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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, February 23,2010

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The Duke's Sports

Texas Tech (+5') for 3 Units

Kansas State has been ripping through the Big 12 but should stumble in this venue where they've struggled. The Wildcats are 0-6 SU in their last 6 visits to Lubbock and we'll gladly take the generous amount of points here with a dangerous home dog. We'll admit, Tech can't play on the Big 12 road worth a lick, but rarely do they get dusted in Lubbock; for example, in their last 3 at home, the Red Raiders lost in OT to Missouri, suffered a 2 point loss to A&M, and Saturday fell to Texas by 4 points furthermore, the Red Raiders have covered their last 4 at home vs a team with a winning road record, and they're 6-1 ATS as a dog in this spread range. ech is on an 0-3 SU slide and desperate for a win, let alone a signature win, to position themselves in a better spot for the Big 12 Tourney. With the home team at 10-2 ATS in this series, we'll look for Singletary and company to let loose and cover here.

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 4:21 pm
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Paul Leiner

500* Phx/Okla Over 202

50* Kansas State -5

25* Rutgers +11.5

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 4:22 pm
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Power Play Wins

Syracuse/Providence Under 160

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 4:23 pm
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THE PREZ

Kansas State @ Texas Tech Under 158

Tech's floor general, point guard John Roberson, is still ailing from bruised ribs and a contest against the quick and aggressive defense of State doesn't bode well for a struggling Raiders offense. Expect the Wildcats to discard the pace they set in their win over Oklahoma where they had 60 shot attempts and 13 charity throws.

Tech isn't a pressure defensive team, and for that reason Kansas State will not get to the free throw line like they typically do. Considering the Wildcats get to the free throw line more than any team in the league, and depend on the clock stoppage and charity attempts, along with the fact that the Red Raiders are 7-0 UNDER in home games versus teams that average 25 free throws per game in conference play with an average final score of 134 points, a play to the UNDER has solid value.

4* Play on the UNDER

New Mexico @ Colorado State: Under 135.5

The Rams have committed 33 turnovers and shot 34.6 percent in their last two home games against New Mexico and has lost nine straight against ranked opponents since a 60-48 win over then-No. 25 Air Force way back on March 11, 2004.

More important is how this game sets up in accordance to the oddsmakers line. Playing to the UNDER on a team (New Mexico) with a winning percentage of .800 or better that has won 10 or more consecutive games against a team with a winning percentage between .510 and .600 when the oddsmakers open the total between 130 and 139.5 has gone UNDER the closing number at a 29-6 (83%) clip over the last 12 college campaigns. The trend is 2-0 this season, 12-2 over the last three seasons and 22-4 over the last five. Six of every 10 games in this situation has come in UNDER the average final score of 125 points.

5* Play on the UNDER

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:06 pm
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Freddy Wills

4.5-Dime NBA POD - Heat -7.5

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:07 pm
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The Hoops Guru Guaranteed Selections

COLLEGE HOOPS QUADRUPLE PLAY WINNER

Texas Tech +5.5

COLLEGE HOOPS TRIPLE PLAY WINNER

Rutgers +12

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:08 pm
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Bob Balfe

Sixers -1 over Golden State

Despite the fact that Golden State is ranked #3 on offense and the Sixers are in the 20's, the Sixers have an excellent chance of winning ball games against run-and-gun teams. Their problem is on defense. They do not box out. Eddie Jordan does not teach them how to guard the perimeter and their inability to prevent the ballhandler is the reason why they are one of the worst teams in the NBA. However, the only approach to this game at Golden State is to play street ball, and that is what will happen tonight. In street ball, Iguodala, Lou Williams, Dalembert and Speights in particular will beat the Warriors. Nobody will play defense and that actually favors the Sixers. Look for a high scoring affair with the Sixers coming out on top. Golden State is a trap bet tonight. Take Philadelphia.

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:08 pm
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Helmut

Michigan Under 128

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:09 pm
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Karl Garrett

30 DIMER - FLORIDA GATORS

10 DIMER - RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS

30 DIMER - FLORIDA GATORS

I know that Florida has 19 wins this season, but a bunch of those wins came very early in the season when the Gators were playing "Cupcake City". A win tonight at home would certainly help their March resume, and I think it is going to happen.

If you are going to beat Tennessee, then your best chance is when they are away from home. At home, the Vols are a tough 13-1 straight up, but on the road they are an average 7-5.

Florida has lost 6 in a row to Tennessee, including a tough 61-60 loss at Knoxville to end January as the 8 1/2-point road dog. 6 straight losses is too many, and Billy Donovan has probably drilled that into his team's heads.

Sporting a 12-3 straight up mark at home this year, I like the Gators to end the long series skid to the Vols.

Take Florida minus the small chalk.

10 DIMER - RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS

I know Rutgers just got run over at home by Connecticut, but the Knights still sport wins in 5 of their last 7, and covers in 5 of their last 6.

Seton Hall is just 2-6 against the spread their last 8 lined home games, and while I can see them getting the straight up win here, I can also see them struggling to cover this big number.

These conference rivals have actually split the last 10 series meetings straight up, with Rutgers going 5-2 against the spread the last 7 showdowns.

Have to grab the Scarlet Knights plus the points.

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:09 pm
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Anthony Redd

20-Dime - Trail Blazers

10-Dime - Southern Illinois

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:10 pm
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Joyce Sterling

10* Colorado St +8

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:10 pm
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WAYNE ROOT

Millionaire Club - Oklahoma City

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:11 pm
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Teddy June

10* Louisville
10* Fla

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:11 pm
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Marty Otto

Florida -2

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:12 pm
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Alatex

15* Fla -2.5
Gtown +4
Rutgers +12
Colo St. +7.5

 
Posted : February 23, 2010 6:12 pm
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