BIG AL
5* Jazz -4.5
3* Jazz/Lakers Under 202
Scott Spreitzer
5* GOY Utah Jazz
Chuck O`Brien
25 Dime - Jazz
10 Dime - Padres
Chris Jordan
600 Units - Twins -1.5
200 Units - Magic
Bobby Maxwell
300 Units - Magic
100 Units - Padres
Al DeMarco
10 Dime - Jazz
Bob Valentino
50 Dime - Utah Jazz
Don Wallace Sports
4* Atlanta +2
4* Utah -4.5
Craig Davis
50 Dime - Twins -1.5
30 Dime - Jazz
ATS Lock Club
3 Units Jazz -4.5
5 Units White Sox
4 Units Rockies
4 Units Brewers/DBacks Over 10
Dave Cokin
Listed pitchers must go: (L) WOLF, R vs. (R) VALDEZ, C
Play: Milwaukee (ML +100)
The Brewers got to the winner's circle for me on Friday night, and I'll come right back with them again here. Randy Wolf has not pitched at the same level as he did a year ago for the Dodgers, but he looms as a likely winner here. Wolf has enjoyed great success at this site, winning six of seven career decisions. Rookie Cesar Valdez did okay in his first big league start, but that was against a weak Houston offense. It gets tougher here, and Valdez could be victim to erratic control while probably not missing many bats. The Brewers let a win get away on Thursday thanks to some poor defense, but if not for that they would be on a nice little winning streak right now. In any case, they should make it two straight over the Diamondbacks tonight.
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Listed pitchers must go: (R) CHACIN, J vs. (R) HAEGER, C
Play: Colorado (ML +105)
Jhoulys Chacin started getting lots of attention last season, but when he was called up to Colorado, the touted rookie just wasn't quite ready. The problem was his breaking ball, which just wasn't very refined and it basically forced him to rely exclusively on his fastball and changeup. Now it looks as though Chacin has the complete arsenal at his disposal and he absolutely dominated the Giants in his initial big league start of the season last weekend. He faces a tougher lineup here as he goes against the potent Dodgers. But Chacin should benefit from lots of run support against Charlie Haeger. The LA knuckleballer can be very good when that crazy pitch is dancing, but his poor outings have far outweighed the good ones. I like the Rockies to pick up the Saturday night win.
Jimmy Boyd
Play: Under (203.5 -125) 3* NBA Playoffs "Total" Dominator on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 203.5
The first two games of this series have gone over the number, the under is still 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. It is also a perfect 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Utah. This is the first game this series where the total has been listed at over 200 points and that is significant because the Lakers are 14-6 Under when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season, and we are only seeing 195.2 total points scored on average in these games. In addition, Utah is 22-11 Under in home games where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons, and we are seeing an average total score of just 201.8 points in these games. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are 12-4 Under as a road underdog this season, and we are only seeing 188.6 total points scored in this situation on average. With both teams extremely fresh after several days of rest, I expect them both to really get after it on the defensive end tonight. Bet the Under.
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Eh, I juist copied/pasted the bottom play but based on the write-up, I think this should be the Angels... The post has not been modified.
Chip Chirimbes
Listed pitchers must go: (L) SAUNDERS, J vs. (R) FISTER, D
Play: Seattle (ML -121)
Make me understand why and I will change sides...otherwise, it's the Mariners for me. Let me see, Seattle has lost seven in-a-row, they are 1-7 lifetime against opposing starter Joe Saundersand they are starting a rookie. Too many negative to be favored. Take MARINERS!
King Creole
2* Magic / Hawks Under 195
Game Two of this series may have went OVER the Total (and we were ON it as well).... but that won't be the case in Saturday's Game Three. Let's not forget that this is historically a LOW-scoring series... as most games are when Southeast Division teams hook up against each other. And Atlanta went 1-3 O/U at HOME in their first-round series against the Milwaukee Bucks. Average points scored in those 4 games were only 180.7.... and the OU line was 187.8 (on average). When the HAWKS take on the MAGIC and the OU line is GREATER than (>) 193 points, the results have been 4-14 O/U since the 2004 season... and that includes a PERFECT 0-5 O/U in the last 2 seasons... and 1-7 O/U when playing IN Atlanta.
Let's head into our OU System queries. We'll take a look at the '2/3' game (Round 2 / Game 3).... ALL Playoff GAME THREE's.... and ALL Playoff games period.
For an EASTERN CONFERENCE Playoff game, tonight's OU line is sure on the high-side. At last look, the OU line was 195 points.
1-8 O/U since 1996: All NBA Playoff games in the 2nd, 3rd, or 4th round when EASTERN CONFERENCE opponents are playing each other... and the OU line is 195 > points.
1-6 O/U: All NBA Playoff '2/3' (Round 2 / Game 3) HOME teams (Hawks) taking on a fellow division opponent (Magic) when the OU line is 189 > points.
Orlando comes in on quite the roll. They have NOT lost a game in FIVE Weeks! They have gone a PERFECT 6-0 SU in the Playoffs... and finished the regular season on a 6-game winning streak.
0-6 O/U since 2005: All NBA Playoff GAME THREE teams who have won 2 straight games in a row... and SWEPT their previous Playoff series in 4 straight games (Magic).
Orlando was a BIG favorite in Games One and Two (-9 and -9.5 respectively)... and won by scores of 114 to 71... and 112 to 98.
0-6 O/U since 2000: All NBA Playoff GAME THREE road teams who scored 110 > points in each of their last two games (Magic) when the OU line is 215 points... and a SU win of 30 > points (Magic).
1-8 O/U since 1999: All NBA Playoff (any round / any game) road teams playing off 6 or more SU playoff wins in a row (Magic).
1-7 O/U since 2003: All NBA Playoff Round 2. 3, or 4 teams playing off BB SU and ATS wins when they were a favorite of -9 > points in both of those games (Magic).
JR O'Donnell
2* Lakers / Jazz Under 202.5
Jr's off a huge winner last night as the King James lead Cavs rolled the Celtics by 30 and tonight's play will be on the Under 202.5. We have a huge power rating variance on this game , a 7 point overlay give us another Jr O 2* winner. Jazz own a solid mark at home and the Lakers play some killer D on the road but not consistent O. The public will be all on the Over and we will be playing the Under strong. The Utah Jazz are banged up but do own a swagger at home. The Lakers are an Under machine as a road dog @ 10-4 71% in Lakers last 14 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Ben Burns
10* Jazz Under
10* CWS
8* Red Sox +1.5
6* Mets
9* Hawks +2
Jeff Benton
30 Dime: Orlando Magic
Let’s see what we’re dealing with here, OK?
You’ve got the Atlanta Hawks, who got annihilated in Game 1 of this series in Orlando, losing 114-71 and thus becoming – for 48 hours – a national sports punch line. Then, with a chance to redeem themselves and show some heart, the Hawks did just that … for about 24 minutes, as they took an eight-point lead into halftime. Then in the blink of an eye, Orlando went on an 11-2 run to regain the lead. That was followed in the fourth quarter by a decisive 19-2 surge that put the Magic up by 19 and they ended up cruising to a 14-point victory.
That gives Orlando a 12-game winning streak going back to the regular season. That 12-game winning streak includes nine double-digit routs, with wins by margins of 14, 43, 15, 10, 14, 20, 15, 27 and 15 points. In these playoffs, the Magic are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS (cashing in the last five in a row) with an average margin of victory of 15.7 ppg. And only one of the Orlando’s postseason victories was by fewer than nine points.
Furthermore, since January 20, the Magic are 39-8, and of those 39 wins, 27 have been by 10 points or more!
Guys, you can question the caliber of competition – the Bobcats and Hawks – but I’m not going to. The Magic have simply been THE most impressive team in the playoffs so far. At the same time, the Hawks have been maddeningly inconsistent. They’ve fallen asleep in the second half in almost every playoff game so far, squandering lead after lead after lead.
And honestly, the Hawks have to be a complete mess psychologically. Think about it: After getting completely boat-raced in Game 1, they came back in Game 2 and punched the Magic in the mouth – literally, too, as Orlando big man Dwight Howard got popped in the face early in the third quarter and had to leave temporarily – and STILL lost again by double digits. For those keeping track, that means the Magic have now won eight of the last nine meetings against the Hawks (including three of four in Atlanta). This year alone, Orlando’s five wins have been by 14, 17 (on the road), 32, 18 and 43 points.
The Hawks’ only win during this nine-game stretch against Orlando came on March 24 at home, and it was NOT easy (86-84, with the Magic actually holding a 13-point lead at one point and the Hawks stinking it up again down the stretch with an 18-point fourth quarter). The main reason the Hawks won that contest? Orlando sharpshooter Rashard Lewis had an off night (2-for-9 overall, 0-4 from three-point land, 6 total points). Well, on Thursday, so far in this series, Lewis is 11-for-22 (50 percent), and he’s scored in double figures in five of the Magic’s six playoff games, the only exception being a nine-point effort in the 43-point Game 1 blowout when he only played 28 minutes.
Guys, I know this is usually THE perfect spot to back the home team (down 0-2, back at home, being a small underdog in a must-win situation). But there are exceptions to every rule, and the fact remains that the Magic are a NIGHTMARE matchup for Atlanta. And as long as Orlando can weather what will surely be an early storm and as long as they don’t get complacent – hard to believe that will happen given a 12-game winning streak – then they'll roll to another easy win.
SEABASS
300* COL
300* LAD OVER
50* SD
50* NYY
50* TB
100* UTAH
100* UTAH UNDER
50* ORL
200* STEAM - DET
FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
100* Orlando -2
50* Utah -4.5
100* Mets -180
50* Yankees -135
25* Penguins -270
25* Red Wings +120