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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, April 19,2010

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Scott Delaney

40 Dime Cavaliers

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:10 pm
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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

BASEBALL MONEY LINE BOOKIE BUSTING WINNER

St Louis w/Penny -127

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:11 pm
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ATS LOCK CLUB

3 Units Denver -6.5

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:11 pm
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Mike Lineback

Utah/Denver Over

Teams' are Over this number in 5 of L6 meetings. And this is with Carmelo & Chauncy Billups missing two of the three contests. Okur is out for Utah. However, total reached 239 despite his absence Sunday (7pts; 11 minutes). I'm looking for Denver to push it hard tonight with the injuries mounting up for the Jazz. In addition, I'm expecting Utah come ready to play, not wanting to go down 0-2 in this series. Total has reached 239, 231, 119, 118 & 114 the last 5 meetings in Denver. Take the OVER.

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:13 pm
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

10* Colorado/Washington Under 9.5

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"

Aaron Cook will look for his best performance of the season tonight against the Nats after a couple of rater pedestrian starts.

Cook allowed four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in his first start; was a bit better in the second against the Mets on Wednesday, allowing three runs on four hits in six innings; walking four and striking out four.

Cook was 11-6 as a starter a year ago with a 4.16 ERA; 6-4 with a 4.28 ERA on the road; 5-3 with a 3.74 ERA in "night games".

In the other dugout: Craig Stammen will also be looking to get back on track after a sub par outing; Stammen combine with Phillies starter Kyle Kendrick to give up 13 runs on 13 hits over three innings in Philadelphia's 14-7 win on Wednesday night.

Things can't get worse for Stammen obviously; last year he finished 4-7 with a 5.11 ERA; “The important thing is to bounce back,” Stammen said.

Bottom line: The Rockies have won straight against the Nationals; The Rockies won five of those games by one run and one contest by three, converting all six of their save opportunities.

Keep in mind that Cook fares extremely well against the Nats; 2-1 with a 3.63 ERA in five starts and three relief appearances.

Stammen got two runs to work with in two starts versus the Rockies as a rookie last season, going 0-1 with a 2.19 ERA.

I expect the starters to pitch deep into this game and for the pens to do just enough as well for this total to sneak UNDER the number.

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:14 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

Cubs -120

The Mets are in a very vulnerable situation tonight. They had to play 20 long innings on Saturday, then they had to play the Sunday Night ESPN game last night, and had to travel back home late last night. Also, the Mets blew a 3-0 lead before losing 5-3. The New Yorkers haven’t been playing very good baseball opening the season at 4-8 and there have already been rumblings of a manager change. Maybe if the Mets hitters could do a little better than batting .224 and scoring only 4 runs per game they might win a few more games. The Cubs have struggled to start the season but the good news is that they have Wells on the mound tonight. The Cubs righty has gone 12 1/3 innings this season and has surrendered only four earned runs. In his lone start last year against these weak hitting Mets he allowed only one run in six innings of work. The Mets march out Niese tonight and it hasn’t been a very pretty picture when he starts. In two outings he’s gone 11 innings and has an awful 6.55 ERA allowing 17 hits and 3 walks. In his career he’s faced these Cubs once and he didn’t last long going three innings and allowing six earned runs. The tired Mets will struggle in this first game back home tonight against Wells. Our Pitching Mismatch is on the Chicago Cubs!

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:14 pm
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Marc Lawrence

Colorado -150

When the Rockies invade Washington to meet the Nationals tonight they will do so knowing Colorado is 9-0 the last nine games in this series, including 6-0 last six game here. With Aaron Cook 2-0 here with 1.50 ERA in his career and the Nationals 0-2 vs Rockies behind Craig Stammen, look for the Rockies to continue their winning ways here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Colorado.

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:15 pm
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Rocketman

St. Louis -130

Arizona is 52-85 last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record. Arizona has lost 4 in a row heading into tonight's action. St Louis is scoring 6.2 runs per game on the road this year. Brad Penny is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA overall this year and has a 1.29 ERA on the road this season. Penny is 9-3 with a 1.96 ERA overall vs Arizona since 1997. Lopez has a 6.35 ERA overall vs St Louis since 1997. Cardinals are 8-0 in their last 8 Monday games. Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cardinals are 22-5 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series. Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass. Cardinals are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. We'll play St Louis for 3 units tonight!

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:15 pm
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Evan Altemus

3 Units Cubs -122

Both of these teams are not hitting the ball well right now, but Cubs manager Lou Pinella is going to make a change to tonight’s line-up. He is going to move Marlon Byrd to the lead-off position and switch Ryan Theriot to the 8th spot because of his struggles. It’s hard to tell if this change is going to work, but the Cubs have a great starting pitching advantage in tonight’s game to aid them. Randy Wells gets the start for Chicago, and he has pitched well on the road over the last few seasons, especially away from Wrigley Field. Meanwhile, Mets starter Jonathan Niese has not pitched well this season and has been erratic. He has allowed 17 hits and 8 runs in his first 2 starts, including an very average 5/3 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Chicago is hitting .267 against lefties this season, almost 20 points better than against righties. Look for the Cubs to get the win with a good pitching effort by Wells, while their offense might improve slightly with the line-up change.

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:16 pm
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The Duke's Sports

Denver (-6') for 2.5 Units

We don't think that Boozer and Deron Williams can carry Utah here. Denver has too many weapons to deal with, including the emergence of Ty Lawson - who has spped that Utah can't contain, especially late in the game. The Jazz had limited time to prepare in the absence of Okur (Achilles). Missing Kirilenko was a concern, this is more damaging. The Jazz will be forced to play Millsap for long stretches, and Sloan will have to go deep onto his bench with green frontliners - Koufos and Fesenko. The Nuggets should stay hot as a playoff favorite in this spread range at 8-1 ATS.

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:17 pm
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EXECUTIVE

250% Cleveland Cavs

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 4:37 pm
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SEABASS

50 cubs
50 kc
50 SD
200 steam STL

100 Teaser cavs/jazz
100 Cavs
100 Utah (if Cavs wins, make 200)

50 buf/bos u5
50 caps
50 la kings

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 5:09 pm
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ANTHONY REDD

40- Dimes Jazz/Nuggets - OVER 213

 
Posted : April 19, 2010 7:59 pm
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