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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Friday, May 7,2010

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LARRY NESS

Perfect Storm - Cavs

Punisher - Spurs

10* - Spurs Under

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 12:48 pm
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ATS LOCK CLUB

4 Units Suns +7

5 Units Yankees ML
4 Units Giants ML
4 Units Rangers ML

10 Units Chicago +2.5

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 12:48 pm
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Al DeMarco

15 Dime Boston Red Sox

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 1:35 pm
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Erin Rynning

SA Spurs Under 205.5

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 1:36 pm
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BEN BURNS

10* Spurs Under
9* Spurs

7* Dodgers
7* Mariners

7* Flyers
7* Canucks
7* Canucks Under

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 1:38 pm
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igz1 sports

4* Milwaukee -130
3* Detroit -112
3* NY Yankees -110

3* Flyers Over 5

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 1:40 pm
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Teddy Covers

Cavs/Celtics Over
Suns

Cubs
Tigers/Indians Over 9

Spokane +4

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 1:42 pm
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KELSO

25 Units Cleveland Cavs +1

3 Units Phoenix Suns +7

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 1:42 pm
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Bob Balfe

Chicago White Sox -112

Mark Buehrle has yet to get his stuff going this season, while Marcum has, in my opinion, overachieved. This is a great value with the White Sox being at home with the better and more experienced pitcher on the mound. Take Chicago.

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 1:56 pm
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Rocketman

4* Florida Marlins

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 2:17 pm
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Nick Parsons

8* Cleveland Cavaliers -1

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 2:18 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

NBA Bailout - Spurs -6.5

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 2:19 pm
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The Duke's Sports

Cleveland Over (192') for 2.5 Units

Boston is getting great scoring balance on account of Rondo finding the open man as a matter of fact, Rondo's 19 assists in Game 2 spearheaded 6 double digit scorers, including Rasheed Wallace off the bench. And no matter how good of defense the Cavaliers play, it is difficult to contain that kind of offensive balance when Boston is in nice rhythm. Tonight, we'll look for more of the same offensive firepower from Boston, but we'll also look for a better offensive game from Cleveland. In Game 2, the Cavaliers' backcourt (Parker, Williams, West) was held to 4 of 20. We'll look for better production out of them tonight; moreover, Shaq and Varejao (back) should overcome their sluggishness to be better offensive contributors. The Cavaliers are 5-1 O/U after allowing 100+, 5-1 O/U in their last 6 on the road, and 6-2 O/U with 3+ days rest. Boston is on an 11-5 O/U run and 5-0 O/U when their opponent allows 100+. This series has gone 5-1 O/U in its last 6 in Boston. "Over" the call.

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 2:32 pm
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David Malinsky

4* NY METS/SAN FRANCISCO OVER

6’s are very rare in Major League Baseball; so much so that we can not even remember the last one. So what does that have to do with this game? If Jonathan Sanchez and Mike Pelphrey are at a “7” on a night in which the San Francisco bullpen brings major fatigue ratings, just where the hell would a Tim Lincecum/Johan Santana hook-up be? So on a pleasant evening near Flushing Bay with a mild wind favoring the hitters, we are in play here.

Sanchez is who he is, a guy with fantastic stuff that is difficult to read and hit, which creates a major sex appeal factor in the marketplace. But command is another matter entirely, and he is off of back-to-back games in which his PPI charts got into the 20’s. Prior to this season his career tallies on the road were a 12-19/4.97, and with the only appearance as a visitor so far coming from the favorable mound in Petco, those past confidence issues are absolutely in play. His high pitch counts are a particular problem from the visitors locker room, and that is an issue for the Giant bullpen, which has Brian Wilson off of three straight games, and Guillermo Mota, Jeremy Affeldt, Sergio Romo and Don Runzler all working two of three in the Florida series.

Like Sanchez, we also see good early numbers in the 4-1/2.40 of Michael Pelfrey, but there has been a lot of baseball geometry involved. There is nothing in his peripherals to suggest that those base numbers are a break-out from the 28-32/4.58 for his career coming in, but when you strand 80 percent of your base-runners in the early going it can create a misleading impression. Like Sanchez he also has back-to-back games of more than 20 PPI, and the Phillies rocked him for six runs on eight hits over only four innings on Saturday, with complaints of a shoulder problem being issued since then. We do not see anything more than just average stuff from him, and average does not bring you into this price range.

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 2:46 pm
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Joseph D'Amico

St Louis Cardinals -202

Despite dropping 3 straight, St. Louis is still clearly the cream of the crop in the N.L. Central. The Card’s won 6 of their L7 before losing 3 to the Phillie’s. Talking about streaks, the Pirate’s won 3 in a row over the deplorable Cub’s. If you check out the Central Division, you will see that outside of St. Louis, not a single team has more wins than losses. Make no mistake of it, but beating Chicago 3-0 in the series isn’t anything for Pitt to celebrate over. St. Louis has Chris Carpenter throwing today. He is 4-0 with a 2.84 ERA on the season. In his career, the right-hander is an astounding 11-1 with a 2.27 ERA when starting against Pittsburgh. On top of his success over the Pirate’s, Carpenter can rest easy behind one of baseball’s most dangerous lineups. St. Louis has six slugger’s with between 11-25 RBI’s. Leading the way is Albert Pujols with a .327 B.A., 7 HR’s, and 25 RBI’s. They face a Pittsburgh squad that is averaging just 3.7 RPG and don’t have a consistent batter in the bunch. The Pirate’s send Zach Duke to the bump. Duke is 2-3 with a 6.09 ERA TY and 4-5 when starting against St. Louis in his career. The Card’s are 11-0 in Carpenter’s L11 starts vs. the Pirate’s, 55-25 their L80 games played in Pittsburgh, and 29-8 their L37 in Game 1 of a series. The Pirate’s are 2-7 in Duke’s L9 starts vs. the Card’s and 0-5 their L5 as a home ‘dog of +201 or higher. Take St. Louis.

 
Posted : May 7, 2010 2:51 pm
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