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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, April 27

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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MEMPHIS -3½ over L.A. ClippersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After a heartbreaking loss at the buzzer in Game 2, the Grizzlies bounced back in a strong way at home on Thursday night. The home teams have now won all three games so far this season and this trend figures to continue in Game 4. The Grizzlies have fixed their rebounding problems that plagued them in the opening game. Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol combined for 43 points and 19 rebounds and held the Clippers starting front court of Blake Griffin and Deandre Jordan to just 18 points and 10 rebounds.
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The Grizzlies are one of the league’s stingiest defensive units. Marc Gasol was recently voted the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year, and teammate Tony Allen finished 5th in voting. While the Grizzlies big men were shutting down the Clippers front court, Allen was hounding Chris Paul into one of his worst postseason performances as a member of the Clippers. Look for Gasol, Allen, and the rest of the Grizzlies to duplicate Thursday’s strong defensive effort, as they cover the spread and even up this best-of-7 series at two games apiece. These two teams went the full seven games last season and they sure seem destined again to wind up going the full distance again.
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HOUSTON +102 over Oklahoma CityFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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As this captivating series shifts back to Houston for Game 3, one of the key participants will be watching from the sidelines. News circulated around the league that Russell Westbrook would undergo surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his knee and would miss the rest of this series. While the Thunder will still defeat the Rockets in this opening series, the Rockets will capitalize on Westbrook’s absence to steal Game 3 at home.
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The Rockets trailing by 15 points with nine minutes to go in Game 3 nearly pulled off the spectacular comeback in one of the toughest arenas in the league in OKC. Now the Rockets return home to the Toyota Center, where they compiled a 29-12 record. Former Thunder James Harden put up a spectacular line against his old team in Game 3 going for 36 points, 11 rebounds, and 6 assists. With Westbrook out, the Thunder are venturing into uncharted territory without their scrappy all-star point guard, as he has never missed a game in his career. An adjustment period for the Thunder is inevitable. Therefore look for Harden, Jeremy Lin, Omer Asik, and the rest of the Rockets crew to take advantage of this opportunity and inch closer to evening this series in front of their home fans.
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Indiana +120 over ATLANTAFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pacers come into this Game 3 firing on all cylinders. Indiana has dominated the first two games of this series, winning by 16 points per game behind the stellar play of the NBA’s Most Improved Player, Paul George. George’s play through the first two games has been MVP-worthy as he has averaged 25 points and 7.5 assists. The Hawks simply have no answers to contain George in this series. Kyle Korver and Deshawn Stevenson have been burned repeatedly by George through the first two games. If that wasn’t enough, The Pacers front line of 7’2 center Roy Hibbert and rugged 6’10 power forward David West has overmatched the Atlanta Hawks duo of Josh Smith and Al Horford down low.
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Even though the Hawks have shot a better percentage from the field in the first two games, there should be some regression in Game 3. The Pacers were the number one defensive team this season, only allowing opponents to shoot 42% from the field and 32.7% from 3. The Hawks have actually shot nearly 50% from the field through the first two games and 40% from 3. What does this say about the Hawks chances as they have shot exceptionally well so far in this series and still lost both games handily in Indiana? Look for the Pacers to clamp down defensively on the Hawks in Game 3 and take a commanding 3-0 series lead.

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 10:05 am
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HBO BoxingFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Luis Carlos Abregu/Antonin Decarie under 9½ -120VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This 12-rounder for the vacant WBC Silver welterweight title comes to us from Argentina and it’ll be shown on HBO. The 5-1 favorite is a 29-yr.-old from Argentina, Luis Carlos “El Potro” Abregu, who is 34-1 with 28 KO’s, losing only to world champion Timothy Bradley. Abregu was recently signed by Top Rank, which makes this fight that much more important to him.
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The underdog, Antonin Decarie, is a 30 yr.-old from Quebec, Canada, who is faced with a very daunting task indeed. Antonin has fought mainly in his home country, losing only once, five fights back to the 38-yr.-old war horse, Souleymane M’baye, a much smaller man than the one he will be up against today. Decarie scraped by to win a majority decision in his next vs. 17-5-3 Irving Garcia. The oddsmakers figure that since he has never been stopped and has only one loss on his record, that this could/should be a competitive affair that will go some rounds. However, a closer examination reveals that Decarie has faced a lower level of opposition and has little punching power, stopping only eight of his opponents. If he can’t gain Abregu’s respect, then what?! Luis Carlos has stopped 80% of his opponents and now he’s fighting with a new promoter. His entire future is on the line in front of his home crowd. Make no mistake, this favorite can hit hard and Decarie will be taking some punishment like he’s never had to absorb before. Decarie will not be able to keep the bigger, stronger and the much-heavier-hitting Argentinean off of him for 31½ minutes. That’s an awfully long way to go especially when you’re an awfully long way from home.
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Jack Culcay/Guido Nicolas Pitto under 9½ -120VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Undefeated Jack Culcay defends his WBA Intercontinental - light miiddleweight title against the Argentinean (now living in Spain), Nicolas Pitto in this 12-rounder coming to us from Hamburg, Germany. Culcay is around a 7-1 favorite but there’s some good value to be had here by playing the total. “Golden” Jack Culcay is from Ecuador, but makes his home in Germany and will want to impress the locals. He’s right in his prime at 27 and is 14-0 with 10 KO’s. All of Culcay’s last five fights have lasted 7 rounds or fewer and this one doesn’t figure to last much longer either.
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Culcay’s opponent, Guido Nicolas Pitto, is 17-1 with only 7 KO’s but looks to be in over his head this day. He’s fought a rather low-level of opposition (to put it mildly), and has only twice in his career been in a 10-round fight and has never been in a 12-rounder. In his fifth last, Pitto was down in the first round against a 9-19-1 fighter, who is now 12-23-1. Pitto managed to lose a 10-round majority decision against the 12-6-2 Mateo Damian Veron in his 3rd last. Pitto’s tune-up in March was a six-round unanimous decision against a 13-31-2, 35-yr.-old fighter who has lost 10 out of his last 11. Culcay appears to be the naturally bigger man and this one has mismatch written all over it. Welcome to Germany, Mr. Pitto and enjoy your 15 minutes of fame, if that many.
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UFC 159FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Jon Jones/Chael Sonnen under 1½ +146VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This one is for all the marbles in the light heavyweight division. Originally, it looked like Sonnen was a possible live underdog but his actions outside of the ring recently suggests his mindset or confidence isn’t where we’d like it. Sonnen has been saying things like, “If I go down, I’ll go down swinging like an American gangster” (his nickname). He sounds like a boxer talking about retirement and that’s not a good sign. Also Sonnen has been extremely respectful and complimentary to his supposed adversary/nemesis. It could be mind-games/psychology but that’s not the sense we’re getting. Rather, we see a guy almost preparing himself to lose. Chael’s the naturally smaller man and he’s no youngster any more at 36 years of age. He’s also moving up in weight to a class that he was never successful in and he’s up against a mixed martial artist that Sonnen admits is the best pound-for-pound fighter on the planet. Jon Jones is a 10-1 favorite here and he’s also around 5-1 to win inside The fight itself is around 6-1 to not go the distance so obviously a distance fight looks remote at best.
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Sonnen may go for broke fast; and it could be lights out fast, too. Jones just has too many weapons and advantages here. He could win it via brutal ground-and-pound (incl. vicious elbow strikes) or a slick submission, of which Sonnen has been the victim of many times before. Expect Jones to finish Sonnen off well inside the allotted time frame here.
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Roy Nelson/Cheick Kongo under 1½ +121VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Two heavyweights are gonna collide here and it’s highly unlikely that this fight will make it anywhere near a final bell or horn. Cheick Kongo is a perennial gate-keeper in the UFC and one could almost call him a trial horse. “Big Country” Roy Nelson is a better than a 2-1 favorite coming in but the value here lies in the way we’re going to play it. The odds of this contest not going the distance is around -240 but we’ll step in and grab the better than even money that it won’t make it past the 2:30 mark of the second round. That gives us 7½ minutes to play with and that’s not chump change in the octagon. Nelson can hit very hard and Kongo’s chin has been questionable of late. This one figures to be a violent fight with no fooling around whatsoever, as Nelson goes after this opponent right from the opening bell and probably finishes him off sometime in the first round.

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 10:08 am
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Wunderdog

Brooklyn at Chicago
Pick: Chicago -2.5

The Brooklyn Nets came out hot in game three and opened up a 17-5 lead in the first five and a half minutes. They were then stopped dead in their tracks as Chicago turned up the defensive heat and held the Nets to 59 points over the last 42 and a half minutes. The Bulls will take that lesson to heart in game four. The Bulls have won four of the six games between these teams on the season. Even though four of the six were played in Brooklyn, the oddsmakers say these teams are even, which hasn't been the case. Since scoring 60 points in the first half of the opener, Brooklyn has managed just a total of 204 points in five halves of basketball since, or an average of just 40.8 per half. The Bulls have cashed seven of their last ten vs. a winning team and have the defense to continue having success vs. this Nets team. Play on Chicago.

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 10:31 am
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Bob BalfeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rays/White Sox Under 7FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Gavin Floyd has not gotten much run support this year and has yet to post a victory. Today he will be facing a weak hitting Rays team. Tampa will be pitching Matt Moore who is one of the best pitchers in baseball that nobody knows about. Both pitchers are strikeout machines and I think we are in for a great pitchers duel tonight. Take the Under.

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 10:59 am
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Harry Bondi

OKLAHOMA CITY (-1) over Houston

The big news out of the NBA Playoffs came yesterday when it was announced that Russell Westbrook would miss the rest of the playoffs with a torn meniscus in his right knee. The announcement quickly moved OKC from a 4-point favorite to a 1-point favorite and we think that's too much of an overreaction. We have seen this scenario play out so many times in the past in all different kinds of sports. A star player goes down, the oddsmakers and the public overreact and then everyone on the team that suffered the big loss steps up huge in the first game without said key player. That's what we see happening tonight. Kevin Durant will still be the best player on the floor and we expect him to take control of this game tonight. Remember, this is still a Rockets team that has failed to cover four in a row, six of their last eight and has given up 98 points or more in nine of their last 10 games. And Jeremy Lin is not nearly 100 percent healthy, which makes the Rockets a one-dimensional offense. The Thunder rally for Westbrook and take a commanding 3-0 lead in the series.

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 10:59 am
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Frank JordanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn Nets vs. Chicago BullsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Brooklyn NetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bulls were up 65-52 heading into the fourth quarter of game three, but something clicked for the Nets as they went on a run scoring 24 points and more importantly limiting the Bulls to just 14 in the fourth quarter. That comeback fell a little short, however it did give them a blue print of how to play against Chicago who had shut them down over the previous seven quarters. Look for the Nets to get back into this series and tie things up as they use this new found system to keep the Bulls on their heels to take game four. Play Brooklyn

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 11:26 am
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Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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3 UNIT PLAYSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago/ Brooklyn Under 178: This has been a low scoring series all season long as 6 of 7 games played have put up 182 points or less, while the 7 games have averaged 174.6 ppg. Chicago home games this year have averaged just 183.1 ppg, while the 3 games between these teams played here this year have averaged just 167.3 ppg. The Bulls really do play low scoring home games as they like to dictate pace and play strong defense. the Bulls allow just 90.5 ppg at home and they have allowed the Nets to score just 81 ppg in the 3 games played here between these teams. The Nets offesnes is struggling to score right now, having put up just 78 ppg the last 2 games and I just don't expect that to pick up vs a Bulls team that is truly locked in on the defensive end. The Net defense comes in ranked 6th in the points allowed and will be facing a Bulls offense that is 29th in the league in scoring. The Bulls will again dictate pace on offense and their defense will do the rest as this one is played in the lower 170's.
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Indiana +2.5 over ATLANTA: The Hawks are not playing good ball right now and they can't seem to figure out this Indiana defense that is on fire. Atlanta has averaged 98 ppg on the year, but just 94 ppg in the 1st two games of this series. The Hawks do average 99.4 ppg at home, but the Pacers have allowed 91.6 ppg on just 42.9% shooting on the road. Defensively the Hawks have struggled vs the Pacers all year long, allowing 100+ points in each of the last 5 meetings and they have allowed 107 ppg in their last 5 games overall. At Home Atlanta has allowed 98.3 ppg and I see them struggling at that end in this one as well. Too much Pacer offense and way too much Pacer defense in this one for the Hawks to overcome. Atlanta has one the last 11 meetings here, but all streaks must end. Indiana takes a comanding 3-0 lead after this one.
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Oklahoma City -1.5 over HOUSTON: All the Thunder has been hearing is that the Westbrook injury gives a host of other teams a chance to win the West. Well this is the first game after the injury and I expect the Thunder to rally around their fallen player and take game 3. This is still a deep and talented team, even without Westbrook, and they will look to make a statement in this one. The Rockets defense is still bad and the thunder still have Durant. I look for Oklahoma City to take this one.

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 11:27 am
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Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis GrizzliesSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Los Angeles ClippersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Clippers offense production was awesome in Game One, scoring 112 points on 55% shooting. But since then they have fallen in each of their next two games, scoring 93 points on 47% shooting in a close two-point win in Game Two, then 82 points on 39% shooting in a 12-point blowout loss in Game Three here in Memphis. We look for the Clippers to get back on track offensively and steal a road win tonight noting 16-7 against the spread playing with revenge this year. Clippers also played very well here in Memphis in the regular season winning outright as road underdogs twice in two chances - winning those two games by a combined 30 points and covering the spread in those games by a combined 37 points. Memphis came through in a "must win" spot in Game Three, but now suffer a letdown today.

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 12:18 pm
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Teddy Covers

LA Angels at Seattle
Play: Over

It’s certainly not hard to make the case for a Joe Blanton pitched game to go Over the total. All four of his previous starts have produced ten combined runs or more.

Blanton isn’t missing many bats these days, allowing a whopping 38 hits (including six homers) in just 20.2 innings of work. His next quality start will be his first of the season. The Angels bullpen behind him has been ‘suspect’ at best, ‘atrocious’ at worst.

King Felix has a well-deserved reputation as an elite level hurler. But when Hernandez faces off against the Angels, a lineup that has seen his stuff literally dozens of times, his track record is downright lousy! Hernandez faced LA five times last year. He notched only one quality start in those five outings, going 0-3 with a 6.25 ERA and a .313 batting average against – ugly numbers.

The Angels lineup has come to life in recent games, pounding out 48 runs in their last nine contests, including six last night. And Seattle’s bullpen behind Hernandez is no elite unit; quite capable of a late game meltdown should we need it!

 
Posted : April 27, 2013 4:12 pm
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