ANDRE GOMES
Portland (29-21, 27-22-1 ATS) at Utah
I’ve decided to release early this play, as with the current line of 198 points, according to my projected line, we have a 5-points edge (my real line is 193 points) and so, we have the proper edge to take the Under regardless any prior line movement. I wouldn’t discard to upgrade this play later into a Double Dime Play if 1) the line movement pushes up the line opening a 2 full ball possessions edge for us or 2) the referee’s crew is a strong “under” crew.
What we have in here is in my opinion an over inflated line due to several reasons: The Trail Blazers are a hot “Over” team as 6 of their last 7 games ending up being “Over”; the Jazz are riding a 6-game winning streak and the public perception is that they are playing a killer offense averaging 109.3 points per game during the streak…but they are playing as well great defense and also the first two games of the series ended with 200 and 201 points and so, the oddmakers were forced to push up the line.
This series has been an extreme slow paced series and only exceptional shooting performances can put the Under in danger. That happened with the Jazz as in the first two meetings they have shot above 60% from the field in each contest and literally spanked the Blazers. Note that in the first game the Blazers had a terrible spot for that game by playing in back to back nights and in the last game the Jazz started 22-2 and they never look back, while the Blazers had to push the pace after such early hole.
In my opinion the Blazers have all the conditions to perform better on the defensive end. First of all, Carlos Boozer is out for tonight and he was a “Blazers killer” in the first 2 games by combining 16-21 from the field, 17 rebounds and 7 assists. Paul Millsap is a good player but he does not have the size and length of Boozer. Also the Blazers have now Nicolas Batum and Rudy Fernandez perfectly accommodated into the rotations and they provide the Blazers some missed size and length on the wings. We all know that the Blazers don’t have the same presence in the paint and they were already lacking some defensive presence on the wings. Nate McMillan was forced some times to bring Miller, Bayless and Blake to the court at the same time and we talking about 3 players with 6’3’’, 6’2’’ and 6’3’’! The Jazz game plan relies heavily into cuts and off screeners from their forwards and facing the Blazers was too easy for them. In the last game against the Bobcats, the Blazers showed some signs of good defense by shutting down a hot team like the Bobcats to just 79 points.
Speaking of the Jazz…they are playing some brilliant defense as of late! It’s easy to praise their offense, but their defense has been the real highlight lately. In their 6-game winning streak for only once they allowed their opponents to reach the century mark in points – 115 points from the Suns, but even in that game, the Suns were held to just 46 points in the second half. Last game against the Mavericks, the Jazz showed their good defense in the final quarter by holding Dallas to just 16 team points.
According to my numbers, I have a line of 192/195 points for this contest and so, we have the proper edge to take the Under in here and I don’t discard the possibility of an upgrade.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 198
Rex Rodgers
3* Anaheim Ducks -135
Tony Taylor
3* Bulls/76ers Over 193.5
3* Thunder/Hornets Over 193
MR EAST
NCAAB WEDNESDAY UNDER THE RADAR SPECIAL
UAB @ MEMPHIS
3 UNITS: UAB +7
The Memphis Tigers have been invincible at home the past few years. The Tigers were 73-3 at home in their last 76 facing Tennessee who pinned a loss on them. Then UTEP came in here and became the first C-USA team to beat them at home since Cincinnati in 2004-05. The bottomline, this is not the same Memphis team we have seen from the past. The Tigers have already lost 6 games, and lost their last time out to SMU. The Tigers are getting "reputation" lines from the books, and they are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11. The Blazers are a very good team at 18-3. They own some big wins, and will be gunning to break through against Memphis, and have the better team here. Blazers getting it done vs the best, as they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs .600+ teams. I'll go with UAB in this one.
RAS
Rice -3
Sportsbetsnow
2 Units West Virginia -10.5
2 Units Marquette -17.5
igz1 sports
3* Pittsburgh +10.5
3* NC State +5.5
3* Chicago/Philadelphia Under 193.5
3* Ottawa +120
first...thanks to everyone who makes this site very valuable to the sports gambler., second ..thank you blade for staying on top of this site and making it fun to visit. third.. thank you to some of the (pros) who are really hot picking baskets (wayne root)...and last which online book is good for deposits and not charging to much to pay out if you happen to win...thank you UNDERTAKER
I'd like to second all the compliments to you Blade, I have been at this
a long time and you have made it interesting again. Thanks for all
your countless hours and look forward to your info everyday !!!!
I'd like to second all the compliments to you Blade, I have been at this
a long time and you have made it interesting again. Thanks for all
your countless hours and look forward to your info everyday !!!!
Special thanks to Blade as well for all his effort and amen to WARoots with his latest hoops plays as well - on fire. I'm not sure I am allowed to post specific books or my experiences but if I can I am glad to pass along the online books I've used and use. I will say you can probably do some simple Internet searches and find rankings of Sbooks. I've used several, but there is one that I have used for 15 years and has great deposit bonuses (esepcially now for the SB weekend as well as bonuses for new investors) and always been paid quickly and in full. (And this would be by no means an advertisement only my experience)
Everyone is welcome nice to have a good group here. ;D
Pluslinesports
Ottawa/Buffalo UNDER 5.5 goals (-135)
St. Louis/Chicago UNDER 5.5 goals
TIM TRUSHEL
20* New Orleans
Colorado
ALATEX
GOY - Rice -3
first...thanks to everyone who makes this site very valuable to the sports gambler., second ..thank you blade for staying on top of this site and making it fun to visit. third.. thank you to some of the (pros) who are really hot picking baskets (wayne root)...and last which online book is good for deposits and not charging to much to pay out if you happen to win...thank you UNDERTAKER
Thanks Blade! And thanks again for all the help. Well then Undertaker intertops I've used for about 15 years and have had the best experience with this one. Depending on pay-out method and amount there could be a fee but I've been paid within 5 days via Fedex so some cost off-set there - I can't say the same with others I've used. Again, I think minimum time on a search engine will uncover sites where they have very good ratings on S-books (believe I-tops is usually B+ or A- rating). Hope this helps. And good luck!
No links thanks