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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Friday, March 12,2010

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John Ryan

Tennessee vs. Mississippi
Pick: Mississippi +1

25* graded play on Mississippi as they host Tennessee in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Mississippi will win this game. Ole Miss is a bubble team that has the credentials right now to get into the tournament. Clearly, a win over Tennessee would make them a lock and coaches at the D-1 level, especially the SEC, are adept at motivating players to “win to get in”. Adding more motivation for Ole Miss is that they come out the SEC West where only Ole Miss and Miss State have winning records. The division has been basked all season long by the media and this would be game where Ole Miss could really squash their critics. Ole Miss is not a solid free throw shooting team hitting 66.8% of those shots on the season. The model shows that they will hit between 64 and 71% in this game. Note that Ole Miss is 10-2 ATS this season, 22-10 ATS over the past 3 seasons, and 24-11 ATS since 1997. Ole Miss will have significant advantages in rebounding and will get between 9 and 13 offensive boards based on the model. Note that in past games where they had 9 to 13 offensive boards they are 9-2 ATS this season. Model also shows that Ole Miss wil have between 40 and 44 total baords. Note that when this has occurred in past games they are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season, 19-3 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 21-4 ATS since 1997. Ole Miss is a better ball handling team as well ranking 3rd in the SEC committing 12.4 per game on the season. Better rebounding, better defense, better ball control adds up to a big Rebel win. Take Ole Miss.

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 11:39 am
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Charlies

500* Temple -10
500* Ohio State -10
500* Alabama +10
30* Southern Miss +3
20* Wisconsin -8
20* St. Louis +3
10* Va Tech -4
Ole Miss +2 Free Play

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 11:41 am
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JB Sports

3* SA Spurs

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 11:41 am
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Bob Balfe

Bucks Pk over Jazz

St. Bonaventure +9.5 over Temple

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 11:42 am
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Billy Coleman

4* Utah pk
3* NJ/OKC Un195

4* Xav -3
3* Tem -10
3* St.Louis +3.5
3* Ill +8

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 11:44 am
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Rocketman

3* Miss St -1.5

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 11:44 am
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Alatex

15* Minnesota +2.5
St. Louis +3
Tulsa +3.5

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 11:45 am
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Executive

250% Miami,Fla +3.5

250% Tulsa +3.5

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 11:54 am
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

1000* Play Miami (+4) over Virginia Tech

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 12:06 pm
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PPP

4* Duke
4* Va Tech
4 * Temple
4* St. Louis

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 12:07 pm
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Will Cover

4* Utah St. -7.5

3* Notre Dame + 5

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 12:08 pm
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BIG AL

3* Florida State Revenge GOY
3* Purdue
3* Mississippi State
3* Rhode Island Atlantic 10 GOY
3* Illinois Elite Info

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 12:09 pm
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BRANDON LANG

20 DIME - XAVIER MUSKETEERS

Revenge is a dish best served cold.

Riding high on a 7 game winning streak it doesn't take much to remind Xavier who their last loss was against.....you guessed it, Dayton.

Early on a Saturday back in February Dayton hammered Xavier at home 90-65 and the Musketeers haven't lost since, covering 5 of those 7 straight wins.

Now laying around a 3 number they will jump on a Flyers team that is coming in losers of 4 of their last 6 SU and and even worse run of 1-6-1 ATS run. ( Dig a little deeper and you will find an 0-5 run ATS last 5 conference road games including failing to cover the 11 1/2 in the first round of this tourney versus George Washington.

Quite frankly the Flyers are completely grounded in this matchup today.

The numbers will show you a Dayton team 1-4 ATS last 5 neutral site games and 0-5-1 their last 6 versus a team with a winning SU record.

As for Xavier, how about 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 90 points in their previous game and a rock solid 34-16-1 ATS last 51 neutral site games.

The ace of the river would be the favorite in this series money making 13-4 ATS last 17 meetings.

Rolling with Xavier to advance in the Atlantic 10 this afternoon.

FREE PICK - UTAH Jazz

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 12:11 pm
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Trent Citron

10 Units West Virginia
8 Units Dayton
8 Units Washington
6 Units New Mexico
4 Units Kansas

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 12:12 pm
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SEABASS

300* Wisconsin
100* Akron
100* Lafayette Over
50* Richmond
50* Miami
50* Lafayette

100* Steam - Miss

 
Posted : March 12, 2010 12:13 pm
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