igz1 sports
3* Western Carolina +1.5
3* Toronto vs Charlotte Under 194.5
Ben Burns
10* Sacramento -4.5
I'm laying the points with SACRAMENTO. The Kings lost their last game, 116-105 at Memphis. That was the final game of a road trip though and they were facing a revenge-minded Grizzlies team, one which they had beaten in OT a few weeks earlier. Now, they're back home. That's significant.
The Kings have been a much better team here at Arco Arena over the years and they're a profitable 5-2 ATS their last seven games here with a 4-2 SU home record on the season. That includes outright victories in three of their last four here. Those wins, which came by an average margin of 8.33 points, came against a trio of relatively decent Western Conference opponents (Houston, Golden State, Oklahoma City). Tonight, they take a step down in class to take on the second worst team from the Eastern Conference. I expect them to bounce back from the Memphis loss and for them to make the most of tonight's favorable matchup.
The Kings have the schedule strongly in their favor. In addition to playing on their home court, they had yesterday off. The Knicks, on the other hand, played at LA vs. the defending World Champion Lakers. That resulted in a 100-90 loss. Note that the Knicks have fared poorly when playing the second of back to back games. They're 0-3 SU in that situation this season and 5-15 SU their last 20, dating back to last season. They've only played a road game, after having played the previous day, once this season. That resulted in getting crushed at Milwaukee, losing by a score of 102-87.
This is worse than just the second of back to back games though. That's because the Knicks will be playing their fourth road game in the past five nights. When considering that they don't play five games in five nights in the NBA, that's as "grueling" a schedule as it gets in a 5-day period in the NBA. Making matters worse, in that same five day stretch, they had to fly across the country from Boston to LA. Speaking of Boston, the Knicks game against the Celtics went to overtime and went all the way down to the wire, before resulting in a tough 107-105 loss. In other words, this is likely to be one tired team and "fatigue" will likely be a factor.
The Kings are averaging greater than 108 points per game here at home. They know the Knicks are in a difficult scheduling spot and they should be looking to push the tempo.
Looking at the series history and we find that the Kings are a commanding 10-2 their last 12 home games vs. the Knicks. Eight of those 10 victories came by a minimum of five points. The Kings did lose the last meeting here. However, they bounced back and destroyed the Knicks by 27 points (at NY) in the most recent meeting overall. I expect the Kings to have the fresher legs and look for them to resume their home court dominance in this series, covering the small number along the way. *10 GOM
Primetime Sports Advisors
1 Unit Denver Nuggets -8
1 Unit Denver Pioneers -4
Sebass
50* Charlotte, San Antonio, Under Houston
50* Kent St, Montana St
50* Flyers
100* Steam Sacramento
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Raptors/Bobcats Under 194
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the “under”:
Toronto scored the most first half points in franchise history in their blowout of the Pacers last night, and I expect an offensive “letdown” this evening.
While the offense was enough to carry the Raptors against the Pacers, the team knows it will need better defensive outings to start winning consistently and I look for them to concentrate on that end of the court to begin this roadtrip.
On the other side of the court: Charlotte has the number 2nd ranked defense in the entire league, allowing opponents 89.5 points per game. Charlotte has the 2nd worst offensive ranking in the league, averaging just 85.3 ppg.
Charlotte is also coming off a victory over the Pacers.
Bottom line: The total has gone under the posted number in four of the last five games these teams have played against each other and I expect this strong trend to continue tonight.
When taking into account the fact that Toronto played last night, and these other strong trends and stats, my *10* “TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER” is indeed on the UNDER! 10* UNDER.
Bob Balfe
Cleveland Cavaliers -5
Ron Raymond
76ers/Celtics Over 188.5
When ANY NBA Team played as a -12.5 to -15.0 Home Favorite - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a 1 game road stand - Coming off a Road win as a Favorite - Coming off a Road win; the OVER is 10-5-0 for the Home Fav (BOSTON) in this role. My ATS Calculator numbers have this total landing on 193.07 points.
Rocketman
NEW YORK RANGERS -115
Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Rangers are 13-6 in their last 19 games as a road favorite. Panthers are 3-7 in their last 10 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Panthers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Panthers are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Panthers are 7-20 in their last 27 games as a home underdog. Panthers are 2-6 in their last 8 Wednesday games. Road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. We'll play NY Rangers for 3 units tonight!
Evan Altemus
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +10.5
Memphis has quietly been playing much better over the last week. They have won and covered in four of their last five games. Those wins have come against weaker teams, but they have the added confidence coming into this game. This game is the start of a long road trip, so I expect them to be very focused in this game. Meanwhile, Phoenix has this game before Thanksgiving tomorrow before heading on a road trip of their own. The Suns are coming off of a blowout win over Detroit, so I don’t expect their focus to be on this game. Look for Memphis to keep this game close and cover the point spread.
3 UNIT SELECTION MEMPHIS
Lenny Del Genio
SACRAMENTO KINGS -4.5
This will hardly be confused with a preview of the 2010 NBA Finals, however, it does offer a solid opportunity to play on the struggling Kings. Sacramento surprised many by winning four straight following an injury to leading scorer Kevin Martin, but has since come back down to Earth losing four in a row. Enter the mess that is the Knicks. This will be New York's fourth game in five nights, a terrible spot for a team in such disarray. HC D'Antoni is now feuding w/ G Robinson over what was perceived to be some selfish play and although the team has covered three straight games, the level of competition was not good in two of them and the Knicks remain a tailor-made opponent for Sacramento. The Kings have scored triple digits in nine of ten and against a defensively deficient team like New York, expect their scoring to rise even further. Take Sacramento.
Mike Lineback
4* Bucks / Hornets OVER 200.5
4* Clippers / Pacers OVER 203
Inside Corner
3 Units NJ Devils
3 Units PHIL/NYI Over 5.5
Kelso
50 units Blazers -13.5
10 units Cal Irvine
5 units Utah Valley
3 units Kentucky
3 units Nuggets
BLACK WIDOW
6* Widow Wiseguy CBB "BLOOD BATH" of the Week on Vanderbilt -4.5
Vandy is stacked this season with 5 returning starters. Arizona comes into this game very tired, needing overtime to beat Colorado last night. Their first 2 games of the Maui Invitational have been nail biters, with 4-point wins over Wisconsin and Colorado. Vandy earned a 68-41 win over Chaminade last night, so they had a chance to rest their starters. Now the Commodores will be the fresher team tonight, and they'll take it to Arizona early and ware them down. Vandy is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a game where they made 45% of their free throws or worse since 1997. They'll improve those numbers and win running away Wednesday. Take Vandy and lay the points.
5* Wiseguy NBA "SLEEPER" of the Week on Detroit Pistons +5.5
The P ist ons show excellent value as a home dog Wednesday. Detroit is 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS at home this season, where they play excellent defense by allowing a mere 84.4 points/game. After 5 straight losses, the P ist ons are finally showing the kind of value where there's no way you should pass them up tonight. They'll show up ready to go in D etr oit. Take the P ist ons and the points.
HUDDLE UP SPORTS
NBA Lock: Cleveland -5
Best Bets:
Philadelphia +12'
New Orleans -4
Denver -4' College basketball
South Alabama -22' College basketball