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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, December 15,2009

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Erin Rynning

Rockets -4

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 3:39 pm
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Wunderdog

New York Knicks at Charlotte
3 Units UNDER 198.5

The Charlotte Bobcats are an improved team and have played tough at home all season, where they are 8-3. One of the reasons is that this is a team not afraid to play defense and is never in a hurry on the offensive end. They are allowing just 91.5 points per game, and favored here, so the Knicks will have to score to push this one over the total. This one looks about right based on the 102-100 game they played here early in the season, but what goes unnoticed is that the game went to OT and was tied at 82 in regulation, just 164 points scored. The Knicks are 17-8 to the UNDER after a game in which they scored 100 or more. I like this one to go UNDER the total.

San Antonio at Phoenix
3 Units San Antonio +130

The Phoenix Suns have run the table at home at 8-0, but they really haven't had too many challenges as seven of the eight teams that they have faced at home are terrible road teams. The seven teams combine for a winning percentage on the road of .216! The overall record of these teams is 19-69 on the road. They have had one challenge, beating Orlando by three, but overall this team is a lot more vulnerable than they look. San Antonio is a good team with veteran players that are more than capable of winning on the road. The Spurs are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 in Phoenix and have what it takes to win this game. I'll play the Spurs on the moneyline in this one.

New Mexico State at UCLA
3 Units New Mexico State +8

What a difference a year makes. UCLA has been in the thick of the national title hunt the past several years, but now the cupboard is truly empty. The Bruins have lost to Long Beach State by 11 and Portland by 27 points, and suffered a loss to UC Fullerton at home - not a good team amongst them. This isn't just a bad team by UCLA standards it is a bad team period. The shooting has been abysmal and they have no one that can shoot free throws, or drain a three-point shot. New Mexico is off a road game at UTEP, and pinned the first loss of the season on the Miners, so they certainly have enough to stay in this one. I'll go with New Mexico State.

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
3 Units UNDER 6

The defending Stanley Cup Champions have it going at home thanks to goaltending and defense that has allowed just 39 goals in 17 games, or just better than two per contest. This will be the first of back-to-back games vs. the Flyers. The Flyers have really struggled putting the puck in the net over their last 10 games. Aside from a six-goal outburst against the Islanders, the other nine show just 11 goals. Even including the big game, they are scoring just 1.7 per night over their last 10 games. Without that game, they are scoring barely one per game. The Flyers have played UNDER the total to a 34-15-4 mark in their last 53 on the road. When coming off a good defensive showing where the Penguins allowed two goals or less, they have played 41-19-1 in their next game to the UNDER. The last four played in Pittsburgh have all gone UNDER, so I like the UNDER in this one.

Washington at Colorado
3 Units Washington -150

The Washington Capitals are a very good hockey team that is playing hot right now. They have tasted defeat just twice in their last nine games. The Avalanche started out hot, but have faded with just six regulation wins in their last 18 games, and have followed a win with five losses in their last seven. The Washington Capitals have never been intimidated coming to Colorado, and have a good track record against the Avalanche as they are 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings. I'll go with Washington in this one.

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 3:41 pm
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Tom Freese

New York at Charlotte

Charlotte is 12-3 ATS their last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40% and they are 35-17 ATS off an ATS win. The Bobcats are 22-10 ATS their last 32 home games and they are 6-2 ATS their last 8 home games vs. the Knicks. New York is in a 80-37 ATS Play Against System that says to Play Against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10.5 points revenging a loss where their opponent 100 or more points if they are playing with 3 or more days of rest. 10* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON CHARLOTTE -

Wyoming at Tennessee

Tennessee is in a 39-11 ATS Super System that says to play on home teams who have shot 47% or higher in their last three games against an opponent who attempted 20 or more free throws than their opponent. The Volunteers are 17-8-1 ATS their last 26 games as favorites of 13 or more points. Wyoming is 20-36 ATS in Non-Conference road games and they are 2-10 ATS after three straight games attempting 10 or more free throws than their opponent. The Cowboys are 7-28 ATS in road games off two or more straight home games and they are 1-4 ATS as road underdogs of 13 or more points. 10* PLAY ON TENNESSEE -

Washington at Colorado

Colorado is 6-0 UNDER their last 6 games overall and they are 5-0 UNDER with one day of rest. The Avalanche are 6-0 UNDER on Tuesday and they are 4-0 UNDER after allowing two goals or less in their last game. Washington is 6-1 UNDER vs. Western Conference teams and they are 4-1-1 UNDER vs. an opponent who allowed two goals or less in their last game. The Capitals are 7-1 UNDER their last 8 meetings with the Avalanche and they are 5-1 UNDER their last 6 games on The Mile High City. 10* PLAY ON 'UNDER'

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 3:43 pm
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MATT FARGO

9* CBB DARK HORSE DANDY

Play: Rider +7

One particular game stands out on the Rutgers schedule and that is the game against Colgate where the Scarlet Knights won by only nine points. That is a game Rutgers should be winning handily as the Red Raiders are now 0-9 on the season and considered one of the worst teams in Division I (ranked 326th out of 345 teams). Overall Rutgers has played the 342nd ranked schedule so its 6-2 record is hardly impressive. Adding to that is the fact that Rutgers now has to play on without its best big man as Gregory Echenique is out for a month after needing eye surgery. He is the team’s leading rebounder and the second leading scorer. On the season Rutgers is hitting 65.9 percent from the free throw line and that is just below what I consider the mediocre line which is right at 66 percent. Also, despite playing a cupcake schedule, the Scarlet Knights have a 0.91 assist/turnover ratio and that comes down to the play of the point guard which was one of the big questions coming into this season. Rider has suffered some big losses this season as it fell to Kentucky by 29 points and Virginia by 33 points but the Broncs are not without big wins as well. In their opener they went to Mississippi St. and defeated the Bulldogs while more recently they took out St. Josephs. This is a team that has the ability to unseat Siena in the MAAC if things come together like they should. They went 19-13 last season and have four starters back including guard Ryan Thompson, the MAAC Preseason Player of the Year. He averaged 18 ppg last season and while his scoring is down this year, 15.1 ppg, the Broncs have four players averaging double digits all of which happen to be those four returnees. Despite the easy slate for Rutgers of late, it has struggled making shots and that is a part of a situation that favors Rider. Play on road teams that are allowing 45 percent or worse shooting on the season going up against an opponent that have shot less than 40 percent from the floor in three straight games. This situation is 68-32 ATS (68 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* Rider Broncs

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 3:45 pm
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Cal Sports

5* Knicks Under

3* Geo St

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 4:43 pm
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Eric Degarde

3* Phoenix -1.5

1* Florida State Under 116.5

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 4:44 pm
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Kelso

25 Units Florida St -18

5 Units N Mex St +9

5 Units Bulls +10

3 Units Rider +7

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 4:46 pm
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ATS

4 Units S.Miss

3 Units Knicks

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 4:48 pm
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Winning Points

Tennessee
Southern Miss
Phoenix
Sacramento Over

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 5:05 pm
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PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS

1 Unit La Tech -2
1 Unit Suns -1.5
1 Unit Lakers -9.5

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 5:28 pm
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Ben Burns

New York Knicks at Charlotte Bobcats
Prediction: Under

I'm playing on NY and Charlotte to finish UNDER the total. These teams played a high-scoring game each other back in late October. The Bobcats won by a score of 102-100. While that game finished above the posted total of 195, a closer look reveals that it was actually a very tough beat for 'under' bettors. That's because that game went to double-overtime and still was below the total, even after the first overtime period. In fact, the teams had only combined for 164 points in regulation and just 176 after the first overtime. Even with 26 points in the second OT, it didn't go 'over' by too much. Assuming we can avoid OT, I'm expecting a much lower final combined score this evening. Despite a few higher-scoring games recently, the Bobcats are still allowing the second fewest points per game in the league. The 89.8 that they allow here at Charlotte is the very best. The 44.1% that they allow opponents to shoot, ranks second best in the East, fourth best overall. On offense, the Bobcats manage a mere 90.3 per game. With a total in the high 190s, note that the Bobcats have seen the UNDER go 24-14-1 the last 39 times that they played a home game with a total in the 195 to 199.5 range, incl. 9-5 their last 14 in that situation. Its also worth noting that they've seen the UNDER go 13-8-1 the last 22 times that they played a game, following three or more consecutive 'overs.' While its true that the Knicks aren't one of the better defensive teams in the league, they do tend to play low-scoring games against teams that don't score very many points. They've seen the UNDER go 7-2 the last nine times that they faced a team which scores 91 points or less per game. I expect more of the same here with the UNDER improving to 4-1 the last five times that the Knicks were listed as road underdogs in the +3.5 to +6 range. *8 Blue Chip

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 5:29 pm
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Royal Sports

10* Toronto Raptors

9* New York Knicks

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 5:31 pm
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Power Plays of The Day

Clevland Cavaliers -14

Los Angeles Lakers -10

FLORIDA ST -18

LOUISIANA TECH -3

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI -8.5

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 5:32 pm
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Vernon Croy

Tuesday Night NBA Slam Dunk

3* Take the San Antonio Spurs

This pick falls into one of my top NBA systems and the Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after winning by more than 10 points in their previous game. The Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and they are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 trips to Phoenix. The Spurs are averaging 107.4 ppg over their last 5 games while out-scoring their opponents by an average of 9.2 ppg. Take the Spurs as my NBA Slam Dunk for Tuesday night.

Tuesday Night NHL Smash

3* Take the Washington Capitals ML

This pick falls into one of my top NHL systems and the Capitals are the superior overall team here Tuesday night. The Capitals are getting a lot of shots on goal lately averaging 35.2 shots on goal per game over their last 5 games and the Avs are averaging just 26.4 shots on goal per game over their last 5 games. The Capitals are 11-4 in their last 15 road games as a favorite and they have won 7 of their last 9 games overall. Take the Capitals as my NHL Smash for Tuesday night.

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 5:33 pm
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Red Dog Sports

Gardner Webb at Duke
5* Over 72 (First Half)

When Gardner Webb played at UNC the score was 53-38 (91 points) at the half and when they played at Charlotte the score was 50-36 at the half for a total of 86 scored. The second halves were lower scoring as 74 and 75 respectively, were scored in them.

Duke led Charlotte 57-27 (84) and there were just 76 scored in the second half. When Duke hosted Radford the score was 59-34 at the break for 93 points. They put up 78 in the second half. Duke and UNC-G scored 48-27 (75) at half. Look for a score in the 50-25 range tonight that goes over 72.

 
Posted : December 15, 2009 5:34 pm
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