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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Thursday, April 29,2010

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TONY GEORGE

Texas -130

The Whit Sox send Gavin Flotd tot he hill with over an 8 ERA on the season and a whopping 10.80 ERA his last 3 starts. Given the faqct the Rangers wons last night, are 7-3 as a fav, and have the better hitting and offense BY FAR in this game, this is a very cheap line. Feldman is not the best Rangers starter, with over a 5 ERA but he is better than his counterpart, and has run support in this matchup. Chicago is hurting in the bullpen as of late tossing out a 4.70 ERA their last 3 games while the Rangers in their last 3 have provided their starters with a 2.59 ERA. White Sox just 2-7 on the road this year.

Play 1.5 Units on the Rangers

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:07 pm
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Cal Sports

4* Suns Over

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:08 pm
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

10* Toronto -124

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:

Justin Duchscherer heads to the mound for the A's, and although he's pitched well lately, I believe he's going to stumble on the road.

He got the 10-0 rout over the Indians on Friday, but battled with command issues, walking a season high five batters; it has to be noted that Duchsherer was repeatedly bailed out by the A's defense; in all he allowed five hits, four walks and struck out two.

In the other dugout: Last time out Ricky Romero threw seven innings, allowed just two runs on six against the Rays.

Romero has a 1.80 ERA with 25 strikeouts in four starts.

In two starts against the A's last year, Romero went 2-0 with a1.29 ERA.

Bottom line: The A's are 1-6 their last seven at the Rogers Center and have dropped 12 of 15 overall to the Blue Jays.

The A's got smoked by the Rays in their last series; they stranded 18 in the two losses to Tampa Bay including an 0 for 13 performance with runners in scoring position.

Toronto will be looking to halt a season-high five game slide after mustering only two hits in a 2-0 loss to the Red Sox yesterday.

Both teams need a big win here, but I feel that home field advantage is big in this case, and I also believe that Romero is the superior pitcher;

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:18 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

Portland -1

The Blazers blasted out to a fast start in Game 5 only to see the Suns come back and fly past them. Portland blew a 17-4 first quarter lead going on to lose 107-88. Tonight, the Blazers try to stave off elimination when they host the Suns. In that Game 5, the stats in the game are almost identical but the Suns connected on 29 of 32 free throws, which accounted for most of the deficit. Also, Roy who came back and played a spirited Game 4, couldn’t get his game going scoring only 9 points in 19 minutes. He was saddled with early foul trouble and never got his rhythm. However, tonight with two days rest and a home crowd supporting him and the Blazers we look for a much different result. We look for Portland to extend the series with a big win over the Suns. Play on Portland.

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:18 pm
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Marc Lawrence

San Antonio -3.5

The Spurs host the Mavericks in Game SIx of this opening round playoff matchup this evening knowing San Antonio is in a terrific winning spot. For openers, the Spurs are 13-4 SU and 13-3-1 ATS at home off one playoff loss exact, including 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS in Round One games. In addition, San Antonio is 14-6-1 ATS in this series when playing off a loss of eight or more points, including 6-0 SU and ATS when they own a win percentage of less than .630. The clincher, though, is a super system from our database that tells us to: Play On any Game Six home team in the playoffs off one loss exact, as these teams are 23-12 ATS, including 7-0 SU and ATS the last three years running. Look for this series to move on to a 7th and final game. We recommend a 3-unit play on San Antonio.

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:19 pm
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Evan Altemus

4 Units Dallas / San Antonio Under 191.5

This total is simply too high for this series. Five of the last six games between these two teams have gone under the total, with the only game that didn’t being a push. This game sets up even better for the under because of Dallas’ offensive performance in their last game. The Spurs have done a good job and limiting the Mavericks offense in this series but didn’t bring a good defensive effort last game. As a result, Dallas was able to score over 100 points for the first time in this series. Because of that, I expect the Spurs to really focus on shutting down the Mavericks offense again. They know that they cannot get in an offensive shootout with Dallas and expect to win. In addition, Tim Duncan has been struggling on the offensive end. The Mavericks will also play tough defense because it’s an elimination game. Look for scoring to be at a premium in this game, as both teams will finish with right around 90 points.

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:19 pm
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Mike Lineback

Dallas / San Antonio Under 191

Dallas finally stepped up their urgency, and more importantly, their defensive play in G#5, to move the series back to San Antonio. Doubt very much, Popovich & Spurs, will allow Dallas to control tempo in this game. In fact, this should be the most physical, high intensity defense game played to date. Teams' are Under this total in all but G#1, and only 181 and 184 total points scored in AT&T Center. Wouldn't be surprised if both teams' fail to score 90 tonight. Take the Under.

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:20 pm
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Tony George

Phoenix +1

Time to start betting the best team, especially in a pick em ballgame. Even though Roy had a great game his first game back to inspire his team, that has worn off. I like the frontcourt of the Suns to take over and the backcourt with Richardason to have a big night. No replacing the experience of Steve Nash as court general on the point in a situation like this and that will be a key factor tonight, as I expect him to step up and lead his team in this game. Play 1 Unit on the Suns.

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:21 pm
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EXECUTIVE

250% SA Spurs

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:41 pm
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Tim Trushel

20* Yankees Under

Portland

 
Posted : April 29, 2010 4:55 pm
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