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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, May 10,2010

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Dwayne Bryant

NEW YORK YANKEES -120

The Yankees are coming off a 9-3 loss in Boston last night. I expect them to bounce back tonight against lefty Dontrelle Willis. The Yankees are batting .297 and scoring 6.52 runs per game against lefties this season. Several Yankees have had success against Willis in limited at-bats, including Derek Jeter (1-for-3, 1 BB), Mark Teixeira (2-for-6), Robinson Cano (1-for-3), and Randy Winn (5-for-18, 1 HR, 1 2B). I expect more production from this Yankees lineup tonight considering the way they're handling lefty pitching this season.

Sergio Mitre gets a spot start tonight while Andy Pettitte recovers from left elbow inflammation. Mitre owns a solid 2.79 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and .250 OBP in 9 2/3 innings of relief work this season. Only two Tigers hitters have ever faced Mitre: Adam Everett (2-for-5, 1 2B, 2 K) and Miguel Cabrera (1-for-5, 2 K). That should give Mitre and the Yankees an edge at least the first time through the Detroit lineup.

Bottom line: While Willis owns a solid 3.99 ERA that improves to 3.27 at home, his 1.50 WHIP (which goes to 1.64 at home) is concerning. That's a lot of base runners to be giving a potent offense like the Yankees. And the way they're hitting lefty pitching, this could get ugly. Take the Yankees with Mitre over Detroit and Willis.

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:33 pm
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The Duke's Sports

Orlando Over (192) for 2.5 Units

The Hawks are on the ropes and its just a matter of time before getting knocked out of this series. We hear very little, if any, positive feedback form Atlanta, inside and outside the organization. Bibby, Joe Johnson, Horford and Josh Smith were horrible in Game 3 and the fans of the Hawks are letting them have it. We're going to look for them, as professionals, to pick up the intensity of their game, particularly on the offensive end; especially, Joe Johnson who is normally a consistent 20+ scorer; moreover, he is a free agent this summer and will have to step up his game here to bring back his status as a premier player with optimum market value. The Hawks are 9-1 O/U off a SU loss of 10+, 5-1 O/U on Mondays, and 10-4 O/U as a home dog of 5 to 10'. Orlando, which is 5-0 O/U on Mondays, have not been defended well by Atlanta. The Magic have averaged 110 ppg in this series and should continue to be yielding here to the well synchronized Magic cast. "Over" the call.

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:34 pm
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Rocketman

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -110

Philadelphia is 31-15 the past 3 years on the road when the money line is -100 to -125. Philadelphia is scoring 5.3 runs per game this year. Greg Smith is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA overall this year, 1-1 with an 8.31 ERA at home this season and 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA his last 3 starts. Philadelphia is 12-3 overall vs. Colorado the past 3 years including 6-1 at Colorado the past 3 seasons. Smith is 0-1 with a 6.35 ERA overall vs Philadelphia since 1997. We'll play Philadelphia for 3 units tonight!

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:35 pm
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Derek Mancini

10 Dime Angels

5 Dime Jazz

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:36 pm
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Chris Jordan

600 Units Magic

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:36 pm
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Al DeMarco

15 Dime Teaser Lakers and Cavaliers

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:37 pm
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Anthony Redd

10 Dime Hawks/Magic Over
10 Dime Jazz
10 Dime Magic

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:37 pm
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Teddy Covers

Magics -6

Tigers

Blue Jays

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:38 pm
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Dr Bob

Opinions

ATLANTA (+6 1/2) over Orlando

UTAH (-3) over L.A. Lakers

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:39 pm
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Steven Budin

The Greek Syndicate has a 25 Dime play on Los Angeles in tonigho's game at Utah. As this play is released at 2:00 PM Eastern, the Lakers are -2 1/2 to 3 point underdogs depending on where you shop in Vegas and offshore so shop arouod for the best price. In either case, I recommend buying up the 1/2 point on Los Angeles as insurance, making the Lakers a bigger underdog.

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:49 pm
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Power Play Wins

Yankees -152

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 3:58 pm
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KELSO

10 Units Orlando Magic -6.5

10 Units Utah Jazz -3

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 4:05 pm
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ATS Financial

3 Units Orlando Magic -6

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 4:05 pm
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Scott Spreitzer

NBA TOM

Lakers/Jazz Under 207

These two have hooked-up seven times already this season, with tonight's total being the highest of all seven meetings, at the time of this release. In fact, the previous high came in the first meeting back in December. The total was 206 1/2, and the teams combined to score just 178 points. The first three games in this particular playoff series saw totals of 198 1/2 in the first two games, and 202 in the third. Thanks to higher scoring games than expected, there has now been an over-adjustment, thanks to faulty public perception. As far as the matchups are concerned, Utah's only chance to win is to get extremely aggressive on the defensive end. Meanwhile, the Lakers big-time size advantage inside, will deny Utah's ability to score in the paint. These two have gone Under the total in seven of their last 10 meetings, and the Lakers are on a 12-5 run to the Under as an underdog. Despite all three playoff games going Over the total, Jerry Sloan-coached Jazz teams are 70-47 to the Under in postseason play, with an average combined point total of 189.2, almost 18 points less than tonight's number. You can't say it's a "wrong" total from the linesmaker's perspective. The public has forced the high number. What you can say is that the public is wrong. Let's take advantage, just like the books do. I'm playing the Under between the Lakers & Jazz on Monday.

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 4:11 pm
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OC Dooley

3 UNITS Pirates +105

1 UNIT Canadiens +155

1 UNIT Yankees / Tigers UNDER 10.5

The posted total for tonight's game has risen due to the fact that Detroit has scratched scheduled starter Dontrelle Willis due to the flu. That means Detroit will be going with reliever Brad Thomas who will be on a pitch count just like Sergio Mitre of the Yankees who will be making his initial starting assignment this evening in place of the injured Andy Pettitte.

 
Posted : May 10, 2010 4:13 pm
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