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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Monday, May 3,2010

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Don Wallace Sports

4* Phoenix -4

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 8:56 am
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JR O'Donnell

3* Cincinnati -123

We are all over Rookie Reds pitcher M Leake who sports a 2-0, 3.25 ERA as the Reds have confidence with this rookie hurler. He has been a dynamite pitcher so far this young season as last outing he went a strong 7 innings and the Reds have won 3 out of the last 4 he has thrown. Oliver Perez the Met's pitcher has been pasted so far this season and his terrible 0-2, 4.35 ERA, he can't find the strike zone and the NY Met's are coming back to earth fast, We had those Phillies last night as a nice juicy dog + 120, The Jr Power ratings we have so far have the Reds at a 2.5 run variance.

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 8:57 am
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Ben Burns

Situational Blockbuster

Cincinnati

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 8:58 am
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CHRIS JORDAN

600♦ PHOENIX SUNS

200♦ CLEVELAND INDIANS

100♦ BOSTON CELTICS

100♦ ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 9:38 am
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Karl Garrett

30 Dime - Phoenix Suns

10 Dime - Angels

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 9:39 am
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Big Al

Roadkill - Oakland

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:53 am
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Scott Spreitzer

Spurs

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:53 am
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Jeff Benton

15 Dime Celtics

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:54 am
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Matt Fargo

10* Phillies

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:54 am
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Scott Delaney

40 Dime Red Sox -1.5

How bad do you think Clay Buchholz wants to win this game? He’s 2-2 on the season with a 2.19 ERA, and his bright spots have come on the highway. On visiting mounds, the right-hander is 2-0 with a stingy 2.08 ERA, including his last start, in which he allowed one earned run in eight innings at Toronto.

But at home, he’s 0-2 with an equally impressive 2.31 ERA. It’s that first win at home he’s dying to nab, and tonight is the perfect spot. The Angels just finished up losing each one of a three-game set in Motown and appear to have brought their road struggles on this tour. The Halos are now 3-6 on the road after being outscored 18-9 in their series with Detroit.

The Red Sox should be able to provide Buchholz all the run support he’ll need, as Joe Saunders is on the mound for the Halos and brings a two-game skid along with him. The Angels’ southpaw is now 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA after giving up eight earned runs over 7-2/3 innings in his last two starts, against Cleveland and Detroit. The Tigers and Indians belted out 15 hits while walking six and striking out just two, so I can only imagine how he’ll do against a Red Sox team that is hitting .260 (which ranks 16th) and is 10th in the league with 227 hits.

Boston is not going to be in a good mood either, as it comes home after being swept in Baltimore over the weekend. And if anyone read Theo Epstein’s comments, then you know he isn’t going to stand for this type of losing any longer. Let’s list both pitchers and bank on a blowout win by the Red Sox in this A.L. East clash.

10 Dime Suns

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:55 am
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Dr Bob

2* Suns -3.5

Opinion Boston +6

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:56 am
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Al Demarco

5 Dime Phoenix

5 Dime Series Phoenix

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:57 am
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The Hoops Guru Guaranteed Selections

NBA TRIPLE PLAY PLAYOFF WINNER

Boston +6

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:58 am
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Erin Rynning

SA Spurs Under

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 11:58 am
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King Creole

3* Celtics / Cavs Over 192

The 'worm is turning' in terms of the TOTALS in the Cavaliers / Celtics series. After a period of significant "UNDER" results... it's gone the OTHER way as of late. These two teams have played each other 5 time sos far in the 2009/2010 season. And ALL FIVE games have gone "OVER the Total" (5-0 O/U). Average OU line in this series: 190.5 points... Average combined points scored: 200.2. That's an average OU 'margin' of almost DOUBLE DIGITS per game (+9.7 points). Both of these teams have also put up tremendous HIGH-scoring tendencies in ALL Playoff Game Two's. The CELTICS are a PERFECT 5-0 O/U in Playoff GAME TWO's in the last 3 seasons... while the CAVALIERS are 6-1 O/U at home in Playoff GAME TWO's.

When querying the '2/2' game (Round 2 / Game 2), this OU result immediately jumped out at me. And it's all we really need to know for this game:
20-4 O/U since 1991 for All NBA Playoff '2.2' HOME teams playing off a SU and ATS win in Game One (CAVALIERS). In fact, since the 2005 season... thee games have gone a PERFECT 9-0 O/U... with an average OU margin of +13.2 points power ga~me.

Game One's result was an 8-point win for the hots CAVS. They covered the pointspread (amazing since they were losing pretty big in the first half) by ONE slim point.
5-0 O/U since 1994: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO teams who covered the spread by 2 or less points in their last game... and it went 'OVER the TOTAL' (CAVS)... when the OU line is 188 > points.

10-0 O/U since 1991: All NBA Playoff home favorites (any round / any game) of -3 to -13 points playing off a SU home Playoff win and an ATS win of only 1 point EXACT (CAVS).

Let's take a look at the SEEDS for tonight's Game Two. Cleveland comes in as the Eastern Conference's #1 Seed... while Boston is seeded #4.

20-8 O/U since 2004: All NBA Playoff #1 SEEDS in any Game TWO (CAVS)... when the OU Line is 179 > points. Teams in the Eastern Conference are 10-1 O/U when favored by -15 or less points (CAVS).

9-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff #4 SEEDS in any Game TWO (CELTICS)... when the OU Line is 184 > points.

Put em BOTH together, and you get:
6-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff #1 Seeds (CAVS) versus a #4 Seed (CELTICS)... when the OU line falls in the range of 184 to 214 points.

Game One was on Saturday... so both teams come in on only 1 day of rest...
32-11 O/U last 5 years: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO home teams playing with 1 day of REST (CAVS). Teams in the Eastern Conference have gone 18-3 O/U (CAVS).... and a PERFECT 11-0 O/U when the OU line is 186 > points.

What is it about MONDAYS that results in such HIGH-scoring results?
10-0 O/U since 2006: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO home favorites of -2 > points playing on a MONDAY (CAVS)...
17-4 O/U: All NBA Playoff ROUND TWO home teams (ANY game #) on a MONDAY when the OU line is > 190 points (CAVS). Home favs of -4 > points have gone 8-1 O/U.

After long period of low-scoring results when these two division hoop up against each other, the results have gone the OTHER way as of late.
9-1 O/U last 2 seasons: All NBA Playoff games when the CENTRAL Division (CAVS) has taken on an ATLANTIC Division opponent (CELTICS).

 
Posted : May 3, 2010 12:04 pm
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