Rocketman
5* Celtics
ATS Lock
4 Units Cavaliers +1.5
3 Units Mets/Marlins Under 7
KIKI SPORTS
1 Unit Boston -1
2 Units NY Mets +120
1 Unit Detroit +115
Hot Shot Sports
3* Mets +120
ASA
10* Cleveland / Kansas City Over
In his last two starts spanning just over ten innings of work, David Huff has allowed 22 hits and nine runs. For the season Huff has only struck out one more batter than he has walked and opposing batters own a solid .271 batting average against him. While Huff has pitched fairly well at home, he has struggled on the road with a 5.19 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. Hitters struggled against Huff in his first two starts of the season but in his last three outings he has resembled the pitcher that finished 2009 with a 5.61 ERA. Cleveland started out the season as a strong ‘under’ team but seven of the last nine games have gone ‘over’ for the Indians. After being held to two or fewer runs in five of the first seven games of the season, the Indians are starting to score runs, hitting at least three runs in ten of the last eleven games and scoring at least four runs in each of the last five games through Tuesday. Cleveland has scored 4.6 runs per game in the last week, while also allowing 5.4 runs per game in that span. Kansas City has been one of the better hitting teams in baseball despite a poor overall record. The Royals are batting .271 on the season and at home against left-handed pitching the Royals are hitting .310. The Royals have been a strong ‘over; team on the season, allowing nearly five runs per game and in the last week Kansas City has allowed over six runs per game. 9.5 runs per game are being scored at Kauffman Stadium this season with batters hitting .277 for the year. Kauffman actually has the highest ballpark OPS in the AL and the park has averaged two home runs per game. This game has a low total because 2009 Cy Young winner Zack Greinke is on the mound for the Royals. While Greinke must be respected as one of the better pitchers in the league he has not been nearly as sharp so far this season. Greinke allowed just eleven home runs in 229 innings last season but he has already surrendered five this season. In his last start he allowed nine hits and four runs and it was the third time this season he had given up at least four runs, something he did just six times in 33 starts last season. Kansas City has also featured one of the worst bullpens in the AL with a 5.28 ERA. Look for higher than expected numbers in this afternoon game as this low total is not justified with the recent scoring of these teams.
Teddy Covers
Clv/Kc Over 8
Cavs/Celtics Under 196
Sportsbetsnow
5 Units Giants -160
Anthony Redd
15 Dime Cavs
10 Dime Cavs 1st Half
Stan Lisowski
3* Florida -120
The Marlins are 4-0 in Johnson’s home starts this season and 15-5 in his home outings the last year plus. He gets a chance for revenge as this season’s opening day beat was his only lifetime loss against the Mets in 8 career decisions. New York is 4-8 overall on the road and just 2-6 away against right-handed starters.
Mike Lineback
Cavs/Celtics Under 196.5
Matt Fargo
10* Cavs +1
Lenny Del Genio
25* NL East GOM Florida Marlins
Dwayne Bryant
Cavaliers +1.5
Cincinnati Kid
Cavaliers
Evan Altemus
3 Units Seattle / Baltimore Under 8
Both of these teams offenses have been absolutely anemic this season. Baltimore is desperately in need of a leadoff hitter, as Brian Roberts continues to be on the disabled list. Meanwhile, Seattle's offenses continues to sputter, as they just don't have the hitters to drive in runs. Before last night, the Mariners had scored three runs or less in eight straight games. Baltimore has hit below .200 as a team in four of their last seven games. The Orioles have to face one of the best pitchers in baseball in Cliff Lee. Seattle gets to face an average starter in David Hernandez, who has been less than stellar this season, but he pitched well against the Mariners already this season. He also gets to face them at home after they have to fly across the country. Look for this game to fall under the total.
3 Units Colorado -1.5 +110
I look at several things other than starting pitching when analyzing baseball games, but I feel that there is a huge disparity in starters. Washington sends a banged up John Lannan to the mound for the start. He is likely on a pitch count tonight after missing his last start with a swelling throwing arm. Lannan has also struggled against the Rockies in his career. I look for a good hitting team in Colorado to hit him fairly hard tonight. Meanwhile, Colorado sends their star young pitcher, Jhoulys Chacin to the mound, who hasn't allowed a run yet in two starts and 15 plus innings of work. I normally don't like to take run lines with teams facing a decent opponent, but Chacin has been lights out and Washington hasn't faced him in his career. The Nationals have also been held to 3 runs or less in 4 out of their last 7 games. Look for Lannan to get hit hard and for Chacin to shutdown Washington. Colorado also has the better pen, posting a 2.59 ERA this season, compared to Washington's pen ERA of 4.06. Look for Colorado to get the run line win at a plus price.