Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois at MiamiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami (28-6) comes off a 78-49 win versus Pacific on Friday with the Total set at 124 which means the Hurricanes have played straight NCAA Tournament games Over the Total. Miami easily covered the 13-point spread there -- and they have then played 7 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Hurricanes have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Illinois' comes off a 57-49 win against Colorado -- but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after holding their last opponent to 50 points or less. And the Illini has played 7 of their last 10 games outside the Big Ten. Take the Over in this one.
Patrick WebbFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa St / Ohio St Under 142FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Under is a very solid play here as this is a contrast in styles between two talented teams who have similar efficiencies but fairly drastic tempos. ISU wants to push the pace and Ohio State can certainly get up and down, but if the Cyclones are struggling from beyond the arc, they are an ordinary offensive basketball club that becomes overly reliant on isolation plays for Will Clyburn and Georges Niang. Ohio State's ability to match up defensively and to control the defensive glass is going to force ISU to play a half court game use more time than they would prefer. I look for this game have a tempo figure somewhere in the mid-60s and for Ohio State to hold ISU to less than a point per possession.
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Philadelphia 76ers +3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The 76ers have really struggled on the road, but they have a good opportunity to end their 15-game road skid here. Sacramento just had a tough one in Denver last night while Philly has had the last two days off. The 76ers should definitely be the fresher team. Plus, they have had Sac's number. Philly has won 8 of the last 9 meetings in the series with the wins coming by an average of 17.3 points. It has also won 4 straight in Sacramento by an average of 14.0 points. Fresher and hungry to end a lengthy losing streak on the road, I expect the 76ers to continue their dominance of the Kings.
Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bulls +2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chicago Bulls should not be an underdog to the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. Chicago is still fighting for home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs as it trails Brooklyn by 2.5 games for the No. 4 seed in the East.
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With so much more to play for than Minnesota, I'll gladly back the Bulls tonight. They're undervalued right now due to losing four of their last six games overall. However, this is one of the most resilient teams in the league.
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Chicago bounced back nicely with an 87-84 victory over the Indiana Pacers last night. It realizes it gets two days off after tonight's game, so I fully expect it to lay everything on the line tonight to get a win.
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Minnesota (24-43) has lost 28 of its last 36 games overall and it has no business being favored in this one because of it. Chicago is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 6 meetings with Minnesota, winning all six games by 6 points or more, including four by double-digits.
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Chicago is 14-3 ATS in a road game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. Minnesota is 9-21 ATS after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. The Timberwolves are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win. Bet the Bulls Sunday.
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Temple/Indiana Over 147.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These two teams are clicking offensively and should have no trouble eclipsing 150 points this afternoon. The Hoosiers are coming off an 83-point outburst in a 21-point win over James Madison, but that wasn't anything special. Indiana comes in averaging 80.1 ppg. Temple scored at least 70 points for the 12th consecutive game in their 76-72 win over NC State. In six of those games during that stretch they scored 80+. Both teams not only shoot well from the field, but they get to the free throw line over 20 times a game and both are hitting over 72% on their freebies.
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LA SALLE (+4.5) over MississippiFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We've gone 3-0 here in the FREE PICK page during the Big Dance and today we'll go with a dog catching an inflated price. Mississippi has been on an incredible run, following a shocking upset over Florida in the SEC Championship with a first-round upset over Wisconsin. But now the Rebels are the favorite, instead of being in their preferred role of the underdog. Ole Miss has been carried this year by the SEC's leading scorer, Marshall Henderson, but a one-man act can only take a team so far. Look for the Explorers to limit Henderson, keep this one close throughout and walk away with the upset victory.
Bryan Power
La Salle vs. Mississippi
Pick: Mississippi
In addition to going 4-1-1 Saturday, I also nailed a free play on Michigan State, and I'll stick with the NCAA Tournament in this space for Sunday as I'm going with Ole Miss to cover against LaSalle in the rare 12 vs. 13 (seed) matchup. Prior to Ohio University turning the trick last year, teams seeded 13 or lower typically don't experience a lot of success in the Round of 32. There has never been a 15 seed to advance to the Sweet 16 while only two 14 seeds have done it, the last coming all the way back in 1997. Harvard really struggled against Arizona yesterday, never coming close to covering, and keep in mind they were getting several more points than LaSalle, a 13-seed, is here. Last year saw Ohio become just the FIFTH 13-seed to make a Sweet 16 appearance. Typically, the 12 seeds have dominated this pairing, going 8-2 straight up all-time with one of those losses obviously coming last year with Ohio over South Florida.
For the 1st game and a half, LaSalle was shooting out of its mind in the NCAA Tournament. But then the second half happened against Kansas State, and I'm beginning to have my doubts about the Explorers. They ended up shooting only 42% for the game after hitting 63% against Boise State in an opening round contest. Playing a third game since Wednesday certainly does not help LaSalle's chances here. Meanwhile, Mississippi shot just 38% and still won comfortably against Wisconsin on Friday. The Rebels seem to be peaking right now (5-0 ATS L5!) and I'll side with them here.
Teddy Covers
Portland vs. Oklahoma City
Pick: Oklahoma City
The Thunder have spent the season hammering teams like Portland at home. The results don’t lie. The Thunder are 26-12 ATS this year when laying -8 or higher, blowing out the teams they are supposed to blow out. The Thunder also are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 tries at home against opponents with a .400 or lower winning percentage on the road, like the Blazers squad they’ll face today.
Portland, on the other hand, is in a lousy spot today. The Blazers are playing the final game of a grueling five game, seven day road trip. This is not a ‘dig down deep’ spot for the road underdog – they’ve won SU at Atlanta and Chicago in their last two games, making it a successful cross country journey regardless of today’s outcome.
OKC has dominated this series, winning each of the last six meetings between these two teams while going 4-1-1 ATS. Three of the last four wins against Portland have been blowouts by 14 points or more. And let’s not forget that with the lowest scoring bench in the league, the Blazers aren’t primed to rally from behind if things get ugly here……which I suspect they will!
Hollywood Sports
Washington at New York
Prediction: Under
New York (15-13-0-2) looks to rebound from their 3-1 loss to Florida on Thursday -- and they have seen the Under go 15-5-8 in their last 28 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 3-0-2 in the Rangers' last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Washington (14-16-1-0) has won two in a row after the 6-1 win at Winnipeg on Friday. This is the Capitals fourth game since Tuesday -- and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 four-in-six situations. Additionally, while the Rangers are 10-6-0-1 at home this season, Washington has seen the Under go 14-4-3 in their last 21 games on the road. Expect these complementary team trends to continue in this one by taking the Under.
Jeff Alexander
Charlotte Bobcats +17
This Miami team is tired. This will be its 5th game in 8 days and it's had to expend a lot of energy in its last 3 games to erase double-digit deficits. The Heat have another game tomorrow against an Orlando team that nearly ended their streak Mar. 6 so they will be looking to win this game while using as little energy as possible. The Bobcats have played Miami tough this season, losing the prior meetings by 13 and 5. The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10 points or more. Bet the Bobcats.
Cajun Sports
Brooklyn Nets vs. Phoenix Suns
Play: Brooklyn Nets
The Phoenix Suns qualify in two systems that tell us to Play AGAINST them on Sunday night in their game versus the Brooklyn Nets. We want to Play AGAINST NBA home teams with no more than one day’s rest after an eleven or more point loss where they scored at least sixty points while shooting less than forty percent from the field and sixty percent from the line. These play against teams are 11-32 ATS since 2005. We want to Play AGAINST NBA teams during the regular season at home with less than two days rest when they are coming off a loss by more than ten points in which they shot less than forty percent from the field as long as they were not a double-digit dog in that loss. These play against teams are 10-26 ATS.