Matt Fargo
Yankees at Red Sox
Pick: Red Sox +127
The Yankees took Game One of this series last night in Boston to make it three in a row over the Red Sox but the value lies with the home team this afternoon in this huge rivalry game. Boston had its four-game winning streak snapped in the process and dropped back to .500 on the season. While the Yankees have owned this series dating back to last season with wins in 12 of the last 14 meetings, the situation sets up well for the Red Sox to get their second win against the Yankees this year. C.C. Sabathia has been outstanding over his last five outings as all have been quality starts but he now faced the team that he struggled against in his opening start of the year. Sabathia allowed five runs on six hits in 5.1 innings in a 9-7 loss on opening night and I would not be surprised to see another poor showing today. Three of his last four starts at Fenway Park have been rough ones as he has put up a 7.71 ERA and 1.54 ERA in those four games and four of his last seven starts against Boston overall have been non-quality outings, while his ERA over those seven games is a below average 4.91. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last five games against left-handed starters and they are hitting .339 against southpaws over their last 10 games. Clay Buchholz has quietly put together a very solid season as he has a 2.97 ERA through his first five starts. He has pitched a little better on the road this season but he has a 3.86 ERA in 18 career starts at Fenway Park. He has never defeated the Yankees but two of his three starts have been quality and going back to last season Boston is 12-4 in his last 16 starts. 9* Boston Red Sox
Kiki Sports
2 Units Yankees
1 Unit Orlando -2.5
1 Unit San Diego -130
Champion Sports
Colorado @ Los Angeles
Play: Colorado +105
This is a play strictly against Charlie Haeger. Right handed knuckleballer Haeger has been drilled in his last three starts. Colorado has the type of offense that can do some damage to that pitch, and they'll get to him early. J. Chacin for the Rockies had a very impressive debut against San Fran. on Sunday
Eddie Roman
20K Dime Atlanta / Orlando Over 195
Erin Rynning
Playmaker: Atlanta Under 195
ANTHONY REDD
30 DIME Utah Jazz (1st Half)
20 DIME Utah Jazz
KARL GARRETT
30 DIME Orlando Magic
10 DIME Chicago Cubs
DEREK MANCINI
15 DIME Utah Jazz
5 DIME SD Padres
MICHAEL CANNON
25 DIME Orlando Magic
15 DIME Tampa Bay Rays
STEPHEN NOVER
20 DIME Orlando Magic
Billy Coleman
3* Toronto Under 8
Rocketman
4* Orlando -2
5* Tampa Bay
5* Toronto
KELSO
10 Units Orlando Magic -2.5
10 Units LA Lakers +4.5
ATS Financial
3 Units Orlando Magic -2
3G-Sports
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Pick: New York Yankees
I like the Yankees bats a lot more than the RedSox. Sabathia also took the loss on opening day against Boston and its a little payback tonight! The Red Sox are 0-5 when Clay Buchholz starts vs a team that has won at least their last three games and The Yankees are 8-0 when CC Sabathia starts as a road favorite after throwing more than 100 pitches. Another trend we have is that Boston is 2-18 as a dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series. Take the Yankees on Saturday afternoon!
Scott Rickenbach
10* (TOP PLAY) Chicago White Sox / Toronto Over
While it is true that it will be chilly in Chicago this evening, it’s also true that gusty northwest winds means that the ball should carry quite well in this one. It’s going to be an outwind (and a strong one at that) in tonight’s game at US Cellular Field. Considering all the home run power these two teams have – they are the top two home run hitting teams in the American League – we feel that we could see some long balls in this one! With a total of just 8 on this game, we see huge value with the over in this match-up. Jake Peavy has been shaky – to say the least – so far this season for the White Sox. The right-hander, before a strong outing against a slumping Royals lineup in his last start, had been roughed up in four of his five starts so far this season. This included getting clobbered by the same Blue Jays lineup that he will now run into again tonight. Peavy is quickly finding out how much tougher it is to pitch in the American League. Keep in mind, the right-hander had spent his entire career in the National League (in pitcher friendly San Diego) until making three starts with the White Sox late last season. So far this season Peavy has struggled and, prior to his solid start against Kansas City in his most recent outing, he hadn’t lasted more than five innings in his first two home starts this season. Peavy won’t be the only starting pitcher likely to struggled with home run hitting lineup tonight.
The Blue Jays Brett Cecil is facing a White Sox team that has been hammering long balls in recent weeks! The Toronto southpaw has very impressive numbers so far this season. However, this is still a pitcher that is just 23 years old and that struggled to a 5.30 ERA last season as he got knocked around at a .308 clip by major league hitters! Right-handed bats have hit .300 against Cecil in his young career and he’ll be facing plenty of those in this match-up. Also, he’s compiled a 5.46 ERA on the road in his young career as he’s certainly preferred pitching at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Also, though he’s compiled an impressive ERA in day games, note that Cecil has a 5.42 ERA in night games. Additionally, Cecil has a 6.01 ERA in his career games played outdoors. Now, on a chilly night in Chicago with the wind blowing out to center, this is not a good situation for Cecil at all. We expect him to struggle to get comfortable on the mound and, though he’s had a great start to this season, this is only his fourth start of the year and the most recent one came against a slumping Indians lineup. Prior to that, though he pitched well, Cecil still allowed 5 earned runs on 11 hits in 12.2 innings of work.
As you can see from the above, it’s not like Cecil has been unhittable this season and we certainly like the way the White Sox have been swinging the bats lately in terms of their power. That has helped power the ChiSox to averaging 5.25 runs per game during an eight game stretch that preceded the tough match-up the White Sox had with Dana Eveland on Thursday. Then, on Friday, the ChiSox and Blue Jays each had three homers in the game and we look for more of the same tonight. We also like the fact that each team had to use four innings of bullpen in last night’s 12-inning game. The White Sox are 7-2-1 to the over in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays are 6-3 to the over in their last 9 games. Also, the ChiSox are 12-5 to the over when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Additionally, the Blue Jays are 12-8 to the over in night games this season. So we have combined ATS edges of 24-13 that favor the over in this one! Play OVER the total in the Chicago White Sox game as a *10* Top Play selection.
John Fina
Jazz
Matt Fargo
10* Utah Jazz -4.5
Lenny Stevens
10* Jazz