The Booooj
25 Units Cleveland -16
Jimmy Boyd
3* Sacramento Kings/NYK Under 216
3* Alabama +15
3* Evansville +10 1/2
SPORTS UNLIMITED
7* Ohio -4.5
3* LA Clippers +5.5
Winning Points
VCU
Illinois
Oklahoma City
Denver
Dwayne Bryant
Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers
Bet: Los Angeles Clippers +5
I absolutely love the way this game sets up. The Jazz come into this one having won 8 straight games, going 6-1-1 ATS. It should be noted that 6 of those wins were in Utah, where the Jazz are 22-6. They'll be in the Staples Center tonight, and Utah is just 9-12 on the road this season. Utah has won 5 straight in this series, including a 13-point home win in their only meeting this season. So with a big showdown against the Lakers tomorrow night in Utah, this is the perfect look-ahead spot for the Jazz. The Jazz are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 5 to 10.5 points.
The Clippers, despite being 8 games under .500 overall, are a very respectable 14-10 at home. They're also a pretty impressive 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Clippers are coming off an embarrassing 17-point home loss to the Spurs. We have to give them a pass in that one, as it was their first home game after a lengthy 8-game road trip, which is always a very tough spot for the host. Now that they had their letdown game, I expect the Clippers to bring a solid effort tonight at home.
Bottom line: The Clippers are off a letdown game, while the Jazz are IN a letdown spot tonight. And considering the home/road dichotomies of both teams, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see an upset in this one. Grab the points with the Clippers.
KBHoops
5* Minnesota T-Wolves +7 *POD*
4* Bulls/Pacers UNDER 205
4* Oklahoma City -1.5
5* Creighton -8 *POD*
4* Saint Louis +1.5
Rocketman
3* Detroit -130
St Louis is 4-17 this year in a home game when the total is 5 1/2. St Louis is only 8-21 at home this year. Detroit is 6-2 SU and ATS at St Louis the past 3 years. Red Wings are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Red Wings are 59-26-2 in their last 87 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Red Wings are 232-113 in their last 345 games as a favorite. Blues are 18-39 in their last 57 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Blues are 20-44 in their last 64 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Blues are 21-47 in their last 68 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Blues are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Red Wings are 20-7-4 in the last 31 meetings in St. Louis. Red Wings are 41-17-4 in the last 62 meetings. Road team is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. We'll play Detroit for 3 units tonight!
3* Milwaukee -8
Detroit is 1-7 SU and 1-6 ATS this year against division opponents. Detroit is 5-18 SU on the road this year while Milwaukee is 16-7 SU at home this season. Detroit has lost 6 of their last 8 overall while Milwaukee has won 5 of their last 6. Pistons are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pistons are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Bucks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Bucks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Bucks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll play Milwaukee for 3 units tonight!
Tony George
Indiana St +8
Too many points in a even matchup type game, and Creighton does not carry the type of homecourt this year they have in the past. Cold weather will keep the locals at bay and a sparse crowd tonight in Omaha for this one. The Blue Jays 4-9-1 ATS at home their last 14. Creighton off an 18 point beat down their last game while Indiana gave Mo Valley big shot Wichita State all they wanted on the road in a 6 point loss, Creighton not near the team the Shockers are. This is too many points. Play 1 Unit on Indiana State.
O.C. Dooley
2 UNIT COLLEGE NATIONAL-TV INTANGIBLE
Purdue +2.5
I am sure most of you are aware that Sunday’s Super Bowl turned out to be the most watched program in the history of television. The winning quarterback of that contest Drew Brees just happened to star collegiality at none other than PURDUE who is on the national stage tonight on the hardwood. This is one of those wagers where I feel the oddsmakers have made a rather loud statement by casting Michigan State as a very small favorite even though they have won 18 in a row in front of their own HOME fans. The line tonight has been kept in check since the Spartans are coming off consecutive defeats where their top playmaker guard Kalin Lucas (sprained ankle) has for the most part watched from the sidelines. In a Sunday practice Lucas has problems “cutting” to the basket and for the moment is listed as DOUBTFUL to return. It is amazing how solid Purdue’s overall record is considering how they have constantly tinkered with their various starting lineups. In recent games Purdue’s roster has gotten much deeper with the return of point guard Lewis Jackson who has played 41:00 in three games after sitting out the entire campaign with a broken bone in his foot. As mentioned earlier the rather “tight line” this evening is telling since Michigan State in recent season has dominated Purdue (9-0) when playing as the host squad. Here is a whopping 79-PERCENT SYSTEM (29-8 past five years after 15+ games and with a near pick-em line of +3/-3) which goes AGAINST “average” three-point” shooting teams like Michigan State up against a “poor” three-point defensive opponent, off consecutive games where the defense has allowed 50+% shooting from the field. That system favors Purdue who is a whopping 13-4 ATS following a road affair where both sides put 75+ points on the scoreboard. I will wrap this up with a stunning statistic which sees long time Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo a horrible 1-8 ATS when cast as a “short” home favorite of 3-or-less points or at a virtual pick-em
Sammy Jankus
Always play the OTHER SIDE of my game writeup.
4* PROVIDENCE +4
This line is an absolute JOKE! The red-hot Hoyas smashed Villanova by 13 points on Saturday and the Wildcats are an excellent team – did you catch them winning easily as 6-point dogs last night at West Virginia? Those results tell me the Friars are completely overmatched here. I think Georgetown will FLAY the Friars by double-digits – so your play is on PROVIDENCE.
Marc Lawrence
George Mason +3.5
George Mason hosts the Rams at the Patriot Center in a Colonial Athletic Conference clash with both teams looking to stay within striking distance of first-place Northeastern. The last time these two teams met was in the CAC tourney† when VCU sent the Patriots packing. George Mason enters tonight's fray knowing they are 5-1 ATS in games against opponents off back-to-back wins this season, and 3-0 SU and ATS this season in games off a double-digit loss. With the Rams just 4-11-1 ATS in games after facing Old Dominion when meeting an opponent off a loss, look for the Patriots to get their revenge here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on George Mason.
Indiana -1.5
What a difference a couple of months make. When the Chicago came to the United Center in mid-November, the Bulls were sent packing on a six-game road trip. The result? A 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS record. Now, two months later, Vinny Del Negro’s Bulls have turned into road strongmen – winning and covering the last five of a brutal seven-game west coast swing. As a result of their recent road success comes line value. Chicago also arrives off a same-season revenge win over Miami where they are 1-8 ATS after taking on the Heat, including 0-1 ATS this season. To make matters worse for the visitors, Conseco Fieldhouse has seen the host Pacers win 22 of 25 games SU in this series. Indiana has also kept pace with the Bulls when seeking same-season revenge, posting a solid 12-4 SU and 10-4-2 ATS mark. Indy’s 5-0 ATS log after meeting Milwaukee cements it. We recommend a 3-unit play on Indiana.
Lenny Del Genio
Indiana -1
The Bulls started the year as a terrible road team, but were able to win the final five games of a seven-game road trip at the end of last month, covering all those games as well. We're willing to write that off as an aberration as they've since lost at Philly and at Atlanta to fall to 9-17 SU overall away from the United Center this year. They did rally to defeat Miami at home on Saturday, but note that Chicago is just 24-39 ATS off its last 63 home wins. Indiana will be playing with revenge here for a 104-95 loss in the Windy City back in December and note that they are 185-132 ATS when revenging a road loss. This is a totally different team at home than on the road and they've gone 18-8 ATS at Conseco Fieldhouse when off a road loss. The Pacers have won their last two home games by double-digits, including scoring 130 points on the Raptors. For the year, they average 104 PPG at home, which is one of the better averages in the league. Chicago simply lacks that kind of firepower. In fact, they've only scored 100+ points in 13 games this season and average just 94.8 PPG on the road. Perhaps of most interest is the fact that the Pacers have won 17 of 20 home games vs. the Bulls since 1999, their best record here vs. any conference opponent over that time frame. Indiana is our #1 NBA Side of the Week/Central Division Game of the Month.
Illinois St. +1
At least to us, it seems pretty ridiculous that a Bradley team that lost to Illinois State by 19 points just eleven days ago could be favored in the rematch. What the oddsmakers are probably looking at is the "home dominance" that has existed previously in this Missouri Valley Conference rivalry with hosts winning the last seven meetings. However, it's not like the Braves are a good home team this year, going just 2-8 ATS in Peoria, including 1-7 ATS when favored. We can take advantage of the fact that Bradley is coming off what is likely its finest effort of the season, an 83-63 victory over last place Evansville (0-13 SU vs. MVC), a game where the Braves shot 62.5%. However, in their previous road game, which was at ISU, they shot just 28.5%, a season low. Also of note from that game is that the Redbirds grabbed 50 rebounds and were +22 on the boards overall. Before the Evansville game, Bradley's two previous wins were a two-point home victory over a very so-so Drake team and another win vs. the Purple Aces. Illinois State is our CBB Oddsmaker Mismatch.
Ron Raymond
Boston +125
Here’s the rule of thumb betting pucks, whenever you have two division teams stinking up the joint and can’t find the twain, take the value and play the Dog. When ANY NHL Team played as a home team - Vs Conference Opponent - After a non division game - Total is 5.0 - Coming off a 4 game losing streak - Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog - Coming off 1 under the Home Team is 5-11-1 in this situation since 1996.
Chicago / Indiana Over 205
When ANY NBA Team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Before a non division game - Last 5 years vs. opponent with a 31% to 40% winning % - Coming off a 4-7 point win; the OVER is 11-5-0 for the Road Dog (CHI) in this spot the L5Y. Take the OVER.
Mike Lineback
Wizards +8.5
The Duke's Sports
George Mason (+4) for 3 Units
Pretty good spot for the Patriots to get back on the winning track here. GM is coming off two straight road losses but can still stay in the hunt for the CAA title with a win here. GM got swept in this series last year and the revenge minded Patriots are catching VCU off four straight comfortable CAA wins. It won't be easy for the Rams here where the Patriots are 6-0 ATS as a home dog in this spread range moreover, the Patriots are 13-6-1 ATS vs teams with a winning SU record. The defensive minded Patriots should give VCU all that they can handle after all, Rams' freshmen Daniels and Theus are prone to making mistakes on the road and GM will look to slow the Rams down. Home team is 4-1 ATS in this series and we'll grab the Patriots.