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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, March 5,2011

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(@blade)
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DUNKEL INDEX

Notre Dame at Connecticut
The Huskies look to take advantage of a Notre Dame team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a road underdog from 1 to 6 1/2 points. Connecticut is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 5

Game 513-514: Duquesne at Richmond (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 62.505; Richmond 64.438
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+3 1/2)

Game 515-516: Louisville at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 69.517; West Virginia 74.309
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 5
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 3
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-3)

Game 517-518: Kansas at Missouri (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 77.610; Missouri 72.045
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-2 1/2)

Game 519-520: Virginia Tech at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 69.121; Clemson 69.989
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+3 1/2)
Game 521-522: Indiana at Illinois (12:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 60.275; Illinois 72.669
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 10
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-10)

Game 523-524: Massachusetts at Fordham (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 51.511; Fordham 49.588
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 6
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+6)

Game 525-526: Georgia at Alabama (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 65.650; Alabama 66.352
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1
Vegas Line: Alabama by 5
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+5)

Game 527-528: Iowa State at Kansas State (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 57.863; Kansas State 77.709
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 20
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-13 1/2)

Game 529-530: Texas Tech at Texas A&M (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 60.331; Texas A&M 72.854
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-10)

Game 531-532: Michigan State at Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 65.794; Michigan 64.659
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 1
Vegas Line: Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+1 1/2)

Game 533-534: Georgetown at Cincinnati (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 70.046; Cincinnati 70.107
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+3 1/2)

Game 535-536: Notre Dame at Connecticut (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 69.774; Connecticut 75.623
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 6
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-2 1/2)

Game 537-538: Western Michigan at Central Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 57.339; Central Michigan 51.743
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-1 1/2)

Game 539-540: Toledo at Eastern Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 40.747; Eastern Michigan 48.638
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 8
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 10
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+10)

Game 541-542: Northern Illinois at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 44.485; Ball State 53.111
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Ball State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+10 1/2)

Game 543-544: South Carolina at Mississippi State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 55.674; Mississippi State 67.144
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-5 1/2)

Game 545-546: Xavier at St. Louis (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 68.286; St. Louis 60.184
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 8
Vegas Line: Xavier by 4
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-4)

Game 547-548: Dayton at George Washington (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 59.552; George Washington 59.728
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: George Washington by 2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+2)

Game 549-550: Virginia at Maryland (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 62.202; Maryland 70.118
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 8
Vegas Line: Maryland by 12
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+12)

Game 551-552: St. Joseph's at Charlotte (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 48.729; Charlotte 53.749
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 5
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 3
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-3)

Game 553-554: Rhode Island at St. Bonaventure (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 59.507; St. Bonaventure 59.073
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+1 1/2)

Game 555-556: LaSalle at Temple (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 50.145; Temple 69.531
Dunkel Line: Temple by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-14 1/2)

Game 557-558: UTEP at SMU (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 62.855; SMU 57.365
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-2)

Game 559-560: Wyoming at BYU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 52.741; BYU 70.199
Dunkel Line: BYU by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+20 1/2)

Game 561-562: UNLV at Utah (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 65.340; Utah 56.666
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-7 1/2)

Game 563-564: Arkansas at Mississippi (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 62.377; Mississippi 62.953
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 7
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+7)

Game 565-566: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 63.942; Oklahoma 57.283
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-1)

Game 567-568: Villanova at Pittsburgh (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 69.144; Pittsburgh 74.823
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+9 1/2)

Game 569-570: Tulane at Memphis (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 52.681; Memphis 58.606
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 6
Vegas Line: Memphis by 9
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+9)

Game 571-572: DePaul at Syracuse (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 55.882; Syracuse 77.721
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 22
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 20
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-20)

Game 573-574: Marquette at Seton Hall (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 71.185; Seton Hall 67.421
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 4
Vegas Line: Pick

Dunkel Pick: Marquette
Game 575-576: Southern Mississippi at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 59.588; Tulsa 64.739
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 5
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-1 1/2)

Game 577-578: Rice at Houston (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 53.782; Houston 57.611
Dunkel Line: Houston by 4
Vegas Line: Houston by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-1 1/2)

Game 579-580: Oregon at Arizona (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 60.975; Arizona 68.345
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+13 1/2)

Game 581-582: Air Force at New Mexico (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 58.619; New Mexico 66.732
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 8
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 12
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+12)

Game 583-584: Florida at Vanderbilt (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 67.107; Vanderbilt 73.209
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 6
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-3 1/2)

Game 585-586: Stanford at California (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 62.523; California 64.344
Dunkel Line: California by 2
Vegas Line: California by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+5 1/2)

Game 587-588: USC at Washington (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 65.866; Washington 77.702
Dunkel Line: Washington by 12
Vegas Line: Washington by 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-9)

Game 589-590: Buffalo at Bowling Green (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 52.295; Bowling Green 50.206
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+4 1/2)

Game 591-592: Auburn at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 52.784; LSU 58.630
Dunkel Line: LSU by 6
Vegas Line: LSU by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-3 1/2)

Game 595-596: Princeton at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 56.814; Harvard 63.057
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 597-598: Brown at Columbia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 50.787; Columbia 51.043
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 599-600: Utah State at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 67.857; Louisiana Tech 53.284
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-12)

Game 601-602: Yale at Cornell (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 51.176; Cornell 54.799
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 603-604: Pennsylvania at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 49.808; Dartmouth 44.468
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 605-606: Rutgers at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 58.637; Providence 65.789
Dunkel Line: Providence by 7
Vegas Line: Providence by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-3 1/2)

Game 607-608: Central Florida at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 59.233; Marshall 62.106
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 3
Vegas Line: Marshall by 5
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+5)

Game 609-610: Purdue at Iowa (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 75.233; Iowa 62.784
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Purdue by 9
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-9)

Game 611-612: Duke at North Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 74.868; North Carolina 78.161
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 1
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-1)

Game 613-614: South Florida at St. John's (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 59.611; St. John's 70.321
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+13 1/2)

Game 615-616: East Carolina at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 55.030; UAB 67.001
Dunkel Line: UAB by 12
Vegas Line: UAB by 11
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-11)

Game 617-618: Texas at Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 70.104; Baylor 68.328
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2
Vegas Line: Texas by 4
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+4)

Game 619-620: Nebraska at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 63.914; Colorado 70.620
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-4 1/2)

Game 621-622: Oregon State at Arizona State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 55.417; Arizona State 58.209
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 3
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+6 1/2)

Game 623-624: Nevada at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 54.640; New Mexico State 60.972
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-5 1/2)

Game 625-626: San Jose State at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 56.133; Boise State 61.455
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+10)

Game 627-628: Colorado State at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 59.734; San Diego State 74.759
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 15
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-11 1/2)

Game 629-630: CS-Fullerton at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 48.238; UC-Davis 50.598
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+4 1/2)

Game 631-632: UC-Irvine at UC-Riverside (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 48.762; UC-Riverside 52.654
Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 4
Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (-1 1/2)

Game 633-634: Cal Poly at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.866; UC-Santa Barbara 58.703
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 6
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-4 1/2)

Game 635-636: CS-Northridge at Pacific (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 51.971; Pacific 54.417
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 11
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+11)

Game 637-638: UCLA at Washington State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 69.973; Washington State 64.056
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 6
Vegas Line: UCLA by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-1 1/2)

Game 639-640: Hawaii at Fresno State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 52.309; Fresno State 58.867
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-4 1/2)

Game 641-642: Georgia State vs. George Mason (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 51.968; George Mason 65.540
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 643-644: Drexel vs. VCU (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 55.607; VCU 57.043
Dunkel Line: VCU by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 645-646: Delaware vs. Old Dominion (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 50.633; Old Dominion 65.392
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 15
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 647-648: William & Mary vs. Hofstra (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 53.680; Hofstra 53.369
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 649-650: Creighton vs. Missouri State (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 59.366; Missouri State 61.515
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 651-652: Indiana State vs. Wichita State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 58.573; Wichita State 61.454
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 653-654: Cleveland State vs. Butler (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 57.562; Butler 63.895
Dunkel Line: Butler by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 655-656: Valparaiso vs. WI-Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 56.162; WI-Milwaukee 64.709
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 657-658: Troy vs. North Texas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 44.329; North Texas 53.120
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 9
Vegas Line: North Texas by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-5 1/2)

Game 659-660: AR-Little Rock vs. South Alabama (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 53.456; South Alabama 48.239
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 5
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-2 1/2)

Game 661-662: UL-Monroe vs. Western Kentucky (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 42.945; Western Kentucky 49.526
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+10 1/2)

Game 663-664: Florida International vs. Denver (9:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 47.685; Denver 47.515
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Denver by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+4 1/2)

Game 665-666: Loyola-Marymount vs. Santa Clara (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 48.792; Santa Clara 57.839
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 667-668: Pepperdine vs. San Francisco (11:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 53.182; San Francisco 56.727
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 669-670: NC-Greensboro vs. Western Carolina (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 46.332; Western Carolina 54.137
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 671-672: Appalachian State vs. Wofford (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 54.563; Wofford 55.290
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 673-674: Furman vs. Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 50.722; Chattanooga 45.924
Dunkel Line: Furman by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 675-676: Elon vs. College of Charleston (9:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 52.831; College of Charleston 56.720
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 677-678: Loyola-MD vs. St. Peter's (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 51.261; St. Peter's 55.478
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 4
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (-2)

Game 679-680: Marist vs. Fairfield (4:55 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 41.492; Fairfield 55.198
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 681-682: Siena vs. Iona (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 48.187; Iona 57.418
Dunkel Line: Iona by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 683-684: Canisius vs. Rider (9:55 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 51.188; Rider 52.345
Dunkel Line: Rider by 1
Vegas Line: Rider by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+3 1/2)

Game 685-686: Tennessee Tech vs. Morehead State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 51.217; Morehead State 59.477
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 687-688: Montana State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 45.461; Northern Arizona 61.443
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 16
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 11
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-11)

Game 689-690: Eastern Washington at Weber State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 46.324; Weber State 55.831
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+10)

Game 701-702: Stony Brook vs. Albany (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 43.159; Albany 48.292
Dunkel Line: Albany by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Binghamton vs. Vermont (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Binghamton 46.834; Vermont 54.439
Dunkel Line: Vermont by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: New Hampshire vs. Boston U. (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Hampshire 44.008; Boston U. 53.006
Dunkel Line: Boston U. by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Hartford vs. Maine (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hartford 37.898; Maine 46.102
Dunkel Line: Maine by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: NC-Asheville vs. Coastal Carolina (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Asheville 52.217; Coastal Carolina 56.619
Dunkel Line: Coastal Carolina by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: North Florida vs. Belmont (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Florida 52.736; Belmont 62.802
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Southern Utah vs. Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 52.684; Oakland 59.007
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 715-716: North Dakota State vs. Oral Roberts (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 50.280; Oral Roberts 58.770
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 
Posted : March 4, 2011 10:34 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

DUNKEL INDEX

Minnesota at Washington
The Wizards look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Washington is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wizards favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3 1/2)

Game 501-502: Toronto at New Jersey (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.409; New Jersey 110.089
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 2 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Minnesota at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 108.441; Washington 114.042
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Indiana at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.099; Houston 124.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 10; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 6; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6); Over

Game 507-508: Sacramento at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.439; Utah 117.524
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 7 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+7 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Charlotte at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 110.100; Portland 122.302
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 12; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 9; 185
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-9); Over

Game 511-512: Denver at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.153; LA Clippers 113.068
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 10; 205
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 210
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2); Under

NHL

St. Louis at NY Islanders

The Blues look to build on their 9-1 record in their last 10 games versus the Atlantic Division. St. Louis is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100)

Game 51-52: Buffalo at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.185; Philadelphia 11.778
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-185); Over

Game 53-54: St. Louis at NY Islanders (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.989; NY Islanders 10.556
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Under

Game 55-56: Vancouver at Los Angeles (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.612; Los Angeles 10.124
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+100); Under

Game 57-58: Chicago at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.022; Toronto 11.028
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-125); Over

Game 59-60: Florida at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 9.981; Atlanta 10.928
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Over

Game 61-62: Montreal at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.652; Tampa Bay 10.910
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+120); Under

Game 63-64: Pittsburgh at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.590; Boston 12.309
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-230); Over

Game 65-66: Detroit at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.463; Phoenix 11.911
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+105); Under

Game 67-68: Edmonton at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.288; Colorado 10.084
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+125); Under

Game 69-70: Dallas at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.339; San Jose 12.259
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-230); Over

 
Posted : March 4, 2011 10:34 pm
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Jim Feist

T-Wolves at Wizards
Pick: Wizards

Minnesota is atrocious on the road, last in the NBA in points allowed. The Timberwolves are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. This is a tough situational spot for the thin Minnesota bench, playing their 4th game in 5 nights, while Washington is rested. Minnesota is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the favorite is 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Play the Wizards.

 
Posted : March 4, 2011 10:35 pm
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Marc Lawrence

Michigan State @ Michigan
PICK: Michigan State

Tom Izzo’s team sure has a problem with prosperity. Following two crucial wins over Illinois and Minnesota that kept the Spartans in the running for an NCAA Tournament bid, Michigan State was absolutely squashed at home by Purdue, an embarrassing 20-point blowout that placed them precariously back atop the infamous ‘Bubble.’ Now with 12 losses on the season, Sparty badly needs a win here to take a splash of momentum into the Big Ten tourney – and avenge an earlier 61-57 setback to the Wolverines. We’ve pointed out Izzo’s success in revenge games at this juncture of the season (26-13 SU and 27-11-1 ATS from Game 26 out) but few have been bigger than this one. Despite exhibiting some long-awaited improvement under head coach John Beilein, Michigan’s buzzer-beater defeat to Wisconsin last week puts the Maize-and-Blue on equally shaky post-season ground with the Spartans. Besides the overwhelming 18-4 SU series edge owned by the visitors, our database informs us that Michigan is just 5-9 ATS in Last Home Games, including 1-4 ATS versus a foe with same-season revenge for a loss of 4 or more points. Factor in MSU’s superior strength of schedule numbers and we’ll stick with the neighborhood bully in this rivalry deluxe. Spartans remain in the hunt as they silence the crowd at Crisler Arena. We recommend a 1-unit play on Michigan State.

 
Posted : March 4, 2011 10:35 pm
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Matt Fargo

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma
PICK: Oklahoma

This is a good number for Oklahoma in what will be its final home game off the season. The Sooners have been a major disappointment of late as they have dropped eight straight games which cane after a four-game winning streak to improve them to 4-3 in the Big XII. The majority of this recent damage has been on the road as five of the eight losses have come on the road. The three home losses were by a point to Nebraska and to conference co-leaders Kansas and Texas which is nothing to be ashamed of.

Oklahoma St. has arguably had a more disappointing season even though it has a better record than Oklahoma. The Cowboys came into the season expected to compete for an upper-tier finish in the Big XII but internal issues have taken the life out of them. Forward Darrell Williams was suspended indefinitely because of sexual assault charges following the first meeting against Oklahoma and Oklahoma St. went on to lose its next four games, albeit against some solid opponents.

The Cowboys have bounced back with two straight wins but both of those games came at home where they are 13-2 on the season. On the other hand, they are 2-8 on the road which includes a 0-7 in the conference and now they are being asked to lay points on the road. Oklahoma is 11-4 at home this season so the Sooners still have a solid home floor edge even though it has been a tough overall season. They have wins over Baylor and Colorado and those teams are both a game better than the Cowboys.

This is the second edition of the “Bedlam” series and on top of it, the Sooners will be playing for revenge from the loss last month. It is the last home game, making it Senior Day and even though there is only one senior on the roster, Cade Davis is the leading scorer. Maybe even more emotional for this game is that it will be the last home game for the longtime voice of Sooner football and basketball, Bob Barry, who has been announcing games for 50 years. Sending him out a winner is just as important. 3* Oklahoma Sooners

 
Posted : March 4, 2011 10:36 pm
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Nelly

Clemson - over Virginia Tech

Clemson is playing for its NCAA tournament life on Saturday as the Tigers could not come up with the upset over Duke earlier in the week. Virginia Tech beat Duke last weekend but then had a horrendous letdown performance with a 15 point home loss to Boston College during the week. The Hokies appear safe for a tournament spot but a loss today and an early conference tournament exit might mean another uncomfortable Selection Sunday for the Hokies. Virginia Tech has three road wins in conference play but also lost to Georgia Tech, Virginia, and Boston College away from home, teams that Clemson can make a case for being much tougher than. The Tigers have ten losses but they have mainly come against quality competition and the lone home losses came to Michigan and North Carolina. Clemson is 14-2 S/U at home while Virginia Tech is just 4-5 in road games. While there is urgency for Clemson to get this win the pressure may fall on the very thin and banged up Hokies who have been through this scenario before and perhaps can feel their position slipping away. Look for a very inspired effort from the home team and Virginia Tech has not proven it can beat a quality team on the road.

 
Posted : March 4, 2011 10:40 pm
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Sam Martin

Michigan State at Michigan
Prediction: Michigan

Great line value with the Wolverines here as the linesmakers continue to overvalue the under-achieving Spartans. Michigan has quietly put together a nice string of games here down the stretch and could be playing for an invite to the NCAA Tournament today. Michigan State should be focused on the Big Ten Tournament, as their tournament bid lies solely on that performance. Wolverines have won seven of their last ten overall with those losses coming by 1 points against Wisconsin, 2 points at Illinois, and a SU loss but ATS cover vs. #1 Ohio State. They can win at home against a disinterested Spartans team today! 5* Play on Michigan.

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:29 am
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Hollywood Sports

Florida International at Denver
Prediction: Denver

The Sun Belt Conference Tournament offers Denver (13-16) the opportunity to start anew in the post-season after ending the season on a three-game losing streak. In mid-January, the Pioneers were the toast of the Sun Belt riding an eight-game winning streak. But this club lost seven of their last ten games to finish 5th in the conference with a 9-7 record. But their losses to Arkansas-Little Rock and Louisiana-Lafayette over this stretch were in overtime while they also lost to South Alabama by just one point. These close losses should even out with some wins over time. The deeper metrics regarding this team is that their net Efficiency Margin regarding Points-Per-Possession in conference place is +0.08 (Offense: 1.05 PPP; Defense: 0.97 PPP) which is actually the top mark in the conference. Florida International (10-18), on the other hand, ranks 10th in the conference with their Efficiency Margin of -0.04 (Offense: 1.06 PPP; Defense: 1.10 PPP). The Golden Panthers had lost five games in a row before defeating Troy by an 83-76 score in overtime. But they are unlikely to challenge Denver in this contest as the Pioneers have covered 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. With the opportunity of a fresh start in the tournament, look for Denver to prove that their PPP efficiency is indicative that they are one of the best teams in the league. Lay the points with Denver.

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:30 am
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VEGAS EXPERTS

Sacramento Kings at Utah Jazz

The Jazz beat the Kings 107-104 on February 7th. Since that time, they have lost eight of nine games, their former head coach of 23 years and traded away their best player, Deron Williams. Still, they have enough pieces to beat Sacramento again and earn the cover. The Kings are queens on the road and an 0-7 SU and ATS run at home by Utah is downright unfathomable, no matter who is in the uniform. The franchise is 8-1 ATS off an outright division loss as a favorite, including 3-0 ATS this season.

Play on: Utah

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:30 am
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Rob Vinciletti

UTEP vs. SMU
Play: UTEP -2

The Miners come in here having taken the last 5 in the series vs SMU. They are 4-0 after scoring 80 or more points and 12-5 vs winning teams. SMU is just 3-9 straight up and ats since 1997 as a home dog of 3 or less. Over the last 3 years they are 2-11 in the second half vs winning teams. Look for UTEP To get the win and cover here tonight.

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:31 am
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Ray Monohan

UCLA vs. Washington St
Play: UCLA -1½

UCLA entered the week as arguably the hottest team in the Pac-10 however a mid-week loss to Washington setback any hopes of winning the conference championship. WSU has its own issues, the biggest one being All-World Klay Thompson’s marijuana arrest and suspension. The loss of Thompson could not have come at a worse time. The Cougars are currently on the wrong side of the bubble. The UCLA star right now is "Mr." Honeycutt a legit NBA prospect who is on fire right now and fueled a 20-6 run that propelled the Bruins to a 70-61 come-from-behind win over Washington State at Pauley Pavilion earlier in the season. I look for a similar scoreline today. UCLA is unbeaten on Saturday games this year going 8-0. With a win today the Bruins will earn the No. 2 seed in the Pac 10 tourney. (Lots to play for) Trends I like for this one include, Bruins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. WAST are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Sat. games. Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:32 am
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Connecticut Huskies -2.5

UConn hasn't played as well as it would have liked down the stretch, but I fully expect the Huskies to rise to the occasion on senior day. UConn enjoys one of the best home courts in the nation. This season, the Huskies are 13-3 at home with an average margin of victory of 11.9 points. Notre Dame knows firsthand how difficult it is to win at UConn. That's because the Irish have lost their last 7 on the road in this series. The Irish are very susceptible on the road because of their reliance on the 3-point shot. I have to think they didn't save enough threes for this one after making 20 against Villanova Monday. The Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less. In addition, we can't ignore the fact that Notre Dame is just 1-10 ATS under coach Brey following a blowout win by 20 points or more. Expect the Huskies to do a good job of defending the 3-point stripe as they get the win and cover this afternoon. Lay the number.

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:32 am
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EZWINNERS

Kansas Jayhawks -2.5

Everyone is aware of Missouri's road woes in conference play this season but the Tigers are the only Big XII team that is undefeated at home, but I expect that to change in this game. Kansas has dominated this series winning nine out of the last ten meetings and they beat the Tigers by 17 points in Lawrence earlier in the season. I don't expect home court advantage to make that much of a difference this time around. Missouri is not a strong rebounding team and Kansas took full advantage by out rebounding the Tigers by 18 rebounds in the first meeting and I expect the same result this time around. The Jayhawks are 6-0 against the spread in the last six meetings and I look for that to continue. Lay the points.

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:33 am
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Cajun Sports

Florida vs. Vanderbilt
Play: Vanderbilt -3½

It is Senior Night at Memorial Gym and home court has been an advantage for SEC teams this season. Vanderbilt has been especially strong at home posting a record of 14-2 straight up at Memorial during the 2010-11 campaign. The Gators ended the month of February on a 6-1 run and are coming off a huge win over Alabama 78 to 51 on Tuesday night. The Commodores are on a 6-2 SU and ATS run of their own their last eight times to post. Vandy is a solid 7-1 against the spread as an underdog or favorite in this price range this season. These teams have already met once this season and it took overtime to decide the contest with Florida escaping with a four-point victory in Gainesville. Vanderbilt is 10-4 straight up and against the number when playing with series revenge in the Music City. The Commodores are 28-14 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less and 15-4 ATS off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog since 1997. Lay the short number with the host as Vanderbilt avenges the OT loss in Gainesville with a solid victory on Saturday.

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:34 am
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Brent Brooks

Xavier, Ohio -4.5

The Bilikens prevailed against the Dukes with a spread about this size and now face an even stronger foe. Xavier is a tournament team that has gone from one dimensional (Tu Holloway) to a balanced offense. The Bilikens focus on defense and slowing the game down to give themselves a chance. SLU's turnover rate will be an issue in this game. Xavier will overwhelm them in the second half.

Marquette +1

Seton Hall's win over St John's was due in part to an uncharacteristically great showing from beyond the arc. The Pirates have a mistaken ridden track record this year and match up against a much more talented and deeper team fighting for credibility in the eyes of the selection committee. Jae Crowder, DJO, and the rest of the Eagles will be too much for the Pirates over 40 minutes.

Vanderbilt / Florida Over 137.5

Projecting the game goes into the low to mid 140s. Both sides stocked with offensive weapons with above average tempos. Should be a shootout.

San Jose St. +10

While Boise has a front court size advantage, they are an up tempo team and this game will be about offense on both sides. SJSU had won four in a row prior to their home loss by 6 to Hawaii and were perhaps looking ahead to the rematch/revenge spot against the Broncos. The Spartans fell to Boise 102-101 in four overtimes way back on Jan 6th. Grabbing Oliver and company here to be motivated to make a game of it. 1* Free Play on SJSU.

Colorado St. +12

The Rams played the Aztecs in a one possession game at their own building and now get 12 on the road? Yes, SDSU has had a great season but this is a complete over valuation of the home team. The Rams have too much balance and experience to be given this many points. This will be a competitive game. Top ten ranking and the press about Fisher's admittedly great coaching effort has inflated this line. Grab the Rams for a 2* Free Play.

 
Posted : March 5, 2011 7:37 am
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