Craig Davis
40 Dime Hawks
25 Dime Braves
BIG AL
3* White Sox/Mariners Under 8.5
4* Bobcats +2
4* Bucks -1
3* Lakers +2
ATS Lock Club
5 Units Rays
4 Units Indians
4 Units Cubs
4 Units Magic -2
4 Units Suns -1
Mike Lineback
Suns -1.5
Oklahoma City -2
King Creole
5* Phoenix/Portland Under 202
It's been a close series thus far between the Suns and Blazers in Over / Under terms. Thanks to a 4th quarter flurry of 63 points in Game One, the 'OVER' hit by a HALF a point. In Game Two, the 209 total points scored by both teams cashed an 'OVER' by 6 points. Game Three went 'UNDER" the total by only 5.5 points. The oddsmakers have been right ON in terms of the OU Lines thus far.
Our visit to the Playbook NBA database has us squarely on the 'UNDER' in Game Four... in fact, there's certainly enough OU ammo to warrant our highest rating. We covered as many applicable but distinct situations as possible. In our database, the 4th game in the First-round is known as the '1/4' game.
5-18 O/U since 98: All '1/4' games with an OU line of 194 > points. In the last 6 seasons, the numbers improve to 2-10 O/U.
0-7 O/U L3Y: All '1/4' home underdogs (Blazers) playing off an 'UNDER' in their last game.
1-7 O/U L5Y: All '1/4' games involving a #3 SEED (Suns) versus a #6 SEED (Blazers).
To get a different perspective, we also ran some sets in the database for ALL Game Four situations (in ANY round).
Portland won Game One of this series (by 5 pts)... and lost the last two in a row (by 19 pts and 29 pts)...
1-9 O/U since 94: All GAME FOUR home underdogs playing of a SU loss.. SU loss... and SU win (Blazers).
0-6 O/U since 04: All GAME FOURS played on a SATURDAY.... with an OU line of 189 > points.
The following Systems are active in ALL NBA Playoff games, regardless of round or game number...
0-4 O/U last year / 2-8 O/U L3Y: All NBA PLAYOFF teams playing off BB SU losses of 15 > pts each (Blazers).
1-8 O/U since 03: All NBA PLAYOFF underdogs playing of a SU home loss of 18 or more points (Blazers).
0-5 O/U since 04: All NBA PLAYOFF teams off BB SU losses (Blazers) in which they scored 90 > points each.. with an OU line of 190 > points.
7-22 O/U L4Y: All NBA PLAYOFF teams playing off an ATS win of 20 > points (Suns). If the OU line is > 190 points, the results shoot up to 2-12 O/U. And 1-7 O/U if playing off a UNDERDOG win (like Phoenix is).
A quick look at the LOW pointspread in this game... the HIGH Over / Under line... and the OU tendencies between these two divisions...
2-14 O/U since 03: All NBA PLAYOFF home underdogs (Blazers)... when the OU line is 200 or more points. Since the 2006 season, non-DIVISION games have gone a perfect 0-8 O/U.
7-24-1 O/U L5Y: All NBA PLAYOFF 'short' road favorites of -4 195 points, the results improve to a perfect 0-10 O/U.
1-7 O/U L5Y: All NBA PLAYOFF Northwest Division home teams (Blazers)... versus a Pacific Division opponent (Suns)... when the OU line is < 209 points. And if the OU line range in these games is 194 to 208 points, the results shoot up to a perfect 0-5 O/U.
JR O'Donnell
3* Oklahoma City -2
JR O grabs the Thunder here at home as let's make it a 3* as the key is Westbrook can't be stopped by Fischer. Russel Westbrook has been terrific in this series.and he is averaging 24ppg and D Fisher can't do anything to stop him. We feel that Fisher is a very inconsistent player. The Vegas crew opened this baby at 1 and the sharps moved it to 2 immediately. The Scott Brooks lead club has the swagger at home tonight. The home energy here has the Thunder focused and ready and the Boys from Okie City come out on top. We note that the Thunder are a sweet 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Jr has this power play rating at 5 points to the Thunder.
KIKI SPORTS
2 Units Orlando Magic -2
1 Unit Atlanta Braves -150
1 Unit Boston -1.5 +112
Mike Cannon
40 Dime Suns
20 Dime NYY
Don Wallace Sports
4* Milwaukee -1
Kyle Bales
15* Phoenix Suns -2
10* LA Lakers +2
5* LA Angels +108
Matt Dennehy
SD Padres +115
Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Charlotte +2
50* Bucks -1
100* La Angels +105
50* Boston -200
Jay McNeil
60 Dime Atlanta Hawks
Seabass
200* Steam Bobcats
MR EAST
MLB SATURDAY SLAUGHTER
LA DODGERS @ WASHINGTON NATIONALS
3 UNITS: LA DODGERS -160
The Washington Nationals are a surprising 9-8 through their first 17 games, while the Dodgers enter here below .500. Clayton Kershaw should be able to stop the bleeding as he has allowed 3 runs or less in 11 of his last 12 starts dating back to last season. Craig Stammen hasn't exactly been a stopper for the Nats entering here with an 8.16 ERA. Stammen has led the Nats to a dismal 0-8 mark starting game 2 of a series. I will back the Dodgers in this one.