM)
Rex Rodgers
3* USA/Finland Over 4.5 -120
3* Canada -2 -145
Young Guns Sports
3* Pistons
King Creole
2* 76ers / Lakers Under 199.5
We'll got to the very LAST game on the Friday schedule for tonight's 'UNDER" of the DAY in the NBA. These two teams played each other back in late January... and the game went UNDER by 12.5 points. In the last 12 months, the series has gone 0-2 O/U (avg OU margin: -14.5 points).
The Lakers last game (vs Dallas on Wednesday) ended up going OVER the Total by~ one slim point. Prior to that one, LA had gone UNDER the Total in EACH of their last 6 games. So the Lakers are definitely 'trending UNDER" as of late (playing GREAT defense and struggling on offense). We also note that LA has dropped four STRAIGHT games in terms of the pointspread (0-4 ATS). The Sixers have gone UNDER in each of their last two games of this 4-game road trip (which ends tonight).
The NON-Conference aspect of this game has us excited about MULTIPLE Over / Under Systems.
3-13 O/U this season: All EASTERN Conference underdogs of > 10 points (Sixers) versus any WESTERN Conference opponent (Lakers). Since December, these games have gone a perfect 0-6 O/U.
1-8 O/U this season: All NON-Conference underdogs in the FINAL game of a 4+ road trip (Sixers)... when the OU line is > 197 points.
2-10 O/U since November: All NON-Conference teams playing off 4 or more ATS losses in a row (Lakers)... when the OU line is 196 > points. We also note that in the last 5 weeks, these teams have gone a perfect 0-4 O/U.
3-11 O/U this season: All WESTERN CONFERENCE teams with a W/L percentage of .666 or greater (Lakers).... versus an opponent with a W/L percentage of < .400 (Sixers).... when the OU Line is 198 points playing off a SUATS road dog loss (Lakers)... versus an opponent ALSO off a SUATS road dog loss (Sixers).
1-10 O/U since November: All NBA home teams playing off a SU road loss to the DALLAS MAVERICKS (Lakers).
1-6 O/U since December: All NBA teams playing off a SU road loss to the PHOENIX SUNS (Sixers) that also went UNDER the Total.
Tony George
Detroit / Denver Over 201
Denver managed 127 points on TNT last night and score light out at home, and as we all know, they play little defense. Detroit has averaged near 100 points a game their last 5 and have more offense with a healthy lineup. With Denver playing last night I doubt they play much defense, and they can score 100 by accident. Denver is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the OVER. Play 1 Unit on the OVER
Wunderdog
Game: Cleveland at Toronto
5 units UNDER 205.5
Game: Dallas at Atlanta
2 units Atlanta -3
Game: New York at Washington
3 units OVER 206.5
Game: Orlando at New Orleans
5 units UNDER 201
Bob Balfe
Cavs -5.5 over Raptors
Valparaiso +9 over Butler
Scott Delaney
30-Dime SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Have you watched the Rockets play lately? It's almost as if the once Western Conference contender forgot it played with passion. The confidence in this team is nearly 100 percent gone.
There's simply no energy, no enthusiasm, no purpose ... and because of it, Houston has lost six of their past eight games, including four consecutive home games, allowing 110.3 points per game in that span.
Thus, I've got no problem laying points on the road with the Spurs, despite their 12-13 road record.
I am banking on their trademark defense, which is ranked eighth in the league in allowing just 96.27 points per game. Houston has managed to reach the 100-point plateau just twice in eight games.
San Antonio has won the last two meetings at the Toyota Center, and the road team in this series is on a 4-0 run.
Houston is on ATS slides of 1-12 at home and 7-21 overall.
Lay the points.
Matt Fargo
10* Bulls -3.5
9* Hawks -3
Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Princeton (+11) over Cornell
Princeton has covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games and they have also covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. Princeton has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games vs. Cornell and they are only allowing an average of 52 points a game on defense this season.
100* Play Valparaiso (+8.5) over Butler
Valparaiso has covered the spread in 11 consecutive games when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest and they have also covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games when revenging a loss vs. an opponent. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 9 of the last 12 games and they are averaging over 77 points a game on offense over the last 5 games.
50* Play Atlanta (-3) over Dallas
Atlanta has won and covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 home games when the total posted is between 195 and 199.5 points and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games when playing six or more games in 10 days. Atlanta has won 22 of the last 28 games when playing as a home favorite and they are averaging over 104 points a game on offense at home this season.
The Duke's Sports
Detroit (+9') for 1.5 Units
The once dominant Pistons are now relegated to the league doormat however, they still give some teams trouble now and then. One of those teams is the Nuggets which are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Denver, which is just 2-6 ATS on Fridays and coming into this one unrested (1-5-2 ATS), has a tendency to play down to an opponent's level; for example, Denver is 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games against opponents below .500 moreover, they're 1-6 ATS vs teams below .400. With the Pistons' Prince and Hamilton healthy again, we'll look for Detroit to extend its 6-2 ATS mark in Denver.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
8* Minnesota/Oklahoma City Under 201.5
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"
The Thunder are 2-0 against the Timberwolves this season, making 13 of 39 of their attempts from 3-point range and 40 of 44 free throws. The Oklahoma City franchise has won 10 of its last 13 games against Minnesota.
Jonny Flynn, who averages 13.8 points, was held to nine on 4-of-13 shooting in Minnesota’s 98-92 loss to Atlanta on Wednesday.
The Timberwolves have lost seven of eight after winning their previous four, and with five road wins are tied with Sacramento for third-fewest in the league.
Al Jefferson leads Minnesota with 17.1 points per game, but has been limited to 10 in each of his last four games.
Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the posted number in five of Minnesota's last seven overall.
On the other side of the court: A nine-game winning streak that began Jan. 29 has solidified Oklahoma City (33-23) as a contender in the West. The Thunder, currently sixth in the conference, are trying to make the playoffs for the first time since 2004-05, when the franchise was based in Seattle.
Oklahoma City, however, has had a tough week. After their run ended with a 104-102 home loss to Phoenix on Tuesday, the Thunder dropped a 95-87 decision the next night at San Antonio.
Against the Spurs, the Thunder shot 39.8 percent from the field and 66.7 percent from the line as their five-game road winning streak was snapped; I expect another offensive letdown this evening.
It's important to point out that Oklahoma City has seen the total go "under" the number in six of eight vs. division opponents and in 15 of 27 home games.
Bottom line: Both teams are struggling right now and I expect each to create offense through its defense as both clubs try to get back on track; when taking all of the above into account the sharp money in this one is indeed on the UNDER!