Dave Price
Golden State Warriors -3.5
This is a tough spot for Dallas, which will be playing its 3rd game in as many days. Golden State, meanwhile, has had 2 full days of rest and will no doubt be the fresher side. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing without a day of rest, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. Also, the Mavericks are 12-25-1 ATS in the last 38 meetings with the Warriors and 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings at Golden State. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of fewer than 5 points. Take the Warriors.
Jeff Alexander
Utah Jazz +11
I think the Bulls will have to earn this one with Luol Deng expected to be out with a wrist injury. The Jazz are quietly playing very well. They have won 4 of 6 with one of those wins coming against Miami - arguably the best team in the NBA. The Jazz were defeated by 13 in Philly last night but are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Plus, the Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 11.0 points or more. Take Utah.
Vegas Experts
Cal-Santa Barbara at Long Beach State
Play: Long Beach State
After winning the regular season championship last season, only to be upset by UC Santa Barbara in the Big West Tournament, which knocked them out of the Big Dance, this is a big revenge spot for favored LBSU. The number is low considering they swept the Gauchos during the regular season matchups, winning by 23 and 12 points. Lay the small number.
SPORTS WAGERS
NASHVILLE -½ +122 over Detroit
The Red Wings victory over the Kings last night looks pretty decent on paper when you consider that they were down 3-2 with just under four minutes to go. Two late goals propelled Detroit to victory but pretty it was not. Jonathan Quick had a rough game, allowing four goals on just 15 shots. The Red Wings looked quite tired and now they get right back to work to play the tail end of back-to-backs against the surging Predators. Incredibly, it's been close to six weeks since Detroit has played back-to-back games dating back to January 16-17 when they played Buffalo and Dallas on consecutive nights. Things get much tougher against Nashville and its 22-8-5 home mark. This is the hottest ticket of the year. The place will be rockin' and you can expect the Preds to treat this one like a playoff game. If they have any hopes of passing the Red Wings in the race for home-ice advantage in the playoffs, this is the game they must have. In the Predators past 14 home games, they've lost just once in regulation. They're rested, they're much healthier than the Red Wings, they have an edge in net and they catch the Red Wings at the perfect time. Play: Nashville -½ +122 (Risking 2 units).
Pass NBA & NCAAB
Tony George
Florida +9.5
Yes Kentucky is #1, but they looked not so good on Friday and struggled. Florida has had 2 shots at KU and have failed, most recently as a 8 point pup at home where they went cold from the floor. Tourney action is different, just ask Kansas from last night. Laying big numbers like this is dangerous against ranked opponents, as this time of year nothing comes easy, even for the Wildcats. Florida has nothing to lose here, expect them loose and taking numerous outside shots. Grab the points.
The Real Animal
St. Bonaventure -2.5
Whether St. Bonnie should be favored over UMASS today in the A-10 semifinals could certainly be debated. But one thing you can't dispute is that St. Bonaventure is a perfect 10-0 ATS as a favorite in 2012. This is borderline incredible but until yesterday's narrow win over St. Joseph's a a 2-point underdog, the favorite in all St. Bonaventure games was on a 16-0 ATS streak that dated back to late December. Something must be up today because UMASS is 2-0 the last two years in this series winning both meetings by nine points and at 22-10 certainly have the better record over the 18-11 Bonnies. It could be defensively since the Minutemen are allowing 80.6 points a game in their last five compared to St. Bonaventure at 70.2. In that stretch the Bonnies have actually outscored UMASS as well, albeit by a single point (78-77). The Minutemen are 0-6 ATS the last two years after having won three of their last four games. On the strength of that mind-boggling trend as a chalk in Bonnie games, I'll take them as a small favorite here.
Freddy Wills
Massachusetts vs. St. Bonaventure
Play: Massachusetts +141
I like Umass to win this game despite St. Bon with the revenge in this spot. Massachusets has the better Guard play with Chaz Williams coming off maybe his best game over top ranked Temple on Friday night, he had 20 points 10 assists and only 1 turnover. Umass has had issues with turnovers all season, but they managed to improve and they were able to hold St. Bonaventure to 2-16 from 3 and 27-63 overall in the first meeting. Umass has a good enough defense to contend with A10 player of the year Andrew Nicholson they were 91st in 2point defense and 40th in 3 point defense. Meanwhile Umass offense continues to be dominant they are shooting 49.2% from three in their last 3 and that's where St. Bonaventure is vulnerable giving up 38.7% over their last 3. I see Umass winning and getting to the tournament.
Craig Trapp
Colorado vs. Arizona
Play: Arizona -3
Love teams would great depth coming to a Conference Tournament final and ARI is the deeper team with better athletes. Love what COL has done to get to the final but it ends here as ARI just spreads them out and dominates this one. ARI is dangerous tournament team but this is must win and they are going to win by blowout .
Teddy Covers
New Mexico @ San Diego State
PICK: New Mexico -4
I used this space yesterday for a ‘free pick’ winner on New Mexico over UNLV. I’m quite prepared to run with the Lobos one more time tonight as they look to clinch another Mountain West Tournament Conference Championship against San Diego State this evening.
It’s worth noting three things right off the bat. First, the Lobos are very familiar with this venue, playing their fourth game on this court in the last two months. Second, the Lobos travel extremely well, with thousands of their own fans making the trip to Las Vegas. Listening to the crowd, you couldn’t tell who the home team was in last night’s matchup against UNLV. And third, right now, New Mexico is clearly the better of these two teams!
New Mexico has just gotten better and better as the season has progressed. The Lobos have been an undervalued commodity ever since their very early season struggles against the likes of New Mexico State and Santa Clara. Since those two November losses, the Lobos are on a 21-6 ATS run. They beat San Diego State by 10 in San Diego just three weeks ago, controlling the flow throughout while relegating the Rebels to a steady stream of contested perimeter jumpers. Expect more of the same from this dominant Lobos squad tonight! Take New Mexico.
Free NBA Release for 3/10: Charlotte Bobcats/Oklahoma City UNDER 199 Points. The under is showing excellent value with these two on the court tonight. Charlotte's games have been averaging just 176.4 overall points/game in their last five games, while the Thunder's games have been averaging 197/game over their last five. Oklahoma City has cooled down a bit on their FG% of late as well, hitting 44.6% of their shots lately compared to approximately 50% earlier this season. The Hornets are one of the worst scoring teams in the league, especially away from home. They're dropping just 41.4% of their shots on the road for a grand total of 86.9 points/game. The under is 10-3-1 in the Bobcats last 14 road games, including 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games as a dog of 11.0 or more points. The under is 5-2 in the Thunder's last 7 overall, and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games vs losing teams. Best of all the under has cashed in 8 times in the last 10 meetings between these two. Looks to us like the oddsmakers missed the mark on this total. We'll play the under 199 tonight in Oklahoma City. Our free plays are now 175-94-1 all-time (65%). Sign up today at iseewinners.com to receive all of our free releases via email.