Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

NCAAB

Wisconsin at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games versus the Badgers. Minnesota is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Gophers favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5)

Game 505-506: Duquesne at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 48.115; Temple 64.919
Dunkel Line: Temple by 17
Vegas Line: Temple by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-16 1/2)

Game 507-508: Clemson at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 60.987; Georgia Tech 61.709
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 3
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+3)

Game 509-510: George Mason at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 55.677; Drexel 53.987
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 1 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Drexel by 3; 124
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+3); Under

Game 511-512: Wisconsin at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 68.675; Minnesota 75.076
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 5; 118
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Over

Game 513-514: Northwestern at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 62.112; Ohio State 74.860
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 12 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17 1/2; 124
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+17 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: LSU at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 58.195; South Carolina 58.282
Dunkel Line: Even; 133
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 1 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+1 1/2); Under

Game 517-518: Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 52.722; Florida Atlantic 49.852
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 3
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-1 1/2)

Game 519-520: AR-Little Rock at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 52.372; Arkansas State 63.018
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 9
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-9)

Game 521-522: UL-Lafayette at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 53.112; South Alabama 56.810
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 6
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+6)

Game 523-524: North Texas at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 47.712; UL-Monroe 42.390
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-3 1/2)

Game 525-526: Florida International at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 53.638; Troy 51.443
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Florida International

Game 527-528: Iowa at Penn State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 67.906; Penn State 56.804
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 11; 135
Vegas Line: Iowa by 8; 131
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-8); Over

Game 529-530: Denver at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 62.515; Utah State 63.103
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 1
Vegas Line: Denver by 2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+2)

Game 531-532: UCLA at California (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 64.557; California 64.632
Dunkel Line: Even; 138
Vegas Line: California by 3; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+3); Under

Game 533-534: St. John's at Louisville (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 62.317; Louisville 76.478
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 14; 127
Vegas Line: Louisville by 17; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+17); Under

Game 535-536: Massachusetts at VCU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 59.457; VCU 73.478
Dunkel Line: VCU by 14; 151
Vegas Line: VCU by 11 1/2; 147
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-11 1/2); Over

Game 537-538: CS-Northridge at Pacific (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 52.172; Pacific 61.628
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-7 1/2)

Game 539-540: Arizona at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 66.510; Colorado 67.754
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+2 1/2)

Game 541-542: San Diego at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 53.820; Santa Clara 67.721
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 14
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 10
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-10)

Game 543-544: Loyola Marymount at Pepperdine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 46.871; Pepperdine 55.083
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 8
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 4
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (-4)

Game 545-546: Portland at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 47.728; San Francisco 63.039
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-9 1/2)

Game 547-548: Louisiana Tech at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 58.209; Seattle 53.297
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 5
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+6 1/2)

Game 549-550: Hawaii at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 49.756; UC Davis 55.094
Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC Davis by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (-2 1/2)

Game 551-552: New Mexico State at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 59.478; San Jose State 47.347
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 12
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-9 1/2)

Game 553-554: TX-Arlington at Idaho (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 55.211; Idaho 55.437
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Idaho by 2
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+2)

Game 555-556: USC at Stanford (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 61.092; Stanford 72.047
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 11; 141
Vegas Line: Stanford by 9; 135
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-9); Over

Game 557-558: Gonzaga at St. Mary's (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 72.229; St. Mary's 68.336
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 4; 150
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 1; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-1); Over

Game 559-560: Furman at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 42.132; Chattanooga 50.007
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 8
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 5
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-5)

Game 561-562: Western Carolina at NC-Greensboro (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 46.585; NC-Greensboro 46.422
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+2)

Game 563-564: Appalachian State at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 47.682; Elon 54.414
Dunkel Line: Elon by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Elon by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+8 1/2)

Game 565-566: Georgia Southern at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 45.179; The Citadel 41.614
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-2)

Game 567-568: St. Peter's at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 44.606; Rider 54.274
Dunkel Line: Rider by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Rider by 8
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-8)

Game 569-570: Belmont at Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 62.751; Tennessee State 57.148
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 5 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Belmont by 7 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+7 1/2); Under

Game 571-572: Tennessee Tech at Eastern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 45.711; Eastern Kentucky 60.233
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-12 1/2)

Game 573-574: Jacksonville State at Morehead State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 48.329; Morehead State 50.878
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+4)

Game 575-576: Canisius at Loyola-MD (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 53.101; Loyola-MD 59.740
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-3 1/2)

Game 577-578: Davidson at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 59.186; College of Charleston 60.040
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 1
Vegas Line: Davidson by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (+2 1/2)

Game 579-580: Wofford at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 48.535; Samford 45.634
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Wofford

Game 581-582: IPFW at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 46.603; UMKC 44.314
Dunkel Line: IPFW by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: IPFW by 1
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (-1)

Game 583-584: Oakland at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 51.959; South Dakota 52.108
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Oakland by 6
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+6)

Game 585-586: IUPUI at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 41.027; South Dakota State 63.421
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 18
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-18)

Game 587-588: Western Illinois at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 55.008; North Dakota State 65.654
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 9
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-9)

Game 589-590: Austin Peay at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 40.925; Eastern Illinois 44.406
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+5 1/2)

Game 591-592: Murray State at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 56.977; SIU-Edwardsville 44.480
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-10 1/2)

Game 593-594: Sacramento State at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 45.365; North Dakota 46.153
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 1; 130
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 4 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 595-596: Siena at Fairfield (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 43.855; Fairfield 55.799
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 12
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+13 1/2)

Game 597-598: Northern Arizona at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 42.919; Northern Colorado 48.293
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+7 1/2)

Game 599-600: Montana State at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 45.464; Idaho State 42.351
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 3
Vegas Line: Montana State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-1)

Game 601-602: Montana at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 55.385; Weber State 63.765
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-6 1/2)

Game 603-604: Southern Utah at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 47.594; Portland State 44.007
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+2)

Jeff Benton

Thursday night freebie is the Miami Heat plus the points at Oklahoma City.

There is no doubt in my mind the Thunder were caught looking ahead the other night when their four game winning streak was rudely snapped by the Utah Jazz in Salt Lake City.

Still, the Thunder have not been able to make a dent in the Miami armor, and Miami does come into OKC with wins in their last six games straight up, the last three coming by double-digits.

Including the playoffs, Miami has now won five straight against Oklahoma City.

Until I see evidence that the Thunder can actually win a game against the Heat, there is no way I am backing Oklahoma City to cover in the role of favorite against the Heat!

Take Miami plus the points.

3* MIAMI

Jason Sharpe

South Dakota +3

Home court can be huge in the Summit League, and these two teams have shown that to be the case time and time again this year.South Dakota comes in struggling of late, but a lot of that probably has to do with the fact they have had to play five of their last six games away from home. The Coyotes have played a tremendously tough schedule this season and mostly so away from home, losing nonconference games at Wyoming, Gonzaga, Iowa and Kansas State and then have had to travel to conference powers North Dakota State and South Dakota State (which they won). One of their most impressive showings were just a few weeks back against their opponent here in this game, beating Oakland by 19 points in Oakland.

Speaking of Oakland, give this team some credit as they knocked off the conference big boys last week, beating North Dakota State and South Dakota State in a three-day span. The Golden Grizzlies have won five straight games currently, but keep in mind that they have played seven of their last eight games overall at home. This is a huge fact for a team that is just 4-12 away from home this season. Though a fairly decent program, Oakland has been awful on defense these last few years, ranking in the bottom five in all of CBB in effective field goal percentage on defense and are dead last again this season in league play in two-point defense, and that is for the second year in a row in the Summit League.

Tough spot here for Oakland to travel all the way to South Dakota from Michigan and get up for a bottom-level league team, especially after two emotionally draining wins just last week. Take South Dakota and the points here.

Rob Vinciletti

Clippers vs. Lakers
Play: Over

All teams on the road vs the Lakers with no rest off a home game have played over 17 of the last 19 times. In the series between these two the last 7 games have posted over the total. The Clippers have gone over 11 of 15 times vs teams who average 99 or more and 7 of 10 in Division games. The last 5 times they have played on the road they have played over the total. The Lakers have played over in 10 of 14 as a dog, 6 of 9 vs Division opponents and 13 of 19 vs teams who score 99 or more. Look for this one to fly over the total tonight.

Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix vs. NashvilleFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Predators have not been lighting up the scoreboard this year. They went through a goalless drought of nearly 177 minutes before Colin Wilson scored in OT for the 1-0 win over the Sharks on Tuesday. "I mean obviously we want to score but we're just preaching put the puck on the net," Preds' defenseman Ryan Ellis said after. "I think we've been outshot a lot in the early stretch here." Now Nashville gets a look at the Coyotes Mike Smith for the first time this year. Smith of course posted a 1.73 GAA and eliminated the Predators in five games in the Western Conference semifinals last season. Most recently Smith made a season-high 41 saves in a 3-2 OT win over Colorado on Monday (the Coyotes have seen the total go under the number in 21 of their last 35 when playing with two days of rest). Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne has been keeping his team in games, going 5-1-0 with a minuscule 0.97 GAA in his last six games (Nashville has already seen the total go under the number in in all four games that its played vs. teams with losing records). Two great goaltenders and a couple of teams that put an added emphasis on defensive play. I'll recommend a second look at the under in this one.

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado vs. MinnesotaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado is 4-6-1, and is coming off three straight losses, including a 3-2 setback in OT to Phoenix on the 11th.
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''At the end of the day, it's a terrible bounce,'' said the Avs Matt Duchene. ''As soon as you see it happen, you kind of know it's going to go in. That doesn't happen very often. It's a tough bounce.''
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The Avs had there chances though, and were simply unable to put the puck in the net, going 0 for 4 with the man advantage.
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Note that Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in three of four this year when playing against a team with a losing record.
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Minnesota is 6-6-1, and is coming off a 2-1 setback at Vancouver on the 12th.
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Devin Setoguchi scored the lone goal for Minnesota, snapping the Wilds two game win streak.
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It was in fact just the seventh goal that the Wild have scored in their last six games.
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Note that Minnesota has seen the total go "under" the number in four of five vs. teams with losing records.
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I believe these offensively challenged clubs battle to a low-scoring affair on Thursday night!

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami vs. Oklahoma CityFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Oklahoma CityFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LeBron James is getting a lot of love from the media lately, after scoring 30+ points and shooting 60% or better in six straight games. Once again we're hearing comparisons to MJ, and questions as to whether or not LBJ is the "greatest ever".
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I personally find such talk laughable. As good as LeBron is, when you put it in perspective, he's a long way off from Jordan's six championships, and the Heat are a long way off from being a dynasty. People say "can anybody beat the Heat?" If you watched the playoffs last year, you'd already know that the Celtics came very close, and probably should have won their series versus Miami last year.
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The Heat come into Oklahoma City today with a road record just one game above .500. The Thunder are hard to beat at home, with a record of 23-3 at Chesapeake Energy Arena.
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Miami was fortunate to come away with a win in their last game at home versus Portland. The Blazers had the lead at the half, and twice they held leads of as many as 14 points. With Portland leading with under two minutes to play, the Heat went on a 14-0 run in the final minutes to close the game and win their sixth straight.
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If ever the Heat were in a let down spot, this would be it. LeBron is on top of the world, and the Heat are media darlings, getting a lot of press, feeding their collective egos.
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The Thunder should take care of business at home tonight, taking the wind out of the sails of Miami, sending the Heat crashing back down to earth.

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Southern California vs. StanfordFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Southern CaliforniaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Stanford still thinking it might be able to make a late run at an NCAA at-large berth after last Saturday’s victory at Arizona State. But not sure the Cardinal can extend the margin on a more-confident SC bunch that has looked like a different team since Kevin O’Neill’s ouster and the promotion of Bob Cantu (who is letting the Trojans run) as interim HC. Cantu is making a statement to keep the job on full-time basis, as the Trojans have upped their scoring by more than 8 ppg since the coaching change, with Wake Forest transfer G J.T. Terrell (14 ppg since Cantu’s elevation) no longer looking over his shoulder at a bellowing O’Neill if he misses a shot. At near double-digit price, Trojans worth a very hard look.

JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Louisiana Tech -6.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Lay the lead as these BullDogs are not afraid to go into Seattle Washington and come away with a hard fought W... LA Tech (21-3, 12-0 WAC) "ON THE 4TH" longest winning streak in the country at 13-0 games which includes 6 road tested wins... They are NASTY!!!!!.. Huge edges on the Defensive end and Turnovers to these Dogs ... LAY IT BOYS.... Power Rated @ - 8 flat here

Dennis MacklinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Belmont -7½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If you are looking to go to the extra board for a game, you can do a lot worse than taking a look to see if the Belmont Bruins are playing. An under-the-radar OVC team, Belmont has been rock solid for the past two decades under Rick Byrd winning 121 games the last five years, 57 over the past two years. For that reason, Belmont's ATS record is not staggering and at first glance, a bit suspect. The 20-5 Bruins are just 10-9 vs the points as a favorite but that's simply because they are always over-valued. A ggod example of this was the first meeting between these two in Nashville where Belmont (-15) easily rolled in a 78-66 non-cover win. In that game, Tennessee State was forced into 16 turnovers by the relentless Belmont pressure. The Tigers have a gaudy 5-1 ATS mark at home but keep in mind they haven't played any of the top three of the OVC .... . Eastern Kentucky, Murray State or BELMONT. No look ahead here as Belmont has just Eastern Illinois before playing their bracket buster matchup hosting Ohio U. Belmont 77-63

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Loyola Maryland -4FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This matchup falls into a system to play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Loyola when they are revenging a same season loss vs an opponent, in a game involving two teams winning between 60% - 80% of their games. That system tightens up to 101-61 ATS when that favorite is playing at home and returning four starters from the previous season.
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Canisius is 2-9 AT versus good defensive teams that are allowing less than 64 points per game over the last 2 seasons. The Loyola Maryland defense is holding opponents to 62.9 points and they are a respectable 9-3 straight up on their home court.
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With Canisius in the middle of a five game road stretch I expect to see them struggle tonight against the Greyhounds. These teams are tied for second in the MAAC and with a horrible Siena team on deck, Loyola has had all week to prepare for the Golden Griffins. Lay the points in this game as the Greyhounds bump Canisius down in conference standings.

Jim Feist

Heat vs Thunder
Play: Over

Miami can play any style, but prefers to run, 5th in the NBA in scoring and on a 7-3 run over the total. The over is 7-1 in the Heat's last 8 games following a win, 6-1 over the total playing on 1 days rest and 5-2 over the total against the Western Conference. Oklahoma City loves to run, as well, tops in the NBA in scoring with 106.4 ppg. In a marquee national TV game, look for the offenses to shine and the over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City. Play the Heat/Thunder over the total.

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Massachusetts vs Va CommonwealthFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MassachusettsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The A-10 title chase has evolved into one of the best races in the country. This is a solid league and right just two games are separating the first nine teams. VCU is one of the leaders at 7-2, which is absolutely not surprising. But Massachusetts is right there at 6-3 and I have to admit to being almost shocked at how well they're playing defensively. Plus, the Minutemen were right there in all three league losses, so the reality is that they have yet to be decisively defeated by any conference rival. There are also a couple of glaring stats on the VCU side that are a little troubling. The Rams are allowing a ridiculous number of offensive boards, and they've also been very erratic with their long range shooting as well as their free throws. Those numbers would seem to make a runaway unlikely. Obviously, the road team is going to have to avoid getting turned over so often they lose touch on the scoreboard. But the Minutemen like to play at a frantic pace, so I don't think they'll be overwhelmed here. VCU should win the game, but I can see this being competitive and I'm willing to take my chances grabbing the doubles with UMass.

Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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USC at StanfordFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: StanfordFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cardinal (15-9) has won four of their last five games after their 62-59 win at Arizona State on Saturday. Now Stanford returns home where they are 10-2 with an average winning margin of +10.2 PPG. The Trojans (11-13), on the other hand, are 2-6 on the road with an average losing margin of -5.2 PPG. Stanford has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, they will be seeking to avenge their 71-69 loss at USC back on January 3rd. The Cardinal should take care of business here as they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. The Trojans have won three straight games after their 71-60 win versus Washington last Sunday as a 2-point favorite -- but they are just 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a point spread win. Additionally, USC is just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on the road. Lastly, the Trojans are just 7-18-1 AS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Take Stanford minus the points in this one.