Street Rosenthal
*200 Memphis Grizzlies -5
*200 San Antonio Spurs -3
*200 Sacramento Kings +4
*200 Detroit Pistons +5
Trey Scott
*200 VCU -2.5
*200 Florida State -10
*200 Kentucky -3.5
*300 Colorado +4.5
Ron Raymond
5* Lakers / Spurs Under 192.5
THE BIG BAMBINO'S PLAY OF THE DAY (3-0 Yesterday!!)
Magic vs Kings over 207 (Pound it for 50 DIMES!!!)
The Bambino's Regular Plays
9* Tennessee St. over 132
8* Colorado +5
6* FSU -9
5* Magic -3.5
Shrimp Boy's Free Selection
NHL Thrashers under 6
Dwayne Bryant
Bet: Colorado +4.5
Nothing caught my eye from a situational standpoint today, but this line move sure got my attention. 24th-ranked Baylor opened as a 5.5-point road favorite. According to my sources, 62% of the bets coming in have been on Baylor, yet the line has DROPPED a full point to 4.5. That tells me that the "wiseguys" have dropped the hammer on Colorado. And while that certainly does NOT guarantee a win here, I'm always inclined to follow that "smart money" because it will win more times than not. Grab the points with Colorado.
Mike Lineback
4* San Antonio Spurs -3
Great spot for the rested Spurs to get a quality win at home against the Lakers. LA hurting, and not coincidently, since Gasol injury & Kobe's fractured finger (index finger on shooting hand) beginning to give him major problems. Bryant has really struggled from the field his last three games (27%; 4-21 vs. Milw & many shots left-handed). In addition, Lakers have lost 2 of last 3 and three straight on road. Meanwhile, San Antonio have won 8 of 10, are playing their 4th consecutive game at home, and are beginning to develop a deep rotation. Key for Spurs, is Ginobili is starting to play at high level again & Jefferson starting to find his niche in rotation. SA have much better/deeper 2nd unit, including Mason whom has found his outside shot again. Spurs should be amped for this game. Like the home team.
John Ryan Sports
Kent State Golden Flashes @ Miami Ohio Redhawks
Pick: 5 units: Miami Ohio Redhawks -1.5 (Game of the Month)
15* graded play on Miami (ohio) as they host kent State set to start at 7:00 EST. How can a 3-11 team be favored over a team that is 10-5? There are numerous reasons and we will go over the dominate ones that make us believe that Miami could win this game by double digits. First, our handicapping model clearly shows that Miami has an excellent opportunity to win this game 4 or ore points. When we provide our research, the handicapping model is a dominant factor in our releases. Yet, it is the combination of the fundamental and technical research that broadens and adds substance to the releases. When we uncover the supporting research it sees to provide even greater confidence that we are on the right side of a money making opportunity. Many times, a model play coincides with the two teams at some performance extreme. The most powerful combination is what the media would term “teams heading in opposite directions” This game is exactly that and more. Kent State is off a strong defensive game allowing a 36% shooting percentage to Ohio U. In stark contrast, Miami is off an 18 point loss at Buffalo installed as a 4 point dog and shot just 35% and allowed Buffalo to hit 50%. In a high percentage of the time teams reverse a poor performance with one that hits season averages or better. The same can be said of Kent State prone toward a weaker than average defensive performance. The last time Miami shot under 40% was on 12/8 versus Temple. They were 4 point dogs in that game and lost by 18. The next game they lost by 4 at Cincinnati and were huge 16 point dogs. As an example of many of the projections we believe will be a certainty is that Miami will shoot very well from behind the arc and this in turn will open up the paint for high percentage shots. They are hitting 37% on the season and that is the minimum we see them hitting in this game. Note that Kent State is just 4-14 ATS when opponents hi between 38% and 45% from behind the arc over the past 3 seasons. Take Miami (Ohio).
Wunderdog
Wyoming Cowboys @ TCU Horned Frogs
Pick: 5 units: Wyoming Cowboys +6.5 (Game of the Month)
Both of these teams come in here even-up on the season at 8-8 apiece, so the winner cracks the .500 mark here as this becomes a pivotal game. The Frogs have had their problems, and have played well below the line as they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 lined games this season. The Cowboys have played three on the road and still looking for their first win away from home, but the competition has been tough and they have hung inside the number in two of the three, failing to get the money by just 1.5 points in the third. The Cowboys have been !GOOD2! in the dog role as they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 as a dog, including 5-0 as a dog of 6.5 or less on the road. The Frogs are showing no advantage at home at just 1-6 ATS this season. Under head coach Jim Christian, the Frogs are 0-8 ATS at home vs. teams that can shoot (those hitting 45%+ from the field). This dog has a pedigree, so I'll go with Wyoming here.
The Duke's Sports
Florida (+3') for 2.5 Units
The Wildcats, which haven't experienced a lot of time on the road,are in a tough spot here. Kentucky has only played one true road game (Indiana) and should struggle at this loud venue. Florida, which hit a snag in December with three straight losses, is coming off a loss at Vanderbilt on Saturday. Florida HC Donovan has his eyes on pulling the upset and surely the Gators are capable; after all, November 27th in Atlantic City, they beat then #2 ranked Michigan State. And keep in mind that the home team is 5-1 ATS in this series that's right, KY is 0-4 ATS as a visitor to Florida. Florida has a deep bench, play solid defense, and should shake off their perimeter woes by working the ball to get better looks. With KY at 1-6 ATS vs the SEC, we'll look for the Gators to deliver here.
Nelly
Purdue Boilermakers - over Ohio State Buckeyes
Purdue enters this game off its first loss of the season, falling in a very tough venue at Wisconsin. Last season Purdue won by 25 at home against the Buckeyes and this looks like an even stronger Boilermakers squad that is already 8-0 at home. Ohio State has lost all four road games it has played and this will be the fourth road games out of the last five games in a brutally tough start to the conference schedule. The Buckeyes have not played within eight points in any road game this year and Minnesota dominated Ohio State in the second half on Saturday. Evan Turner is back in action for the Buckeyes but the big concern is on defense as Ohio State allows 71 points per game on the road. This should be an angry Purdue squad eager to get back in the win column and Ohio State has looked like a very mediocre team in the Big Ten this season. The Buckeyes will always be tough at home but this looks like a very challenging situation for a team that has only covered in once in the last eight games.
Hofstra Pride + over Virginia Commonwealth Rams
Due to recent success in the postseason Virginia Commonwealth is presumed to be one of the top teams in the Colonial. VCU is going through a transition year however conference play has met a rough start as the Rams enter this game having two of the last three games. Just two wins have come on the road this season and this is a 4-8 ATS team. Larry Sanders will be back in action following his suspension but this could be a tough spot for an overrated team going against an undervalued Hofstra squad. The Pride has lost five of the last seven games but the schedule has been very tough as only two of the last seven games came at home. Among the home contests was a blowout win against Towson and a one-point loss to William & Mary. Hofstra is 7-2 at home for the season and this will be a critical conference game. Defensively Hofstra is the much stronger team, holding opponents to just 38 percent shooting on the season with even better numbers at home. Hofstra allows less than 60 points per game at home while VCU has been soundly out-scored away from home on the season. Both meetings between these teams were extremely tight last season and Hofstra, generally the underdog, has covered in five of the last six meetings in this series.
Northern Iowa Panthers – over Bradley Braves
Laying a big numbers in conference play can be a risky proposition but Northern Iowa continues to impress with its ability to pull away from opponents. The Panthers have covered in each of the last nine lined games and this defense is allowing only 56 points per game. Bradley is really struggling defensively, allowing over 80 points in each of the last four games despite playing marginal foes. Northern Iowa won by 14 against Bradley in the conference tournament last season and Bradley has been a disappointing team, covering in just five of 14 lined games this season. This will be the second road game in four days for the Braves and three of the last four road games have resulted in double-digit losses. Northern Iowa continues to be a profitable team with a 27-9 ATS mark in the past 36 days going back to early last season. Look for the Missouri Valley’s best to deliver a convincing win tonight.
James Patrick Sports
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs
Both teams have delved into their Minor League System in an effort to inject some offense into their game. These teams have played Over the Total in (4) of (5) match-up sin Toronto and the Hurricanes have flown Over the Total in (6) of (7) road affairs of late. GM Brian Burke of the Maple Leafs has (9) unrestricted free agents on his roster and their willingness to stay in Toronto and Burke's willingness to keep them as Maple Leafs is a growing concern daily North of the Border. Amongst those players is Goaltender Jonas Gustavsson who has struggled. Speaking of struggling Burke has pleaded with his team to start getting some rebounds, get some screens and get shots to the net. We look for a turn for the better from Toronto at least on offense short term anyways. 5* Pot of Gold Carolina - Toronto Over the Total
Marc Lawrence
Play: Florida
When the Gators host the Wildcats in a key SEC showdown at the O'Connell Center in Gainseville tonight they will take the floor knowing they are 191-33 SU on this court under head coach Billy Donavan. Inside those numbers Florida is 11-1 SU and 8-3 ATS when hosting an undefeated opponent. They are also 4-0 SU and ATS the last four years when hosting Kentucky. These are the spots where upsets occur. Look for Kentucky to dip to 3-13 ATS as a conference favorite against a .700 or greater opponent off a loss here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Florida.
Bobby Flanagan
3* Ohio State +9.5
The Buckeyes have been depreciating since Evan Turner went down to injury but tonight is the night their struggles covering spreads stops. This line is set too high and the Boilermakers aren't covering it.
As you know I live in Vegas by way of Ohio and I've spoke to some close sources back home and the Buckeyes are going to be a solid play tonight.
Don't let the large line scare you because Purdue is 2-7 ATS in the last 9 hosting OSU and 4-13-1 in the last 18 meetings overall. In Purdue's only Big Ten game this year at home oddsmakers made Minnesota a 8.5 point dog against Purdue.
Ohio State is definitely better than the Golden Gophers but they are still receiving 1 more point than Minnesota received here last week. That tells you where they want the money coming in on this game and it's not Ohio State.
The public is laying the points with Purdue thinking this game is a landslide but don't bet on it because it's not happening. Take the Buckeyes and the 9.5
3* Colorado +5
Colorado is good at home with eight wins and no losses and I see them giving Baylor a very tough time tonight and maybe winning this outright. They've hung around with Arizona, Gonzaga, and Oregon State this year and are playing a lot better than the program has looked in the past couple of years.
Baylor was 0-4 ATS last year when laying road chalk and don't count on them getting it done tonight. Last year one of those games was in Boulder and the Buffaloes beat them by 7 as 8.5 point underdogs.
This may look like a gift to the average bettor but trust me it's not. The average bettor is just jumping into college basketball because of football winding down and isn't as sharp on what is going on at the current moment.
This line isn't off, if anything Baylor should be laying less points than this. Take the Buffs at home tonight who have been a cash cow against conference opponents over the past couple years ATS.
Great Lakes Sports
Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis
PLAY: 4* Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers are on a great roll having won 4 games SU and most importantly, 6 straight games ATS. After non conference games. Los Angeles is a solid 7-3 ATS this year. In the month of January. The Clippers are also a positive 95-87 ATS since 1996. The Grizzlies are a poor 66-74 ATS with revenge over the past 3 years. Host Memphis is a losing 45-51 ATS at home during the last 3 years. When coming off of 2 days rest. The Grizzlies are a below par 17-21 ATS over the last 3 years. LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS OVER Memphis.
Orlando at Sacramento
PLAY on: 3* Orlando
The Magic are a very impressive 62-37 ATS versus good offensive teams who average at least 99 points per game. After scoring 105 points or more. Orlando has fared well, posting a 54-38 ATS record over the last 3 years. The Kings are a weak 6-16 ATS against Southeast division teams. In non conference affairs. Sacramento is a losing 32-38 ATS over the past 3 years. ORLANDO OVER Sacramento.
Baylor at Colorado
Play: 4* Baylor
The Baylor Bears are an outstanding 6-1 ATS this year, and the Bears are a stellar 6-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record this year. The Baylor Bears is also a perfect 3-0 ATS when playing on the road this year, and they are a very nice 3-1 ATS when playing in the role of a favorite this year. We look for the Baylor Bears to grab the road ATS Win&Cover tonight.
Tom Freese
10* LINESMAKERS ERROR SIDE WINNER
Missouri is 13-3 Straight Up averaging 73 points a game. Shooting guard Leonard shoots 45% from the three point line and forward Weems averages 16 points a game. The Bears are 4-0 ATS their last 4 games as road favorites Drake is already 0-3 in Conference play and they are minus 6 in rebounds per game. The Bulldogs are have just one player averaging double figures and they are 1-5-1 ATS their last 7 home games. This game has BLOWOUT written all over. LINESMAKER ERROR PLAY ON MISSOURI STATE -
10* NHL 'TOTAL' OF THE WEEK
Detroit is 11-3 UNDER their last 14 games and they are 104-49 UNDER their last 153 games of a straight up win. The Red Wings are 80-39 UNDER when playing with two days of rest. Simply put you can make a ton of money playing 'UNDER' on the Red Wings. The Islanders are 8-3 UNDER their last 11 games overall and they are 9-0 UNDER in home games vs. teams that average 29.5 or more shots on goal and they are 11-5 UNDER when playing a team with a winning record. NHL 10* 'TOTAL' OF THE WEEK PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Bryan Leonard
MAC Game of the Month
Kent State at Miami Ohio
The Redhawks have played a brutal schedule so far this season and it has taken a toll on this squad. After facing the likes of Kentucky, New Mexico, Dayton, Temple, Cincinnati and Xavier they have been severely tested. But despite playing such a daunting slate they haven't figured out how to win. Miami enters play at 3-11 on the season with wins over Evansville, Wright State and Nicholls State. They are 0-7 straight up against Top 100 RPI squads and now they face off against a #63 ranked Kent State squad playing with double revenge. The Golden Flashes lost both meetings to the Redhawks last season and that cost them their fourth consecutive 20 win season. This is a road tested squad who has already faced the likes of Pittsburgh, Xavier and South Florida on enemy courts. This is a veteran team with 7 of the top 8 players being upperclassmen including 6 of those 7 being seniors. Miami has dropped 7 of their last 8 games with the only victory coming by a single point at home against Wright State. This team simply hasn't shown enough to be expected to win this game outright. These Kent seniors tasted defeat twice last year to Miami, now they get their revenge.
PLAY KENT STATE