FRANK PATRON
100000 Units Geo Tech -3.5,
WAYNE ROOT
MILLIONAIRE CLUB - TCU +16.5
VEGAS LEGEND - West Virginia -8.5
BILLIONAIRE- Texas A&M
NO LIMIT- Northwestern
Don Wallace Sports
4* Atlanta -7
4* Portland -6
King Creole
2* Hawks/Wizards Under 194.5
Write-in game from the Southeast Division. And speaking of this particular division, this stat ALONE is worthy of a play. So far THIS season, ALL Southeast Division games with an OVER / UNDER line of 193 or more points have gone a PERFECT 0-11 O/U!
3-12 O/U since February 1st: All DIVISION home games with an OU line of 195 < points. DOGS in this situation (Wiz) have gone a perfect 0-3 O/U.
Washington comes in on a big-time 5 game 'UNDER' streak as they€ have been offensively challenged as of late (only 84.2 PPG)... but playing great defense in the process. They are also on a 4-game losing streak.
2-8 O/U since December: All Conference home teams playing off 4 or more SU losses in a row (Wiz)... when the OU line is 198 < points. Since February 1st, these teams are a perfect 0-3 O/U.
1-7 O/U this season: All NBA teams who scored LESS than (<) 90 points in EACH of their last 4 games (Wiz).
0-5 O/U since January: All NBA division teams playing off 5 or more 'UNDERS" in a row (Wiz).
Speaking of STREAKS, the Atlanta Hawks have come back down to earth. They're in their poorest form of the 2009/2010 season with a ATS record of 0-3 in their last 3 games... and 2-6 ATS in their last 8.
3-9 O/U since December: All NBA road favorites playing off 3 or more ATS losses in a row (Hawks). When the OU line in these games is 193 or more points, the results are 1-7 O/U.
Finally... let's not forget the OU tendencies on this particular Day of the Week.
NBA Division games played on a THURSDAY have gone 2-8 O/U.... and a perfect 0-5 O/U when the OU line is 200 or less points (like tonight).
ASA
3* Northwestern -8.5
Northwestern has big aspirations of making the NCAA tournament. They are 19-12 right now and would likely need to win the Big Ten conference tournament, but you can bet they’ll put forth a huge effort against Indiana on Thursday. They have the best scoring offense (68.7 PPG) in the Big Ten led by forward John Shurna (18.5 PPG). They are also the 2nd best three point shooting team in the conference. The Wildcats 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games overall and we expect another big win against the Hoosiers.
Northwestern faces Indiana in their first post-season game on Thursday after splitting the season series with the Hoosiers. They are in a quick revenge game after losing their final regular season game @Indiana. The Hoosiers defeated Northwestern in overtime to snap an 11-game losing streak that started on January 24th. It was a final “home hoorah” for the Hoosiers. Two players – Jordan Hulls and Derek Elston – that average 12.1 PPG this season; each scored season highs against Northwestern and combined for 41 points. Now, Northwestern is in a quick revenge situation.
Indiana is by far the worst points per possession team in the Big Ten. They average 0.93 points per possession and allow 1.12 points per possession. The -0.19 margin ranks last in the Big Ten. They are also last in field goal percentage (shooting 39.3%) and last in field goal percentage allowed (allow 47.3%). They also commit 15.2 turnovers per game in Big Ten play. Considering all of these key stats we look at, Indiana shouldn’t have even won four games against conference opponents.
Before ending their losing streak against the Wildcats, Indiana had lost eight straight games by double digit margins (average of -20.8 PPG). They have a lot of underclassmen that have never been a part of post-season play and are unprepared for the intensity required. Out of 347 Division 1 teams in the NCAA, Indiana is the 12th youngest. Indiana is also just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win.
Northwestern is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Indiana is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten. They are just 1-3 in the last 4 against the Wildcats and are just 3-11 ATS in the past 14 meetings with Northwestern.
5* Tampa Bay Lightning +115
Scott Rickenbach
10* Washington Wizards (+) vs Atlanta
In the Hawks loss to the Knicks in New York on Monday Atlanta was done in by red hot three point shooting from New York. The Knicks took advantage of a size edge on the perimeter by forcing defensives switches on the outside that allowed bigger shooters to get open looks from beyond the arc. The Wizards also are loaded with good size on the perimeter and we expect a similar strong showing from Washington’s outside shooters in this game. While the Wizards have struggled recently (overall) they have played quite well defensively and Washington was still on an 8-4 ATS run before losing to the Rockets by eight points on Tuesday. Look for the Wizards to bounce right back here after Andray Blatche – who had been playing well – had some key turnovers in the loss against the Rockets. Benched for the final four and a half minutes of the game, look for Blatche to respond here. The Wizards had a number of guys struggle from the field in their home loss to the Rockets but look for them to bounce back against the Hawks. Atlanta has failed to cover 8 of their last 11 games. Also, the Hawks are on a long-term 40-70 ATS run in road games with a posted total between 190 and 194.5 points.
7 of the Hawks last 14 opponents have made at least 50% of their shots from the field. Atlanta has been held under 45% in 6 of their last 8 games! As for the Wizards, they had shot at least 45.5% from the field in 8 of their last 10 games before they struggled against the Rockets. Though they have not been hitting the 3-ball well in recent games, the edge we’re speaking about above (over the Hawks guards) relates to all outside shooting, not just beyond the arc. We look for the focused Wizards to come up with a big effort here. They seek revenge as they lost each of their first two meetings with the Hawks this season by a double digit margin. After a home game against Houston on Tuesday, another home game added to the schedule (this game was ‘snowed out’ last month) was a welcome addition to the schedule for the Wizards. As for the Hawks, they’ve been struggling on this road trip and the trip now became a 3-gamer because of this rescheduled match-up. Look for Atlanta to already be peeking ahead to their next game as they finally have a home game coming up on the schedule for Saturday. From a situational standpoint, this is a great spot for the Wizards to give the scuffling Hawks all they can handle. Keep in mind, Atlanta is below .500 on the road this season and wins away from home by more than seven points have been few and far between. Grab the home dog value with the hungry Wizards here. Play Washington plus the points as a *10* Top Play selection.
Lenny Del Genio
Louisiana Tech -4.5
Once upon a time, La Tech stood at 17-2 SU and even beat conference champ Utah State by 22. The Bulldogs would go onto to win their next three games to extend a season-long win streak to 10 games, but then things fell apart a bit down the stretch with losses in seven of the final 12 games. So what happened? Well, injuries were the main culprit with leading scorer Kyle Gibson (19.1 PPG), a senior, missing four games due to an ankle injury. He returned (briefly) in the finale, so he should be "good to go" here as his team looks to avenge a 66-59 loss to Fresno State that occured last Thursday. The Bulldogs shot only 35% in that game and had only 16 attempts from the free throw line (where they shot 81%). The season's first meeting, which occured back when La Tech was hot, saw the Bulldogs win by eight. Remember we did cash this team on BracketBuster weekend when they went to Northeastern and won outright, 70-67, as 8.5-point underdogs. Over the last two seasons, they are 17-5 ATS revenging a road loss. Let's also keep this in mind. Before being the Bulldogs at home, Fresno State had lost back to back road games to San Jose State and Utah State by scores of 72-45 and 76-39! Take Louisiana Tech.
igz1 sports
4* Nor Folk St. +5
4* Penn State +6
4* Cal Poly SLO +7
3* Baylor +1
3* Marshal +1.5
3* Louisiana Tech -4
3* South Eastern Louisiana +6
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
8* Edmonton/Montreal Under
Each team has seen the total go "over" the posted number a whole lot lately, but for a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under"
The Oilers are the worst team in the league and are coming off a listless 4-1 loss to the Senators.
They were outshot 39-19 which led Pat Quinn to remark; “When your forwards play the way ours did it puts a lot of pressure on your goaltender and defense. We didn’t win any battles. It would be hard to give any one of our forwards a good grade.”
F Patrick O'Sullivan, one of the top players on this club, left Tuesday's game with a hand injury and his status for this one is uncertain.
Important to point out that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" the posted number in a whopping 12 of 15 non-conference games this season.
On the other side of the rink: The Canadiens are hoping to win a fourth straight tonight.
Scott Gomez has been on fire of late and Montreal is poised to make the playoffs; second on the team in points and assists (38), Gomez recorded two goals and six assists in the last four games.
Keep in mind though that Montreal has seen the total go "under" the posted number in 10 of 15 games this year after a win by 2 goals or more in its previous contest; which of course means this team is definitely susceptible to an offensive letdown after a decent performance.
Bottom line: The Habs have also seen the total go "under" the number in 15 of 27 vs. teams with a losing record.
Jeff Deslauriers and Jaroslav Halak take centre stage tonight; when taking into account all of the above factors, I believe the sharp money in this one is indeed on the "under".
Ron Raymond
Atlanta +110
When COLUMBUS team played as a home team - Before a conference game - 3 games in 4 nights; The Blue Jackets are 7-14-3 SU in this role. Take Atlanta.
Tony George
Baylor PK
Yes it is hard to beat a team 3 times, but Baylor just POUNDED Texas on Saturday and are my pick to advance to the finals in this tourney. They have deep talent, great guard play, shoot the three well, and play full court ball, and Texas does not match up well. Texas struggled against Iowa State last night, a game I was at, until late in the game. Baylor the real deal, 8-2 their last 10 SU, and playing a Texas team who is 5-5 their last 10 and hiot and miss at best. Baylor 42% from 3 point range, in their last 5 games, they score more points, play better defense, and shoot better free throws. 1.5 units Unit on Baylor.
Marc Lawrence
Atlanta -7
The Hawks invade the nation's capitol off back-to-back looses in this write-in makeup contest knowing they are 5-0 SU and ATS the last five game in this series. Atlanta is also 7-0 ATS as a favorite on this court in games in which the Hawks own a win percentage of .471 or more on the season. In addition, the Hawks are 9-3 SU and ATS in games off a straight up favorite loss this season, including 5-0 SU and ATS when facing a losing team. With Washington just 4-11 ATS at home in games off a loss of five or more points this season, look for the Hawks to get back on the win track here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Atlanta.
Rocketman
TCU +16.5
TCU got blew out by BYU by 30 points just 5 days ago. That was a home game for TCU where they were getting 11 points. They now enter the tournament and open up against that same BYU team that blew them away and they come in as 16 1/2 point underdogs on a neutral court. I'm expecting TCU to keep this one closer this time around. They could catch BYU looking ahead to a 2nd round matchup against the host UNLV. It's also a long tournament and BYU could rest key players after getting a double digit lead allowing TCU to come and get the back door cover. Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog. Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite. Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. We'll play TCU for 3 units tonight!
Mike Lineback
Atlanta/Washington Under 194.5
Atlanta can play defense if they want. Long & athletic, with an ability to switch 1-5, they are the envy of the league, but team has been very inconsistent this season. Head coach, Mike Woodson has challenged his troops to step up their D efforts for 48 minutes, in preparation for the playoffs. On the offensive side of the ball, the Hawks can get very stagnant at times, failing to move the ball, playing too much one-on-one basketball on the wings?? Washington are having all kinds of offensive problems. Team have played Under the total in 5 straight games & 6 of L8 overall, and are Under this total in 6 of their L7 games. Wizards only averaging 84.2 ppg their L5 games. In addition, Washington 20-6 Under the total their L26 games overall & 18-5 Under the number their L23 as an underdog. Last three meetings have gone under this total as well. Take the Under.
KELSO
5 Units Kent St -5,
5 Units WVU -9,
5 Units Baylor PK
5 Units New Mex St -5
5 Unit parlay WVU and Baylor