ATS HOOPS
4 units on Boston College +3
4 units on Baylor -2
3 units on maryland -8
WUNDERDOG
Game: Charlotte at Phoenix
Pick: 3 units OVER 209
Game: Phoenix at Detroit
Pick: 3 units OVER 5 -135
Game: Los Angeles at Toronto
Pick: 2 units Toronto -110
Pick: 5 units UNDER 6 +100
Game: Anaheim at Atlanta
Pick: 5 units UNDER 6 +100
Game: New Jersey at Ottawa
Pick: 4 units OVER 5 -130
Erin Rynning
Playmaker: Charlotte +5.5
KING CREOLE
2* Golden State Warriors/ Sacramento Kings Under 220
The OU line's way too HIGH in this battle between the dregs of the Pacific Division. Particularly when you factor in the major injury issues for each team. And besides, so far in the 2009/2010 season..... PACIFIC DIVISION games in which the host is favored by < 10 points have gone 1-5 O/U.
Sacramento returns home from a l-o-n-g road trip with their tails between their legs. The KINGS lost EVERY SINGLE game on that 6-game trip... and are actually 0-7 SU in their last 7 games overall. Sharp players already know that you don't want to be riding on a home favorite off such a long road trip... and you don't want to be going Over the Total either. The King's are on a major 'UNDER" run as well... going 0-2 O/U in their last two games... and 2-9 O/U in their last 11.
Meanwhile, the Warriors are on a current ATS winning streak... going 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games... and 8-2 ATS in their last 10. From a Totals perspective, we note that they too have gone 0-2 O/U in their last two games... and 1-4 O/U in their last 5. These two teams played each other 2 weeks ago (Jan. 10th). and that game went UNDER the TOTAL by 19 points (final score: 108-101... OU line was 228).
From a System standpoint, let's first take a look at Sacramento's recently-concluded LONG road trip.
1-7 O/U so far this season: All NBA home favs of points.
So far in this month of January, All NBA DIVISION games in which the OU line is 215 > points have gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U....
I also ran a query for the opposite ATS streaks in this game.
0-3 O/U last 6 weeks: All NBA home teams play~ing off BBB ATS losses (Kings)... versus an opponent off BBB AYS wins (Warriors).
Both teams come into this one with 2 days rest...
9-25 O/U so far this season: All NBA home teams in a '2/2' REST situation (Kings). And when the host is favored by 4 > points, these games have gone 1-7 O/U since December 1st.
The Golden State Warriors traveled to Phoenix on Saturday night and lost to the Suns by a score of 112-103 (UNDER by 18 points). They may have lost the game... but they DID get the cash (as in ATS win). How's this query to seal the deal?
0-5 O/U last 3 seasons: All WESTERN CONFERENCE road teams playing off a SU road loss BUT an ATS win against the Phoenix Suns (Warriors).
NHL PRO PICKS
Phoenix +161
Columbus +102
New Jersey +104
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Minnesota -11
For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on Minnesota in this situation:
Jeremy Nash scored 22 points, John Shurna added 19 and Northwestern went on a run late in the second half to beat Illinois 73-68 Saturday night after dropping 11 straight to the Illini; I expect a "letdown" this evening.
Drew Crawford scored 15, and the Wildcats (14-5, 3-4 Big Ten) got a measure of revenge for an overtime loss last month that spoiled their first AP poll appearance in nearly 41 years. They went on a 15-2 run that turned a six-point deficit into a 61-54 lead and hung on from there, sending Illinois to its third straight loss.
The achilles heel of this team is to find consistency on the road though; dating back to last season; 7-18 SU its last 25 away from friendly confines. Northwestern also always has a difficult time against Minnesota; 2-5 ATS its last seven vs. the Golden Gophers.
On the other side of the court: I was "on" Minnesota in its home loss to Michigan State on Saturday; the Golden Gophers had this game in the bag but fell apart in the final minute; this won't happen again.
Minnesota scored only six points in the final seven minutes in losing its third straight, with an overtime loss to Indiana sandwiched between two losses to Michigan St. The Gophers led by as many as 13 in the second half.
It's true that Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS its last five overall, but it always plays strong in front of the hometown crowd; 6-2 ATS its last eight at William Arena.
Bottom line: I expect a similar big start from the Golden Gophers in this one, but expect them to clamp down on the defensive end down the stretch this time around.
Minnesota gave Michigan State matchup problems, and Northwestern will have the same issues tonight; look for MINNESOTA to improve to 10-6 ATS this season when playing the roll of favorite and for Northwestern to fall to 1-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest after 15 games into the season!
9* MINNESOTA
Bob Balfe
Phoenix -5
Rocketman
Toledo +13.5
Kent State is scoring only 62.4 points per game on the road this year. Toledo is allowing only 62.4 points per game at home this year. Golden Flashes are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. Golden Flashes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Golden Flashes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games following three or more consecutive home games. Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This game should be low scoring and a lot closer than most people think. We'll play Toledo for 3 units tonight!
Tony George
Baylor +2.5
Road teams in the Big 12 are always at a disadvantage. Baylor is tough at home and one of the few teams who actually went on the road and competed at mighty Kansas, losing by 6 in Fog Allen. The Bears are off a win at home versus U Mass where they held them to 45 ppg. The Bears can light it up and have been hitting 51% from the floor in their last 5 games. K State after a beat down of Texas on national TV lost at home to Okie State, a team Baylor has beaten. Time for an overrated K State to get humbled again. Baylor 10-0 SU at home, and 9-1 ATS their last 10. Play 1 Unit on Baylor.
Marc Lawrence
Dayton -5
When the Flyers host the Rams in a key A-10 showdown in Dayton tonight it will be with revenge on their minds. The Flyers take the off an upset favorite loss knowing they are 10-0 SU at home this season. They are also 4-0 ATS in this series when playing off a loss and 3-0 ATS with revenge against Rhode Island. On the flip side, URI is just 1-4 ATS this season in games against opponents off a SU and ATS loss, including 0-2 ATS in conference play. They are also 0-3 SU and ATS in games before engaging with George Washington. With that, look for the Flyers to improve to 4-0 ATS in games off a SU favorite loss and to 115-18 SU at home under head coach Brian Gregory here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Dayton.
Ron Raymond
Montreal +100
The Habs are 2-0 since they released Laracque who was labeled a “distraction” by management and should Halak get the nod, he’s 4-0 (100%) vs. the Panthers. When FLORIDA team played as a home team - before a division game - With 2 day off; the Panthers are 3-13-1 SU in this spot. Take Montreal.
Mike Lineback
Minnesota +6
Opposite Action Plays
Phoenix -5
Lenny Del Genio
Sacramento -6.5
Entering Tuesday night NBA action, 11 of the 15 teams in the Western Conference not only boast winning records, but are at least four games over .500. These are not two of them. Golden State is one of three teams in the entire conference NOT to have a winning home mark (9-11), but out on the road is where things get really bad (4-18). After an extended 5-2 ATS home stand, they lost at Phoenix on Saturday, 112-103. The big story here is that leading scorer Monta Ellis will be out for this game. That's 26.1 PPG, 4.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists as well as 42 minutes gone. What won't improve or decrease with Ellis out is the Warriors effort on the defensive end. They are last in the NBA yielding over 111 points per game. The rotation was already thin with Ellis in there with HC Nelson having to use players such as Cartier Martin! Sacramento has been struggling as well, if not worse, of late, but they have a great backcourt with Kevin Martin and Rookie of the Year Tyreke Evans. They are also 12-3 ATS when coming off a loss by 30 points or more. They beat Golden State by 13 here back in November and have revenge for a seven-point loss earlier this month. Take Sacramento.
Craig Davis
50 Dime – NORTH CAROLINA