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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Sunday, January 30, 2011

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(@blade)
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Marc Lawrence

3 Units Boston Celtics

The defending champs were beginning to show signs of life until they crashed and burned Friday night at the Staples Center against Sacramento. Meanwhile, they continue to burn money (21-25-1 ATS) this season, especially against opponents off SU and ATS loss (5-15-1 ATS). With the Celtics a neat 29-13-3 ATS in the City of Angels since 1991 (17-8-1 vs Lakers, 12-5-2 ATS vs Clippers), we expect Boston to improve on its 10-3-1 ATS mark on the road with revenge in this series as they arrive with the nastiest of paybacks (Game Seven title game loss). Boston's determined 10-3 SU record versus .600 or greater opposition this season, including 4-1 ATS as dogs, also ties in nicely into L.A.'s lousy 1-11-1 ATS mark a home in games off a SU favorite loss in which it owns a win percentage of less than .720 when taking on a .650 or greater Eastern Conference foe. These two meet again in The Garden just 10 days from now and we may very well be holding a different script on that night but today it's the visitors that hit Hollywood starving and hungry for revenge. Celtics outright. We recommend a 3-unit play on Boston.

3 Units St. Johns

When the Red Storm play host to the Blue Devils in this colorful non-conference clash in New York City this afternoon they will take the court with revenge while playing off a 25-point previous home loss. That sets the table for today's play as our database note that winning home dogs of more than six points with revenge off a loss of 20+ points who lost their previous home game are 10-0 ATS when hosting an opponent off a double-digit win. With the Storm 4-1 SU and ATS in games when seeking revenge this season, we'll grab the points with this live home dog today. We recommend a 3-unit play on St. John's.

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 8:58 am
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Anthony Redd

20 Dime Miami FL
20 Dime Central Michigan
20 Dime Northern Iowa

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 9:35 am
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EZWinners

LA Lakers

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 9:52 am
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Evan Altemus

St. Johns +8.5

Seton Hall -4.5

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 10:03 am
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Jeff Benton

10 Dime Michigan State

Hard to believe the Spartans were the preseason No. 2 in the country behind defending-champion Duke, as Tom Izzo’s squad comes into this one off three straight losses – including Thursday’s stunning 61-57 home loss to Michigan as an 11-point favorite – and is just 2-4 SU (0-6 ATS) in its last six.

Well, if ever there was a “get-healthy” game, it’s this one against Indiana. Indeed, the Hoosiers (11-10) are a much-improved unit this year, and they’re coming off Thursday’s 52-49 home win over No. 21 Illinois, their first win over a ranked team since coach Tom Crean took over the historic-but-beleaguered program three years ago. However, Indiana is still just 2-8 in its last 10 games, and more importantly the Hoosiers are 0-for-6 on the road this season.

Last Sunday, Indiana went to Iowa (a below-average Big Ten squad) and got pummeled 91-77. That follows a nine-point loss at Wisconsin, a 22-point loss at Northwestern, a 19-point loss at Kentucky and a 12-point loss at Boston College. They also dropped a pair of neutral-site games to Northern Iowa and Colorado. The only time all year Indiana has truly been competitive away from Bloomington was a 67-63 loss at Minnesota as a nine-point underdog on Jan. 4.

In the end, what we have here is a very talented yet desperate Michigan State squad in a must-win situation facing an inferior opponent coming off a huge win (think: letdown). And the fact is I trust Izzo to light a fuse under his players backsides and have them ready to roll much more than I trust Crean – who along with his players celebrated way too much after the Illinois win – to bring his guys back to earth.

Know this, too: Because of Michigan State’s 2-4 SU/0-6 ATS slide, we’re getting great line value with the Spartans, who have won four straight from Indiana – including two home wins by margins of 28 and 29 points.

Michigan State rolls and rolls BIG!

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 10:04 am
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Keith Glantz

Duke

Lakers

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 10:35 am
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Paul Leiner

500* Bos/LA Over 184
50* Seton Hall -4
25* AFC Pk

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 10:52 am
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Great Lakes Sports

4* LA Lakers
3* Denver

4* Washington
3* Illinois State
3* Michigan

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 10:53 am
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Red Dog Sports

10* Lakers

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 11:14 am
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Jimmy Boyd

4* Iowa +7

3* Celtics +3

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 11:16 am
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MTi Sports

4'* Celtics
4'* Jazz Over
4* Hornets
4* Thunder Over

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 11:19 am
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Ben Burns

10* Denver Under 208.5
10* Phoenix
10* Washington State
9* Missouri State
8* Michigan Under 127.5

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 11:56 am
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Chris Jordan

100♦ Duke
100♦ N.Iowa
100♦ Orlando

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 11:57 am
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Helmut

20* Michigan State Under 136

South Alabama Over 149

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 11:58 am
 dhk
(@dhk)
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Hey Blade can you put up Tim Trushel plays?

 
Posted : January 30, 2011 12:18 pm
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