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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Wednesday, January 13,2010

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Marc Lawrence

Evansville +12

When the Aces travel to Illinois State to meet the Redbirds in a Missouri Valley clash they will do so with triple revenge on their minds from last season, including a loss in the MVC Tourney. Evansville has fared well in this series, going 14-8-2 ATS, including 5-0 ATS when playing off a double-digit loss. In addition, ISU checks in off a revenge ruble against Northern Iowa knowing they are 1-9 ATS at home in games after facing the Panthers. Look for the Aces to go places here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Evansville.

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 3:31 pm
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Opposite Action Plays

76ers -2.5

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 3:32 pm
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Rocketman

Boston College +17

Boston College travels to Durham, NC tonight to take on the Duke Blue Devils in an ACC matchup. Boston College is now 10-6 overall on the season while Duke comes in with a 13-2 record this year. Boston College has been a solid road underdog team as they are 74-45 ATS on the road since 1997. Boston College is allowing only 63.7 points per game overall this year. That defense alone gives us a solid chance of covering the high number here tonight. Boston College has covered 6 of 8 games against Duke since 1997. Duke is 0-5 ATS their last 5 games after a SU loss. The last 3 meetings between these two teams has resulted in Duke winning by 1 point, 10 points and Boston College winning outright by 6 points. I'm expecting another close game here tonight. We'll play Boston College for 4 units tonight!

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 3:32 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

New Orleans -5.5

We feel that all the right factors are in place for a Hornets blowout here. For starters, going back to April of '07, they have absolutely dominated the Clippers, winning and covering all 11 meetings. Six of those wins have come by double-digits, including the first meeting of this year, a 112-84 decision at Staples Center. Eight days later they would beat LA again, this time at home by a score of 110-102 and that was without Chris Paul. The Hornets PG is back and playing well, posting four straight double-doubles and is averaging 17.3 PPG and 12.8 APG in the month of January, a stretch that has seen the team go 5-1 straight up. Off their first loss of the new year, to Philadelphia no less, New Orleans isn't going to take the Clippers lightly here, especially considering their opponents come in having covered the number in each of their last seven games. Furthermore, they catch Los Angeles in a great spot as the Clips played last night in Memphis, losing 104-102, a game that was delayed 36 minutes to due a fire alarm malfunction and saw them blow a double-digit lead. We expect a flat effort from the visitors tonight. Also worth pointing out is how good the Hornets have been at home recently while how poorly the Clippers have played on the road during that same stretch. New Orleans checks in with a 14-3 home record, third best in the conference (behind only the Lakers and Denver, who have both played more home games) and have won six straight on their own floor. LA, meanwhile, has now lost its last five road games to fall to 5-11 SU in away games this season. The Clippers are not an effective team when playing with revenge (37-53 ATS last two seasons) and are even worse in double revenge spots going 28-41 ATS. We don't have the numbers when they play with revenge for 11 straight losses! New Orleans, meanwhile, is 35-14 ATS in this building when off BB non-conference games. Playing in the second night of back to backs has not been kind to LA this year as they are 2-4-1 ATS in said scenario. New Orleans is our #1 NBA Blowout of the Month.

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 3:36 pm
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Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket Central Michigan

Wichita st
St Louis
Alabama

Pacers

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 3:38 pm
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SportsKingz

Portland

Nevada (POD)
UTEP

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 3:42 pm
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DB Sports Consultants

4* Texas -7.5
3* Cincinnati PICK
3* Syracuse -13.5

5* Orlando ML +190

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 3:58 pm
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The Booooj

20 Units Michigan St -6.5

10 Units Pittsburgh +6.5

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 3:59 pm
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KBHOOPS

5* Virginia -2 **POD**
4* Clemson -4.5
4* Iowa State +7.5
4* Nebraska +12
4* Missouri -4
3* Utah State +3

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 4:00 pm
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Sportsbetsnow

2 Units Virginia -2

2 Units Clemson -4.5

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 4:34 pm
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BEN BURNS

ESPN ANNIHILATOR!

I'm playing on UConn and Pittsburgh to finish UNDER the total. The Huskies blew a 19-point lead in their last game and Coach Calhoun wasn't at all happy. He was quoted as saying: "It's the most heartbreaking loss this year. It's not even close..." I expect him to have his team ready to crank up the defensive intensity here. While this year's lineups have a much different look than last year's, its still worth noting that this has traditionally been a low-scoring series. The UNDER is 3-1 the last four meetings. The three games that stayed below the total had combined scores of 130, 113 and 117. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at 8-4 the last 12 times that these teams faced each other. Both teams can still be tough to score against. The Huskies allow opponents to shoot a mere 37.3%. The Panthers allow opponents to shoot only 38.1%. They're allowing just 58 points per game. The last time that the Huskies were a favorite of this size was their last home game. They held Seton Hall to 35.5% shooting and the game stayed below the total by 20 points. Pittsburgh scores a lot less points than Seton Hall and is also much better defensively. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair. *8 Annihilator

10* BEST BET ATS ROUT

I'm taking the points with INDIANA. The Suns are favored largely because they've got the better overall record. However, the Pacers' home record is actually slightly better than the Suns' road record. Indiana is 9-9 at home, Phoenix is 9-10 on the road. Both teams won their last game by identical 105-101 scores. However, the Pacers win was arguably more impressive and was of the "momentum-building" variety. The same can't be said of the Suns victory. That said, I feel the Pacers have an excellent shot at scoring the upset. I say that the Pacers last win was the type a team can build momentum from because they rallied from a 23-point deficit. That came against a Toronto team which had been red hot, too. Prior to that, the Raptors had won eight of 10. With that win, the Pacers are now a perfect 3-0 here at home in 2010. That's got them back to .500 here and they're hungry to climb above the mark tonight. Prior to the win over the Raptors, they'd beaten a very good Orlando team. In other words, if they're capable of defeating the defending Eastern Conf. champs here, they're capable of beating just about anyone. (They also beat the Celtics here earlier in the season - the Celts and Magic are a combined 27-13 on the road) While the Pacers rallied from a big deficit in their last game, the Suns blew a big lead. Facing a Milwaukee team which is now just 4-13 on the road, they Suns squandered a 24-point deficit, fell behind by a point, and hung on to win by only four points. That wasn't anything new for the Suns, either. In their previous three games, they'd blown leads of 13, 16 and 20 points. With the likes of Steve Nash and Amare Stoudemire on the floor, we know that the Suns can score. They also allow the second most points in the league though - only Golden St. allows more - and I believe the Pacers match up well against them. The Pacers, who recently got leading scorer Danny Granger (24.1, 5.9, 2.Cool back, have five players averaging in double-digits and seven players who average nine or more points per game. The Pacers did have some trouble with the Suns in recent years. However, they beat them outright in the last meeting and are 3-1 ATS the last four meetings. They're also a profitable 7-4 ATS the last 11 times that they were coming off a game in which they scored 105 or more points. I expect them to build off the Toronto win and improve on those stats this evening. *10 Best Bet

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 4:57 pm
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Dwayne Bryant

Georgia Tech at Virginia
Bet: Virginia -2

Love this game for a couple reasons. First, despite a majority of the bets coming in on Tech, this line has moved from Virginia -1 to -2. That's a pretty good indicator of where the "smart money" is going. Second, this is a very tough spot for Tech. They're coming off a huge upset win over Duke, and they have a visit to North Carolina to take on the Tar Heels up next. So this is a definite look-ahead and/or flat spot for Georgia Tech. Virginia has reeled off five straight wins and they're playing with great confidence right now, so looking past the Cavaliers will be a big mistake. Virginia has shot the 3-pointer very well, especially at home (45.7%), but Tech hasn't defended it all that well on the road (37.7%). The Cavs have also defended very well at home (56.1 points allowed per game on 39.2% shooting) and they rebound well there also (+8.5 boards per game). The line move and the huge possibility of a look-ahead/letdown tell me that there's only one way to go here. Take Virginia.

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 4:58 pm
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Street Rosenthal

*200 Phoenix Suns -4
*200 Okalhoma City Thunder -1.5

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 6:04 pm
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Trey Scott

*200 Virginia -2
*200 Davidson -6
*200 Nebraska +12
*200 Clemson -5
*300 Iowa State +8

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 6:05 pm
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Kikki Sports

2* Lock GOM Clemson

 
Posted : January 13, 2010 6:06 pm
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