Ben Burns
10* Celtics
JR O'Donnell
3* Phillies + 110
Philadelphia Phillies and K. Kendrick (2-2, 5.66) tonight gang as the this game is almost a must win battle for the Broad Street boys . Kendrick has spun a few gems before being beat by the Red Sox and the Phillies will bust out of the 27 scoreless inning slump in a big way. The Marlins Volstad 3-5, 4.31 ERA will be the medicine that heals a wounded but dangerous dog tonight. To consistently win on the bases is all about picking spots to fire in on and the Philly Boys + 110 tonight win ugly!
Dave Cokin
Matchup: Texas at Minnesota
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) LEWIS, C vs. (R) SLOWEY, K
Play: Minnesota (ML -125)
The Rangers have been a powerhouse at home, rolling along at a stellar .667 clip. But they're not nearly so daunting on the road, where Texas has dropped 12 of 20 away games. The Twins haven't dominated like they generally did at the Metrodome, but they're still getting used to their new surroundings and they're definitely winning more often than not at Target. As for the pitching, Kevin Slowey has been a bit of a disappointment, lasting more than six innings only once all season. But he was sharper in his last outing. Colby Lewis has been solid for Texas, but there are some warning signs for the righthander. His control has been off in his last couple of starts and that's a sign that may be entering a down phase. The Twins got a needed win over the Yankees on Thursday night, and I like the fact that Jason Kubel's bat may be heating up as that gives Minnesota a wicked trio of lefty bats that can do some real damage. I made the price on this contest a little higher than it showed, so there's enough value for me to go ahead and back the Twins tonight.
Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd
5* NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game of the Year (ESPN) on Celtics -3
Boston has a very sour taste in its mouth after Game 5. Kendrick Perkins wrongfully ejected w/ 2 bogus technical foul calls, Glen Davis and Marquis Daniels enduring concussions and Rasheed Wallace twisting his back. Perkins will be back on the court tonight as one of his techs was rescinded, but Davis and Wallace are both game time decisions and Daniels is likely out. Boston was the more physical team through the first three games of this series, then it was severely outdone in the physicality department in Game 5. Look for Boston to respond at home tonight. Right away, I love the fact that favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are an incredible 84-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. In addition, favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, are 40-16 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams in these situations are winning by an average of 10 and 10.3 points respectfully. Boston is also 23-11 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, winning by 8.6 points on average in these spots. The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and the Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Look for Boston to bounce back strong and win this series tonight while covering the number in the process.
FoxStat Sheets
Super Situations
CWS at TAM
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TAMPA BAY) good baserunning team - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game on the season, after 4 straight games where they committed no errors
52-10 since 1997. ( 83.9% | 32.8 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -2.6 units )
Situational Power Trends
NATS at SDP
WASHINGTON is 9-2 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season.
The average score was: WASHINGTON (4.1) , OPPONENT (2.9)
Super Situations
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
161-96 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.6% | 55.4 units )
34-25 this year. ( 57.6% | 6.5 units )
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 35.4 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | -1.9 units )
Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (BOSTON) after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units )
4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.7 units )
John Fina
Celtics
Bobby Maxwell
400 Unit Celtics
NSA
20* ORLANDO +4
20* RED SOX -1.5 +100
20* TWINS -130
DAVID BANKS
Orlando Magic +3.5
Tigers -112
Blue Jays -177
Marlins -124
Twins -128
Rockies -149
Matt" Lillefty" Dennehy
2* Braves/Pirates under 9
Lowe has never lost to the Pirates in his career. he is 8-0 with a 2.96 Era. Lowe has been pretty good for the month of May. He had 4 quality starts out of 5, including his last 3. He needs to start going deeper into games though as he hasn't reached 100 pitches in 6 starts. The Atlanta pen has been excellent the last week. Duke has had solid # in the past vs the Braves 3,83 ERA including 7 shutout Inn earlier this month. the Braves are hitting lefties very poorly this year(.219 overall). Pitt has only scored 17 runs the last 8 games themselves. The last 6 meetings between the 2 teams have been under the total. Runs should be hard to come by tonight.
KARL GARRETT
20 Dime Boston Celtics
10 Dime Seattle Mariners
CHUCK O'BRIEN
30 Dime Florida Marlins
igz1 sports
3* San Diego -150
TIM TRUSHEL
20* LA Angels Under
CHRIS JORDAN
400♦ SAN DIEGO PADRES -1.5