Insider Sports Report
4* New Orleans Hornets Pk
3* Utah St -15½
Jay McNeil
25 Dimer - Utah State -14.5
TIM TRUSHEL
Memphis Under
PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS
15 Units New Orleans +3
10 Units Charlotte -2
MR EAST
NCAAB MONDAY MADNESS
FRESNO ST. @ UTAH ST.
3 UNITS: OVER 128
The Utah St. Aggies are among the hottest teams in the country, and have won 13 straight games. Their last may have been one of their best as they commited just 5 turnovers on the road at Hawaii. That sets up a huge situation playing on the over, as teams that commit 5 turnovers or less, play to a 50-22 mark in their next game to the over, with a total set in the 120s. This will also be a low water mark for the Aggies in terms of playing to their lowest total of the season. The low number is bolstered by the fact that Fresno St. has played 8 straight unders in league play. Utah St. has now played to a 9-1 mark to the over after an ATS loss, and these teams have played 8 of their last 10 games to the over. I'll go with the over in this one.
CHIP CHIRIMBES
Portland at Memphis
Pick: Portland -1
The Portland Trailblazers (35-27) have managed to have a decent season despite numerous injuries including two Centers that are out for the season in Greg Oden and Joel Przybilla. The Blazers are 9-2 against the points in their last 11 road contests and they are seven of their last eight against Memphis. Add that the underdog is 17-6 against the number leads me to Portland.
RAS
Jackson State -1
BILLY COLEMAN
3* Orl -4
3* Dal/Char Un 191.5
3* Den +2.5
Matt Fargo
10* Bobcats -1
9* Grizzlies -1
Jimmy Boyd
3* ESPN Big Monday SMASH Texas -13
This may seem like quite a big number at first glance, but the Sooners have lost by at least 13 points in 3 of their last 4 road games. Plus, Texas will be extremely motivated in this spot for several reasons. First off, it's senior night. Secondly, the Longhorns are coming off a poor performance against Texas A&M. Lastly, the Horns will be looking to avenge a loss at Oklahoma last month. This situation is very similar to one Texas was in back on Feb. 13. The Horns had just played poorly against Kansas and they went out and destroyed Nebraska by 40 points. The Sooners are just 14-36-1 ATS in their last 51 games as a road underdog. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Texas. OU is 1-8 ATS in road games when playing their 2nd game in a week this season, losing in these spot by an average of 14.8 points. Texas is on a 17-6 ATS run in home games when playing its 3rd game in a week, winning in these spots by 16.3 points on average. It is also a tremendous 11-1 ATS in home games where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by 19.3 points on average. We'll lay the points.
5* NBA *BEST BET* Blowout Bobcats -2
This is a tough spot for the Mavs, who just played last night, and will be playing their 9th game in 14 days. The Bobcats find themselves in a much better spot, playing at home where they are an impressive 20-7 this season, and playing with 2 full days of rest. Charlotte will also be looking for a little bit of revenge here after falling at Dallas by 1 point in December. Right away, you have to like the fact that plays against underdogs playing on back-to-back days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season, are 164-109 the last 5 seasons (60.1%). You also have to like the fact that Charlotte is 13-4 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 97.8 to 90.6. The Bobcats are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing without any days rest. We'll take the Bobcats at home tonight.
BRANDON LANG
15 DIME - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
FREE PICK - PHOENIX SUNS
TEDDY COVERS
Phoenix -2.5
Georgetown +6.5
KING CREOLE
2* Utah Jazz
We're not usually in the habit of lay~ing sizable points on the ROAD in the NBA. But a look at the series history tendencies... the rest situation... and applicable ATS Systems have us squarely on the road favorite. It also certainly doesn't hurt that we'll be riding the #1 POINTSPREAD team in the NBA for the entire season. The Jazz come in with the best ATS record in the league at 37-20-2 ATS for the year.
Check out the series history.... These numbers alone are worthy of a play!
UTAH comes in having won and covering EACH of the last 6 games in this series (8-1 ATS last 9 / 11-2 ATS last 13). The Jazz have won those last 6 games by 10 points... 13 points... 21 points... 16 points... 22 points... and 20 points. That's an average WINNING margin of +17.0 points-per-game. So laying -6 points on the road doesn't look as daunting as usual!
The CLIPPERS played last night up the coast in Sacramento... and lost to the Kings 97-92 (as dogs of +4.5). Meanwhile, the Jazz come in off a big Saturday night win against the Houston Rockets (133 to 110 as favs of -9.5 points). So Utah plays this one in a '1/0' REST situation (1 day rest versus 0 days of rest).
26-10 ATS this season: All FAVORITES in a '1/0' REST situation (JAZZ).... playing off a SU win. For 'tighteners', take your pick:
8-0 ATS vs any opponent off BB SU losses (like the Clippers)...
or
6-0 ATS in the month of February for favorites of < 8 points (JAZZ).
10-2 ATS since November: All NBA teams after scoring 130 or more points in their previous game (JAZZ). Favorites of 10 points (Jazz).
1-7 ATS this season: All NBA teams in the FIRST of a 3-game home stand... playing off BB SU losses (Clips)... versus any opponent off a SU win (JAZZ).
3-16 ATS this season: All NBA underdogs playing off BB SU and ATS road DOG losses... when the OU Line is > 197 points (Clips). In the last 6 weeks, these disheartened underdogs have gone a PERFECT 0-6 ATS.
BEN BURNS
BLUE CHIP BLOWOUT: Jazz/Clippers Under 202
NBA BEST BET: 76'ers +4
PERSONAL FAVORITE: Charlotte -2
BIG MONDAY CBB TOY; Georgetown/West Virginia Under 137
NHL BEST BET: Det/Col Under 5.5
Erin Rynning
Playmaker: Philadelphia Over 197