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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

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MR EAST

NCAAB TUESDAY UNDER THE RADAR SPECIAL

NORTHERN IOWA @ WICHITA ST.
3 UNITS: NORTHERN IOWA

Wichita St. has been one of the biggest surprises this season at 16-3, which includes a flawless 11-0 at home. The problem the Shockers face here is they have 16 wins, but none stand out as a big win, so the schedule has been very soft to date. Panthers are not a shock at 16-1 as they returned everyone from a good team a year ago. They aren't only winning they are playing over the line at 10-1 ATS in their last 11. This team is huge inside with Koch and Eglseder, and very deep. Panthers are 56-24 ATS in their last 80 as a dog, and 28-10 ATS in their last 38 overall, well under the radar, and have covered 5 of the last 6 here. I'll go with Northern Iowa in this one.

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 9:17 am
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Brandon Lang

10 DIME - TORONTO RAPTORS - Sluggish spot for the Cavs.

After a successful 5 game west coast road trip which saw them win 3 out of 5 they return home to take on a surging Raptors team with the world champion Lakers coming to town on Thursday.

Who can fault the Cavs for lacking attention to detail tonight.

Furthermore, they haven't really been a cash cow lately, on a 2-7 run ATS with the only two covers versus the Wizards at home and the Trailblazers on the road.

As for Toronto, they are surging big time after a very slow start.

Winners of 10 of their last 13 SU with their 3 losses coming to the Celtics by 7 at home and in Boston and a road clunker at Indiana by 4, they are without question playing their best ball of the entire year right now.

All told is a 9-4 run ATS and a bucket here or there and that 9-4 ATS number could very easily be 12-1 against the number.

I will gladly grab the Toronto in this spot and the generous amount of points against a Cavs squad who will definitly be a bit jet lagged and lacking a bit of focus laying this big number with the Lakers coming to town in 2 days.

Rolling with the Raptors.

FREE SELECTION - NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 10:37 am
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David Malinsky

4* TORONTO over CLEVELAND

Toronto is flying far beneath the radar screens right now, despite a current 10-3 run in which none of the losses have come by more than seven points. That is what happens when you get off to a slow start, and the markets downgrade accordingly. But there were some prime reasons why the season began so poorly, and those early results now carry too much weight going forward, especially when we see tonight’s line reach double figures.The Raptors started with an awkward opening salvo that saw them play their first 30 games in only 53 days, a headache for a team breaking in so many new faces, and at the midway point their difficult of opposition rates #4 in the NBA. The following from Jay Triano deals with that well - "We knew it was going to be tough, we had nine new guys. Now we're starting to feel better about each other, we're starting to get it. We're starting to play better defence and our stats over the last few games have been good. We've adjusted, as coaches, our defensive philosophy a little bit and it's turning out better. We're playing more to our strengths, we have guys who are starting to get healthy. Here is the real key to that statement – it came before Toronto waxed Dallas 110-88 on Sunday in what might have been their best single game of the season, which takes the confidence to an even higher level. And with this game being only their third in eight days there is a physical energy to match that confidence – they are going to be a tough team to get a margin against in this setting.Not that Cleveland will be margin conscious anyway. The Cavaliers face the usual issues in returning home after a long Western Coast swing (this will be the first home game in 13 days), and tonight’s matchup is clouded even more because of that showdown vs. the Lakers looming on national television Thursday night. Their season is all about winning games for playoff positioning and managing the minutes of LeBron and the key cogs, and as such it is no surprise to find that they are 4-8 ATS when favored in double figures, a run that extends to 7-15 since the All Star break last February. Mike Brown would be more than happy to simply stamp a “W” and move on here, and given the current Toronto form that is all that his team is likely to get.

4* GEORGIA TECH over CLEMSON

In what will be a high energy game in which both teams will run and press the length of the floor, PG play becomes the key factor in terms of dictating the game flow. And the markets have missed their mark in evaluating that key element.Despite a 13-4 record, and owning wins over Duke and North Carolina, Georgia Tech is not being rated properly because PG Iman Shumpert had to miss a half dozen games, one of them an O.T. loss to Florida State that would have likely been reversed had he played. Now he is back to full health, and in Saturday’s win at North Carolina showed what he is capable of, scoring 30 points and adding six assists, four rebounds and three steals. His veteran presence takes pressure off of those young talents on the roster, and makes the Yellow Jackets awfully difficult to match up against physically – not only is the front court among the most talented in the nation, but at 6-5 Shumpert creates particular problems at his position (from Paul Hewitt - ”He is bigger, stronger and faster than a lot of the other guards he is going to face, which forces them to contract on defense and makes it easier for us to run our offense.”).That becomes magnified tonight because we fully expect Shumpert’s direct matchup to be against 5-9 SO Andre Young, who will likely be making his first college start while Demontez Stitt sits out with a sprained foot. Stitt had been having an outstanding season, and was a catalyst for the Clemson uptempo tactics on both ends of the floor, but he went down with 13:37 to play and the Tigers up by 13 at N. C. State on Saturday, and his absence became an issue immediately – the lead was shaved all the way to a single point before they finally escaped. And while his official listing is “Questionable”, Oliver Purnell seems resigned to not having him around - ”“We’ve probably got to play a bit different offensively – ball ahead, more motion, more movement by everybody. It’s his slicing to the basket, it’s him pushing the ball that won’t be there.” Now a lot is being put in the hands of Young, who is also not 100 percent, having to receive at IV after practice yesterday because of a bout with a stomach virus. That exacerbates the size and experience that he already gives up against Shumpert, and with no one behind him that can carry the load there are going to be some awkward stretches against a tenacious Georgia Tech defense. Even if Stitt can make an appearance (he could only job on the sidelines at practice yesterday), he will be far from 100 percent.The Yellow Jackets are 7th in the nation in FG defense, allowing 37.0 percent, and in those key early A.C.C. wins they held Duke to 19 below the Blue Devil scoring average, and North Carolina to 12 below. That defense sets the tone here, and the Tigers lack the polish offensively to hang in for the full 40 minutes. With the marketplace now only asking for the home team to win the game, we have tremendous line value.

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 11:29 am
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Sam Martin

Raptors

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 11:30 am
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Larry Ness

East. Conf GOM

Cavs

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 11:31 am
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Matt Fargo

10* Cavs

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 11:31 am
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Chip Chirimbes

San Diego State at Utah
Pick: San Diego St +1.5

The Utes may not have dropped off much in football compared too the drop in the basketball program. Utah is 9-8 this season and are just about a point favorite over San Diego State who is 13-5 on the season. The Aztecs play defense as the allow only 38% field goal percentage on defense while they have five players that average better nine and 12 points. They also have a plus eight rebounds per game advantage. Take SAN DIEGO STATE!

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 2:12 pm
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Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket Pacers
Raptors

Oklahoma
Wichita St.

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 2:12 pm
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Erin Rynning

Playmaker: Toronto +10

Indiana +6.5

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 2:13 pm
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WUNDERDOG

Toronto at Atlanta
5 units on Toronto +110
3 units on Game Total UNDER 6.5 +110
5 units on Toronto +1.5 -250

Chicago at Ottawa
5 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -110

Buffalo at Anaheim
3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -130

San Jose at Los Angeles
5 units on San Jose -120
3 units on San Jose -1.5 +240

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 2:14 pm
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Red Dog Sports

5* Clemson/Ga. Tech Over 142

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 2:14 pm
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Special K

7* Georgia Tech -1.5
5* Northwestern +12.5
5* Bama +3

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 2:42 pm
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ATS Lock

4 Units Ga Tech (-1.5)
3 Units Wich ST (-3)

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 2:42 pm
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Kelso

50 units Missou St -9

5 units Tennessee -2.5

3 units Illinois +4.5

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 2:43 pm
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Eric Degarde

2* Miami Under 205.5

 
Posted : January 19, 2010 3:00 pm
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