Ben Burns
10* LA Lakers -7
Big Al
Celtics
Bob Balfe
Greece +300
Greece stuggled in their opening match, but still have a better FIFA ranking then Nigeria and, with 3/1 odds to win the match, this is a good value. Look for Greece to slow down the pace and to get a win by controlling the momentum of play, just like the Swiss did yesterday. Take Greece.
Mexico +225
The French have a good team, but they are not the best conditioned team in the tournament and will have a tough time containing the shifty and very speedy Mexican squad. Look for Mexico to open it up, hustle and to win the battle of the loose balls. Take Mexico.
Minnesota Twins +110
Both pitchers are having a great season, but the difference in this game will be the Rockies' lack of scoring on the road countered by a solid Twins home defense. Look for Minnesota to win in a low-scoring pitchers duel.
Joe Wiz pay after - Lakers Over
Spyglass Sports Consensus - Dodgers
King Creole
3* Los Angeles Lakers -7
HOME team in a Game SEVEN = money in the bank. Not only that, but the LAKERS are playing with the extra motivation of REVENGE.... from their 2008 NBA Finals loss to the same Celtics. Let's first query some Game Seven situations and scenarios which all point to the Purple and Gold winning by a large margin on Thursday night.
6-0 ATS since 2001: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN home favorites > 4 points (Lakers) playing off a SU Game 6 win. The average point spread in these games is -6.5 points for the host... and the average winning margin has been a WHOPPING +19.1 points per game!
6-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN home favs of 6 > points playing with ONE day of REST (Lakers)... when the OU line is > 173 points.
4-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN home favs of 6 > points (Lakers) when the OU line falls in the range of 180 to 190 points.
4-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN teams (Lakers) who allowed 70 or LESS points in their last game.
In the FINAL ROUND (Rd 4), GAME SEVEN hosts (Lakers) have gone a PERFECT 2-0 ATS since the 1991 season.
If you have followed our plays over the last 10 days, then you know that our King Creole service have gone "UNDER" in each of the last 4 games of these NBA Finals... and we've been fortunate to cash WINNERS in each of those 4 games. While looking for an OU "angle" for Thursday's Game Seven, I queried the Playbook database for Playoff games that have gone UNDER in the last 4 games of a particular series. There was not much that jumped out at us from an Over / Under perspective. So we'll pass on the OU play. But there's a couple of Side Play tendencies that DID jump out at us:
0-6-1 ATS since 2003: All NBA Playoff FINAL ROUND (Rd 4) road teams playing off 4 or more 'Unders' in a row (Celtics).
9-1-1 ATS since 2001: All NBA Playoff favorites (ANY round) in Games 5, 6, or 7 (Lakers) who are playing off 4+ 'Unders' in a row. If we eliminate ROUND ONE from this query, the results have been a PERFECT 5-0-1 ATS for our home team (Lakers).
Now, let's run a database query for the results of the last 3 games of this series. Boston comes in off a double-digit SU loss in Game Six... and BB SU wins in Games Four and Five respectively.
0-4 ATS last 6 years: All NBA Playoff GAME 5, 6, or 7 road teams (Celtics) playing off a DD SU loss... and BB SU wins.
0-3 ATS since 2000: All NBA Playoff FINAL ROUND teams who scored 70 or LESS points in their last game (Celtics).
THREE key ATS Systems that pertain to this particular Day of the Week seals the deal for us....
3-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff GAME SEVEN home teams on a THURSDAY (Lakers)...
8-0 ATS: All NBA Playoff THURSDAY home favs of 6 > points playing off a SU win of 15 > points (Lakers).
12-2 ATS: All NBA Playoff FINAL ROUND home teams on a THURSDAY (Lakers). If favored by -2 or MORE points, these hosts have gone 11-1 ATS.
Marc Lawrence
Los Angeles Lakers -7
When the Lakers host the Celtics in the seventh and deciding game of this NBA Championship series Thursday night in Los Angeles they will do so knowing that home teams in Game Seven of a playoff series are 15-3 SU and 12-6 ATS when hosting a No. 4 or lower seed. If the host won 40 or more games last season they improve to 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS in these games, including 5-0 SU and ATS when they are favored by six or more points in this contest. With the Lakers motivated by a championship series loss they suffered to the Celtics in 2008, look for Phil Jackson to improve to 48-0 in a playoff series in which his team won Game One with another convincing win here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on the Lakers.
Jimmy Moore
4* Boston / LA Lakers Under 187
With this game being for the all the marbles both teams will be focused on defense and nobody will be giving up any easy baskets. This has been an under series and this will be the last chance to win on the under
Asian Executive Lock of the Playoffs - Lakers
KIKI SPORTS
1 Unit LA Dodgers -110
1 Unit Atlanta -125
1 Unit Cleveland -115
Having some computer problems and I am on a backup older than dirt so be paitent.
John Fina
Celtics
Seabass
50* Mexico +1/2
100* Celtics buy the half to +7.5
100* White Sox
50* Dodgers Ov 9
50* Twins
50* D-Backs
200* Steam Play Mets
ROCKETMAN
3* NY Mets +100
3* Chicago WS -120
3* LA Dodgers -115
Scott Spreizter
4* Celtics Under
3* Celtics
4* White Sox
3* Twins
3* Mets
KELSO
EARLY PLAYS
5 Units Oakland
3 Units Rockies/Twins UNDER 6.5