Rob Rosenhaus
100* Oklahoma City +3.5
Stevie Y
Orlando/Philadelphia Under 198.5
Boston/Detroit Under 192.5
The Duke's Sports
San Diego State (-18) for 1.5 Units
The Aztecs have won 13 straight at Viejas Arena by an average of 18 p.p.g. We will stay on the Aztecs here after their impressive win at The Pit against New Mexico where D. J. Gay erupted for 30 points. We'll look for him to stay hot against the slower backcourt of the Falcons. And with the Aztec big frontline of Leonard, Malcolm Thomas and Billy White roaming the paint, the undersized Falcons are in for another fall. Air Force has had trouble sustaining leads and with limited depth should be unable to close strong here. AF is just 3-14-1 ATS following a double-digit loss at home and 5-12 ATS against a team with a winning SU record. The Aztecs have owned the Falcons at home with a 5-1 ATS mark and should put them away big here.
PPP
5% Rhode Island
Larry Ness
10* Notre Dame -3.5
Jim Feist
Okla St Over
Duquesne
S Miss
James Madison
Tim Trushel
20* Dallas
Fordham
Maddux Sports
10 Units New Orleans 185
10 Units Indiana 4.5
10 Units James Madison +7.5
10 Units Marshall +10.5
10 Units Air Force +18.0
Jim Feist
Spurs
Mavericks
Pacers
Pistons
Guaranteed Picks
Memphis Tigers
Carolina Sports
Richmond
Towson
Ball St
W Mich
ST Joes
Erin Rynning
20* Celtics Under
76ers
Warriors Under
Rockets Under
Hornets Under
Dr. Bob
NBA Opinions/Possible Best Bets
New York (+2½) over HOUSTON
The Knicks are a team that tends to letdown against lesser teams while saving their best efforts for better competition. New York is coming off consecutive home losses to Sacramento (as a 9 point favorite) and Phoenix (as a 6 ½ point favorite) and the Knicks are now just 6-7 straight up and 3-9-1 ATS when favored by 3 points or more this season. New York is 16-11 straight up and 21-5-1 ATS in games when not favored by 3 points or more. The Knicks are also 21-4 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points following consecutive losses and a spread loss, so they’re due to bounce-back with a good effort tonight. I’ll lean with New York at +2 or more and I’d take the Knicks in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more.
Oklahoma City (+3½) over DENVER
Oklahoma City tends to play their best after a loss, as the Thunder are now 65-30-1 ATS after a loss since Russell Westbrook joined the starting lineup in late November of 2008 – including 9-4 ATS this season after a setback. That’s enough for me to lean with the Thunder in this game at +3 or more.
College Opinions/Possible Best Bets
Iowa (+20) over OHIO STATE
Iowa lost by just 5 points at home to Ohio State a couple of weeks ago and the Hawkeyes apply to a very good 137-45-4 ATS big road underdog situation tonight. Ohio State has been struggling lately, with 4 straight wins of 5 points or less – all against unranked teams. However, my ratings still favor the Buckeyes by 21 ½ points and I’m not willing to give up the line value even with Iowa in a very strong situation. However, I’ll still lean with the Hawkeyes in this game and I’d take Iowa in a 2-Star Best Bet at +21 points or more.
SOUTHERN MISS (-6) over Memphis
Memphis played their best game of the season on Saturday against Marshall, but the Tigers had failed to cover their previous 7 lined games and they’re just 12-29-1 ATS in two seasons since coach John Calipari skipped town to coach at Kentucky. Southern Miss, meanwhile, is 29-13 ATS as a conference favorite under coach Larry Eustachy and Memphis is still overrated. My ratings favor Southern Miss by 7 ½ points before adjusting for Memphis being without Wesley Witherspoon (suspended), who is the Tigers’ #2 scorer, top rebounder, shoots 50.5% from the field and averages 1.4 steals per game.
Akron (+2½) over MIAMI-OHIO
Akron is 35-13-2 ATS after a loss under coach Keith Dambrot (3-1 ATS this season) and the Zips are 41-16-1 ATS under Dambrot against losing teams as long as they’re not favored by 17 points or more. My ratings favor Miami-Ohio by 2 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll lean with Akron at +2 points or more based on the team trends.
Western Michigan (-9½) over TOLEDO
Toledo is one of the worst 20 teams in all of Division 1 basketball and the Rockets apply to a negative 71-157-2 ATS weak home court situation. Western Michigan, meanwhile, applies to a 165-70-5 ATS big road favorite situation and the Broncos have a history of beating up on really bad teams (15-6 ATS against conference opponents with a win percentage of .250 or less). My problem with this game is that my ratings only favor Western Michigan by 8 points. The situation is so strong that I’ll still lean with the Broncos in this game.
Rob Veno
20* Iowa St Over
Rhode Island
Drexel
Georgia St
Hofstra
Mike Neri
Notre Dame
Ball St
Rhode Island