Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, March 8

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Indiana State vs. Evansville
The Sycamores look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 neutral site games. Indiana State is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Purple Aces favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+2 1/2)

Game 825-826: Rutgers at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 57.623; Seton Hall 62.357
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-3 1/2)

Game 827-828: Miami (OH) at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 829-830: Kent State at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 55.509; Akron 67.890
Dunkel Line: Akron by 12 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Akron by 8 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-8 1/2); Under

Game 831-832: Columbia at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 50.962; Harvard 60.144
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 9
Vegas Line: Harvard by 8
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-8)

Game 833-834: Cornell at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 44.407; Dartmouth 50.354
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 6
Vegas Line: Dartmouth by 1
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (-1)

Game 835-836: Pennsylvania at Brown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 48.599; Brown 50.462
Dunkel Line: Brown by 2
Vegas Line: Brown by 4
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (+4)

Game 837-838: Princeton at Yale (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 58.597; Yale 55.351
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 3
Vegas Line: Princeton by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+4 1/2)

Game 839-840: Drake vs. Creighton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 59.302; Creighton 65.265
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 841-842: Indiana State vs. Evansville (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 59.433; Evansville 60.184
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 1
Vegas Line: Evansville by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+2 1/2)

Game 843-844: Missouri State vs. Wichita State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 54.340; Wichita State 62.533
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 845-846: Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 60.261; Northern Iowa 61.802
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+1)

Game 847-848: Youngstown State vs. Wright State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 51.652; Wright State 53.027
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+4)

Game 849-850: Illinois-Chicago vs. WI-Green Bay (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 48.844; WI-Green Bay 57.852
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-4 1/2)

Game 851-852: UL-Monroe vs. Western Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.257; Western Kentucky 53.903
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-11 1/2)

Game 853-854: North Texas vs. UL-Lafayette (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 47.298; UL-Lafayette 47.879
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 1
Vegas Line: North Texas by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+2 1/2)

Game 855-856: Troy vs. Florida Atlantic (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 47.876; Florida Atlantic 52.226
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-2)

Game 857-858: Loyola-Marymount vs. Santa Clara (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 50.536; Santa Clara 59.807
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 859-860: San Diego vs. BYU (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 52.755; BYU 60.384
Dunkel Line: BYU by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 861-862: Georgia Southern vs. Wofford (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 48.300; Wofford 49.818
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Wofford by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+3 1/2)

Game 863-864: Furman vs. Samford (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 35.021; Samford 47.249
Dunkel Line: Samford by 12
Vegas Line: Samford by 8
Dunkel Pick: Samford (-8)

Game 865-866: NC-Greensboro vs. Chattanooga (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 49.503; Chattanooga 42.486
Dunkel Line: NC-Greensboro by 7
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 3
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (-3)

Game 867-868: The Citadel vs. Western Carolina (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 41.320; Western Carolina 50.918
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-8 1/2)

Game 869-870: Siena vs. Marist (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 43.203; Marist 48.122
Dunkel Line: Marist by 5
Vegas Line: Marist by 6
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+6)

Game 871-872: St. Peter's vs. Fairfield (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 44.581; Fairfield 49.961
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+9)

Game 873-874: Tennessee State vs. Belmont (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 54.305; Belmont 63.841
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 875-876: Eastern Kentucky vs. Murray State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 55.912; Murray State 54.117
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 877-878: Buffalo at Bowling Green (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 52.923; Bowling Green 56.785
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 4
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-3)

Game 883-884: Stetson vs. Florida Gulf Coast (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stetson 51.929; Florida Gulf Coast 53.251
Dunkel Line: Florida Gulf Coast by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary vs. AnaheimFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Flames are in Anaheim on Friday to take on the Ducks, and their starting goalie Miikka Kirprusoff is back between the pipes, after missing time due to an injury. He looked sharp in his return to the lineup, stopping 32 of 33 shots in a 4-1 win over San Jose on Wednesday.
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Kiprusoff will have to be at his best as the Flames will try to get a win in Anaheim, where they have lost 14 in a row.
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The Ducks have also been getting great goaltending, from both Jonas Hiller and Victor Fasth. Hiller stopped 18 shots in a 2-0 shutout victory over Phoenix on Wednesday. Hiller is 4-0-0 with a 2.40 GAA in his last four home starts versus Calgary. Fasth is 9-1-1 with a 2.08 GAA this season.
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These teams have played low scoring games, going under the total in seven of their last nine meetings in Anaheim.
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The Flames have struggled without their veteran goaltender, but they should be a tougher team to beat with Kipper back between the pipes. I expect to see a tight checking, hard fought defensive battle between these two Western Conference rivals, as the Flames will be desperately trying to claw their way back into playoff contention.

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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North Texas vs. Louisiana-LafayetteFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Louisiana-LafayetteFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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This is the opener for the 2013 Sun Belt Conference championship.
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North Texas is coming off a 74-50 win over Arkansas State on February 28th. Alzee Williams had 19 points, while Jordan Williams added 12.
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Lafayette is coming off a 71-63 win at LA Monroe on the 2nd. Shawn Long had 17 points and 10 boards. Alan-Michael Thompson and Bryant Mabamalu each had 13.
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Statistical Analysis
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In the win over LA Monroe, Louisiana would go 50% from behind the arc (8 of 19); this would prove to be the difference, and I believe this team carries that accuracy and momentum over into this one.
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Pick Analysis
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These teams have played two games this year. Lafayette won 80-76 in North Texas on December 1st, before destroying the Mean Green 105-74 on its home floor. Long had a double-double in that one as well with 23 points and 13 boards. Mabamalu had 18. This is simply a bad matchup for North Texas, which allowed Lafayette to shoot almost 63% from the floor in the second half. Ultimately though, I feel that the Ragin Cajuns will have last seasons disappointment square at the front of their minds. Louisiana swept UNT during the regular season, only to then drop a 65-62 decision to the Mean Green in the quarterfinals of the tournament. I believe all the pieces are in place for another Louisiana Lafayette rout in this series. Consider a second look on the Ragin Cajuns!

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Peter's vs. FairfieldFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: St. Peter'sFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Peters' brand of tedious basketball doesn't get featured often on the highlights shows. But the Peacocks usually don't lose touch with the opposition because of their slowdown preferences for HC John Dunne, and let's not forget that the Jersey City Jesuits won this Metro-Atlantic Tourney two years ago. The X-factor in all St. Peter's games is always G Desi Washington (14.7 ppg), a Delaware State transfer who blew hot and cold much of the campaign but does have a pair of 20+-point efforts in two of his last four games. Mostly, however, we reject the idea of a confidence-shaky Fairfield side laying nearly double digits to anyone. Regional sources say HC Sydney Johnson has been guilty of overcoaching the Stags, who too often look tentative on the attack end as they wait for instructions from their coach. Fairfield also enters Springfield with absolutely zero momentum after three straight losses to close the season, and tallying only 47 ppg in those outings. Not your prototyical, reliable favorite.

Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary vs. AnaheimFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Calgary is 9-8-1-3 overall this season. The O/U for the Flames is 11-8-2 overall, and 4-4 on the road. Most recently the Flames are coming off a dominant 4-1 win over the Sharks on Wednesday. Goaltender Miikka Kiprusoff had 32 saves: "I felt that (Kiprusoff) was solid right from the get-go,'' Flames' coach Bob Hartley commented afterwards. "He was seeing all the pucks and that's such a good feeling for guys on the bench, for coaches, and probably for fans.'' Anaheim is 16-3-0-3 this season. The O/U for the Ducks is 10-10-2 overall, including 3-6-1 at home. After back to back 5-4 loss to the Coyotes, Anaheim exacted some revenge in a decisive 2-0 win over Phoenix on Wednesday. The Ducks have won ten straight at the Honda Center: "We were mad that we gave up four goals the last two games and we know solid defense is going to win you more than just games," Ducks' coach Bruce Boudreau said afterwards. "It's going to win division titles and championships." Goaltender's Viktor Fasth is 9-1-1 with a 2.08 GAA this season, while Jonas Hiller has won five straight at home and is 4-0-1 with a 2.14 GAA in his last five. Hiller is also 4-0-0 with a 2.40 GAA in Anaheim vs. Calgary. Three of these teams last five in the series have gone under the posted number, and I fully expect this strong trend to continue here. These teams played to a rare high-scoring affair on January 21st, when Anaheim won 5-4 in Calgary. Expect a much tighter game this time around. Play on the under.

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah Jazz at Chicago BullsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Chicago BullsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With Catherine Zeta-Jones inspiring us at the Oscars with her performance of All That Jazz from the movie Chicago, how could we not take a side in tonights Jazz/Chicago contest And that?s lucky for all of us as our database found numbers too hot to ignore. For starters, the Bulls are a fast and loose? 19-3 SUATS in their last 22 Friday night brawls, including an impeccable 10-0 ATS this season alone. More so, the Jazz normally reliable as visitors have struck a bad chord on the road this season, going 1-13 SU and 1-12-1 ATS versus .466 or greater opposition. Worse, they have never been able to paint Chi-town, posting a 1-7 ATS log in the United Center when they own a win percentage of less than .630. So given their bad harmony on this floor, theres really only way to look. Well lay the reasonable spot as the Bulls improve to 5-1 ATS after squaring off with the Spurs. We recommend a 1-unit play on Chicago.

Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento KingsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Sacramento KingsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We are playing against Phoenix here as we note that road teams that scored 80 or less at home are 0-10 ats vs an opponent that scored 90 or less as a road dog of 10 or more and had no prior rest coming into that game. The Kings have double revenge which also included home loss revenge. Phoenix is 0-3 straight up and ats on the road with a total of 205 to 210. Look for the Kings to serve it up tonight. Take Sacramento.

Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando MagicFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Orlando MagicFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Indiana Pacers are in a classic look ahead situation vs the Magic tonight as they get ready to face the Miami Heat on the weekend. Unknown to many pundits is the new look Orlando lineup, that is beginning to become more cohesive, and ultimately dangerous for those who don't give them their full attention. I'm betting Pacers bettors are in dangerous territory laying points on the in this spot.

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pennsylvania at BrownFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BrownFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is not a bad spot for my old neighborhood team. Brown is riding a nice little winning streak after a road sweep last weekend. The Bears would also like to make amends for the first meeting this season with the Quakers. Penn had it rolling that night and got the blowout 71-48 win. Meanwhile, Penn is in a potential flat spot here. They already hammered this team once and the Quakers are also off a thrilling upset win against Harvard. The Quakers are not good enough to coast against anyone, and my belief is that the hosts are going to want this one just a little more. The numbers doesn't indicate much, so for me it's just a situational play where the intangibles should at least favor the home team. The foul shooting could be an issue if it's tight late, but I'm going to hope that doesn't turn into a determining factor and I'll side with Brown minus the points.

Jim Feist

Kent State vs Akron
Pick: Under

Akron (24-5, 14-1 MAC) is the third team in the last 30 years to repeat as regular-season champions. Overall, 12 teams have won back-to-back regular-season crowns in the MAC's 65 years of basketball and this is their regular season finale. The Zips got here with great defense, on a 12-5-1 run under the total. Kent State comes to town 2-5 SU in their last 7 road games. When these teams met earlier in the season Akron shot 37% and won, while Kent shot 35% at home. The under is 4-0 in the Zips last 4 home games and 11-5-1 under the total following a win. Play Kent State/Akron under the total.

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Wofford/ Georgia Southern Under 114: Wofford's game's have been extremely low scoring of late, averaging just 109 ppg in their last 5 games. Both teams slow the pace and Wofford can't score as they average 57.6 ppg overall and 55.1 ppg when away from home. Georgia Southern has averaged just 54.5 ppg in neutral site games and just 59.8 ppg in their last 5 games overall. With this being a tournament game both teams should really play it close to the vest, giving us a game with no more than 110 points being scored.

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pacers/Magic UNDER 187½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pacers are 18-8 to the under when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Indiana is not a team that is going to light up the scoreboard when they are playing on the road. They average a mere 89.3 points per game. Their defense however is spectacular holding opponents to 90.4 points per game allowing just over 42% shooting from the field.
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The Magic are also a team that rarely light up a scoreboard. They are scoring 95.4 points per game at home, but they will struggle to reach that season average against the Pacers who have gone under the total in three of their last four games. With Danny Granger out the Pacers will try to win this game with a strong defensive performance. The Magic are not a good team so keep this a low scoring affair should be simple for Indiana.

NellyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston Celtics - over Atlanta HawksFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta sits just ahead of Boston in the Eastern Conference standings but it is clear at this point which team will be ahead in that race by seasons end. Since losing to the Hawks in overtime in late January, Boston is 13-4 including going 8-0 at home with only one ATS loss. The Celtics have gone through a grueling schedule in the last three weeks with seven of the last eight on the road yet Boston enters this game on a four game winning streak. Atlanta managed to win Wednesday night against the struggling 76ers but that snapped a 3-game losing streak and this will be a challenging travel set-up, heading back on the road after playing six in a row on the road before Wednesday's home game. The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams and the Hawks have often struggled against quality teams. Atlanta is just 11-17 ATS vs. winning teams including only 5-9 ATS on the road in those match-ups. Boston has played a daunting scheduled with 31 games against winning teams and they have acquitted themselves well in those games. Given how well Boston has played at home this is a short spread for the home favorite, especially considering Atlanta may have some travel headaches with another major winter storm hitting the northeast.

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto at Los AngelesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Toronto +7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Toronto Raptors have turned things positive since acquiring Rudy Gay. Gay has been responsible for a few buzzer beaters, and the Raptors have been a .500 team since he arrived. The Lakers have the talent, at least on paper, but guess what? That talent has led them to also being a .500 team at 31-31. The margin on paper simply has not translated to the same margin on the floor, so the Lakers continue to play overlays by the oddsmakers. The Raptors have become a viable road team at 7-3 ATS in their last 10, while the often no-show Lakers are a dismal 19-40-1 ATS in their last 60 vs. a losing team. Take the points in this one and play on Toronto.