Matt Rivers
DePaul +12
Reasoning: I was skunked earlier in the week by these same Blue Demons at home against Marquette but once again I will say how I believe DePaul is better than some people believe and at this price I'll back the visitors.
No the Demons aren't good and may actually be the worst team in the Big East but they had the lead in that last game at the half against a pretty good Golden Hurricane squad and have actually been fairly competitive of late including an outright at Rutgers as the 9 1/2 point pup.
Notre Dame has been playing much better ball of late and it all started with the outright victory against then undefeated Syracuse. Mike Bray is a super coach who has done a ton in South Bend but this Fighting Irish team is still not even close to previous teams. Guys like Ben Hansbrough and Luke Harangody among others are long gone and this current version does not really scare me all that much at all. They may be an improved squad but that still doesn't make them a good squad. Tim Abromaitas has been out forever and even if the Irish are 16-8 overall and a rock solid 8-3 in the Big East Notre Dame cannot be such a favorite. These guys play good enough defense to squeak out an underdog victory against a superior side but it's a whole different animal to be able to take an inferior opponent behind the woodshed like this. Some teams just do not have that extra gear and blowout capability and Notre Dame is the epitome of just that.
Cleveland Melvin is good which probably isn't enough to snap the Irish' five game winning streak but for the at times offensively challenged and still mediocre Irish to be laying a dozen plus is just way too much, end of story.
Vic Duke
Cincinnati +7
Cincinnati/Marquette 3:00: When you play sound defense, crash the boards hard and limit turnovers, you can win on the road. Such be the case for the Bearcats which are a solid 6-1 ATS as a traveler.
Cincinnati also has good scoring balance with four starters in double-digits. Guards: Dixon, Kilpatrick and Wright can score consistently but 6'9" Gates could be a key factor here against a Marquette team with limited big men due to injuries to both of their centers. We'll look for Cincinnati to grit it out here where they've won 3 of the last 4.
Bearcats are 4-1 ATS as a road dog in this spread range. Marquette has had trouble as a home favorite at 3-8-1 ATS and 0-5-1 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record. The road team in this series is 5-2 ATS and we'll take the touchdown with Cincinnati.
The Canadian Crew
New Mexico -11
The Wyoming Cowboys are hoping to grab a piece of second place in the Mountain West West by knocking off the red hot New Mexico Lobos. But the Lobos will be looking to add on to their four game winning streak and aren’t likely to go quietly.
New Mexico has been on a serious roll the past couple of weeks since losing back to back games to conference leaders UNLV and San Diegeo State. Since then they’ve been dominating conference foes, outscoring them 302-197 since their current streak began.
Sophomore guard Kendall Williams has proven to be a major factor in the Lobos’ recent wins and is building momentum with each game. Over the course of the last four games he’s been averaging around 13 points and playing very strong. In their 65-49 win over Boise State, he put up a whopping 18 points.
But the Cowboys have proven themselves to be more than able to deal with high powered offenses. They showed off that skill set last Saturday by upsetting the then-#13 UNLV Runnin’ Rebels 68-66. At 80 ppg, UNLV is the ninth top scoring team in college hoops, but were all but silenced by the boys from Laramie.
That effort was led by big night from junior Leonard Washington (13.2 ppg) and senior Francisco Cruz (12.2 ppg). Both men scored 16 points on UNLV and were a big part of holding the Rebels to a 49 shooting percentage; and only 3 of 14 on three-point shots. A similar defensive performance could seriously hobble the Lobos today.
The problem with big wins (and since Wyoming hasn’t beaten a Top 25 team since 2000 this one qualifies as big) is that they’re frequently followed by big let downs. Wyoming has had a few bright moments this season, but mostly they’ve been pretty average on the court.
New Mexico is still very much in the hunt for the MWC title and there’s just too much on the line for them in this outing. Wyoming hasn’t shown that they can play spoiler on a regular basis, so this one should be all Lobos.
If you can still pick this one up -10 or -11, go with New Mexico. Some shops have the Lobos at -12.5 and if they do, take the Cowboys.
Jack Jones
Phoenix Suns +2
This is a huge letdown spot for the Sacramento Kings. They are coming off their biggest win of the season on TNT Thursday with a 106-101 home victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder. This young team doesn't quite yet know how to handle this kind of success. There's no way they'll be able to match Thursday's effort.
Phoenix is playing solid basketball of late, winning three of their last four. That includes two impressive road victories over Atlanta and Milwaukee. Phoenix wants revenge from three straight losses to the Kings to close out last season. Look for the Suns to be the more motivated team in this one, thus they come out with the victory.
The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5. The Kings are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 Saturday games. Phoenix is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 February road games. The Suns are 30-16 ATS in their last 46 road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game. Bet Phoenix Saturday.
Freddy Wills
Tennessee Tech vs. Tennessee State
Play: Tennessee Tech +3½
These two are as even as they come and although TN Tech is the road team I'm playing a situational play today. TN Tech already beat Tn state earlier this year and TN State is home that's the only reason why this is not a larger play with the revenge/home court advantage. However, there is an even larger advantage on TN Tech's side. First of all I mentioned how even these teams are? Both shot over 50% from the field 80% from the line and had 17 TO's in the first match up. TN Tech shot a little better and was +3 in rebound margin and +3 FTA. Now TN Tech just came off a horrific home loss as 12 point favorites. They need something to rebound on and this game is exactly that especially after TN State is clearly in a hang over spot after doing the unthinkable beating undefeated Murray State in their own building. A few days ago this line would have been more like a pk, but the loss and the road win in these two teams' last games has us getting extra points. These teams are pretty even and the last 6 match ups have all been close. I just think TN Tech can get up more for this game and the price is right. Tech also the better FT% team which I always like in these close match ups.
Chip Chirimbes
Baylor vs. Missouri
Play: Baylor +6½
Tigers and Bears Oh, My! Two Top-10 clubs #6 Baylor and #4 Missouri are about to show what Big-12 basketball is all about. These two went at it in Waco two weeks ago and we cashed-in with the Megabucks winner Missouri 89-88. The Bears will be looking for revenge and to bounce back from their beating at the hands of Kansas on Wednesday. Although Baylor is only 7-20 ATS in their last 27 vs. the Big-12 the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Take BAYLOR!
MTi Sports
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers
Prediction: Indiana Pacers
The Pacers are at home off an 0-2 road trip and the Nuggets are on the road after going 0-3 on a three-game homestand. The Pacers are 7-0 ATS (10.7 ppg) as a home favorite after a road loss in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line, 5-0 ATS (13.3 ppg) after a loss in which Tyler Hansbrough shot worse than 33% from the field 5-0 ATS (7.9 ppg) after a loss in which Roy Hibbert shot worse than 33% from the field and 5-0 ATS (13.1 ppg) after a loss in which Danny Granger had more turnovers than assists. The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS (-9.0 ppg) on the road with at least a day of rest after a loss at home in which Nene was not the Nuggets' high scorer and 0-6 ATS (-5.2 ppg) as a dog with at most one day of rest when they have lost their last three games SU and ATS. Consider laying the points.
Hollywood Sports
Fresno State at Hawaii
Prediction: Over
Fresno State (11-15) enters this game coming off their 79-71 overtime loss at San Jose State on Thursday. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And Fresno State has played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total as an underdog of under seven points. Hawaii (13-10) looks to rebound from their 88-79 loss to Nevada as a 1-point underdog on Thursday. The Warriors have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Total was set at 140.5 in that game which means that Hawaii has now played 21 of their last 28 games Over the Total against fellow teams from the WAC. The Warriors have also played 4 straight home games Over the Total as a small favorite of less than seven points. Take the Over in this one.
Sean Murphy
Western Michigan @ Buffalo
PICK: Under 138.5
I get the feeling that we're in for a rather sloppy game in Buffalo on Saturday as both the Broncos and Bulls find themselves in less than favorable spots.
Western Michigan is coming off back-to-back deflating overtime losses against two of the MAC's best teams, Kent State and Akron. All told, the Broncos have dropped three games in a row, scoring just 48, 64, and 59 points in regulation time.
Now they have to pick up and head to Buffalo, where the Bulls are 9-1 SU this season. Keep in mind, WMU has posted an ugly 1-8 road record.
It would be easy for the Bulls to overlook the Broncos in this spot, as they've won seven games in a row, and have a big matchup with Kent State on deck Tuesday night. That's the only thing keeping me off of Buffalo today.
It's worth noting that the Bulls are playing as well as anyone defensively right now, having held their last five opponents to just 58 points per game on 33.8% shooting. Not surprisingly, the 'under' has cashed at a 3-2 clip over that stretch.
It's not as if Buffalo has been lighting it up offensively, however. It has put up more than 70 points in only three of its last six games.
I'll also point out that Western Michigan has held its own defensively, holding the opposition to 41.3% shooting over its last five contests.
The last time these two met, they combined to score only 97 points last March. I'm not expecting that type of defensive struggle today, but I will call for a lower-scoring game than the oddsmakers are charting.
SPORTS WAGERS
N.Y. ISLANDERS +105 over Los Angeles
The Kings play their fifth straight on the road here and in three of those games they scored one goal or less. That's not a good recipe for playing chalk on the road. Their one win on this trip was in Tampa Bay but losses to Carolina and Florida are inexcusable. The Kings’ lack of production and resulting frustration has not been rectified. Defensively, L.A. is one of the best teams in the league, which has been its saving grace. However, when you have to rely on your goaltender to keep coming up big in order to win, it’s an added pressure and it makes it difficult to be slotted in the favourite’s role. The Islanders picked up points in five straight games before losing to the Canadiens in their most recent. They remain a tough out for any opposing team because of their balanced scoring, current run and the suddenly hot goaltending of Evgeni Nabokov. Also note that this game is a 1:00 PM EST start and for the Kings, that's highly unusual. Wrong side favored. Play: N.Y. Islanders +105 (Risking 2 units).
Nashville +140 over BOSTON
1:00 PM EST. The Bruins’ Stanley Cup hangover has occurred much later than expected but it has arrived. Boston has dropped three of its last four games and was outscored 11-1 in the process. That's one goal in three games against Buffalo, Carolina and Buffalo. Now Tim Thomas is being hounded by the media for all his political statements since not showing up at the Whitehouse and instead of letting it fade away, Thomas made more political statements on his Facebook page recently. All this coincides with the Bruins funk and while it may not mean anything, one can't ignore the distractions it has caused and what affect that it's having. Conversely, the Predators are as sound as can be. They're strong defensively, they're scoring goals, they have an outstanding netminder and they rarely endure any prolonged slumps. Nashville had won five straight before losses to Philly and Vancouver in OT and that's nothing to hang one's head over. They've still picked up points in two of their past four games and that includes a 3-1 win over the NHL's hottest team, the St. Louis Blues. The Preds are always a live pup. Against a suddenly fragile B's club, the Preds offer up some strong value here. Play: Nashville +140 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +101 over PHOENIX
This selection has nothing to do with the “due” factor as that is an angle we don't subscribe to. It has everything to do with the Blackhawks being a high quality club that has to be sick of losing. The Blackhawks’ annual prolonged trip is turning into a nightmare after losing in San Jose 5-3 last night and running their streak to seven straight losses. A game against the Coyotes couldn't have come at a better time. Playing in Phoenix is like playing in a mausoleum. There's no atmosphere whatsoever, as the building is three-quarters empty and it's demoralizing for a host club to endure that. Phoenix has won four in a row but we're not buying it for a second. They didn't outplay any of those clubs but instead got very lucky in wins over Detroit, Calgary, Dallas and San Jose. That has their stock inflated. Now the Coyotes will host a ravenous beast that hasn't eaten in almost three weeks. The superior club digs down deep here. Play: Chicago +101 (Risking 2 units).
Montreal +129 over TORONTO
The Canadiens are playing better than they have all season with three straight wins over Winnipeg, Pittsburgh and the Islanders. They also had a strong showing in a 5-3 loss in New Jersey prior to that but the Devils had four of the most bizarre goals in one game that you'll ever see. The real kicker here is that the Maple Leafs will retire Mats Sundin's jersey tonight. This is an angle we love. The host will stand around for 45 minutes on their own blue line while the Habs will be sitting in the dressing room getting properly prepared. These ceremonies look nice for TV and all but they are a big hindrance to the host. Along with everything else, there is Ron Wilson's stubbornness to go with the lesser James Reimer in net over Jonas Gustavsson. Reimer has been inconsistent and can look shaky in net while Gustavsson's form is sharp. Carey Price is among the best and is playing like it. Toronto has dropped two straight and can feel the pressure of hanging onto that final playoff spot. Current form and goaltending edge both go to the Canadiens. Play: Montreal +129 (Risking 2 units).
SPORTS WAGERS
IOWA STATE -7½ over Texas A&M
4:00 PM EST. The Aggies have played better lately but it’s not showing up in the win column. A 2-4 record in their past six is not as weak as it may seem after facing some top tiered teams. They basically did what was expected record-wise but they did stay close to some of the top teams in the country. Now they'll travel to Iowa State after that difficult set of games. The Aggies are leaving the conference after this season so that last game against Texas was a farewell if you will. Texas/Texas A&M is one of the most historic rivalries in all of sports and the intensity level for the entire 40 minutes was extremely high. They have Texas Tech on deck, followed by a home game against Mizzou. The Aggies can't have much left in their tank right now. They also have key injuries to two of their best players and even if one or both go today, it's unlikely to matter. The Cyclones are right in the thick of this thing with a 7-4 conference mark. They're home for the first time since Jan 31, where they're 12-2. ISU just split its two-game trip to Oklahoma/Oklahoma St and can't afford to leave this one in doubt for a second. This is a quality Cyclones squad that can score and rebound. They should have little trouble beating an Aggies team that they manhandled on Jan 7th by a 70-54 count and against a visitor that is on an 0-5 road run, coming off its biggest game of the season. Play: #586 Iowa State -7½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Pass NBA
David Banks
Kentucky Wildcats
The Kentucky Wildcats (24-1, 9-14-1 ATS) will look to continue their recent onslaught of SEC opponents Saturday night when they travel to Nashville to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (17-7, 10-10 ATS) in ESPNs game of the night; tune in at 9:00 ET to take this one in live!
Only six games stand in the way of Kentucky going through its SEC schedule unscathed. The Wildcats improved to a perfect 10-0 SU within the conference on Tuesday night after taking the 7th ranked Florida Gators out behind the woodshed and serving up a good old fashioned southern beating. The most impressive aspect taken away from that game was certainly the ease in which KYs defense shut down Floridas sharpshooters. The Gators are one of the best shooting teams in the country both from two and three-point range, but the Wildcats limited them to a paltry 34.9 percent conversion rate from the field which included a woeful 6-of-27 effort from beyond the arc. Frosh sensation Anthony Davis once again made a huge impact scoring 16 points while swatting away four shots and collecting six rebounds. Kentucky is allowing an average of just 57.7 PPG and possesses the nations top FG percentage defense (35.8%). Theyve won five of their six true road games (3-3 ATS) to date and will be playing on a five-game ATS winning streak.
Its been a tale of two seasons for the experienced Commodores in 2011-12 pre and post Festus Ezeli. Without the big man in the line-up, Head Coach Kevin Stallings kids went 5-3 SU & 3-3 ATS in their six lined games. With him back clogging the paint, the Dores have gone 12-4 SU & 7-7 versus the closing pointspread. Most recently, Vanderbilt put an end to its two-game SU & three-game ATS losing streak by defeating LSU at home 76-61 as 11-point home favorites. Ezeli and John Jenkins were simply sensational combining to score 41 of the teams 76 point output, with guard Jeffery Taylor putting forth the most complete stat line with 19 points, two steals, two assists, and six rebounds. The win moved the Commodores to 11-4 SU but just 4-7 ATS as a host on the year. For Vanderbilt to have any shot of competing in this one, the defense is going to have to force turnovers and the offense is going to have to limit turnovers and take high quality shots. This game will mark just the third time theyve been dogged in SEC play (1-1 SU & ATS), and first at home.
These conference rivals split their two meetings a year ago with Vanderbilt winning 81-77 as one-point home underdogs in the first go round and Kentucky squeaking out the 68-66 win as hosts three weeks later; Vandy covered both contests. Kentucky has covered each of its L/5 SEC battles, but has only defeated the oddsmakers at a 2-7-1 ATS clip the L/9 times it opposed a +.600 opponent. Vanderbilt checks in just 8-20 ATS its L/28 match-ups against +.500 road teams, but is also 4-1 SU & ATS the L/5 times it was dogged by six-points or less.
Jeff Scott Sports
5 UNIT PLAY
Creighton/ Wichita State Under 147.5: Both of these teams can score plenty of points and I get that, but these two teams also know how to play some defense as well. Wichita State did allow 93 points to Drake in an OT game recently, but in their last 10 games they have allowed more than 6 points just 1 other time, while allowing 65 points or less in 5 of those games. For the year the Shockers have allowed just 62.9 ppg (75th) on 39.8% shooting (40th). The Blue Jays do come in as the nation's leader in FG% offense as they have hit 50.8% of their shots overall and 43.6% from long range (3rd), but they come in struggling a bit as they have hit just 41.2% of their shots in their last 2 games and they are coming off a game in which they were just 4-22 from long range vs a very bad Evansville defense. Getting that 3 point shooting going in this one will not be that easy as the Shockers are 35th in the nation defending the 3 (30.8%). Wichita does average 77.9 ppg overall and 76.7 ppg in the MVC, but just 70.8 ppg in their last 4 MVC road games (Regulation Only). Creighton is not all about offense as they have played pretty well defensively of late, allowing just 63.5 ppg in their last 6 games overall and 60.7 ppg in their last 3 at home. The final nail in nthe coffin for this one is the fact that not 1 of the last 10 in this series has put up more than 135 points in a game, while those 10 games have averaged just 126.9 ppg. Earlier these teams had an OU line of a149.5 and just 129 points were scored in that one. I expect more of the same here. This is a HUGE game for bothj teams ands they may comeout a mbit tight. Both can score but this game will be all about the defenses.
4 UNIT PLAY
POWER ANGLE PLAY
Montana State/ Northern Colorado Under 147.5: Montana State did have a high scoring game in their last game vs Sacramento State (162 points), but their previous 5 road games have all put up less than 147 points, with an average of 131.2 ppg being scored over those games. For Norther Colorado they have been involved in higher scoring games at home than on the road as their home games have averaged 145.1 ppg, but in their last 3 at home games that number has dropped to 139.7 ppg. N. Colorado has allowed 75.2 ppg at home on the year, but the Bobcats have only averaged 63.4 ppg on the road. The Bears have averaged 69.9 ppg at home on the year, but their scoring has been down a bit of late as they have averaged just 65 ppg in their last 2 at home, while in their last 4 overall they have averaged just 68.5 ppg and one of those games went to OT. The Bobcats Big Sky games have averaged 143 ppg, with 1 OT game, while the Bears Big Sky games have put up 144 ppg, with 2 OT games and both numbers put us under this total. The pace may be pushed in this one a bit, but I feel that both teams will not be able to score enough for this one to go over the Total. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Under - in all games where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points in a game involving two average offensive teams (67-74 PPG) if the road team has trailed their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half. This play is 38-12 since 1997.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Uconn +11 over SYRACUSE: Google News Play. Im gonna look to the Huskies in this one. Despite all their recent struggles they still are a very talented team, but now you can add desperation to the mix as well. Thewy may not be scoring that much right now, but the Cuse have still given up 62.4 ppg in their last 5 games overall. The Orange are 16-0 at home on the year, but in their ;last 5 Big East home games they have just 1 win over 10 points (23 vs Providence), while allowing 61.2 ppg over that stretch. We know the Cuse can score (77.6 ppg) and that Uconn gave up 80 points in their last game (Louisville), but this is still a team that has played excellent defense of late as they have allowed just 58.8 ppg on 38.6 % shooting in their last 5 games, while overall they are 4th in the nation in FG% defense (37.1%). I expect that Uconn will lean on their defense more in this game, while their offense puts up just enough points to keep this one close. KEY TREND---SYRACUSE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997.
Maryland +15.5 over DUKE: Can the Blue Devils really be up for this one after their monster win in Chapel Hill the other night? I don't think so, but even if they were i'm not sure they would cover this number. Maryland is just 4-5 in the ACC but they have played very well of late as they won in Clemson the other night, only lost by 9 to Carolina and went to Miami and took the Canes to OT before losing by 4. For Duke, as strange as this may be to say they have struggled a bit at home in the ACC. Overall Duke is 10-2 and have outscored their opponents by 16.3 ppg at Cameron Indoor, but in ACC play they have gon just 2-2 and have outscored those teams by just 8 ppg. These teams last faced off at Maryland, back in January and the Terps were down by just 3 at the half, and Duke needed a late run to finally win by 13. Duke has just one ACC win higher than 15 points (Wake Forest) and they are in a huge letdown spot so I'll grab the generous points with a Maryland team that can keep it close. KEY TREND--- DUKE is 0-9 ATS in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Clemson/ Wake Forest Over 131: (Added) The Wake Forest defensive play should really aid us in getting this over as they come in allowing 73.8 ppg in their last 5 games, and 71.7 ppg in ACC play. Their offense has not been solid this year as they have averaged just 59.1 ppg in ACC play and 57 ppg in their last 5 overall, but they have also average 66 ppg at home and will be facing a Clemson team that has allowed 65 ppg in ACC play and 69.3 ppg in their last 3 ACC road games. They can be scored upon and I believe Wake will breakout a bit and put some points up on them in this one. Clemson is not a faced paced team by any stretch, but they have played a bit more uptempo of late, averaging 60.8 shots per game in their last 4 games and that should give them plenty of chances for points vs this bad Wake defense. Clemson has averaged 64.4 ppg on the road this year, but I expect them to hit 70+ with ease in this one, while Wake should be good for at least 63 or 64 points. This game should flirt with 140 points.
2 UNIT PLAY
MISSOURI -6 over Baylor: The Bears are a re a very good team this year, but they have had struggles with the top two teams in the Big 12. Baylor has been blown out in their 2 games vs Kansas, while the last time these teams ment the Tiger had a DD lead late, before Baylor made a comeback to lose by just 1. The Tigers speed beat the Bears height in the last meeting and it will do so again. The Tigers are also the more experienced team and they are playing on one of the toughest home courts in the nation. They may win this one by DD.
1 UNIT PLAY
Miami +7 over FLORIDA STATE: Play on Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. This play is 29-6 the last 5 seasons.
Andrew Lange
Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State
Play: Tennessee Tech +3.5
No one in college basketball is immune to letdowns and that includes the likes of Kentucky, Ohio State and on down to the little guys. Tennessee State just picked up the program's biggest win since...I don't have the time to research it but it was huge when they beat undefeated Murray State on the road. I knew Murray State was going to lose at some point and in reality, TSU isn't that far removed from the Racers talent wise, but to go up there on national TV and score a victory was an impressive feat – how often are Tennessee State kids highlighted on ESPN? The Tigers have now won six straight including back-to-back on the road and have just one day to prepare for any angry Tennessee Tech squad that just lost at home to bottom feeder Eastern Illinois. Head coach Steve Payne said after the game it wasn't a lack of effort, but instead just a really bad shooting night. First half play may be the way to look (Tenn Tech ML perhaps) with TSU likely to come out flat. I'm playing both the first half and game.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit Austin Peay State +11.5
Expect Murray State to be deflated following its first loss of the season Thursday. This team had aspirations of running the table in the regular season and will still be holding onto that loss against Tennessee State. Austin Peay, which is better than its record leads you to believe, has had 4 full days to prepare for this test. They played the Racers to a 12-point game in the first meeting, and I like their chances of keeping this one even closer. The Racers are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Governors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We'll take the points.