Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday December, 7

Rob Vinciletti
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Bulls vs. PistonsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This game was ranked as my third best total on the board with the other two getting unit rated status. For the free play though this game has a solid chance of cashing as we note that home dogs like Detroit with 1 day of rest that scored 90 or more as a home dog or favorite of 3 or less have played under over 70% of the time vs an opponent like the Bulls that scored 90 or more as a road favorite of 4 or less if both teams had 25 or less assists in their last game. The Pistons have stayed under in 10 of 13 off a favored loss and 9 of 12 off a non conference game. The Bulls have gone under in 12 of 17 this year and 4 of 5 vs losing teams. Look for a lower scoring game tonight.

Larry Ness
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Memphis vs. New OrleansFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MemphisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Hornets chose Kentucky’s Anthony Davis with the draft’s No. 1 pick and when he’s played, he’s looked like the “real deal.” However, a bad ankle has kept Davis out of all but six games. He’s averaged 16.0 PPG and 8.3 RPG in those games but his absence here vs Memphis will be ‘deadly.’ The Grizzlies have historically gotten off to poor starts in the team’s previous six seasons since arriving in Memphis but the 13-3 Grizzlies have been winning with a greatly improved offense (99.3 PPG), as well as putting forth a strong effort at the defensive end (91.3 PPG is third-best in the league). The starting frontcourt is devastating with Gay (18.6-6.0), Randolph (17.7-13.3) and Gasol (15.8-7.2). PG Conley (15.0-6.3 APG) gives Memphis four, 15 point a game scorers. SG Allen (8.0-3.5) is the team’s best perimeter defender but could be sidelined with a groin injury. That will give either Bayless (6.8) or Ellington (5.1) more minutes. The Hornets ‘limp’ in 5-12 on the season, losing for the 10th time in 12 games Wednesday, 103-87 to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Hornets are not only dealing with Davis’ ankle woes but Eric Gordon, who was the team’s major acquisition in the Paul trade (he had averaged 16,1, 16.9 and 22.3 PPG in his three years with the Clippers), played just nine games last year for the Hornets and has yet to see any action this season (a December return has been promised, but who knows?). Then there is Austin Rivers, a controversial high draft pick from Duke, who in 27 MPG is averaging just 6.1 PPG on 28.3 percent shooting. The good news comes from frontcourt players Anderson (18.3-8.0), Robin Lopez (12.0-5.5) and Aminu (9.8-7.4) and the excellent play of PG Vasquez (13.2-8.7 APG). Here’s my bottom line. Why won’t the Grizzlies easily match (or surpass) their 99.3 PPG average in this one? In fact, I see them reaching triple digits and beyond which means the Hornets won’t be able to stay “close enough.” Lay the points.

JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Denver Nuggets +1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Friday NBA line is way to cheap here gang "IMO" as the Indy Pacers have reeled off a few quality performances. These Denver Nuggets on the 2nd of 5 on the road. They have taken 11 of the last 15 meetings and they will steal an dog ugly one here @ the Bankers Life Fieldhouse @ 7pm . These Pacers struggle to score as they average 90.7 ppg. The Nuggets shoot the rock & rebound. The bench for these Nuggets is a strong bunch. The #s are nice @ Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Indiana

Jordan Runco
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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Play: Oklahoma City Thunder
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The Lakers are going for two straight after defeating New Orleans, 103-87 on Wednesday night. The Thunder have won six straight and appear to be firing on all cylinders after beating Brooklyn on the road, 117-111 giving 4, on Tuesday. The Lakers (9-10 SU, 8-11 ATS) travel to the Chesapeake Energy Arena to face the Thunder (15-4 SU, 13-5-1 ATS) on Friday night at 9:30pmET.
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LINE MOVEMENT: The Thunder opened as an 8.5-point favorite and moved to 8 in most books. The total opened at 210 and moved to 212 in most books.
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NBA FREE PICK: Take the Oklahoma City Thunder over the Lakers According to the latest trends: Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Oklahoma City, 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games, 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win, 6-21 ATS in their last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
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The dysfunctional Lakers have been an up-and-down squad since losing Steve Nash and hiring Mike D'Antoni as head coach. The Thunder are led by Russell Westbrook (20.9ppg) and Kevin Durant (26.5ppg) in one of the most explosive lineups in the league. Chris Duhon is the Lakers' point guard and will have the unenviable task of trying to slow down Westbrook. Dwight Howard will be banged around in the paint by Kendrick Perkins, one of the more physical centers in the league. This it not a good matchup for the aging Lakers.

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Cleveland at Minnesota FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Cleveland +9FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The number looks out of line here. The Timberwolves own a losing record and have played in the role of a favorite just four times all season. This is the largest number they have to topple on the season to date. The Cavaliers have had problems finding the win column with just four on the season so far. But, seven of their losses have come by 6 points or less, so they aren't too far away, leading them to four road covers in their last five. The T-Wolves have not found the road easy vs. losing teams, compiling a weak 6-15 ATS mark in their last 21 when facing one. This one is not as easy as it looks, and Cleveland can compete here. Too many points here, take them and play on Cleveland.

Chris Elliott
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Harvard vs. ConnecticutFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ConnecticutFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Since 2009 these two teams have met 3 times in Connecticut with the Huskies posting a record of 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. After a tough loss to the #25 NC State Wolfpack their last time out by a score 0f 69-65, I expect the Huskies to come out strong at home to avenge the loss. Junior guard Shabazz Napiers is easily the best player on both squads and should lead the Huskies to a convincing home victory Friday.
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The Harvard Crimson have been decent to start the year with a record of 4-3 SU and 3-3 ATS in 7 games. They made their first appearance in the NCAA tournament in 66 years last season but were sent packing in the round of 64. After recording 26 victories a year ago many expect Harvard to once again win the Ivy League. Sophomore Wesley Saunders has been solid at both ends of the court for the Crimson, registering 16.1 PPG to go along with 5 RPG. Overall the team has averaged 71.1 PPG on 46% shooting from the floor. The team is fairly deep, with 8 players averaging more than 10 minutes of action per game. This will be the toughest test thus far for Harvard when they travel to the Harvey A. Gampel Pavilion to take on the UCONN Huskies on Friday.
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The UCONN Huskies have started the season strong, compiling a record of 6-2 SU and 1-3-1 ATS through their first 8 games. They are coming off a tough 69-65 loss to the #25 North Carolina State Wolfpack in their last outing and I expect the team to avenge that loss at home in this game. Junior guard Shabazz Napier has been an offensive force for the Huskies, pouring in 18.6 PPG. As a team UCONN is scoring 68.8 PPG on 43% shooting from the field. The Huskies have a very solid team with 3 different players in double digits in scoring and 7 players averaging an impressive 20+ minutes per game. They will need to be stronger on the glass if they are going to shut down the Crimson offense on Friday.
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Since 2009 these two teams have met 3 times in Connecticut with the Huskies posting a record of 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. Expect UCONN to come out strong in this one backed by the home town crowd and come away with the easy victory. Take the "UCONN Huskies" to win ATS.

Bryan Leonard
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Orlando +2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Magic are a confident team right now winning 2 of 3 on this road trip with outright upsets at the LA Lakers and Golden State. The altitude of Utah did them in on Wednesday but they still managed to cover the number. The Magic have beaten Sacramento outright the last four meetings here so confidence will be high.
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The Kings broke a three game losing streak here on Wednesday when they outlasted Toronto. While they did cover that contest they were not overly impressive. The game was tied late and the Raptors couldn't make a stop down the stretch. When teams play the Kings off a loss they are 5-2 ATS on the season, and while Orlando isn't an elite team by any means they are just as good as this Sacramento team. If the line had beeb just one point higher this would have made our paid play card. Still as long as we can catch over a bucket with the visitor here its worth a solid look.

Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston Celtics -1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Boston Celtics now have Rajon Rondo back from his two-game suspension. He returned Wednesday in a 104-94 victory over Minnesota, scoring 17 points and dishing out 11 assists. I look for another big game from the NBA's assist leader while guiding his team to victory over the Philadelphia 76ers tonight.
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Boston wants revenge from a 100-106 home loss to the 76ers in the first meeting of the season between these teams on November 9th. In fact, Philadelphia has won five of its last six home meetings with the Celtics, including the playoffs. Doc Rivers is one of the best head coaches in the NBA, and he'll use this as motivation for his players.
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"They must have great confidence against us," Rivers said. "So those are going to be hard games. I do like it, especially in this stretch, because I think we've started to play a little bit better. We've struggled playing in Philly so I love all the bad stuff because that's good the way I look at it in my demented way."
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Rivers is 41-26 ATS in road games vs. division opponents as the coach of Boston. The Celtics are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games. Bet the Celtics Friday.

NellyFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State Warriors + over Brooklyn NetsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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At 11-6 Brooklyn has been off to a strong start with the new name, arena, and team after an eventful off-season. The Nets won just a third of their games last season and already have half as many wins as the team had all last season. Brooklyn has outscored foes by just over three points per game however and this team has a losing record against quality teams this season, going just 2-4 against top 10 teams and 4-5 vs. top 16 teams by the Sagarin ratings. Brooklyn enters this home game off two huge games, playing at Miami and then hosting Oklahoma City and the Nets came up short in both tests. The Warriors have been a good story so far this season with an 11-7 record and a winning road record. Golden State won by nine when these teams met in Oakland a few weeks ago and the Warriors crushed the Nets on the boards in that game. The encouraging start for the Warriors has come against one of the tougher schedules in the league as more than half of the games have come against top 10 teams with Golden State going 4-5 in those games. With a strong shooting team the Warriors are a threat to win in many road games this season and they have quality road wins in Los Angeles, Minnesota, Dallas this season, as well as winning in Detroit on Wednesday, a venue that is tougher than it might sound. Golden State has been one of the top ATS teams in the league including covering in eight of the last 11 games and Brooklyn has allowed over 46 percent shooting this season which will create a bad match-up going against a Warriors team that hits over 45 percent of shots and has 3-point threats. The Warriors have better shooting rates on both sides of the ball in this match-up and the Nets could be shorthanded up front with Brook Lopez and Reggie Evans questionable while the Warriors should have Richard Jefferson back in action.

Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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4 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago/ Detroit Under 182.5: This game has defense written all over it. The Bulls come in ranked 1st in scoring defense (90.9 ppg) 3rd in FG% (42.6) and 1st in 3pt FG% (30.1 %). In their last 7 games they have allowed just 86.5 ppg and haven't allowed more then 88 points in each of their last 4 games. This is a very hot defense and those numbers should continue vs a Detroit squad that comes in 25th in scoring, putting up just 93.2 ppg. Detroit does score 99.7 ppg at home, but will not come close to that vs this Bulls defense tonight. Bulls aren't only squad that can play defense in this one as the Pistons come in allowing just 96.2 ppg (13th) on 42.9% shooting (4th). Detroit has played really good defense at home, where they have allowed just 93.4 ppg and that is the same amount that the Bulls have put up on the year. The Bulls have allowed just 84.8 ppg in their last 5 games, while Detroit has allowed just 88.4 ppg over the same stretch. This has been a low scoring series of late as the last 7 games (regulation only) have put up just 174.5 ppg. Last year these teams faced each other 4 times and 172 (Regulation), 154, 160 and 182 points were scored in those games. This one will be played in the 170's at best.
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3 UNIT PLAYSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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POWER ANGLE PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia/ Boston Under 190: The Sixers may be 10-6 on the year, but it is certainly not due to their offense that comes in ranked 27th in scoring (92.8 ppg). No it has been their defense that has been winning for them as they have allowed just 94.6 ppg, which is the 7th best number in the league. Philly's defense has struggled of late, but their offense has put up just 88 in each of their last 2 games. The Celtics offense has not been that bad this year, but does come in struggling a bit as they have put up just 92.8 ppg in their last 4 games. Defensively Boston has allowed 99.9 ppg on the road, but after allowing Miami 120 points in their opener they have allowed 95.8 ppg (Regulation Only) in their last 7 away from home, while in their last 4 games overall they have given up just 89.5 ppg. This is a team getting better defensively. We should also note that these teams will go at again tomorrow night in Boston so don't expect them to go all out for this one. I don't think either team will hit 95 points in this one. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since 2010 the Celtics are 13-0 to the Under off a home win in which their leading scorer had less than 20 points.
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Orlando/ Sacramento Under 196.5: The Orlando Magic have had problems scoring this year as they come in Ranked 28th in that department, putting up just 92.4 ppg overall and 89.6 ppg on the road. The Kings have also had their problems putting up points this year as they have averaged just 94.4 ppg overall and 96.9 ppg at home. On defense the Kings are not that good at all, allowing 100.5 ppg, but I just don't see an Orlando offense that has put up more than 90 points just 4 times in their last 10 games, doing much damage in this one. Defensively the Magic have been very good on the road, where they allow just 93.2 ppg and they are the 5th ranked defense overall when it comes to defending the 3-ball. Kings home games have averaged 196.4 ppg, but Orlando road games have put up just 182.8 ppg. I see this game falling between the 2 numbers.

Charlie SportsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bulls at Detroit PistonsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Detroit PistonsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The (9-8) Chicago Bulls of the Eastern Conference Central division will take on the (6-14) Detroit Pistons also of the Eastern Conference Central division in 2012 NBA action. The Bulls have covered 3 of the last 4 Against The Spread vs. Detroit. The Bulls have won 3 of their last 4 NBA games straight up, while Detroit has lost 3 of their last 4 straight up. The Pistons are 3-1 ATS their last 4 at home. Detroit gets the home cover.

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington vs. AtlantaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: WashingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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As long as the Wizards aren't still celebrating their Tuesday win over Miami, expect them to stay close at Philips Arena. Remember, Washington is 4-1 vs. the number as a road dog of more than 6 points, while Atlanta is 0-6 at home laying four points or more. Provided Wizards aren’t still celebrating Tuesday’s upset of Miami, look for Randy Wittman’s side to give the Hawks a fight similar to first meeting this season. Washington took Atlanta to OT on Nov. 21, when the Wizards controlled the glass, holding a 58-37 rebounding edge but losing when Kyle Korver drained a 25-foot triple with one second left. Play Wizards

Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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3 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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VCU -15.5 over OLD DOMINION: These Monarchs are not all that good this year as they stand just 1-7 overall and 1-4 at home and that was vs a pretty weak schedule. In their last home game they lost to Richmond ny 27 points and will face a much tougher opponent tonight. VCU is just 5-3 on the year, but have played the more difficult schedule, losing by just 9 points to Duke, 3 to Missouri and beating Memphis by 13 and all those games were away from home. The VCU defense has been as solid as ever, holding teams to just 60.6 ppg on the year and will be facing an ODU squad that shoots less than 40% and scores just 62.5 ppg. On offense the Rams have been very good, averaging 73.6 ppg, while the ODU defense has allowed 69.9 ppg. The Rams score by feeding off their defense and causing Turnovers and they are 11th in the country in that department forcing 18.6 TO's a game, while Monarchs are 246th in giving the ball up at 15.4 pg. The Rams hold big edges in offense and defense and it will be that defense that will pressure the young Monarchs into many costly mistakes. All that should lead to a blowout win for the Rams. KEY TRENDS--- The Rams are 21-8 ATS the last 29 in the series, while the Monarchs are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 at home.

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto +6½ over UTAHFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Last night the Mavericks went into Phoenix and won as a three-point pooch. That was our late pick of the day and one reason we liked them was because the Suns front office guaranteed their fans satisfaction or they could get a full refund on their tickets. Stuff like that is bulletin board material and you can be damn sure the Mavs used it as motivation. We mention that because of a similar situation here.
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Jazz host the Raptors after beating them 140-133 in triple OT in Toronto in November. Referring to this game, Jazz forward Paul Millsap had this to say, "Hopefully, it won't be so difficult this time." That’s bulletin board material too and it’s insulting. Most players when asked about an upcoming game against a lesser opponent respond with something like, “All NBA teams are good. You have to be focused for every team or you will lose”. The Jazz are a careless bunch that turn the ball over far too often, they have one win over Orlando in their last four games and guys like Millsap should not be running smack against anyone. The scrappy Raptors respond.
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DETROIT +123 over ChicagoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bulls’ three wins in four games have them back on most people’s radar but issues remain. Outside of Derrick Rose's absence, the biggest difference in Chicago this season has been the regression of its bench. Taj Gibson is the only holdover from the successful "Bench Mob" that the Bulls could rely on for a pick-me-up over the last two years. This season, the Bulls' bench ranks 24th in the league in scoring and has lacked the punch it provided the last two seasons.
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Since starting 0-8, the Pistons bounced back to go 5-3 before losing two of their last three. In their six wins this year, the Pistons are giving up just 85.4 points per game and that could come into play here against a Chicago offense that is known to go cold. Detroit’s last four losses have been to New York, Memphis, Dallas and Golden State, no easy group. The Pistons are slowly getting back on track and likely want this one more than any other so far this year. A focused Detroit team is very capable of pulling off the minor upset.