Charlie Scott
Indiana St vs. Evansville
Play: Under 139
Big line move, as this total started at 143 last night. However, I feel the move is right and if You want a little Sunday Night hoops action, Under here is the way to go. Indiana St gives a decent effort on the defensive end, and uses alot of the shot clock running their offense & struggles to score. (Besides their PG Odom, who's fun to watch.) I believe this Total stays in the 120-s-130-s !
Doug Upstone
Dallas Mavericks -5.5
The defending NBA champion Dallas Mavericks continue to churn out winners and are positioned for another on Sunday night. Dallas was destroyed at San Antonio earlier this month 93-71 and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Mavs, revenging a loss where the team scored less than 85 points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 27-7 ATS the past five years.
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
Boston/ Cleveland Under 182: As I state on the radio show the other day, play the under in Boston home games. ok so it didn't go so well in their game vs the pacers, but the game still finished with just 181 points being scored. Boston has had all sorts of problems scoring this year as they have averaged just 89.8 ppg overall and 87.2 ppg at home. Due tpo their scoring weaknesses they have had to rely on their defense and they have a good one. The Celts have allowed just 87.9 ppg overall and 82.2 ppg at home. Cleveland has scored just 93.5 ppg on the road, but they won't get nearly that much in this one, while in their last 5 games they have averaged just 88.6 ppg. Boston Home games have averaged just 169.4 ppg, while their last 5 overall have averaged just168.4 ppg. I see more of the same here. KEY TREND--- BOSTON is 20-9 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.
Atlanta/ New Orleans Over 176.5: The Hornets have not been a good offensive team this year, but they are starting to turn the corner team a bit as they have averaged 95.3 ppg in their last 3 games. The Hornets haven't give up much this year as they have allowed just 89.2 ppg at home and 89 ppg in their last 5 overall, but the Hawks have been a bit hot offensively of late as they have averaged 96.8 ppg in their last 5 games. Very low OU line with a couple of teams that have been playing well at the offensive end of late. This game should hit at least 180.
DALLAS -5.5 over San Antonio: The Mavs have been a very good team at home, where they are 8-3 and have outscored their opponents by 8 ppg, while the Spurs have gone just 2-7 on the road and have been outrscored by 8.2 ppg in their road games. The Spurs are normally known a s a defensive team, but they have allowed 1-02.4 ppg on the road, while the Mavs have allowed just 90.2 ppg at home and 89.8 ppg overall. Dirk and west are listed as probable for this one and a fully healthy Mavs team is just not good news for this Spurs team that doesn't play well on the road. KEY TRENDS--- The Favorite is 6-2-1 ATS the last 8, while the Spurs are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games.
2 UNIT PLAY
Chicago/ Miami Over 191: (Google Play) Not really worrying about the Bulls scoring points as they just have a lot of depth to do that with, but without Deng they will lose a defensive presence and that should allow the Heat to get plenty of points of their own. The Heat are 2nd in then league in scoring as they come in averaging 104.2 ppg overall and 105.8 ppg at home. Wade looked excellent vs the Knicks and with him healthy that just gives them one more weapon. The Heat really look to push the ball at home and will look to to that here vs a Bulls team that haas been weakened a bit at the defensive end with the loss of Deng. Miam also shoots 50.4 % at home and 43.9% from long range, whyile the bulls have allowed teams to shoot for 44.8% overall and 39.8% from long range. The Bulls have averaged 99.1 ppg on the road this year and if Miami pushes the tempo like I expect they will then the Bulls are more than capable of hitting at least 95 points in this one, while Miami should be good for no less than 97 on their home floor here. This one may hit 200, so go with the Over.
1 UNIT PLAY
Clippers/ Denver Over 204.5: LA CLIPPERS are 24-11 OVER in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons and 21-8 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons
Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
CALIFORNIA -8 over Stanford: (Added) Stanford has had a nice year so far at 15-5 and they are 5-3 in the Pac-12, but they are just 1-3 in Pac-12 road games with all 3 losses coming by at least 11 points and while they do have a 20 point home win over Colorado, they also have a 2 point home win over Utah and an 8 point home win over USC, which are two of the worst teams in the league. Even at 15-5 on the year and 5-2 in the conference they have not been that impressive. Cal comes in 16-5 overall and 6-2 in the Pac 12 and they have been impressive, with a win at Washington, a win at Oregon and they are 4-0 in Pac 12 home games and have outscored their opponents by 15.8 ppg in their conference home games. Stanford has allowed 72.3 ppg on the road, while Cal has allowed 52.5 ppg at home. I don't feel Stanford plays good enough defense to kep this one close.
1 UNIT PLAY
California/ Stanford Under 130.5: (Added) STANFORD is 16-5 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons, while California is CALIFORNIA is 24-10 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.