Nelly
Colorado / Los Angeles Over
Colorado posted eleven hits and five runs last night in a narrow loss in Los Angeles and that game featured the most reliable starter for the Dodgers, Hiroki Kuroda. The Los Angeles bullpen that has mainly struggled this season, including a 5.27 ERA pitched extremely well yesterday to allow for the victory but getting another strong effort against a strong Colorado offense will asking a lot. Charlie Haeger has not pitched well for the Dodgers this season as Los Angeles is 0-4 in his starts this season. He has allowed 17 walks in 23 innings and his ERA is north of 6.50. He has allowed at least four runs in all four starts this season despite not pitching past the sixth inning in any game. Jhoulys Chacin has made just two big league starts this season but in his 2010 starting debut he tossed a gem, going seven innings while allowing just one hit and no runs. Those numbers are not likely to be replicated and Los Angeles is batting .315 at home against right-handed pitching. While Colorado has a losing record, the Rockies have greatly out-scored opponents this season and both offenses figure to have opportunities today. These teams combined for 20 hits on Friday to hit eleven total runs in the game and that was with 17 men left on base. This should be another high scoring game as Dodger Stadium continues to produce runs despite the low-scoring history and reputation. With two unproven starters on the mound both struggling bullpens are likely in line for early calls and this game should push 'over' yet again.
Jimmy Moore
NY Yankees with Sabathia -135
The Yankees are playing very well lately and now they will be starting their stud Sabathia who would love to get the win against Boston to make up for the opening day loss he took at the hands of the Red Sox.
Matt Fargo
LAA Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: LAA Angels
The Angels snapped their seven-game losing streak last night with a resounding win over the Mariners. That loss was the seventh straight for Seattle as the pitching has been horrendous. Looking at tonight’s starters will give people the chance too back the Mariners as they see a mismatch but this is exactly the time to play in contrarian. Doug Fister has gotten off to an incredible start with a 1.29 ERA and 0.80 WHIP through five starts. The problem is that the Mariners are 2-3 in those five games and playing against non-elite pitchers coming off a string of quality starts, he has four, is the way to go as the value is there. Conversely, Joe Saunders has been dreadful as he has a 7.04 ERA and 1.79 WHIP through six games with the Angels going 1-5 in those contests. That is going to scare people off and thus, we get a great number along with it. The saving grace in backing Saunders is that if there is an opponent that he can turn things around against, Seattle is it. He has tossed five straight quality starts against the Mariners including four at Safeco Field where his ERA is a spectacular 0.64 as he has allowed only two runs in 28 innings on the road. Play against American League teams that are averaging 4.5 or fewer rpg going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or higher after a loss by four runs or more. This situation is 47-20 (70.1 percent) since 1997. The Angels are 15-4 in their last 19 games after a win by six runs or more while the Mariners are 1-10 in their last 11 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Los Angeles is 7-0 in Saunders last seven starts against Seattle. 3* Los Angeles Angels