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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

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Rickie Robbins
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Washington Wizards vs. Phoenix Suns
Play: Washington Wizards +3½
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Head to head, the Wizards are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix while the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Suns are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 1 days rest, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games overall. The Wizards on the other hand are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning SU record and 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
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Did you know that if you had bet on every on Phoenix in every game this season you would be doing very well for yourself as they have covered the spread in 27 of their 41 games this season. It’s such an impressive number for a team that was expected to finish dead last in the Western Conference before the season start by nearly every publication out there, including myself. Just have a look at their last two home games, wins over Denver and Indiana by 14 and 24 points, respectively. I mean, who the hell beats the Pacers by 24? Indiana’s second worst loss of the season came in Chicago by 16 points, when Derrick Rose was still playing.
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Meanwhile, the Washington Wizards continue hover around .500 as they keep on producing mixed results. After winning three straight games, which included wins over Miami and against Chicago twice, the Wizards come into tonight’s game having dropped two of three after their 113-111 home loss to the Boston Celtics on Wednesday night. That loss against Boston was worse than you think considering they were without Rajon Rondo, Avery Bradley and Jarryd Bayless. There starting backcourt consisted of Phil Pressey and Gerald Wallace for cry out loud and they were down by as many as 19 points in the first half. Just a terrible performance for a team that desperately wants to make the playoff this season.
The Wizards have actually covered the spread in eight of their past 10 road games! I have capped this game perfectly and am taking +3.5.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 12:38 pm
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Quinnipiac vs IonaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Iona -6.5FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Iona Gaels are amazingly eighth in the entire country in offensive efficiency and averaging 88.8 points per game at home, and we look for them to run the upstart Quinnipiac Bobcats out of the building at home Friday. The Gaels combine a fast pace (26th In tempo) with great shooting to run up big scores, as they are an incredible second in the nation in effective field goal percentage thanks to ranking third in three-point shooting at 41.1 percent and 26th in two-point shooting at 53.1 percent. Quinnipiac is tied with Iona for second place in the MAAC at 6-2, one-half game behind Canisius, but the Bobcats are dead last in the country in defensive turnover percentage and 349th out of 351 Division 1 teams in steals. We do not see that passive defense slowing Iona down. Iona is 14-9, 60.9 percent ATS its last 23 games as a favorite of between -3 and -6½.
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Washington vs PhoenixFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Over 207FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Phoenix Suns have gone ‘over’ in four straight games while both scoring over 100 points and allowing at least 100 points in all four games, and they did the almost impossible in a 124-100 rout of Indiana on Wednesday, doing that to the team with the best defense in the NBA in terms of both points against and field goal percentage allowed! The Washington Wizards play more of a half-court style usually, but this young team is not opposed to getting caught up in the pace vs. teams that play faster, such as in a 113-111 loss to the Celtics on Wednesday, and the Wizards do have six players that average double-digits, with those being the entire starting five and Martell Webster off the bench. Despite their preferred pace, the ‘over’ is 12-8 in Wizards’ road games. The ‘over’ is 20-7-1 in the Suns’ last 28 home games.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 12:38 pm
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EZWINNERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington Wizards +3.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Both of these teams are pretty inconsistent. The Wizards are playing better on the road this season than they have the past few years and this is the start of a four game road trip for Washington. The Wizards blew a golden opportunity to get over .500 on the season by losing at home to Boston in their last game. Phoenix is the surprise team out West and they are coming off of a big blowout home win over the Indiana Pacers in their last game and now are laying a short number against the Wizards. Seems too easy. Washington won both meetings between these two teams last season and I really like them to pick up the road win here against a young Phoenix team that is coming off of their biggest win of the season. Take the points.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 12:53 pm
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Stephen Nover

Washington Wizards vs. Phoenix Suns
Play: Phoenix Suns -3½

Character matters in the NBA. The Suns have it, the Wizards don't. Phoenix is the surprise of the league at 24-17. The Suns proved they can beat elite teams without Eric Bledsoe dealing Indiana its worst of the season, 124-100, at home this past Wednesday. The Suns have won 15 of their 21 home games. They average more than 109 points at home. Washington ranks 25th in defensive field goal percentage. The Wizards can beat mediocre Eastern Conference teams, but haven't stepped up against better competition going 1-10.

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Posted : January 24, 2014 12:55 pm
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Jack Jones
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Boston Celtics +7FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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All the hype and publicity surrounding Kevin Durant has the Oklahoma City Thunder way overvalued right now. I'll take advantage and fade them as a lofty 7-point road favorite over the Boston Celtics tonight.
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The Thunder are in a massive letdown spot Friday. They are coming off five straight victories, including four against some of the best teams in the Western Conference. They beat San Antonio last time out on Wednesday on the road, and it's only human nature for them to fall flat emotionally tonight off such a big win.
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Quietly, Boston has really made backers a lot of money recently. It has covered in six of its last nine games overall, which includes a home win over Toronto and a road victory at Washington. The Celtics only lost on the road to the Clippers by 6, Warriors by 2, and Blazers by 8 to prove that they can hang with the Western Conference's elite. They also lost to the Heat at home by 7 during this stretch.
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Oklahoma City is just 15-30 ATS in its last 45 games following five or more consecutive wins. Boston is 26-14 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days over the last two seasons. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series. Boston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 home meetings with OKC. The Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet the Celtics Friday.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 12:55 pm
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John Ryan

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Orlando Magic
Play: Los Angeles Lakers +1½

The simulator shows a high probability that the Lakers will win this game. They have lost 14 of the last 17 games, but this is a matchup they have a strong opportunity to get a much needed win. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ATS mark for 80% winners since 2008. Play on road underdogs (LA LAKERS) that are average shooting teams making between 43.5 and 45.5% of their shot attempts and is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 43.5 and 45.5% shooting, and after a game allowing a shooting percentage of 55% or higher. Magic are an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when facing weak rebounding teams that are getting outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season. Moreover, the Magic are a big time money burner in home games installed as favorites sporting a 2-11 ATS mark over the past two seasons. The Lakers have been playing well on this 7-game road trip covering the first five games and gave the Heat a very tough test last night in Miami. Orlando is a far cry in terms of talent and defensive intensity and the Lakers have a ton of positive momentum entering this game. Take the Lakers.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 12:56 pm
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Rob Vinciletti

Quinnipiac vs. Iona
Play: Iona -6

Iona comes in off a solid home favored win and cover vs Siena. Tonight they host Quinnipiac who defeated them a littler over 2 weeks ago by 12 points. Iona will have revenge on their mind here at home tonight and they are 10-0 with road loss revenge. As a home favorite from -3.5 to -6 they are 4-0 to the spread. Quinnipiac won an covered at home vs Niagara in their last game. However they have not played well in the second half of a season vs winning teams as they are 1-7 to the spread. Look for the Iona Gaels to emerge with a win and cover here at home tonight.

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Posted : January 24, 2014 12:57 pm
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Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland CavaliersREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Cleveland CavaliersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This is more of a play "against" Milwaukee than it is "on" Cleveland, however it is important to note that the Cavs have been playing much better since they acquired Luol Deng from the Bulls a few weeks back. Still, we'll focus on the Bucks who will be playing their fourth game in as many cities in the last week, and coming off a rare victory two nights ago in a three-point home win against Detroit.
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That win snapped a nine-game losing streak, and we'll fade them and expect a blowout loss tonight in the obvious letdown spot - especially with Milwaukee returning home tonight after this game is over. Bucks are 0-6 against the spread this season after an outright underdog victory, and they are just 4-18 straight up on the road losing by 10 ppg.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 12:59 pm
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Hollywood Sports

Minnesota at Golden State
Prediction: Under

Minnesota (20-21) enters this game coming off a 112-97 win at Utah -- and they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, the T-Wolves have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Golden State (26-17) looks to rebound from a 102-94 loss to Indiana and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss. Additionally, while Minnesota is jut 8-13 on the road and the Warriors have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Take the Under in this one.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 4:21 pm
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Steve Janus

Pacers/Kings Under 197

I don't see these two teams reaching the total set in this one. Indiana is coming off an embarrassing 24-point loss at Phoenix where they allowed a season-high 124-points. The Pacers are a team on a mission this season and they have really responded well to a loss. Only once all season has Indiana lost consecutive games and most importantly are allowing a mere 84.6 ppg after a defeat. That's nearly 11-points fewer than their season average allowed of 95.5 ppg. Making this an even stronger play is the Kings are expected to be without their two best scorers in DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay.

Something else to keep in mind is that there's a good chance the game will be a blowout, given the Pacers are a 11.5-point road favorite. Anytime there's a blowout the game typically tends to go under the total.

The UNDER is 13-4 in their last 17 games after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games, 15-7 in their last 22 when playing against a team with a losing record and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 4:22 pm
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Jeff Alexander

Minnesota T-Wolves +4

Minnesota will be extremely motivated and focused tonight as it looks to snap a 7-game skid in the series. I like its chances of doing so against a Minnesota team that really dominates the glass. Golden State is a good rebounding team as well, but it is 0-7 ATS this season versus teams like Minnesota that outrebound opponents by an average of 3.0 rebounds per game or more. The Warriors have lost to these teams by 5.3 points on average. Andrew Bogut and David Lee are both banged-up and listed as questionable, which means the Warriors will likely have a tough time cleaning up the glass. Golden State is just 6-11-1 ATS at home this season. The T-Wolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. Bet Minnesota.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 4:22 pm
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Dave Price

Dallas Mavericks +2

Brooklyn finally has something going, but its three-game win streak is in serious danger with Dallas in town tonight. The Mavs check in off a loss in Toronto, but no team has been a better investment in bounce-back spots. The Mavs are an impressive 39-17 ATS in their last 56 games following a loss, which means they take no defeat lightly. Dallas has also been one of the best road bets in basketball at 39-16 ATS in its last 55 on the highway. They are even on a 36-16 ATS run in road games versus teams like the Nets that sport a winning record at home. Dallas was embarrassed 113-96 at home late last season in the last matchup between these teams, and you can bet a team as motivated by defeats as the Mavs hasn't forgotten. Take the points.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 4:22 pm
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Bruce Marshall

Capitals at Devils
Pick: Under

It's no secret that Washington has had problems scoring goals on the road for a while now. Indeed, top scorer Alex Ovechkin scores about one goal on the road for every three that he scores at home in Verizon Center. Now Ovechkin is hurting, and the Caps are staring down the barrel of their six loss in seven games, having scored just one goal or less in five of their last six games regardless of the site. For New Jersey, the goalie combination of Cory Schneider and Martin Brodeur has worked well this season, and Schneider was between the pipes in the recent 7-1 win over St. Louis. Can't count on many goals being scored tonight at the Pru Center.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 4:23 pm
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DB Consensus

Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando Magic
Pick: Los Angeles Lakers

Orlando lost 12 of its last 13 games. Lakers lost 8 of their last 10 games, but covered last 6. Head to Head: LAL are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando. Credit to the Lakers for playing tough through so many injuries. We like them to get the W against a poor East opponent tonight.

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 4:24 pm
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AC Dinero

Detroit vs. Wisc Milwaukee
Play: Wisc Milwaukee -3

Wisconsin Milwaukee returns home off 3 straight road games to take on a Detroit team that has lost 4 in a row. We'll back the home team on the fact that Detroit is a woeful 40% from the floor shooting team. It is difficult to win on the road shooting the ball like that

 
Posted : January 24, 2014 4:24 pm
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