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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, February 19,2011

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(@blade)
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DUNKEL INDEX

Michigan at Iowa
The Wolverines look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Michigan is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Wolverines favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-1)

Game 501-502: Pittsburgh at St. John's (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 74.037; St. John's 68.242
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2)

Game 503-504: Villanova at DePaul (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 70.833; DePaul 60.217
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 12
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+12)

Game 505-506: Duquesne at Dayton (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 66.275; Dayton 61.704
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (-2 1/2)

Game 507-508: Northwestern at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 63.989; Indiana 66.030
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 2
Vegas Line: Indiana by 3
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+3)

Game 509-510: Ohio State at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 75.154; Purdue 77.651
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 511-512: Georgia at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 62.995; Tennessee 69.957
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-4)

Game 513-514: Florida State at Wake Forest (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 64.400; Wake Forest 54.723
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+10 1/2)

Game 515-516: Virginia Tech at Virginia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 70.111; Virginia 63.030
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 7
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-5 1/2)

Game 517-518: Notre Dame at West Virginia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 72.041; West Virginia 73.022
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 1
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 4
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+4)

Game 519-520: Mississippi at Mississippi State (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 61.830; Mississippi State 63.723
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State

Game 521-522: Texas at Nebraska (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 78.409; Nebraska 69.263
Dunkel Line: Texas by 9
Vegas Line: Texas by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-6 1/2)

Game 523-524: Missouri at Iowa State (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 70.916; Iowa State 61.168
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 10
Vegas Line: Missouri by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-4 1/2)

Game 525-526: Massachusetts at Rhode Island (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 51.917; Rhode Island 57.728
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 6
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 8
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+8)

Game 527-528: Washington State at Arizona State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 60.974; Arizona State 57.412
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-1 1/2)

Game 529-530: Butler at Illinois-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 61.417; Illinois-Chicago 55.099
Dunkel Line: Butler by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+9 1/2)

Game 531-532: Colorado at Kansas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 64.335; Kansas 82.693
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-15 1/2)

Game 533-534: San Diego State at Air Force (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 71.123; Air Force 62.343
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 9
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+11 1/2)

Game 535-536: Tulsa at SMU (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 60.579; SMU 61.362
Dunkel Line: SMU by 1
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: SMU

Game 537-538: Oregon State at Oregon (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 57.388; Oregon 69.858
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-7 1/2)

Game 539-540: South Carolina at Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 56.490; Kentucky 68.950
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 17
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+17)

Game 541-542: Vanderbilt at Auburn (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 68.397; Auburn 58.222
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 10
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 11
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+11)

Game 543-544: Middle Tennessee State at AR-Little Rock (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 51.230; AR-Little Rock 53.741
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-1 1/2)

Game 545-546: Oklahoma at Kansas State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 61.271; Kansas State 69.884
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+14)

Game 547-548: Boston College at North Carolina (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 60.635; North Carolina 76.911
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 11
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-11)

Game 549-550: Rutgers at Syracuse (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 64.287; Syracuse 72.187
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 8
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 12
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+12)

Game 551-552: BYU at TCU (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 73.437; TCU 55.622
Dunkel Line: BYU by 18
Vegas Line: BYU by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-14 1/2)

Game 553-554: Michigan at Iowa (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 66.346; Iowa 63.834
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan by 1
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-1)

Game 555-556: East Carolina at Southern Mississippi (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 53.929; Southern Mississippi 63.207
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+12 1/2)

Game 557-558: Princeton at Brown (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 60.403; Brown 49.188
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 559-560: Washington at Arizona (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 71.073; Arizona 72.296
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3)

Game 561-562: Central Florida at UAB (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 53.618; UAB 67.539
Dunkel Line: UAB by 14
Vegas Line: UAB by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-5 1/2)

Game 563-564: Florida Atlantic at Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 55.065; Florida International 48.490
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-3 1/2)

Game 565-566: Georgetown at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 72.534; South Florida 61.429
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 11
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-8 1/2)

Game 567-568: George Washington at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 55.522; LaSalle 56.528
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 1
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+3 1/2)

Game 569-570: Arkansas at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 61.546; Alabama 71.139
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 11
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+11)

Game 571-572: UNLV at Colorado State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 63.934; Colorado State 62.315
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: UNLV

Game 573-574: Pennsylvania at Yale (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 51.820; Yale 54.393
Dunkel Line: Yale by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 575-576: Dartmouth at Cornell (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 40.356; Cornell 56.181
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 16
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 577-578: Harvard at Columbia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 57.512; Columbia 53.097
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 579-580: Cincinnati at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 66.692; Providence 64.779
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati

Game 581-582: Charlotte at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 52.920; St. Louis 58.651
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 8
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+8)

Game 583-584: Memphis at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 60.350; Rice 60.610
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Memphis by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+2 1/2)

Game 585-586: Marshall at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 57.830; Tulane 56.447
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Marshall by 3
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+3)

Game 587-588: Western Kentucky at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 52.650; UL-Lafayette 56.632
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 4
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-1 1/2)

Game 589-590: UL-Monroe at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 39.604; North Texas 51.242
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 14
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+14)

Game 591-592: Fordham at Xavier (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 43.295; Xavier 71.721
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 28 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-21 1/2)

Game 593-594: Texas Tech at Baylor (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 60.201; Baylor 68.731
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Baylor by 12
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+12)

Game 595-596: San Francisco at Gonzaga (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 52.136; Gonzaga 68.792
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 14
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-14)

Game 597-598: Arkansas State at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 53.137; Troy 48.429
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-1 1/2)

Game 599-600: Santa Clara at Portland (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 57.750; Portland 61.506
Dunkel Line: Portland by 4
Vegas Line: Portland by 7
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+7)

Game 601-602: Houston at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 55.173; UTEP 63.436
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 12
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+12)

Game 603-604: Illinois at Michigan State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 66.275; Michigan State 70.834
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-2 1/2)

Game 605-606: Texas A&M at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 65.066; Oklahoma State 69.206
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 4
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-1)

Game 607-608: Seton Hall at Marquette (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 66.543; Marquette 69.992
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Marquette by 8
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+8)

Game 609-610: Utah at New Mexico (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 56.176; New Mexico 69.042
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 13
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+15 1/2)

Game 611-612: USC at Stanford (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 61.443; Stanford 66.990
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 1
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-1)

Game 619-620: Hofstra at Wright State (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 56.385; Wright State 60.008
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+5 1/2)

Game 621-622: Miami (OH) at James Madison (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 52.587; James Madison 59.565
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 7
Vegas Line: James Madison by 10
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+10)

Game 623-624: Bowling Green at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 45.958; Youngstown State 52.133
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 6
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (-3 1/2)

Game 625-626: Austin Peay at Fairfield (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 52.836; Fairfield 54.409
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+5 1/2)

Game 627-628: Morehead State at Indiana State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 56.872; Indiana State 62.588
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-2)

Game 629-630: Canisius at Boston (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 55.457; Boston 55.850
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Boston by 4
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+4)

Game 631-632: Eastern Kentucky at Western Carolina (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 51.894; Western Carolina 57.956
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 6
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-4 1/2)

Game 633-634: Illinois State at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 51.293; Western Michigan 53.811
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 6
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+6)

Game 635-636: Manhattan at Stony Brook (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 40.859; Stony Brook 50.334
Dunkel Line: Stony Brook by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Stony Brook by 7
Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (-7)

Game 637-638: Central Michigan at Niagara (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 45.644; Niagara 50.916
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Niagara by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-1 1/2)

Game 639-640: Iona at Liberty (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 58.415; Liberty 53.784
Dunkel Line: Iona by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Liberty (+5 1/2)

Game 641-642: WI-Green Bay at Southern Illinois (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 55.027; Southern Illinois 55.386
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (+2)

Game 643-644: St. Peter's at Loyola-Chicago (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 54.087; Loyola-Chicago 59.412
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (-3 1/2)

Game 645-646: Georgia State at Louisiana Tech (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 50.821; Louisiana Tech 50.885
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 4
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+4)

Game 647-648: Bradley at Tennessee-Martin (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 55.828; Tennessee-Martin 47.767
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 8
Vegas Line: Bradley by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-2 1/2)

Game 649-650: Delaware at Rider (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 52.479; Rider 58.724
Dunkel Line: Rider by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Rider by 9
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+9)

Game 651-652: Delaware State at Tennessee State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 39.860; Tennessee State 52.227
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-8)

Game 653-654: VMI at Morgan State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 45.951; Morgan State 50.380
Dunkel Line: Morgan State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Morgan State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (-3)

Game 655-656: Seattle at Northern Illinois (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 44.294; Northern Illinois 49.207
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 5
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+8 1/2)

Game 657-658: Northeastern at NC Asheville (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 51.366; NC Asheville 51.826
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: NC Asheville by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+4 1/2)

Game 659-660: Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 44.505; Eastern Michigan 56.368
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 12
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-4 1/2)

Game 661-662: Missouri State at Valparaiso (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 61.282; Valparaiso 60.196
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 1
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+2 1/2)

Game 663-664: Vermont at College of Charleston (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 55.165; College of Charleston 66.096
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 11
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 8
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-8)

Game 665-666: UC-Irvine at Nevada (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 50.974; Nevada 63.189
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 12
Vegas Line: Nevada by 9
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-9)

Game 667-668: Hawaii at UC-Davis (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 52.837; UC-Davis 53.440
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 1
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+2 1/2)

Game 669-670: CS-Fullerton at Idaho State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 48.207; Idaho State 49.065
Dunkel Line: Idaho State by 1
Vegas Line: Idaho State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+2 1/2)

Game 671-672: George Mason at Northern Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 69.565; Northern Iowa 61.573
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 8
Vegas Line: George Mason by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-3 1/2)

Game 673-674: Creighton at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 58.521; Akron 63.397
Dunkel Line: Akron by 5
Vegas Line: Akron by 2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-2)

Game 675-676: WI-Milwaukee at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 60.805; Buffalo 58.895
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 4
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+4)

Game 677-678: Charleston Southern at NC Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 46.925; NC Wilmington 55.932
Dunkel Line: NC Wilmington by 9
Vegas Line: NC Wilmington by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC Wilmington (-4 1/2)

Game 679-680: Ohio at Winthrop (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 52.723; Winthrop 52.708
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Winthrop by 2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+2)

Game 681-682: Maine at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maine 44.909; Siena 48.016
Dunkel Line: Siena by 3
Vegas Line: Siena by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maine (+5 1/2)

Game 683-684: Loyola-MD at Towson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 49.356; Towson 45.304
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 4
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-2)

Game 685-686: Appalachian State at High Point (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 49.787; High Point 47.613
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 2
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 3
Dunkel Pick: High Point (+3)

Game 687-688: Radford at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Radford 39.355; William & Mary 54.975
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (-12 1/2)

Game 689-690: Eastern Illinois at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 42.384; Toledo 41.040
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois

Game 691-692: Ball State at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 50.576; Wofford 57.462
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 7
Vegas Line: Wofford by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+9 1/2)

Game 693-694: Davidson at Presbyterian (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 51.242; Presbyterian 47.370
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 4
Vegas Line: Davidson by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Presbyterian (+5 1/2)

Game 695-696: New Hampshire at Marist (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Hampshire 46.251; Marist 42.265
Dunkel Line: New Hampshire by 4
Vegas Line: New Hampshire by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Hampshire (-2 1/2)

Game 697-698: Evansville at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 54.903; Murray State 62.722
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 8
Vegas Line: Murray State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-6 1/2)

Game 699-700: Pacific at Oral Roberts (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 56.606; Oral Roberts 55.031
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+1 1/2)

Game 701-702: Detroit at Drake (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 55.953; Drake 55.771
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Drake by 1
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+1)

Game 703-704: Gardner-Webb at Tennessee Tech (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gardner-Webb 41.554; Tennessee Tech 55.607
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 14
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-7 1/2)

Game 705-706: Sacramento State at SE Missouri State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 44.114; SE Missouri State 45.915
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 2
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+4 1/2)

Game 707-708: Utah State at St. Mary's (CA) (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 63.278; St. Mary's (CA) 69.718
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 4
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-4)

Game 709-710: Northern Colorado at New Mexico State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 55.042; New Mexico State 58.812
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 4
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+5)

Game 711-712: Idaho at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.909; Cornell 49.763
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 5
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Idaho

Game 715-716: UC-Riverside at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 44.742; Fresno State 57.486
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-10)

Game 717-718: Northern Arizona at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 53.794; Cal Poly 53.365
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+2 1/2)

Game 719-720: Loyola-Marymount at Portland State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 53.578; Portland State 47.119
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Marymount by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 1
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (-1)

Game 721-722: CS-Northridge at Eastern Washington (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 49.431; Eastern Washington 52.721
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-2)

Game 723-724: Boise State at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 55.928; UC-Santa Barbara 57.463
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 3
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+3)

Game 725-726: Montana at Long Beach State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 57.641; Long Beach State 59.132
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+5)

Game 741-742: North Dakota State at IPFW (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 51.374; IPFW 56.554
Dunkel Line: IPFW by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 743-744: South Dakota State at Oakland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 57.511; Oakland 63.758
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 745-746: UMKC at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 50.046; IUPUI 54.424
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 747-748: Southern Utah at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 50.189; Western Illinois 42.905
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 
Posted : February 18, 2011 10:24 pm
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Posts: 318493
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NHL

New Jersey at Carolina
The Devils are coming off a 1-0 win over the Rangers and look to build on their 7-0 record in their last 7 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. New Jersey is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Devils favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+110)

Game 51-52: Atlanta at Edmonton (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 10.278; Edmonton 11.284
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-110); Over

Game 53-54: New Jersey at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.374; Carolina 11.393
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+110); Under

Game 55-56: Ottawa at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.365; Toronto 10.236
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-190); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+160); Under

Game 57-58: Los Angeles at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.269; NY Islanders 11.094
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-150); Over

Game 59-60: Florida at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.103; Tampa Bay 10.543
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-190); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+160); Under

Game 61-62: Anaheim at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.197; St. Louis 11.938
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Over

Game 63-64: Phoenix at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.561; Nashville 11.899
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-140); Under

Game 65-66: Dallas at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.287; Vancouver 10.749
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+175); Over

Game 67-68: Colorado at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 9.460; San Jose 12.207
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-245); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-245); Over

 
Posted : February 18, 2011 10:25 pm
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Brent Brooks

Furman -8

The Paladins have taken a serious leap forward this year in terms of talent and overall competitiveness. We're huge fans of Amu Saaka (6'6 senior forward) even though his numbers aren't quite as gaudy as they were earlier in the year. Noah States is clutch in the backcourt and the Paladins get better bench play than their opponents in this one.

The key for this game is the high proficiency of 3 point defense for Furman as they head into a game at Samford where the home team relies on the three very heavily as they are a weak team in terms of driving the ball into the lane or into kind of low post presence. Shut down their ball motion with quick rotations and contest threes - do those two things and you beat Samford nearly every time. Saaka is a beast that Samford won't have an answer for on the other end.

San Francisco +14.5

Even after going into Portland and beating the Pilots, the Dons are still not getting any respect - and that's ok with us. Its an indisputable fact that the Dons have been one of the best values on the board all year. 15-6 ATS for the season and 9-2 in WCC play. They weren't expected to be even mildly good and instead have simply been great (in the context of the WCC, obviously).

Having already beaten the Zags in overtime on their home floor, and to be coming off such an impressive win at Portland - you might expect the Dons to be primed for a fall here. If this line were closer to the 8-10 range, that argument could be made more convincingly. The truth is that the Zags are getting love here because of their reputation more than what the disappointingly mediocre season (by their own standards) they've notched so far. They were 14 point favorites to Santa Clara and could not contain Kevin Foster which led to a failure to cover. I have the Dons power ranked ahead of the Broncos and they are catching those same 14 points here with a hook. Asking the Zags to beat a hot team by 15 seems far-fetched.

Youngstown St. -3.5

The Penguins are 8-18 straight up. 8-5 at home and 0-13 on the road. Startling contrast and one that we get to take advantage of here.

As Horizon League play has worn on, the YSU level of competitiveness has increased leading them to recently cover games against Cleveland State and Wright State - not to mention their outright win at home against Butler. Here they get Bowling Green - a true team of streaks.

BG opened the season winning one game in November, then blistered through December and January and now has cooled off with their last win coming on the 2nd of February. I think that cold streak continues in this game.

We're backing the hotter team which happens to have the inferior record - another theme of our February run.

Boise St. +3

The WAC is better than the Big West - seems like an overly simplified way of looking at this game, right? The Gauchos make their living beating up on weak Big West teams. Admittedly, Orlando Johnson is having a great year but in this game they'll face a team that can more than match up with him.

Boise has rebounded from a tough stretch and is rounding back into form. Contributions from froshs Bropleh and Elorriaga in the last couple of games have given this team a much needed spark. Anderson, Arnold and Montreal will have a great game in this one as well. I see a BSU outright win.

N. Texas -14

We continue to fade the Warhawks on the road at almost any number. It worked out easily backing Denver and we look for more of the same here. ULM is simply one of the worst teams in D1 and on the road against a scoring machine like UNT - this is an easy play.

Providence Pk

There's been quite a bit of dysfunction in the Cincy clubhouse swirling around Yancy Gates. Suspended, then coming the bench, etc. All in all - not a happy camper and not playing well for much of February. The key here is that both teams are monster home/road splits. The Friars are 13-2 ATS at home - very similar to Cincy's 15-2 ATS mark at home. However, Cincy is only 5-4 on the road. Grabbing the Friars at home against an overrated road foe.

 
Posted : February 18, 2011 10:29 pm
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Matt Fargo

Washington vs. Arizona
Play: Arizona -2½

This is a great spot for Arizona and despite winning seven straight games, there is a good amount of value in this number. The Wildcats are 22-4 overall including an 11-2 record in the Pac Ten and they lead UCLA by a game and Washington by a game and a half. Arizona has yet to lose at home this season as it is 14-0 and this is easily the lowest number it has been favored by this season at the McKale Center. That is one of the big reasons the value in this short number is exceptional. Washington has been very streaky of late as it started conference action 7-1 then lost three in a row before coming back and winning its last three games. The Huskies have had their share of struggles on the road as they are 4-4 away from home in the Pac Ten and most recent, they are 1-3 with the lone victory coming on Thursday at last place Arizona St. Making matters worse for Washington is that it will most likely be without starting guard Scott Suggs who injured his knee in the game against the Sun Devils. The last time Arizona lost, it was back on January 20th and it happened to come against the Huskies in Seattle. The Wildcats lost that game by 17 points and no doubt have circled this game for payback. A loss here could take away a shot at the Pac Ten title as Arizona could be tied for first place at the end of the weekend with a trip to UCLA next Saturday and that is not a game they want to be in a must win spot. The home team has won the last eight meetings in this series and only a couple have been close. Arizona has covered six of its last seven games with the lone non-cover resulting in a push at California. The Wildcats have been outstanding as small favorites, going a perfect 6-0-1 when favored by 7.5 or fewer points. This is the second time all season Washington has been an underdog and while some will argue that is where the value lies, the first time resulted in a push as it lost at Texas A&M by a point. Additionally, the Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 3* Arizona Wildcats

 
Posted : February 18, 2011 10:30 pm
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Nelly

Virginia + over Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech appears to have nearly moved into a 'lock' status for the NCAA tournament after missing the tournament the last three years as a borderline case. Wins over Oklahoma State and Penn State helped the cause on the non-conference slate but with a few tough games remaining another late season slide is not out of the question. After a big home win over Maryland earlier in the week it may be tough to get full motivation for a trip to rival Virginia, a team that has been struggling. Virginia beat Virginia Tech in early December in a rare early conference clash and while the Cavaliers have lost eight of the last ten games the home losses in that span have come against North Carolina, Maryland, and Duke. Virginia has home wins over Georgia Tech and Clemson and this should be the biggest game left on the schedule for the Cavaliers in what has been a disappointing season. Despite the losing, Virginia is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 games and the home team has won outright in seven of the last ten meetings between these teams. In the three instances in that span where the road team won, two wins came in overtime and Virginia's win in Blacksburg earlier this season came by just three points so another close game should be expected. Virginia is 6-3 ATS at home for the season and Virginia Tech is 3-4 S/U on the road. Look for a serious battle in this rivalry game as these teams should play closer than the overall records project and there will be value on the home underdog.

 
Posted : February 18, 2011 10:30 pm
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Jim Feist

Utah vs New Mexico
Take: Under

Utah is not a great offensive team, shooting .433% as a team while riding a 5-2 run under the total. The Under is 4-1 in the Utes last 5 road games and 8-0 under the total in the Utes last 8 Saturday games. New Mexico plays its best defense at home and the Under is 4-1 in the Lobos last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Plus the under is 22-8 in the Lobos last 30 games following a S.U. loss. Look for a defensive battle in the Mountain West, Play Utah/New Mexico Under the total.

 
Posted : February 18, 2011 10:31 pm
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Sam Martin

San Francisco at Gonzaga
Prediction: San Francisco

Plenty of line value with the road underdog here, especially for a San Francisco team that has already beaten Gonzaga outright as a ten-point underdog earlier this year. And SF always seems to play the Zags tough, as they have covered four straight in this series with two outright wins as dogs. Gonzaga already has four losses at home this year and isn't the normal Gonzaga team we have come to know in years past. Way too many points and we'll back the road side here tonight! 5* Play on San Francisco.

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:20 am
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Rob Vinciletti

Northwestern vs. Indiana U
Play: Northwestern +3

Northwestern has won every game this season vs teams ranked higher than 100 in the RPI Rankings and they are a solid 21-4 vs losing teams the past few years. They are a live dog here against an Indiana team that is 5-12 vs winning teams and just 7-17 when playing with revenge. The Wildcats are 4-1 when playing with 1 or less day of rest and The Hoosiers have lost 8 of the last 9 when the total is 140 to 150. Look for Northwestern to get the cash here tonight.

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:20 am
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BIG AL

Michigan State vs Penn State
PICK: Michigan State -2.5

Tom Izzo's men had failed to cover nine straight games going into their home game against Penn State on February 10. The Spartans ripped the Nittany Lions 75-57 in that game, and then followed that up with a pointspread win at Ohio State earlier this week. We had a big play on Michigan St. in that game and, although the Spartans lost the game straight-up, 71-61, as a 12-point underdog, they played extremely well, and shot over 57% from the floor. And that was the second straight game that the Spartans shot over 50%, as they converted 52.4% vs. Penn State in their 18-point win. Let's play on MSU here at home tonight, as it has revenge from a nine-point loss to the Illini earlier this season, and MSU is a solid 24-10 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a same-season defeat. Lay the small number with the Spartans.

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:21 am
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Jack Jones

Boston College +11.5

The North Carolina Tar Heels are getting way too much respect from odds makers Saturday. The Boston College Eagles will give UNC a run for their money as a double-digit road underdog this afternoon. BC is only getting outscored on the road by 0.5 PPG so they have been very competitive away from home.

BC is 82-51 ATS in road games since 1997. The Eagles are 24-11 ATS in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997. UNC is 0-8 ATS in home games after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half over the last 3 seasons. The Tar Heels are 7-19 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Bet Boston College Saturday.

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:22 am
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Arizona Wildcats -2.5

The Wildcats are rolling, having won 7 in a row, and they aren't about to let their guard down in this revenge spot. Arizona will take great pleasure in crushing a Washington squad that won the season's first meeting 85-68. The Cats have been tough to tame at home, where they are a perfect 14-0 this season. They haven't had much trouble at home against Washington either, winning the last 4 home meetings in the series by an average of 17.8 points. Washington's road struggles haven't just come against the Wildcats. The Huskies are just 5-7 in all games away from home this season. The Wildcats are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less while the Huskies are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. Motivated by the butt-kicking it received at Washington, expect Arizona to have its revenge Saturday.

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:23 am
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Info Plays

3* Oregon State +7.5

Reasons why Oregon State will cover:

1) Play against - home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Oregon) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 points or more against opponent off a road loss, as its 28-8 over the last 5 seasons.

2) Oregon State is 22-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

3) Oregon is just 3-16 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders since 1997.

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:23 am
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Ray Monohan

Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma State
Play: Oklahoma State -2

An ESPNU audience watches an on fire at home Oklahoma St. (11-1) vs. Big 12 conference rival #17 Texas A+M (4-2 on the road) on Saturday from Gallagher Arena in Stillwater, Oklahoma. Trust me when I say there will be more than just bragging rights on the line. A&M coach Mark Turgeon didn’t expect his team to win 69-51 over Oklahoma State to open Big 12 Conference play on Jan. 13 and he's getting a revenge minded Cowboys team all fired up on Saturday. Oklahoma State leads the all-time series, 30-15. But Texas A&M has won seven of the last 11 meetings. Oklahoma St. has lost its past two games on the road, but has defended Gallagher Arena all season I expect more of the same. A victory by OSU would allow them to hold onto slim tourney hopes, as it ends the season playing Texas Tech, Baylor and OU. Some trends I like include OKLST are 38-13-2 ATS in their last 53 home games. Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big 12. Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Cowboys are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Cowboys are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:24 am
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Richard Witt

Indiana -2.5 over Northwestern

In the latest of a succession of bad signs, 'Cats could barely put Iowa away -- with the Hawkeyes away from home! 'Cats have done well against Hoosiers since their recent decline, but Tom Crean's gleaning much-better performances from his troops in recent weeks, and a revenge win appears to be in the cards at Assembly Hall!

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:25 am
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EZWINNERS

UNC Tar Heels -11.5

Boston College and North Carolina both have pretty good offensive teams, but the Tar Heels get it done most of the time on the defensive end of the court and that can not be said for the Golden Eagles. North Carolina went into Chestnut Hill and won convincingly against Boston College in the first meeting and I don't expect the Heels to struggle at home this year where they are undefeated this season. North Carolina has a huge advantage with their length in the paint and I expect them to own the boards in this game.

 
Posted : February 19, 2011 7:25 am
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