Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, March 10

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Maryland at Virginia
The Cavaliers look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing road record. Virginia is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-8)

Game 819-820: Wisconsin at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 69.733; Penn State 63.271
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 6 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9; 118 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+9); Over

Game 821-822: VCU at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 70.407; Temple 67.489
Dunkel Line: VCU by 3; 141
Vegas Line: VCU by 1 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-1 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Illinois at Ohio State (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 66.731; Ohio State 78.027
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 11 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 9; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-9); Over

Game 825-826: Virginia Tech at Wake Forest (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 57.439; Wake Forest 61.277
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 4
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+5 1/2)

Game 827-828: Indiana at Michigan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 76.801; Michigan 72.077
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 4 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Michigan by 1; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1); Over

Game 829-830: Maryland at Virginia (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 62.400; Virginia 75.331
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 13; 118
Vegas Line: Virginia by 8; 122
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-8); Under

Game 831-832: Northwestern at Michigan State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 54.787; Michigan State 72.017
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 17 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 19 1/2; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+19 1/2); Over

Game 833-834: Wichita State vs. Creighton (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 62.533; Creighton 67.246
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 4 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Creighton by 3 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-3 1/2); Under

Game 835-836: George Mason vs. Northeastern (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 52.880; Northeastern 54.507
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 1 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: George Mason by 1 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+1 1/2); Over

Game 837-838: James Madison vs. Delaware (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 51.182; Delaware 54.009
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 3; 128
Vegas Line: Delaware by 1 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (-1 1/2); Under

Game 839-840: Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 51.356; Middle Tennessee State 68.280
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 17
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-13)

Game 841-842: Western Kentucky vs. Arkansas State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 54.097; Arkansas State 53.876
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+2 1/2)

Game 843-844: Iona vs. Niagara (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 57.861; Niagara 53.733
Dunkel Line: Iona by 4
Vegas Line: Iona by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-2 1/2)

Game 845-846: Fairfield vs. Manhattan (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 51.086; Manhattan 56.152
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 5; 111
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 3; 107 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+3); Over

Game 847-848: Appalachian State vs. Davidson (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 46.323; Davidson 64.840
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 18 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Davidson by 16; 141
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-16); Under

Game 849-850: College of Charleston vs. Elon (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 52.559; Elon 50.799
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 2; 129
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+3); Over

Game 851-852: IPFW vs. Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 48.595; Oakland 53.491
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 5; 144
Vegas Line: Oakland by 3 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-3 1/2); Under

Game 853-854: UMKC vs. North Dakota State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 41.843; North Dakota State 57.691
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 16; 117
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 18; 113 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+18); Over

Game 861-862: Liberty vs. Charleston Southern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 45.311; Charleston Southern 53.050
Dunkel Line: Charleston Southern by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Charleston Southern by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charleston Southern (-6 1/2)

Game 863-864: MD-Baltimore County vs. Vermont (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: MD-Baltimore County 39.175; Vermont 53.095
Dunkel Line: Vermont by 14
Vegas Line: Vermont by 13
Dunkel Pick: Vermont (-13)

Game 865-866: Stony Brook vs. Albany (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 59.521; Albany 57.575
Dunkel Line: Stony Brook by 2; 126
Vegas Line: Stony Brook by 4; 121
Dunkel Pick: Albany (+4); Over

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Maryland vs. VirginiaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: VirginiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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Maryland is coming off a 79-68 loss to North Carolina on the 6th. Dez Wells had 18 points. Nick Faust chipped in 16. It was a disappointing setback for the Terps as the Tournament draws near.
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The Cavaliers will be eager to return to friendly confines after Thursday's frustrating 53-51 setback at Florida State. Akil Mitchell had 15 points, while Joe Harris had 12.
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Statistical Analysis
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Maryland is 20-10, but just 3-6 away from friendly confines.
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Virginia is 20-10, and has clearly been a "different" team at home all year, going a near perfect 17-1 in front of the home town crowd.
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Pick Analysis
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These teams played on March 10th, and Virginia would win 80-69. This is a big game for both teams obviously. But the home side certainly has a lot to play for here, as a victory today would clinch the Cavs the No. 4 seed and a first round bye in the ACC Tournament. It's the final home game of the year, and after two straight road losses, a little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered for this Cavaliers team to get untracked. I simply feel that Virginia's tough defensive play will once again prove to be too much for the Terps down the stretch, who will be relegated to the No. 6 or 7 spot in the conference tournament (the Cavaliers rank top six in the nation in four defensive categories, led by its fourth-ranked scoring defense at 54.4 PPG). Consider a second look at Virginia in this one!

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia vs. OrlandoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OrlandoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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When the Magic return to the Kingdom to host the 76ers Sunday evening, Orlando will take the court off an embarrassing 31-point home loss to the Pacers Friday night. That sets the table for today's play as our database notes the Magic are 8-3 ATS at home in games off a home loss of more than 21 points, including 7-1 ATS when hosting a .333 or greater opponent. With the Sixers 1-8 ATS in this series off a loss, including 0-5 ATS when off a pair of losses, look for the Magic to improve to 14-3 SUATS in this series here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Orlando.

Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia vs. OrlandoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PhiladelphiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These teams have played twice this year. The 76ers won 78-61 at home on February 4th, before losing 98-84 in Philadelphia on February 26th. Revenge can be a powerful motivating factor, and it's one which I feel will make a difference in the outcome of this battle between Eastern conference cellar dwellers. The 76ers' main problem this year has been their play on the road, going just 6-22 thus far. They're coming off a 102-93 loss at Miami on Friday. One player you'll want to track today is Thaddeus Young, who had 25 points in the setback to the Heat. Coach Doug Collins saw some room for optimism after the loss: ''I've very proud of them,'' Collins said. ''Our guys fought tonight. They did a tremendous job and it's just that Miami is a great, great team and that's what happens with great teams. They ratchet it up on you and squeeze you for about five or six minutes and then they take the game. That's what championships have always done, so I couldn't ask any more of our guys. I thought they did everything they could do," (Philadelphia though is 4-1 ATS its last five vs. poor defensive teams that allow 99 plus points per game). Orlando has lost two straight, most recently a listless 115-86 setback to Indiana on Friday. The Magic committed 21 turnovers. Arron Afflalo was a lone bright spot with 19 points (Orlando is just 9-23 ATS at home this year and 8-21 ATS vs. teams with losing records). Here's a great opportunity for the 76ers to string a couple of wins together, with a matchup at home vs. the Nets tomorrow night. These two teams have similar records, but I do definitely feel that Philadelphia is on the upswing, and this is a game it can absolutely take from this floundering home side. Lay the short points.

Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City ThunderSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Oklahoma City ThunderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston fits a solid system that plays against them and all road dogs with 1 day of rest at +10 or more and a total that is 200 or higher if they scored 100 or more at home and shot 50% or higher, vs an opponent like the Thunder that scored 100 or more as a road favorite. These road dogs have failed to cover over 80% of the time the past 19 seasons. The Thunder are 10-3 ats as a home favorite from -9.5 to -12 and have covered 7 of 10 on Sunday. Look for them to coast to a cover here today.

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bulls at Los Angeles LakersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Chicago BullsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If you like Dogs, then this is the series for you. When the Bulls and the Lakers get together this has been a series dominated by the dog, evidenced by the 17-5 ATS record of the point taker. Still, the Lakers have their eye on the playoffs now that they have won two straight games, four of five and seven of the last 10. The Lakers sit just a half game out of the playoffs in the Western Conference. This series has also been a big UNDER series, which will benefit the Bulls today. The Bulls can't get into a run and gun game with the Lakers, so if they can keep this game lower on the scoreboard, they should get the cover. Almost would be worth a parlay here, Bulls and UNDER. If this one goes over, I would expect the Lakers to be pulling away. But I will stick with history in this one. Take the Bulls.

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Maryland vs. VirginiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: VirginiaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both teams have their backs to the wall regarding their NCAA tourney prospects, especially recently-slipping Maryland, nearly off of the proverbial “bubble” entirely unless it can reverse its earlier 11-point loss to Virginia at College Park on Feb. 10. But Tony Bennett’s Cavs have been tough to beat in Charlottesville, where they’ve won all eight of their previous ACC games this season (7-1 vs. the line in those outings) by nearly 18 ppg at John Paul Jones Arena. UVa’s physical G Joe Harris (21.7 ppg last ten prior to Florida State on Thursday) has found a rare vein of rich form, and he scored 22 on a near-perfect 7-of-8 shooting display when the Cavs hit 54% from the floor in their earlier win at the Comcast Center.

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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IPFW vs OaklandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: IPFWFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Not a whole lot to separate these two teams, but a couple of good reasons to take the underdog. First off, just from a matchup standpoint, if it's close on paper in these conference tournaments, I will gravitate toward the superior defensive team, and in this case, that's Fort Wayne. But the other factor is bigger for me and that's the double revenge overreaction. The Mastadons won both regular season hookups, so enter the myth about how tough it is for one team to defeat another three times in one season. The facts suggest otherwise, but that isn't going to prevent bettors from jumping all over Oakland today. I can guarantee that there will be more tickets on Oakland than IPFW, although it's my guess the sharper players will back the dog. Plus, for what it's worth, the Dons are also in better form presently. This figures close just because the teams are relatively even, but with a small handful of points included, IPFW should bring home the money today.

Don Best ConsensusFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto RaptorsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Cleveland CavaliersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Cavaliers are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Toronto. And the only other thing to say is Kyrie Irving!!! Play The Cavs

JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Temple +1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Temple Owls baby @ 12 noon as these home town Broad Street bullies will roll over and play and unkind host to the VCU Rams.... Owls power rated here @ - 3 points flat...Khalif Wyatt is a flat out baller..... All World Wyatt was the Atlantic 10 Conference's leading scorer (19.6 ppg.), averaged 22 points and 5 assists per game in a 2-0 week for the Owls and came up clutch down the stretch, he will carry the Owls today.... VCU is a terrible 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Atlantic 10. 3-9 after today ..

Tony KarpinskiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bulls vs. Los Angeles LakersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Los Angeles LakersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Lakers have some nice success shooting the ball from deep, behind Steve Nash and Steve Blake, both 42% 3 ball shooters, which could open things up for Dwight Howard on the inside, if he decides to show up and play. And Joakim Noah will make him earn anything he gets, for Chicago. What the Bulls lack in scoring, they make up for in amazing defense, when they shut down the Lakers to only 83 last time they played, I am sure Kobe remembers that as well.
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Over the last several weeks, the Lakers have been putting up some big numbers on the scoreboard and it will interesting to see if Chicago can slow them down some. Both teams with a load on the line, Chicago battling for the 4th seed in the playoffs jockey, and the Lakers, are knocking on the door, to get their purple and gold foot in the door at the 8th seed. Chicago plays well on the road; they are a very well rounded team, but they have been playing tired. I expect the Lakers to win by double digits here.

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Sacramento Kings -1FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee is playing in a back to back situation after facing Golden State late last night. They now have to travel to Sacramento to face a Kings team that is a solid 16-14 on their home court. Milwaukee already struggles on the road sitting on a .500 record and now playing in a back to back situation they could be in big trouble today.
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Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when they are playing with no rest and they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when their starting five combine for more than 160 minutes of play in the previous day. Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home and 5-2 in their last 7 overall. The Kings have played well against good teams, they are 7-3 their last 10 against teams with a winning record.

Jeff AlexanderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LA Clippers -14FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Clippers have had two days to rest up and prepare. That doesn't bode well for Detroit. The Clipps are 9-1 ATS this season when playing on two days' rest. They have won by an average of 16.1 points in this situation. This is a lot of points to lay, but the Pistons are a lousy 1-12 ATS as a double-digit underdog the last two seasons. They have lost these games by an average of 19.6 points. In addition, Detroit is 0-8 ATS the last two seasons in road games versus good teams that outscore their opponents by an average of 6.0 points per game or more. It has lost to these teams by an average of 21.8 points.

Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Portland Trail Blazers -2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Blazers are playing some quality basketball. They have won four of their last six and are coming off a huge 136-106 win over the Spurs. Their recent play has led to a perfect 7-0 ATS run. The Hornets, on the other hand, are struggling. They have lost eight of their last 10 both SU and ATS and will face the difficult task of playing without a day of rest. You might think Portland's big win over San Antonio places it in a letdown situation. However, the Blazers were completely embarrassed 99-63 in New Orleans last month. Losses that bad aren't forgotten, and I expect Portland to be very motivated here as a result. The Hornets are a soft 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing without a day of rest. They are also unreliable 8-18 ATS the last two seasons in games when the line is +3 to -3. New Orleans is only 11-20 on its home floor, and it is 4-12 ATS this season in home games after playing a road game. They have lost by an average score of 94.1 to 89.5 in this spot. Lay the points.