Teddy Covers
Pacers
Suns
Erin Rynning
Playmaker: Indiana Over 200
Boston Under 190
Milwaukee +2
NHL PRO PICKS
Atlanta +270
Phoenix +190
igz1 sports
3* Detroit vs Indiana Under 200
3* Milwaukee vs New York Over 201
4* St Peters vs Fairfield Over 127.5
3* Toronto vs New Jersey Under 5.5
The Boooj
10 Units Cornell -21
Accu-Picks
5* Phoenix (GOY)
3* Pacers
3* St Peters
Drew Gordon
300,000♦ Kings
1. Kings- Oh are Suns-backers going to get slaughtered here! Phoenix wins four games in a row, and all of a sudden the public is ready to forget about the last 3 months of incredibly inconsistent play?! Quite frankly, the Suns may be the most overrated team in the pros this season, and if you need any proof, notice 90% of the public is on them in this contest! That should immediately be sending up red flags, because as I've said before: "If it looks to good to be true, it probably is!"
Why back the Suns now? They're in the midst of a winning streak, so you know there's going to be little value, AND despite the public being ALL OVER Phoenix, the line is actually shrinking (opened at -3', now at 2')! That reverse line movement is one of the best indicators of where the smart money is going, and in this case, its clearly going on Sacramento! Also of note, the home team is 9-3 ATS in their L12 games in this series!
So why Sacramento, and how do they do it? Well, first off, the return of a healthy Kevin Martin gives the Kings one of the most explosive backcourts in the NBA. Stud rookie, Tyreke Evans is coming off a 32-point, 8 assist, 7 board effort vs the Spurs. While we all know how good Martin can be when healthy, having 33 and 31 point games earlier this week! Nash and Richardson may be talented, but the veterans simply cannot keep up with the quicker Kings guards. Make no mistake, the Kings backcourt will do anything they want against this piss-poor Suns road defense (allowing 109 ppg on 46% shooting away this season).
In the frontcourt, we give the edge to the Suns, but not by as much as you'd think. Yes, Thompson is out, but Donte Green has stepped up nicely in his stead, and I like 6'9 sharpshooter Omri Casspi, making for a good 1-2 punch. Hawes is no juggernaut, but he's big, averaging 20.5 ppg over his L2 games, and is a better player at this point than the Suns' Robin Lopez. Amare will get his points, but after that, I like the Kings frontline match ups better.
Finally, motivation is a big factor here, or should I say lack of motivation on the Suns part. Why? This is the final game of a winnig road trip that saw them beat the Rockets, Hornets, and Nuggets... Do you really think the Suns care what happens tonight at Arco? They've already secured a winning road trip, and beat Sacramento twice this season... So, if any team is going to come in unfocused and overconfident, it'll be Phoenix. In the end, I'm not about perception, I'm about reality, and the reality is the Suns are overrated and VERY vulnerable in this spot. A healthy Kings team is NO bottom-dweller, and they'll prove it tonight. I'm going to advocate taking the points, but don't be surprised to see the Kings win outright in this spot.
Take the Kings plus the points over the Suns as your top-rated play of the day.
ATS LOCK CLUB
3 Units Hurricanes Over
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
New Jersey +13.5
For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on the Nets in this situation:
The Celtics are heavily favored to hand the Nets a 13th straight road loss. Boston is 2-0 against New Jersey this season, and led 71-35 at halftime of the last meeting - a 111-87 win Jan. 13 in which no Celtics player logged 30 minutes; but New Jersey has shown signs of life lately and will have the "double revenge factor" working for it tonight.
The Nets (4-44) lost their fourth in a row Wednesday, 108-99 at Toronto. New Jersey trailed 57-56 at halftime before dropping to 1-9 against Atlantic Division foes and 1-24 on the road.
Despite its horrible season, remember, New Jersey is in fact 4-1 ATS its last five overall.
Point guard Devin Harris has averaged 19.5 points and 11.0 assists in two games after missing the previous four with a wrist injury.
On the other side of the court: Paul Pierce is not expected to play for the Celtics on Friday night when they try to defeat the Nets for the 12th consecutive time.
Boston (31-16) played without Pierce in 107-102 victory over Miami on Wednesday. The All-Star forward sprained his left foot Monday night in a win at Washington, and is listed as day to day.
Not only is Boston 2-7-1 ATS its last 10 overall, its also just 0-4-1 ATS its last five at home.
Bottom line: I expect Boston to "look past" the steadily improving Nets in this one to its game on Sunday vs. Orlando; look for NEW JERSEY to do just enough to move to 7-4 ATS this season vs. division opponents and for Boston to slide to 14-25 ATS this year as a favorite!
9* NETS
Bob Balfe
Pennsylvania/Dartmouth Over 119
Ron Raymond
Calgary +100
Panthers are relying way too much on their goaltending of late and you can’t win hockey games when you average 1.17 goals for per game L10. When FLORIDA team played as a home team - Before a conference game - After a non conference game - Coming off a 1 game loss; the Panthers are 4-9-1 SU in this role. Take Calgary.
Marc Lawrence
Sacramento +2.5
When the Kings host the Suns in a Western Conference showdown at Arco Arena Friday night they will be playing with double revenge from a pair of loses suffered this year against Phoenix. Meanwhile, the Suns enter off three consecutive upset wins in a row, including revenge wins over Denver and New Orleans with revenge games up against Portland, Memphis and Dallas. With Sacramento right in the middle of this revenge sandwich and the Suns changing roles, look for the Kings to improve to 14-4-1 ATS at home of a conference loss in this series, including 4-0 SU and ATS when the Subs own a win percentage of less than .670 on the season. We recommend a 3-unit play on Sacramento.
Rocketman
Yale +21
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Bulldogs are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater. Bulldogs are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. My power ratings has Cornell winning this game by only 13.58 points tonight. We'll play Yale for 3 units tonight!
Mike Lineback
Pistons/Pacers Over 199.5
Opposite Action Plays
Sacramento +2.5