Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, February 13

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Arkansas at Missouri
The Tigers look to snap a three-game losing streak as they host a Razorback team that is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the two teams. Missouri is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-5)

Game 505-506: SMU at Rutgers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 71.195; Rutgers 57.749
Dunkel Line: SMU by 13 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: SMU by 8; 144
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-8); Over

Game 509-510: Arkansas at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 62.884; Missouri 69.767
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7; 144
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5; 150
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-5); Under

Game 511-512: WI-Green Bay at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 59.372; Youngstown State 56.188
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 3
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 1
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-1)

Game 513-514: Louisville at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 78.225; Temple 57.627
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 20 1/2; 157
Vegas Line: Louisville by 14; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-14); Over

Game 515-516: Creighton at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 71.771; Butler 65.628
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 6; 132
Vegas Line: Creighton by 8; 136
Dunkel Pick: Butler (+8); Under

Game 517-518: Northwestern at Michigan State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 59.493; Michigan State 78.626
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 19; 109
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 14 1/2; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-14 1/2); Under

Game 519-520: Old Dominion at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 54.712; North Texas 52.679
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 1
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+1)

Game 521-522: Drexel at College of Charleston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 50.259; College of Charleston 55.465
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 5; 119
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3 1/2; 124
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Illinois-Chicago at Cleveland State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 47.363; Cleveland State 63.250
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 16
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-14)

Game 525-526: Tulane at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 50.519; Middle Tennessee State 61.884
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+15)

Game 527-528: East Carolina at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 47.945; Tulsa 62.462
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 11
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-11)

Game 529-530: TX-Arlington at UL-Monroe (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 50.690; UL-Monroe 49.755
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 1
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+1 1/2)

Game 531-532: Florida International at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 50.699; TX-San Antonio 48.036
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida International by 1
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-1)

Game 533-534: Arkansas State at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 55.251; South Alabama 50.624
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-1)

Game 535-536: AR-Little Rock at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 48.477; UL-Lafayette 58.366
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 10
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-8 1/2)

Game 537-538: Troy at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.809; Western Kentucky 54.985
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 8
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+10)

Game 539-540: Florida Atlantic at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 51.876; UTEP 65.808
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 14
Vegas Line: UTEP by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-10 1/2)

Game 541-542: St. John's at Seton Hall (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 69.319; Seton Hall 65.651
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 3 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: St. John's by 1 1/2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-1 1/2); Over

Game 543-544: Colorado at UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 61.808; UCLA 76.130
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 14 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: UCLA by 10 1/2; 147
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-10 1/2); Under

Game 545-546: Minnesota at Wisconsin (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 64.962; Wisconsin 74.888
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 10; 139
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8; 136
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-8); Over

Game 547-548: Pepperdine at Gonzaga (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 58.167; Gonzaga 70.281
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 12
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+15 1/2)

Game 549-550: Southern Mississippi at UAB (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 65.609; UAB 55.287
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-4 1/2)

Game 551-552: Loyola Marymount at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 53.290; Portland 56.152
Dunkel Line: Portland by 3
Vegas Line: Portland by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+7 1/2)

Game 553-554: Hawaii at UC-Riverside (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 55.972; UC-Riverside 51.840
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 4
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 6
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+6)

Game 555-556: UC-Davis at CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 44.247; CS-Fullerton 51.913
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 5
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-5)

Game 557-558: UC-Santa Barbara at Long Beach State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 59.843; Long Beach State 59.240
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 1
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+2)

Game 559-560: Cal Poly at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 49.107; CS-Northridge 52.230
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge

Game 561-562: Utah at USC (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 65.762; USC 60.917
Dunkel Line: Utah by 5; 133
Vegas Line: Utah by 3 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-3 1/2); Under

Game 563-564: BYU at Pacific (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 64.129; Pacific 59.221
Dunkel Line: BYU by 5
Vegas Line: BYU by 3
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-3)

Game 565-566: San Diego at St. Mary's (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 52.686; St. Mary's 65.455
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 13; 135
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 11 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (-11 1/2); Over

Game 567-568: Denver at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 56.618; IUPUI 42.319
Dunkel Line: Denver by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 10
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10)

Game 571-572: Manhattan at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 55.348; Rider 56.868
Dunkel Line: Rider by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+4 1/2)

Game 573-574: Samford at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 43.300; Appalachian State 48.143
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 5
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-3)

Game 575-576: South Dakota at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 49.068; IPFW 53.640
Dunkel Line: IPFW by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: IPFW by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+6 1/2)

Game 577-578: Montana State at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 45.266; North Dakota 49.789
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 4 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 8 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+8 1/2); Under

Game 579-580: Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 50.930; Tennessee Tech 50.133
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 1
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+3 1/2)

Game 581-582: Morehead State at Jacksonville State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 49.484; Jacksonville State 50.583
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville State by 1
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+3 1/2)

Game 583-584: Eastern Illinois at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 46.347; Austin Peay 47.416
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 6
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+6)

Game 585-586: SIU-Edwardsville at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 46.880; Murray State 56.919
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 10
Vegas Line: Murray State by 12
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+12)

Game 587-588: South Dakota State at NE-Omaha (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 52.550; NE-Omaha 57.849
Dunkel Line: NE Omaha by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: NE-Omaha by 3
Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (-3)

Game 589-590: North Dakota State at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 56.811; Western Illinois 53.280
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+7 1/2)

Game 591-592: Quinnipiac at Fairfield (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Quinnipiac 53.383; Fairfield 51.287
Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 2
Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+3 1/2)

Game 593-594: Tennessee State at Belmont (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 42.650; Belmont 55.640
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 13; 154
Vegas Line: Belmont by 16 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+16 1/2); Over

Game 595-596: Sacramento State at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 45.844; Eastern Washington 54.223
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-6 1/2)

Game 597-598: Weber State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 55.155; Southern Utah 40.113
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 15
Vegas Line: Weber State by 12
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-12)

Game 599-600: Montana at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 48.166; Northern Colorado 55.133
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 7
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 4
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-4)

Game 601-602: Northern Arizona at Portland State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 49.789; Portland State 50.921
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 1
Vegas Line: Portland State by 3

Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+3)
Game 603-604: Northeastern at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 51.438; NC-Wilmington 48.057
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: NC-Wilmington by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+1 1/2)

Game 605-606: Vanderbilt at South Carolina (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 62.967; South Carolina 62.321
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 1
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+2)

Game 607-608: Boston College at Georgia Tech (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 58.189; Georgia Tech 57.298
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2)

Game 799-800: NC-Greensboro at Georgia Southern (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 43.258; Georgia Southern 49.277
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 6
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 4
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-4)

Game 611-612: NC-Asheville at Radford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Asheville 47.397; Radford 52.106
Dunkel Line: Radford by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Ben Burns

Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
Play: Wisconsin -8½

I believe the Gophers are at the wrong place at the wrong time here.

While they failed to cover, the Badgers did get back on track at home last time out. They beat Michigan State by a score of 60-58. That was preceded by a blowout win at Illinois.
Their home losing streak in the rear view mirror, the Badgers should bring some positive momentum into this evening's game.

The fact that the Gophers beat them at Minnesota should provide plenty of motivation. Not that they should need any for a big home game on ESPN.

The Gophers have really struggled on the road in conference play and are 0-4 SU/ATS their last four away from Minnesota. While they kept it close in losses at Purdue and Nebraska, they lost by double-digits at Michigan State and Iowa.

With difficult road games at Michigan and at Iowa on deck, the Badgers know they need to take care of business here. They've mostly had their way with the Gophers here over the years and a blowout win won't surprise. Consider laying the points.

Scott Spreitzer

Creighton vs. Butler
Play: Creighton -8

The Blue Jays crushed Butler 88-60 in Omaha in January, but I don't expect a revenge winner in this one. The Jays are off a tough loss at MSG against St. John's. Steve Lavin did a terrific job in both games against the Jays, "letting" Doug McDermott gets his, but not letting the supporting role players go off. That meant a little humble pie for Ethan Wragge, Jahenns Manigat, and Will Artino. But Lavin has the individual talent to play that type of game against the Jays, while this season's Butler roster does not. Creighton has followed their last two losses with blowout wins by 17 points at Long Beach State and by a ridiculous 28 points at Villanova. They have now covered 17 of their last 25 off a SU loss. And yes, the Jays have a home date with Villanova on Sunday, but I expect the recent loss to St. John's to keep them focused in this one. Butler enters on a 2-8 ATS slide in Big East play and suffer more growing pains in their new conference. I'm recommending a play on Creighton minus the points on Thursday.

Art Aronson

Arkansas vs. Missouri
Play: Missouri -5

Missouri has had a rough go of it lately as it is coming off three straight losses. It’s important to remember that Missouri is still a pretty good team and should be able to get a nice win at home here. The Tigers have lost two of three straight but two of those games where on the road and two of the three were to high ranked opponents in Florida and Kentucky. Missouri is 10-2 SU in home games this season and is outscoring opponents by an average of 10.3 points a game. Arkansas meanwhile is just 1-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in true road games this season. As an underdog, the Razorbacks are just `1-4SU and just 1-4 ATS in conference games as well this season. Missouri earned a four point victory at Arkansas back on January 28th. Ernest Ross and Jabari Brown each had 24 points in the victory. Missouri is on the bubble for the NCAA tourney and every games counts from here on out. I think the Tigers thing they deserve to be there and will be here to prove it with another nice home win. Lay the points with Missouri.

Jim Feist

Thunder vs. Lakers
Play: Over 207

Oklahoma City has plenty of offensive punch with Kevin Durant, 5th in the NBA in scoring. They can play any style and the over is 7-2 in the Thunder's last 9 vs. a team with a losing record, plus 9-4 over the total against the NBA Pacific division. Oklahoma City is off an impressive 98-95 victory over Portland on Tuesday night as Kevin Durant had 36 points and 10 rebounds. They beat Portland the last game as Durant had 36 points, even tough the other starters were 1-of-18 from the floor in the first half and fourth quarter combined! They won't do that against this awful LA defense. That offense gets to face a terrible LA defense, one ranked 29th in points allowed, on a 10-5 run over the total. The over is 8-3 in the Lakers last 10 games following a loss and 22-9 over the total against the NBA Northwest division. And when these teams meet the over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.

Rob Vinciletti

Denver vs. IUPU-Indianapolis
Play: Denver -9½

Denver has won and covered all 3 times as a road favorite from -9 to -12 and has handled losing teams winning 29 of 34. They are 12-3 ats of late in February games and flattened IUPU by nearly 20 at home earlier in the season. Indiana- Purdue University is 0-17 to the spread in lined home games, 0-6 ats after scoring 60 or less and has failed to cover 9 of the last 13 vs winning teams. When playing with revenge for a loss by 19 or more they are 2-17 and a lousy 7-26 ats off a conference loss. Look for Denver to coast in this one.

Rob Vinciletti's Featured Package

Brandon Shively

Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
Play: Minnesota +8½

Minnesota has played all their conference road games tough except one bad loss to Iowa which was expected. It was a sandwich game for the Gophers after they beat Ohio State and had a home game on deck vs. Wisconsin.

For Wisconsin, they are now 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Their defense is not the typical Wisconsin defense and therefore they should not be allowed to lay this large number tonight. When comparing shooting percentages and other major statistics, these two teams matchup very evenly. Minnesota is big in the paint and can have the advantage down there tonight.

In the first game, Minnesota won the game easily 81-68. Minnesota shot the ball better and out rebounded Wisconsin easily and I do not see why this line should be this high tonight. Andre Hollins got injured in this game also and they still beat Wisconsin by 13. Hollins is back now and he is averaging 14.5 ppg and is a solid perimeter shooter. Look for the Gophers to keep this one closer than what the linesmakers expect.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Minnesota is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Wisconsin

Brandon Shively's Featured Package

Justin Bay

Arkansas State vs. South Alabama
Play: Arkansas State -1

Arkansas State
- Average 76.2 PPG
- Allow 72.3 PPG
- SOS: 98.9

South Alabama
- Average 66.7 PPG
- Allow 71.2 PPG
- SOS: 99.6

**According to our system, Arkansas State should win by 4 or more points.**

Alex Smart

Creighton vs. Butler
Play: Butler +8

This version of Butler is not proving to be one of the better groups this program has put on the floor over the last decade, and looked bad in a loss to Xavier last time out. However, despite of that , they are still not pushovers and not to be under estimated. Meanwhile Creighton' s program has proven themselves to be an explosive elite side this season as their 19-4 record would indicate. But it must be noted, that the Blue Jays are off a loss to St.Johns last time out and have gone down to defeat in 2 of their L/3 road events. With Big East Conference leader Villanova on board next,for the Blue Jays I will not be surprised if they get caught looking ahead. Also Butler looked embarrassed and frustrated last time out, and considering HC Brandon Millers aptitude and preparation abilities the Bulldogs Im betting will be out to make amends and work hard. The Bulldogs have only failed to cover 7 of their L/28 home games vs an above ,500 team.

Alex Smart's Featured Package

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah at USCFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: USCFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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If it's Thursday night the PAC 12 is in action and with it the Trojans host the Utes at the Galen Center in a perfect set for USC. That's because the Spoiled Children are off a 10-point home loss looking to avenge a same season loss suffered at Utah with the Utes entering off an 18-point revenge win over Washington State. With the Trojans 20-7 SU and 15-9-1 ATS at home off an immediate home loss, look for the host in this series to improve to 5-1-1 ATS here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on USC.

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Illinois Chicago at Cleveland StateFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Bad vibes from the Circle, as QB Jay Cutler and the Bears (who haven't played in a month-and-a-half) have won more recently than UIC's last SU success back on Dec. 17. Which has literally turned up the "Flame" under HC Howard Moore in the Windy City. Unfortunately, UIC lacks the shooters to make Moore's Wisconsin-influenced "swing" offense work as designed. Now the Flames have to tangle with the hottest Horizon entry in CSU, which has won and covered six straight and already handled UIC by 10 on Jan. 22 when shooting holes in the slow-burning Flame perimeter defense (Vikes 10 of 15 triples!).

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St. Johns at Seton HallFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Red Storm have won five of six, and their only loss during that span was a 63-60 defeat at Creighton. They will be on the road tonight, taking on a struggling Seton Hall team that has lost consecutive home games. In fact, the Pirates only have one home win versus a Big East opponent this season, and that came against last place DePaul. Backing Seton Hall at home has been a losing proposition in recent seasons, as the Pirates are just 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 home games. St. John's is coming off a home win against Creighton over the weekend, and they have road wins at Providence and Butler previously this season. The Pirates turned the ball over 17 times in a home loss to Marquette on Tuesday, and they were dominated on the glass, getting out-rebounded 32-19. That could be a recipe for disaster against a St. John's team that specializes in forcing turnovers and battling it out on the glass.

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Creighton vs. ButlerFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Here are my keys to the game.FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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1. There's No Play Like Home - All four of Creighton's losses this season have come away from home. Two of those losses came to San Diego St and George Washington out in California. They have also been upset twice in Big East play, once at Providence and then Sunday at St. John's. The Bluejays were held way below their YTD scoring average of 81 pts/game and had an off-shooting night at 41.1 percent including 22% from three-point range. They were also only 56 percent from the free throw line, something the Red Storm had nothing to do with.
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2. Lookahead - Creighton will host Villanova Sunday in a showdown for first place in the Big East. I wouldn't be shocked if they were already peeking towards that game.
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3. X-Factor - Revenge. Butler was humiliated in the first meeting with Creighton this year, losing by 28 points. With only two wins in 12 Big East games this year, the Bulldogs are also a desperate team. I expect them to play much better tonight in Hinkle Fieldhouse.

Jason Sharpe

Chattanooga -4.5 over Western Carolina

Chattanooga is the better of these two Southern Conference squads. The Mocs are off to a 9-2 start in conference play under their first-year head coach. They should come in very motivated as well as they have dropped three of their last four, including an ugly loss in overtime to a bad Samford team in their last game. All three losses were on the road, though, and they do come into this game with a very solid 10-1 home record on the season.

Western Carolina has won three of their last four games, but don't be fooled by this. They have just one decent conference win all season and are just 3-9 away from home this year overall. Even if you look outside the Southern Conference, WCU has had wins against mostly bottom-level teams. WCU came into this season showing they were getting worse each of their last four seasons, and it's my belief that trend will continue by the end of this year as well.